2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Michigan is expected to be tightly contested in 2020, as it was the closest state by margin in the 2016 election, where President Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan’s electoral votes since 1988, when George H. W. Bush won in a national landslide against Michael Dukakis.

Primary elections

The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by three candidates: former governor Mark Sanford of South Carolina, former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts. Sanford and Walsh both withdrew prior to the primary. Michigan is the only primary state where Sanford's name remained on the ballot.[3]

2020 Michigan Republican primary[4]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 639,500 93.9% 73
Uncommitted 25,966 4.0%
Bill Weld 5,711 0.9%
Mark Sanford (withdrawn) 3,991 0.6%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 3,845 0.6%
Total 642,567 100% 73

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.[5]

2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 840,360 52.93 73
Bernie Sanders 576,926 36.34 52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†) 73,464 4.63
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†) 26,148 1.65
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 22,462 1.41
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 11,018 0.69
Tulsi Gabbard 9,461 0.60
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 2,380 0.15
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 1,732 0.11
Michael Bennet (withdrawn†) 1,536 0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 840 0.05
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 757 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 719 0.05
John Delaney (withdrawn†) 464 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 306 0.02
Uncommitted 19,106 1.20
Total 1,587,679 100% 125

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Lean D (flip) July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[8] Lean D (flip) July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Lean D (flip) July 14, 2020
Politico[10] Lean D (flip) July 6, 2020
RCP[11] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[12] Likely D (flip) July 26, 2020
CNN[13] Lean D (flip) August 3, 2020
The Economist[14] Likely D (flip) August 7, 2020
CBS News[15] Lean D (flip) August 9, 2020
270towin[16] Lean D (flip) August 2, 2020
ABC News[17] Lean D (flip) July 31, 2020
NPR[18] Lean D (flip) August 3, 2020
NBC News[19] Lean D (flip) August 6, 2020
538[20] Lean D (flip) August 14, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win July 19 – August 6, 2020 August 10, 2020 48.4% 41.0% 10.6% Biden +7.4
Real Clear Politics July 24 – August 6, 2020 August 10, 2020 48.0% 41.7% 10.3% Biden +6.3
FiveThirtyEight until August 6, 2020 August 10, 2020 49.5% 41.7% 8.8% Biden +7.8
Average 48.6% 41.5% 9.9% Biden +7.1

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
CNBC/Change Research Aug 7–9, 2020 413 (LV) 43% 48%
University of Wisconsin-Madison/YouGov Jul 27 – Aug 6, 2020 761 (RV) ± 5.1% 43% 47%
David Binder Research Jul 30–31, 2020 200 (LV) 41% 51%
EPIC-MRA Jul 25–30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 51% 3%[lower-alpha 3] 6%
Public Policy Polling Jul 28–29, 2020 876 (V) 43% 49% 6% 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–26, 2020 413 (LV) 42% 46%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,320 (LV) ± 2.7% 42% 52%
YouGov Jul 21–24, 2020 1,177 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 48% 2% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–24, 2020 811 (RV) 37% 49% 4%[lower-alpha 4] 10%
CNN/SSRS Jul 18–24, 2020 927 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 52% 5%[lower-alpha 5] 2%
Gravis Marketing Jul 22, 2020 754 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 51% 7%
Fox News Jul 18–20, 2020 756 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 49% 3% 7%
Spry Strategies Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 45% 5%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12, 2020 824 (LV) 42% 48%
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D) Jul 9–10, 2020 1,041 (V) ± 3.2% 44% 51% 5%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28, 2020 699 (LV)[lower-alpha 6] 43% 48%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[upper-alpha 1] Jun 26–27, 2020 1,237 (V) 44% 50% 5%[lower-alpha 7] 1%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Jun 17–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 56% 2%[lower-alpha 8] 7%
Trafalgar Group Jun 16–18, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 2.95% 45% 46% 5%[lower-alpha 9] 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–17, 2020 610 (RV) ± 4.3% 36% 47% 8%[lower-alpha 10] 9%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14, 2020 353 (LV)[lower-alpha 11] 45% 47% 3%[lower-alpha 12]
American Greatness/TIPP Jun 9–12, 2020 859 (LV) 38% 51% 4%[lower-alpha 13] 7%
Kiaer Research May 31 – Jun 7, 2020 543 (LV) ± 6.4% 35% 50% 6%[lower-alpha 14] 8%
EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 55%
EPIC-MRA May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 53% 6%[lower-alpha 15]
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31, 2020 620 (LV)[lower-alpha 16] 46% 48% 3% 3%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] May 29–30, 2020 1,582 (V) ± 2.5% 44% 50% 4%[lower-alpha 17] 2%
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 3] May 18–19, 2020 1,234 (V) ± 2.8% 45% 51% 5%
Change Research/Crooked Media May 11–17, 2020 3,070 (LV) 46% 49%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14, 2020 970 (LV) ± 3.2% 39% 47% 3%[lower-alpha 18] 11%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) May 1–5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3% 42% 50% 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 4] Apr 28–29, 2020 1,270 (V) 42% 50% 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 5] Apr 20–21, 2020 1,277 (RV) 44% 51% 5%
Fox News Apr 18–21, 2020 801 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 49% 3% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 15–20, 2020 612 (RV) ± 5.0% 38% 46%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Apr 9–11, 2020 600 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49%
Hart Research/CAP Action[upper-alpha 6] Apr 6–8, 2020 303 (RV) 41% 50% 4% 5%
Public Policy Polling Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 1,019 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 48% 7%
SPRY Strategies Mar 30 – Apr 1, 2020 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 8%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 47% 11%
Change Research Mar 21–23, 2020 510 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
Marketing Resource Group Mar 16–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0 % 41% 44%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16, 2020 600 (RV) 44% 50%
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0 % 46% 44% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 566 (RV) 41% 45% 6%[lower-alpha 19] 7%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8, 2020 977 (RV) ± 3.1 % 41% 48% 2% 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 550 (RV) ± 5.3 % 46% 44%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0 % 43% 47%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4 % 43% 47% 6%[lower-alpha 20] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) 43% 43% 14%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 50% 6%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 50% 5%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 41% 8% [lower-alpha 21] 5% [lower-alpha 22]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 ± 3.0% 44% 56%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 44% 45%
Target Insyght Sep 24–26, 2019 800 35% 54%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 17%
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 41% 51% 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 ± 4.2% 43% 46% 11%
EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 41% 52% 7%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 41% 53% 4%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 ± 6.9% 42% 45% 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 4%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 46% 54%
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 40% 53% 5%
EPIC-MRA Apr 28–30, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 39% 52% 9%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 35% 52% 13%

