2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Massachusetts voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.[3][4]

Results

2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary[5]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[6]
Joe Biden 473,861 33.41 45
Bernie Sanders 376,990 26.58 30
Elizabeth Warren 303,864 21.43 16
Michael Bloomberg 166,200 11.72
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 38,400 2.71
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 17,297 1.22
Tulsi Gabbard 10,548 0.74
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 6,923 0.49
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 6,762 0.48
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,708 0.19
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,257 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 675 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 617 0.04
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 426 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 305 0.02
No Preference 5,345 0.38
Blank ballots 4,061 0.29
All Others 1,941 0.14
Total 1,418,180 100% 91

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

Results by county

2020 Massachusetts Democratic primary

(results per county)[5]

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tulsi Gabbard Deval Patrick Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Michael Bennet John Delaney Marianne Williamson Cory Booker Julian Castro No Preference Blank ballots All Others Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Barnstable 21,423 38.44 12,106 21.72 9,399 16.86 8,011 14.37 2,177 3.91 1,056 1.89 388 0.70 213 0.38 426 0.76 86 0.15 45 0.08 18 0.03 31 0.06 13 0.02 2 0.00 186 0.33 103 0.18 51 0.09 55,734
Berkshire 10,978 38.35 8,196 28.63 5,549 19.38 2,634 9.20 461 1.61 227 0.79 115 0.40 210 0.73 28 0.10 26 0.09 15 0.05 11 0.04 13 0.05 6 0.02 11 0.04 80 0.28 44 0.15 22 0.08 28,626
Bristol 29,181 36.91 22,885 28.94 10,606 13.41 10,350 13.09 2,196 2.78 818 1.03 635 0.80 547 0.69 488 0.62 120 0.15 88 0.11 46 0.06 44 0.06 37 0.05 25 0.03 504 0.64 307 0.39 189 0.24 79,066
Dukes 1,962 32.63 1,632 27.15 1,287 21.41 718 11.94 192 3.19 99 1.65 36 0.60 19 0.32 30 0.50 8 0.13 5 0.08 0 0.00 3 0.05 2 0.03 1 0.02 7 0.12 6 0.10 5 0.08 6,012
Essex 52,900 33.97 41,877 26.89 28,220 18.12 20,661 13.27 4,761 3.06 2,111 1.36 1,482 0.95 852 0.55 890 0.57 264 0.17 167 0.11 79 0.05 67 0.04 49 0.03 48 0.03 586 0.38 445 0.29 268 0.17 155,727
Franklin 4,804 23.54 8,185 40.11 5,159 25.28 1,274 6.24 305 1.49 159 0.78 161 0.79 84 0.41 66 0.32 42 0.21 8 0.04 47 0.23 10 0.05 2 0.01 1 0.00 44 0.22 44 0.22 13 0.06 20,408
Hampden 23,009 36.60 19,260 30.63 8,599 13.68 7,860 12.50 1,170 1.86 599 0.95 484 0.77 537 0.85 141 0.22 118 0.19 165 0.26 62 0.10 30 0.05 28 0.04 44 0.07 319 0.51 257 0.41 189 0.30 62,871
Hampshire 10,722 24.35 15,318 34.78 12,986 29.49 3,052 6.93 721 1.64 426 0.97 231 0.52 141 0.32 57 0.13 58 0.13 17 0.04 9 0.02 16 0.04 8 0.02 6 0.01 146 0.33 86 0.20 41 0.09 44,041
Middlesex 123,553 30.54 99,704 24.64 109,318 27.02 45,727 11.30 11,302 2.79 5,328 1.32 2,733 0.68 1,374 0.34 1,517 0.37 895 0.22 255 0.06 136 0.03 124 0.03 102 0.03 49 0.01 1,269 0.31 827 0.20 404 0.10 404,617
Nantucket 1,055 40.56 624 23.99 384 14.76 373 14.34 66 2.54 35 1.35 15 0.58 9 0.35 17 0.65 4 0.15 2 0.08 4 0.15 1 0.04 0 0.00 0 0.00 9 0.35 2 0.08 1 0.04 2,601
Norfolk 61,914 37.02 36,074 21.57 34,126 20.40 23,101 13.81 4,791 2.86 2,317 1.39 1,352 0.81 658 0.39 862 0.52 345 0.21 102 0.06 55 0.03 68 0.04 42 0.03 11 0.01 694 0.41 467 0.28 275 0.16 167,254
Plymouth 37,270 38.64 23,254 24.11 14,214 14.74 13,390 13.88 3,352 3.48 1,400 1.45 933 0.97 566 0.59 789 0.82 164 0.17 60 0.06 53 0.05 59 0.06 33 0.03 19 0.02 468 0.49 306 0.32 127 0.13 96,457
Suffolk 47,608 29.79 48,636 30.43 41,885 26.21 13,745 8.60 2,513 1.57 965 0.60 819 0.51 974 0.61 377 0.24 312 0.20 213 0.13 103 0.06 70 0.04 59 0.04 52 0.03 464 0.29 818 0.51 196 0.12 159,809
Worcester 47,482 35.18 39,239 29.08 22,132 16.40 15,304 11.34 4,393 3.26 1,757 1.30 1,164 0.86 739 0.55 1,074 0.80 266 0.20 115 0.09 52 0.04 81 0.06 45 0.03 36 0.03 569 0.42 349 0.26 160 0.12 134,957
Total 473,861 33.41 376,990 26.58 303,864 21.43 166,200 11.72 38,400 2.71 17,297 1.22 10,548 0.74 6,923 0.49 6,762 0.48 2,708 0.19 1,257 0.09 675 0.05 617 0.04 426 0.03 305 0.02 5,345 0.38 4,061 0.29 1,941 0.14 1,418,180

