2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The state's primary elections will be held on August 8, 2020.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
November 3, 2020
All 2 Hawaii seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Elections in Hawaii

Beginning with the 2020 election cycle, per Act 136, Session Laws of Hawaii 2019, all state elections are conducted by mail.[1]

District 1
See also: Hawaii's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, centering on Honolulu and the towns of, Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. The incumbent is Democrat Ed Case, who was elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 131,552 100.0
Total votes 131,552 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Ron Curtis, engineer and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[5]
  • James Dickens, salesman[6]
  • Nancy Olson, family nurse practioner[7]
  • Arturo Reyes, perennial candidate[5]
  • Taylor Smith[5]

Primary results
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Curtis 13,873 33.9
Republican James Dickens 7,102 17.0
Republican Nancy Olson 6,647 16.7
Republican Arturo Reyes 4,293 10.7
Republican Taylor Smith 1,831 4.6
Total votes 33,746 100.0

Nonpartisan primary

According to election laws of Hawaii, in order for nonpartisan candidates to appear on the general election ballot, they had to receive at least 10% of votes casted (16,529 votes) or receive as many or more votes then any other candidate that won a partisan nomination (≥ 13,873 votes). Griffin failed to do either, and will not appear on the November ballot.[8]

Candidates
Disqualified
  • Calvin Griffin (Nonpartisan)[8]

Primary results
Nonpartisan primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Calvin Griffin 2,317 100.0
Total votes 2,317 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[10] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[12] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[13] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[14] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Hawaii's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent)
Republican Ron Curtis
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Hawaii's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district takes in rural and suburban Oahu, including Waimanalo Beach, Kailua, Kaneohe, Kahuku, Makaha, Nanakuli, as well as encompassing all the other islands of Hawaii, taking in Maui and Hilo. The incumbent is Democrat Tulsi Gabbard, who was reelected with 77.4% of the vote in 2018 and announced that she would run for President of the United States in 2020. Hawaii law permits candidates to run for both Congress and the presidency.[16]

On October 25, 2019, Gabbard announced she would not seek reelection to focus on her presidential campaign.[17] However, she suspended her campaign on March 19, 2020 after lower result ratings in the primaries and endorsed former Vice President Joe Biden's campaign.[18] Hawaii's Office of Elections forbids candidate filing for any of the state's 2020 elections after June 2, 2020.[19]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
Withdrawn
  • David Cornejo, software engineer[20][23]
  • Ryan Meza, investor, entrpreneur, and a consultant (endorsed Famera)
Declined

Endorsements
Kai Kahele
Federal officials
State officials
State legislators
Other individuals
Organizations
Unions

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Tulsi Gabbard vs. Kai Kahele
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Tulsi
Gabbard		 Kai
Kahele		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2019 990 ±  3.4% 48% 26% 27%
Tulsi Gabbard vs. Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Tulsi
Gabbard		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2019 990 ±  3.4% 38% 50% 11%

Primary results
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kai Kahele 100,735 76.5
Democratic Brian Evans 12,321 9.4
Democratic Brenda Lee 10,677 8.1
Democratic Noelle Famera 7,980 6.1
Total votes 131,713 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Joe Akana, U.S. Air Force veteran[35]
  • Steven Bond[5]
  • Karla Bart Gottschalk, retired civil rights lawyer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[36]
  • David Hamman, locksmith[37]
  • Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro[38]
  • Nicholas Love, pastor[5]
  • Robert Nagamine, former lieutenant colonel in the Hawaii Air National Guard[5]
  • Raymond Quel, security protection specialist[5]
  • Felipe San Nicolas, former telecommunications manager[5]
Declined
  • Samuel Wilder King II, attorney[24]
  • Steve Rousseau[39]

Primary results
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Akana 15,075 44.1
Republican Elise Kaneshiro 5,291 15.5
Republican David Hamman 3,426 10.0
Republican Robert Nagamine 2,884 8.4
Republican Nicholas Love 2,610 7.6
Republican Steven Bond 2,217 6.5
Republican Felipe San Nicolas 1,457 4.3
Republican Karla Bart Gottschalk 950 2.8
Republican Raymond Quel 304 0.9
Total votes 34,214 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Michelle Rose Tippens 1,012 100.0
Total votes 1,012 100.0

American Shopping Party primary

Candidates
Declared
  • John Giuffre, perennial candidate[41]

Primary results
American Shopping primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
American Shopping John Giuffre 133 100.0
Total votes 133 100.0

Aloha Aina Party primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Jonathan Hoomanawanui, VFW service officer[42]

Primary results
Aloha ʻĀina primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Aloha ʻĀina Jonathan Hoomanawanui 3,415 100.0
Total votes 3,415 100.0

