2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Oregon voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has 7 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


By the time that the primary elections were held in Oregon on May 19, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

It is expected Oregon will gain a congressional district after the next census, therefore gaining an eighth electoral vote as of the 2024 election.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on May 19, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed and was declared the winner in the Republican primary,[3] and thus received all of Oregon's 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[4]

2020 Oregon Republican primary[5]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[6]
Donald Trump 363,785 93.70 28
write-ins 24,461 6.30 0
Total 388,246 100.00 28

Democratic primary

Joe Biden was declared the winner in the Democratic primary.[3]

2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary[5]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[6]
Joe Biden 408,315 65.99 46
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 127,345 20.58 15
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 59,355 9.59
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 10,717 1.73
Write-ins 12,979 2.10
Total 618,711 100% 61

Independent Party of Oregon primary

The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary.[7]

Candidate Votes %
Joe Biden 1,661 46.7
Donald Trump 1,389 39.1
Bernie Sanders 1,227 34.5
Total 4,277 100.00
Candidate Votes %
Joe Biden 392 55.13
Donald Trump 280 39.38

Pacific Green Party primary

Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[11] Likely D July 6, 2020
RCP[12] Lean D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[13] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[14] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[15] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[16] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[17] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[18] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[19] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[20] Safe D August 6, 2020

Polling

See: Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election.

Results

United States President: Oregon
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Biden (Presumptive)
Republican Donald Trump (Presumptive)
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Pacific Green Howie Hawkins
Constitution Don Blankenship
write-ins
Total votes 100.00%

Notes

    Partisan clients

      See also

      References

      1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
      2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
      3. "Biden, Trump win presidential primaries in Oregon". Associated Press. KPTV. May 19, 2020.
      4. "Oregon Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
      5. "Oregon Secretary of State". results.oregonvotes.gov. Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
      6. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
      7. "RESULTS AND DATA | 2020 OREGON PRIMARY | Independent Party". Pers. Retrieved 2020-07-10.
      8. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
      9. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
      10. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
      11. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
      12. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
      13. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
      14. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
      15. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
      16. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
      17. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
      18. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
      19. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
      20. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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