2020 United States presidential election in California

The 2020 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in California
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican
Elections in California

Primary elections

In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[3] Early voting began several weeks earlier.

Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Governor Bill Weld. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. Senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti have declined to run.[4][5][6]

Republican primary

The Republican party's primary campaign has been dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.[7] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.[8]

As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump’s delegate choices.[9] Should Trump be allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.

President Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.

2020 California Republican primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 2,279,120 92.2% 172
Bill Weld 66,904 2.7%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 64,749 2.6%
Rocky De La Fuente 24,351 1.0%
Matthew John Matern 15,469 0.6%
Robert Ardini 12,857 0.5%
Zoltan Istvan 8,141 0.3%
Total 2,471,591 100%

Democratic primary
Main article: 2020 California Democratic presidential primary

Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list will be announced on December 9.

There were major complaints by Democrats there that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention.[11] Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.

Bernie Sanders rally at the Los Angeles Convention Center
Senator Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally in San Jose, California on March 1, 2020
Joe Biden's presidential campaign in Bel Air, Los Angeles on March 5, 2020
2020 California Democratic presidential primary[12][13]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Bernie Sanders 2,080,846 35.97 225
Joe Biden 1,613,854 27.90 172
Elizabeth Warren 762,555 13.18 11
Michael Bloomberg 701,803 12.13 7
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 1] 249,256 4.31 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 1] 126,961 2.19 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 1] 113,092 1.96 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 43,571 0.75 0
Tulsi Gabbard 33,769 0.58 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 13,892 0.24 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 7,377 0.13 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 7,052 0.12 0
Rocky De La Fuente 6,151 0.11 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 6,000 0.10 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 4,606 0.1 0
Michael Ellinger 3,424 0.08 0
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 3,270 0.06 0
Mark Greenstein 3,190 0.06 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 2,022 0.03 0
Mosie Boyd 1,639 0.03 0
Robert Jordan (write-in) 20 0.00 0
Daphne Bradford (write-in) 8 0.00 0
Nakia Anthony (write-in) 3 0.00 0
Willie Carter (write-in) 3 0.00 0
Michael Dename (write-in) 0 0.00 0
Jeffrey Drobman (write-in) 0 0.00 0
Heather Stagg (write-in) 0 0.00 0
Total votes 5,784,364 100% 415

Libertarian primary
Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[14]

California Libertarian primary, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jacob Hornberger 2,898 17.5
Libertarian Ken Armstrong 1,921 11.6
Libertarian Vermin Supreme 1,921 11.6
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen 1,896 11.4
Libertarian Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 1,459 8.8
Libertarian Adam Kokesh 1,302 7.9
Libertarian Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman 1,039 6.3
Libertarian Sam Robb 993 6.0
Libertarian Max Abramson 970 5.9
Libertarian Steve Richey 649 3.9
Libertarian Souraya Faas 590 3.6
Libertarian Erik Gerhardt 486 2.9
Libertarian Keenan Wallace Dunham 440 2.7
Total votes 16,564 100%

Green primary
Main article: 2020 Green Party presidential primaries
2020 California Green primary[16]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Howie Hawkins 4,202 36.2% 16 estimated
Dario Hunter 2,558 22.0% 9 estimated
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 2,071 17.8% 8 estimated
Dennis Lambert 1,999 17.2% 7 estimated
David Rolde 774 6.7% 3 estimated
Total 9,656 100.00% 43

Other primaries

American Independent primary

The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[14]

California American Independent primary, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
American Independent Phil Collins 11,532 32.8
American Independent Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 7,263 21.0
American Independent Don Blankenship 6,913 19.7
American Independent J.R. Myers 5,099 14.5
American Independent Charles Kraut 4,216 12.0
Total votes 35,723 100%

Peace and Freedom primary
California Peace and Freedom primary, 2020[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 2,570 66.0
Peace and Freedom Howie Hawkins 1,325 34.0
Total votes 3,895 100%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[21] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[22] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[23] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[24] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[25] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[26] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[27] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[28] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[29] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[30] Safe D August 6, 2020
538[31] Safe D August 14, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 2] Margin
Real Clear Politics May 8– July 27, 2020 August 13, 2020 60.3% 30.0% 10.7% Biden +30.3
FiveThirtyEight Until May 26, 2020 June 23, 2020 61.4% 31.4% 7.5% Biden +29.7

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 12, 2020 500 (A) ± 5.4% 28% 56% 6% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 9, 2020 1904 (LV) ± 2.3% 24% 62% 6% 8%
University of California Berkeley Jul 21–27, 2020 6,756 (LV) ± 2.0% 28% 67% – –
Public Policy Institute of California May 19–26, 2020 1,048 (LV) ± 4.6% 33% 57% 6%[lower-alpha 4] 3%
SurveyUSA May 18–19, 2020 537 (LV) ± 5.4% 30% 58% 5% 7%
Emerson College May 8–10, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 59% – 12%
Public Policy Polling Mar 28–29, 2020 962 (RV) – 29% 67% – 3%
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 26% 62% 12% –
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) – 31% 59% 4% 4%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 60% 3%[lower-alpha 5] 3%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) – 31% 58% – 11%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 57% – 6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 30% 60% – 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 35% 59% – 6%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 36% 56% 3%[lower-alpha 6] 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 32% 59% – 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 32% 59% – 9%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 36% 64% – –
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% – 11%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 27% 61% – 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 56% – 11%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 28% 60% 12% –
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) – 31% 59% 6%[lower-alpha 7] 4%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 36% 59% 3%[lower-alpha 8] 2%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) – 31% 59% – 10%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 58% – 6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 61% – 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.7% 36% 59% – 5%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 54% 4%[lower-alpha 9] 4%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 60% – 7%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 33% 59% – 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 38% 63% – –
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 57% – 10%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 29% 62% – 9%