Nonpartisan primary

According to election laws of Hawaii, in order for nonpartisan candidates to appear on the general election ballot, they had to receive at least 10% of votes casted (17,049 votes) or receive as many or more votes then any other candidate that won a partisan nomination (≥ 133 votes). Burrus fulfilled the latter requirement and will be on the November ballot.[8]

Candidates
Declared
  • Ron Burrus, analyst[43]
  • Byron McCorriston, entrepreneur[44]

Primary results
Nonpartisan primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Ron Burrus 1,307 59.3
Nonpartisan Byron McCorriston 898 40.7
Total votes 2,205 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[45] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[46] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[48] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[49] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[50] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[51] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kai Kahele
Republican Joe Akana
Libertarian Michelle Rose Tippens
Aloha ʻĀina Jonathan Hoomanawanui
American Shopping John Giuffre
Nonpartisan Ron Burrus
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References
  1. "Implementing Elections by Mail". State of Hawaii Office of Elections. November 14, 2019. Retrieved May 25, 2020.
  2. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  3. "Ed Case announces his candidacy for re-election in 2020". June 16, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  4. "PRIMARY ELECTION 2020 - State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). State of Hawaii - Office of Elections. August 8, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  5. "Hawaii Elections 2020: Primary Election Ballot". Honolulu Civil Beat. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  6. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 1 — James Dickens". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 22, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  7. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 1 — Nancy Olson". Honolulu Civil Beat. June 30, 2020.
  8. Carsella, Kate (August 14, 2020). "Hawaii voters decide August 8 congressional primaries". Ballotpedia News. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  9. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  10. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  11. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  12. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  16. Lovell, Blaze (January 21, 2019). "Sen. Kai Kahele Gets A Jump On 2020 In Announcing Congressional Bid". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  17. "Gabbard's decision breaks 2nd District race wide open". www.kitv.com. Retrieved October 26, 2019.
  18. Lerer, Lisa; Astor, Maggie (March 19, 2020). "Tulsi Gabbard Drops Out of Presidential Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  19. "Candidate Filing". elections.hawaii.gov. Retrieved June 4, 2020.
  20. "2020 Election United States House - Hawaii - District 02". FEC.gov.
  21. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Noelle Famera". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  23. https://ballotpedia.org/David_Cornejo
  24. "Chad Blair: Handicapping Hawaii's CD2 Election". Honolulu Civil Beat. November 1, 2019. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  25. Cocke, Sophie (November 18, 2019). "Former Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho endorses Kai Kahele for Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  26. Elfrink, Tim (October 24, 2019). "Tulsi Gabbard won't run for reelection to Congress as she seeks Democratic presidential nomination". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
  27. Ing, Kaniela [@KanielaIng] (November 4, 2019). "BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: Since Tulsi Gabbard announced that she would not seek re-election, a lot of people have been asking what my plans are. Learn more and join me here: bit.ly/34xquPf#VoteKai #Kahele2020" (Tweet). Retrieved November 4, 2019 – via Twitter.
  28. Singer, Jeff (October 28, 2019). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/28". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  29. Lauer, Nancy Cook (October 27, 2019). "Congressional race likely to get crowded". West Hawaii Today. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  30. "Windward Oahu representative announces plan to run for state Senate". Hawaii News Now. November 4, 2019. Retrieved November 4, 2019.
  31. McAvoy, Audrey (October 25, 2019). "Gabbard drops congressional race to focus on presidential". Washington Post. AP. Retrieved November 1, 2019.
  32. "Public endorsements". kaikahele.com. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  33. Connon, Courtnee (July 20, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kai Kahele for Congress". League of Conservation Voters.
  34. "Union Endorsements". kaikahele.com. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  35. "Coffee with a Candidate: Joe Akana, Republican Candidate for U.S. House". KHNL. June 17, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020.
  36. "Coffee with a Candidate: Karla Bart Gottschalk, Republican Candidate for Congress". Hawaii News Now. July 13, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  37. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — David Hamman". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 9, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  38. "Coffee with a Candidate: Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro, Republican Candidate for Congress". Hawaii News Now. June 19, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  39. Harlow, Casey (December 25, 2019). "'You Still Have A Job To Do': 2nd Congressional District Candidates Voice Opinions Of Gabbard". Hawaii Public Radio. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  40. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Michelle Tippens". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 9, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  41. "2020 Election: Raghu aka John Giuffre". Honolulu Star Adviser. July 17, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  42. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Jonathan Hoomanawanui". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  43. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Ron Burrus". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  44. "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Byron McCorriston". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  45. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  46. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  47. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  48. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  49. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  50. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  51. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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