Republican primary

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did former Massachusetts governor and Utah senator Mitt Romney.[7][8][9][10]

Results

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by three candidates: businessman and perennial candidate Rocky De La Fuente of California, former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts. Walsh withdrew from the race prior to the primary. De La Fuente was not on the initial ballot list, but he successfully petitioned to get onto the ballot following its release.[11] Donald Trump won Massachusetts in a landslide over Former Governor Bill Weld, winning almost every town.

2020 Massachusetts Republican primary[12]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Donald Trump 239,115 86.32 41
Bill Weld 25,425 9.18 0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 3,008 1.09 0
Rocky De La Fuente 675 0.24 0
No Preference 4,385 1.58 0
Blank ballots 2,242 0.81 0
All Others 2,152 0.78 0
Total 277,002 100% 41

Results by county

2020 Massachusetts Republican primary

(results per county)[12]

County Donald Trump Bill Weld Joe Walsh Rocky De La Fuente No Preference Blank ballots All Others Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Barnstable 17,723 88.36 1,554 7.75 143 0.71 39 0.19 292 1.46 192 0.96 115 0.57 20,058
Berkshire 2,527 80.25 432 13.72 65 2.06 8 0.25 59 1.87 34 1.08 24 0.76 3,149
Bristol 20,003 89.78 1,417 6.36 239 1.07 39 0.18 277 1.24 174 0.78 132 0.59 22,281
Dukes 522 80.56 74 11.42 22 3.40 1 0.15 11 1.70 10 1.54 8 1.23 648
Essex 31,124 86.74 3,218 8.97 349 0.97 83 0.23 550 1.53 306 0.85 254 0.71 35,884
Franklin 1,886 80.67 341 14.59 30 1.28 9 0.38 42 1.80 13 0.56 17 0.73 2,338
Hampden 13,272 86.95 1,178 7.72 192 1.26 64 0.42 204 1.34 103 0.67 251 1.64 15,264
Hampshire 3,909 83.92 567 12.17 37 0.79 14 0.30 80 1.72 27 0.58 24 0.52 4,658
Middlesex 50,703 84.45 6,463 10.76 667 1.11 151 0.25 1,037 1.73 550 0.92 471 0.78 60,042
Nantucket 352 78.40 59 13.14 12 2.67 4 0.89 9 2.00 4 0.89 9 2.00 449
Norfolk 28,554 85.59 3,207 9.61 334 1.00 80 0.24 598 1.79 284 0.85 303 0.91 33,360
Plymouth 28,279 88.54 2,388 7.48 282 0.88 55 0.17 537 1.68 224 0.70 173 0.54 31,938
Suffolk 8,801 83.26 1,127 10.66 207 1.96 41 0.39 140 1.32 106 1.00 148 1.40 10,570
Worcester 31,460 86.52 3,400 9.35 429 1.18 87 0.24 549 1.51 215 0.59 223 0.61 36,363
Total 239,115 86.32 25,425 9.18 3,008 1.09 675 0.24 4,385 1.58 2,242 0.81 2,152 0.78 277,002