with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Tulsi
Gabbard (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 43% 19%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 28% 60% 12% –
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) – 32% 57% 5%[lower-alpha 10] 6%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 56% 3%[lower-alpha 11] 4%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) – 33% 58% – 10%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% – 8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 32% 59% – 4%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 55% – 7%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 37% 53% 4%[lower-alpha 12] 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 35% 56% – 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% – 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 56% – 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61% – –
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% – 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 58% – 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 53% – 14%

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 25% 51% 24% –
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) – 32% 51% 10%[lower-alpha 13] 7%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 55% 4%[lower-alpha 14] 5%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) – 30% 54% – 16%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 34% 59% – 7%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 57% – 6%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 36% 56% – 8%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 50% – 16%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) – 31% 59% 7%[lower-alpha 15] 7%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 55% 4%[lower-alpha 16] 6%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) – 30% 57% – 13%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 52% – 11%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 50% – 11%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 26–28, 2020 1,507 (RV) – 33% 54% 8%[lower-alpha 17] 6%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 951 (RV) ± 3.3% 35% 56% 4%[lower-alpha 18] 4%
University of California Berkeley Feb 20–25, 2020 5,526 (RV) – 30% 58% – 12%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 56% – 8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute Feb 1–15, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 3.1% 31% 57% – 6%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% – 10%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–8, 2019 1,011 (RV) ± 3.4% 36% 53% 4%[lower-alpha 19] 7%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 52% – 14%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 54% – 13%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.8% 30% 53% – 17%

with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Tom
Steyer (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 1,196 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 54% 9%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%

with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Deval
Patrick (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 34% 32%

with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Andrew
Yang (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 2020 1,967 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 53% 10%

with Donald Trump and Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 39% 26%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 35% 56% 8%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 57% 8%
Emerson College Sep 13–16, 2019 830 ± 3.3% 39% 61% –
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 35% 53% 12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 30% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 33% 53% 13%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 33% 47% 19%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 22%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Jerry
Brown (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 11%

with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Sherrod
Brown (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%

with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Eric
Garcetti (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 49% 17%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 21%

with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Tom
Hanks (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 34% 51% 15%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 56% 14%

with Donald Trump and Eric Holder

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Eric
Holder (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 38% 26%

with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Mitch
Landrieu (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michelle
Obama (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 64% 8%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 57% 8%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Oprah
Winfrey (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,184 ± 2.7% 28% 57% 14%
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 35% 52% 13%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 32% 56% 12%

with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Mark
Zuckerberg (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 22–25, 2018 882 ± 3.8% 36% 42% 22%
SurveyUSA Jan 7–9, 2018 909 ± 3.3% 31% 50% 19%

with Mike Pence and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 29% 59% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 30% 58% 13%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 27% 58% 15%

with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 32% 48% 20%

with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 48% 17%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 34% 45% 21%

with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 31% 59% 9%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 31% 58% 10%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 31% 57% 13%

with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 53% 13%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 33% 50% 16%

with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 21% 56% 23%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 21% 56% 24%

with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 24% 44% 32%

with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.8% 23% 58% 19%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 56% 19%

with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 24%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 49% 26%
Hypothetical polling with former candidates

with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Nov 20–22, 2019 2,039 (RV) ± 2.4% 34% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 33% 55% 12%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 51% 15%

with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 34% 47% 20%

with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16, 2019 1,242 (RV) ± 3.9% 23% 52% 25%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 24% 51% 25%

with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Sep 13–15, 2019 1,785 ± 3.2% 25% 44% 30%

See also

Notes
  1. Candidate withdrew after early voting started, but before the date of the election.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  5. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  6. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  7. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
  8. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  9. Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  10. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  11. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  12. Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  13. "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%
  14. Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  15. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  16. Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  17. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  18. Other with 0%; neither with 4%
  19. Other with 1%; neither with 3%

References
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  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Dezenski, Lauren (December 19, 2018). "Why California leapfrogged the 2020 primary schedule". Retrieved March 4, 2019.
  4. Richards, Sam (March 30, 2017). "Jerry Brown for president? 'Don't rule it out!'". Contra Costa Times. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
  5. Steinmetz, Katy (September 9, 2017). "The Philosopher King". Time. Retrieved November 7, 2017.
  6. Desk, Washington (March 4, 2019). "Former AG Eric Holder rules out 2020 run".
  7. "California justices skeptical of requiring Trump tax returns". KCRA. November 6, 2019.
  8. Augie Martin and Paul LeBlanc. "Federal judge halts California law forcing Trump to release tax returns to qualify for ballot". CNN. Retrieved 2019-12-10.
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  15. Generally Recognized Presidential Candidates – March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election
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  22. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  24. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
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  30. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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