2020 United States presidential election in Maryland

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Maryland

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 2, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland and Democratic primary candidate in 2016, declined to run for president, while encouraging Beto O'Rourke to do so.[3]

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 17, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[4]

Republican primary

Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and thus received all of the state's 38 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

Democratic primary

2020 Maryland Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7]
Joe Biden 879,753 83.7% 96
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 81,939 7.8%
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 27,134 2.6%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 7,180 0.7%
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 6,773 0.6%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 6,670 0.6%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 5,685 0.5%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,226 0.4%
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,662 0.3%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,291 0.2%
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 897 0.1%
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 760 0.1%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 671 0.1%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 406 0.0%
Uncommitted 23,726 2.3%
Total 1,050,773 100% 96

Green primary

2020 Maryland Green Party primary[8][9]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Howie Hawkins 34 53.1% 34 61.8% 34 64.15% 34 68%
Dario Hunter 16 25% 16 29.1% 16 30.18% 16 32%
Kent Mesplay 2 3.1% 3 5.5% 3 5.66% Eliminated
Write-ins 2 3.1% 2 3.6% Eliminated
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry 1 1.6% Eliminated
Empty ballot 9 14.1% Eliminated
Total votes 64 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[13] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[14] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[16] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[19] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[21] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe D August 6, 2020

Polling

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
Gonzalez Maryland Poll May 19–23, 2020 810 (LV) ± 3.5% 31% 59% 6%
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 60%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 32% 59%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 33% 58%

with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tulsi
Gabbard (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 52%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 32% 59%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 34% 61%

with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 36% 54%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Goucher College Feb 13–19, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 59%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Goucher College Sep 13–18, 2019 548 ± 4.2% 28% 65% 4%
DFM Research Jan 19–22, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 31% 53% 16%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Merica, Dan (3 January 2019). "Martin O'Malley rules out 2020 bid, urges Beto O'Rourke to run". CNN.
  4. "Maryland postpones April 28 primary election over coronavirus". Politico. March 17, 2020.
  5. "Maryland Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  6. "2020 Election Results". results.elections.maryland.gov. Maryland Secretary of State. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  7. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  8. "HOWIE HAWKINS WINS MARYLAND GREEN PARTY PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY". Maryland Green Party. May 31, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  9. "2020 MGP Presidential Data" (PDF). May 31, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  10. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  11. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  17. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  18. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  22. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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