Libertarian primary

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.[13][14][15]

County results of the Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.
  Vermin Supreme
  Jacob Hornberger
  Tie
  Dan Behrman

Results

Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020 [16]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Vermin Supreme 398 10.4%
Jacob Hornberger 369 9.6%
Blank 324 7.8%
Dan Behrman 294 7.7%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 224 5.8%
Arvin Vohra 151 3.9%
Ken Armstrong 145 3.8%
Jo Jorgensen 141 3.4%
Sam Robb 127 3.1%
Adam Kokesh 125 3%
Max Abramson 98 2.4%
All others 958 23%
No Preference 804 21%
Total 4,158 100%

Green primary

Results

Massachusetts Green Party presidential primary, March 3, 2020 [17]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Dario Hunter 224 16.9 2
Howie Hawkins 217 16.4 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry 141 10.6 1
Kent Mesplay 55 4.1 0
David Rolde 4 0.3 0
Write-In 369 27.8 0
No Preference 316 23.8 7
Total 1326 100.00% 11

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[21] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[22] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[23] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[24] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[25] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[26] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[27] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[28] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[29] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[30] Safe D August 6, 2020

Polling

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC Aug 6–9, 2020 501 (LV) 27% 63%
UMass/YouGov Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 500 (RV) ± 5.9% 28% 61%
MassINC Jul 17–20, 2020 797 (RV) 23% 55%
Emerson College May 4–5, 2020 740 (RV) ± 3.5% 33% 67%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 30% 58% 7%[lower-alpha 2] 4%
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 761 ± 3.5% 31% 69%
Former candidates
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 761 ± 3.5% 36% 64%
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 761 ± 3.5% 37% 63%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Another candidate" with 7%

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  4. Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander. "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020".
  5. "2020 President Democratic Primary". Mass.gov. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  6. "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Massachusetts Democrat". Retrieved 4 July 2020.
  7. Markos, Mary (November 8, 2018). "Charlie Baker 'absolutely' staying put". Boston Herald. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  8. Burr, Thomas (February 16, 2018). "Mitt Romney: On school shootings, immigration and when he'll challenge Trump. A Q&A with Utah's new Senate candidate". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved February 18, 2018.
  9. Heilbrunn, Jacob (January 2, 2018). "Donald Trump's Biggest Fear: A Romney 2020 Primary Challenge". The National Interest. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  10. Keller, Jon (January 2, 2018). "Keller @ Large: Could Romney Be Trump's Worst Nightmare?". WBZ-TV. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  11. Winger, Richard. "Rocky De La Fuente Qualifies for Republican Massachusetts Presidential Primary by Petition". Ballot Access News. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  12. "2020 President Republican Primary". Mass.gov. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  13. Sullivan, Max (July 28, 2019). "Seabrook's Abramson seeks Libertarian presidential nomination". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  14. Limitone, Julia (June 18, 2019). "Presidential candidate vows to abolish federal government on day 1, then resign". Fox Business. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  15. Clark, Bob (November 12, 2019). "Libertarians Offer Voters Nothing New". Olean Times Herald. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  16. "Massachusetts Election Statistics: 2020 Libertarian Primary". Massachusetts Secretary of State. March 3, 2020.
  17. https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/
  18. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  19. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  20. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  21. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  24. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  25. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  26. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  27. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  28. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  29. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  30. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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