Four-way race

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Jo
Jorgensen (L)
Howie
Hawkins (G)
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 14–16, 2020 826 (LV) ± 3.41% 36% 47% 2% 1% 2% 12%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 42% 47% 7%[lower-alpha 23] 4%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) 41% 46% 13%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 49% 9%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 47% 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 24] 7% [lower-alpha 25]

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 ± 4.0% 37% 39%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 41% 47%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 45% 8%[lower-alpha 26] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) 40% 44% 15%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 47% 10%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 45% 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 27] 6% [lower-alpha 28]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 ± 4.2% 44% 40% 16%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 41% 47% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 43% 46% 11%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 49% 51%
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 42% 47% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 41% 44%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 45% 6%[lower-alpha 29] 4%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 47% 53%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 ± 4.5% 48% 39% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 45% 13%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16, 2020 600 (RV) 44% 49%
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0 % 43% 46% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 566 (RV) 42% 43% 7%[lower-alpha 30] 8%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8, 2020 977 (RV) ± 3.1 % 41% 46% 2% 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 550 (RV) ± 5.3 % 48% 41%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0 % 41% 48%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4 % 43% 48% 7%[lower-alpha 31] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) 42% 46% 12%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 50% 5%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 49% 5%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 42% 6% [lower-alpha 32] 5% [lower-alpha 33]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 ± 3.0% 43% 57%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 42% 46%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 ± 4.0% 43% 40% 17%
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 44% 48% 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 ± 4.2% 44% 44% 12%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 41% 53% 5%
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 7] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 ± 4.9% 41% 52%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 6%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 47% 52%
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 41% 52% 6%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 36% 54% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 43% 46%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 43% 45% 7%[lower-alpha 34] 4%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% 7%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 46% 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% 8% [lower-alpha 35] 6% [lower-alpha 36]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 ± 3.0% 46% 54%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 45% 40%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 ± 4.0% 42% 41% 17%
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 ± 4.2% 43% 41% 16%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 43% 47% 9%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 49% 51%
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 43% 46% 10%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 37% 46% 17%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 803 ± 3.5% 35% 51% 14%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Justin
Amash (L)
Undecided
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 39% 45% 10% 6%

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 44% 52% 4%

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 45% 49% 6%

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17-25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 43.2%[lower-alpha 37] 54.0% 2.9%[lower-alpha 38]
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) 38% 50% 11%
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8-20, 2020 1,023 (RV) ± 3.1% 36.4%[lower-alpha 39] 50.3% 13.3%
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 767 (RV) ± 4% 27% 39% 25%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 33% 51%[lower-alpha 40] 13%[lower-alpha 41]
EPIC-MRA May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 51%[lower-alpha 42] 8%[lower-alpha 43]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 34% 44%[lower-alpha 44] 22%[lower-alpha 45]
EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 32% 45%[lower-alpha 46] 23%[lower-alpha 47]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Mar 3–7, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 49%[lower-alpha 48] 20%[lower-alpha 49]

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  2. Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  3. Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  4. Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, the Michigan branch of Progress Now, a progressive advocacy organisation
  5. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  6. CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  7. Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Jo Jorgensen" with 3%
  4. "Jo Jorgensen" with 1%; "Howie Hawkins" 1%; "Another Third Party/Write-In" 2%
  5. "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 4%
  6. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  7. "Would vote third party" with 5%
  8. "Refused" with 2%
  9. "Third party candidate" with 5%
  10. Would not vote with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
  11. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  12. "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
  13. "Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%
  14. "A different candidate" with 6%
  15. Includes "refused"
  16. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  17. "Third party" with 4%
  18. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  19. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  20. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  21. A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  22. Includes "refused"
  23. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
  24. A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  25. Includes "refused"
  26. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 5%
  27. A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 4%
  28. Includes "refused"
  29. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  30. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  31. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
  32. A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  33. Includes "refused"
  34. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 5%
  35. A third party candidate with 3%; would not vote with 5%
  36. Includes "refused"
  37. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  38. "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 1%
  39. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  40. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  41. Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
  42. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  43. Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
  44. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  45. 19% listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"; 3% as "undecided/refused"
  46. "Vote to replace Trump" with 45%
  47. "Consider voting for someone else" with 19%; "Undecided/refused" with 4%
  48. "Vote to replace Trump" with 49%
  49. "Consider voting for someone else" with 16%; "Don't know/refused" with 4%

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Michigan Will Keep Mark Sanford's Name on the Republican Presidential Primary Unless he Sends in a Withdrawal Letter | Ballot Access News".
  4. https://mvic.sos.state.mi.us/PublicBallot
  5. Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  6. "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
  7. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  8. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  10. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  11. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  12. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  13. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  14. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  15. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  16. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  17. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  18. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  19. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
  20. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 14 August 2020.
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