2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
November 3, 2020
All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1
Elections in Kansas

Overview
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Total
Popular vote
Republican
 
 00.00%
Democratic
 
 00.00%
Other
 
 00.00%
House seats
Republican
 
 0.0%
Democratic
 
 0.0%

District 1
See also: Kansas's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes in over half of Kansas, encompassing rural western and northern Kansas, including Manhattan, Salina, Dodge City, Emporia, Garden City, Hays and Hutchinson. The incumbent is Republican Roger Marshall, who was reelected with 68.1% of the vote in 2018.[1] Marshall announced on September 7, 2019, that he would not be running for re-election, instead Marshall opted to run for the open U.S. Senate seat in Kansas.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Bill Clifford, Finney County commissioner[4]
  • Jerry Molstad, physician assistant and retired U.S. Army Colonel[5]
  • Michael Soetaert, reverend[6]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements
Bill Clifford
State officials
  • Gary Harshberger, former Kansas Water Authority chairman[11]
Organizations
Tracey Mann
Federal officials
Organizations

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tracey Mann 64,170 54.1
Republican Bill Clifford 39,308 33.2
Republican Jerry Molstad 9,365 7.9
Republican Michael Soetaert 5,674 4.8
Total votes 118,517 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Nominee
  • Kali Barnett, author and teacher[19]
Eliminated in primary
  • Christy Davis, concert director[20]
Withdrew

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kali Barnett 16,271 62.6
Democratic Christy Davis 9,729 37.4
Total votes 26,000 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[24] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tracey Mann
Democratic Kali Barnett
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Kansas's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses most of eastern Kansas from Nebraska to Oklahoma save the Kansas City metropolitan area, including both the cities of Topeka and Lawrence. The incumbent is Republican Steve Watkins, who was elected with 47.6% of the vote in 2018.[1] In August 2019, Watkins evaded questions about his political future coming from reporters who encountered him at a Fort Scott constituent meeting in Southeast Kansas where he had been talking about aiding veterans.[30] Kansas State Treasurer Jake LaTurner had declared his intention to run for the seat of retiring U.S. Senator Pat Roberts, but was persuaded by Republican party officials to instead run against Watkins.[31]

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements
Jake LaTurner
State officials
Organizations
Dennis Taylor
Newspapers
  • Kansas City Star[42]
Steve Watkins
Executive Officials
Organizations*National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)[45]

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jake LaTurner 46,783 49.2
Republican Steve Watkins (incumbent) 32,280 33.9
Republican Dennis Taylor 16,108 16.9
Total votes 95,171 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements
Michelle De La Isla
Organizations
Individuals

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle De La Isla 39,733 75.0
Democratic James K. Windholz 13,232 25.0
Total votes 52,965 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[61] Likely R August 5, 2020
Inside Elections[62] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[63] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[64] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[65] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[66] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[67] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jake
LaTurner (R)		 Michelle
De La Isla (D)		 Other/
Undecided
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 1] July 29–30, 2020 488 ± 4.4% 45% 41% –
Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 2] July 16–17, 2020 1,250 – 42% 41% 16%
Hypothetical polling
with Steve Watkins and Michelle De La Isla
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Watkins (R)		 Michelle
De La Isla (D)		 Other/
Undecided
Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 2] July 16–17, 2020 1,250 – 37% 50% 13%

Results
Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jake LaTurner
Democratic Michelle De La Isla
Total votes 100.0

District 3
See also: Kansas's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses the Kansas City metropolitan area, including Kansas City, Overland Park, Lenexa, Shawnee, Spring Hill, DeSoto and Olathe. The incumbent is Democrat Sharice Davids, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018, unseating four-term Republican incumbent Kevin Yoder.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
Endorsements
Sharice Davids
Local officials
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements
Amanda Adkins
Federal officials
  • Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator from Missouri and former U.S. Representative (MO-07) (1997–2011) and Missouri Secretary of State (1985–1993)[76]
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas[77]
  • Sam Graves, U.S. Representative (MO-06)[78]
State officials
Organizations
Individuals
  • Susan Pompeo, wife of Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State and former CIA director (2017–2018) and U.S. Representative (R-KS-04) (2011–2017)[82]
Mike Beehler
Organizations
  • Kansans for Life (KFL) PAC (co-endorsed with Amanda Adkins, Adrienne Vallejo Foster, and Sara Hart Weir)[83]
Adrienne Foster
Federal officials
  • Todd Tiahrt, 2014 and 2017 Republican candidate in KS-04, former U.S. Representative (R-KS-04) (1995–2011), and Republican candidate in 2010 U.S. Senate election in Kansas[84]
State officials
  • Bill Sutton, state representative[85]
  • Jene Vickrey, state representative and former state House majority leader and speaker pro tempore[86]
Newspapers
  • Kansas City Star[87]
Organizations
  • Kansans for Life (KFL) PAC (co-endorsed with Amanda Adkins, Mike Beehler, and Sara Hart Weir)[88]
Sara Hart Weir
Federal officials
Organizations

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Amanda Adkins 28,168 30.6
Republican Sara Hart Weir 21,105 23.1
Republican Adrienne Foster 18,514 20.1
Republican Mike Beehler 17,848 19.4
Republican Tom Love 6,304 6.8
Total votes 91,939 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[95] Likely D August 6, 2020
Inside Elections[96] Lean D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[97] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[98] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[99] Lean D June 3, 2020
RCP[100] Lean D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[101] Likely D June 7, 2020

Results
Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids (incumbent)
Republican Amanda Adkins
Total votes 100.0

District 4
See also: Kansas's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in south-central Kansas, taking in Wichita and the surrounding suburbs, including Derby and Newton. The incumbent is Republican Ron Estes, who won the 2017 special election for the seat vacated by Mike Pompeo and was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Laura Lombard, business consultant and candidate for Kansas's 4th congressional district in 2018[102]

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Laura Lombard 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[103] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[104] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[105] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[106] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[107] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[108] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[109] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Results
Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent)
Democratic Laura Lombard
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll conducted for the DCCC.
  2. Poll conducted for the LaTurner campaign.

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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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