2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

The 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson is eligible to run for a full term in office.[1] Parson was elected as Lieutenant Governor in 2016, but became Governor on June 1, 2018 after incumbent Eric Greitens resigned under threat of impeachment by the state legislature. Greitens was facing allegations regarding campaign finance law violations, and was accused of blackmail stemming from an extramarital affair he had admitted to. Parson declared his bid for a full term on September 8, 2019.[2] State Auditor Nicole Galloway, Missouri’s only Democratic statewide officer, is the Democratic nominee and if elected, would become Missouri’s first female governor.

See also: 2020 United States gubernatorial elections
2020 Missouri gubernatorial election
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Mike Parson Nicole Galloway
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Mike Parson
Republican
Elections in Missouri

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in Primary
  • Saundra McDowell, U.S. Air Force veteran and nominee for Missouri State Auditor in 2018[4]
  • Jim Neely, state representative[5]
  • Raleigh Ritter, rancher and businessman[6]

Declined

Endorsements
Jim Neely
State officials
Mike Parson
Federal officials
State officials

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Mike Parson vs. Eric Greitens
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Parson		 Eric
Greitens		 Other /
Undecided
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[upper-alpha 1] Jan 20-22, 2020 1,200 (LV) – 56% 30% 11%

Results
Results by county:
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Parson (incumbent) 510,471 74.9%
Republican Saundra McDowell 84,191 12.4%
Republican Jim Neely 59,451 8.7%
Republican Raleigh Ritter 27,181 4.0%
Total votes 681,294 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in Primary
  • Eric Morrison, community leader and pastor[16]
  • Antoin Johnson[17]
  • Jimmie Matthews[17]
  • Robin Quaethem[17]

Declined

Endorsements
Nicole Galloway
Individuals
Organizations

Results
Results by county:
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nicole Galloway 453,331 84.6%
Democratic Eric Morrison 32,266 6.0%
Democratic Jimmie Matthews 20,458 3.8%
Democratic Antoin Johnson 20,169 3.8%
Democratic Robin Quaethem 9,452 1.8%
Total votes 535,676 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee
  • Rik Combs, US Air Force veteran[17]

Green Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Likely R April 3, 2020
Inside Elections[29] Likely R June 19, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Lean R July 14, 2020
Politico[31] Lean R July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[32] Likely R July 22, 2020
RCP[33] Lean R June 13, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Parson (R)		 Nicole
Galloway (D)		 Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group August 12-13, 2020 1112 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 7%
Saint Louis University June 23 – July 1, 2020 900 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 39% 20%[lower-alpha 2]
Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D)[upper-alpha 2] June 16–22, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 40% –
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 10–11, 2020 1,152 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 41% 9%
We Ask America May 26–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 39% 15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 28–29, 2020 1,356 (LV) ± 2.6% 52% 39% 9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout March 11–12, 2020 1,241 (LV) – 52% 39% 7%
American Viewpoint (R)[upper-alpha 3] January 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) – 54% 36% 7%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout December 20–24, 2019 415 (RV) – 51% 36% 13%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) November 17–20, 2019 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 51% 35% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 4] November 14–15, 2019 921 (LV) – 45% 36% 19%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) October 18–20, 2019 550 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 34% 16%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) October 9–10, 2019 1,451 (LV) ± 2.5% 53% 41% 6%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) September 16–18, 2019 825 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 36% 19%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) August 14–15, 2019 855 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 39% 11%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) June 26–27, 2019 960 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 37% 13%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 40% 9%
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs Nicole Galloway
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Eric
Greitens (R)		 Nicole
Galloway (D)		 Other /
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R)[upper-alpha 3] January 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) – 44% 45% 7%
Mike Parson vs Jason Kander
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Parson (R)		 Jason
Kander (D)		 Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 36% 13%
Mike Parson vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Parson (R)		 Scott
Sifton (D)		 Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 32% 16%

Endorsements
Mike Parson (R)
Federal officials
State officials
Nicole Galloway (D)
Individuals
Organizations

Results
Missouri gubernatorial election, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Mike Parson (incumbent)
Democratic Nicole Galloway
Libertarian Rik Combs
Green Jerome Bauer
Write-in
Total votes 100.0%

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Undecided with 17%; "Other" with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  2. Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign
  3. Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  4. Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association

References
  1. Clare Foran (May 29, 2018). "Embattled Missouri Governor Eric Greitens resigns amid scandals". CNN. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  2. Suntrup, Jack (September 8, 2019). "Missouri Gov. Mike Parson, a cattle-farming former sheriff, announces bid for 4-year term". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved September 8, 2019.
  3. Parks, MaryAlice (May 30, 2018). "Missouri governor to be replaced by longtime traditional politician". ABC News. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
  4. Gerber, Cameron (March 31, 2020). "Saundra McDowell files to run for governor, challenging Parson". The Missouri Times.
  5. Erickson, Kurt (August 28, 2019). "State lawmaker announces plan to challenge Parson for GOP nomination for Missouri governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
  6. Raleigh Ritter (R) for Governor
  7. Star, Jason Hancock and Lindsay Wise Kansas City. "Parson faces unrest among Missouri conservatives as he heads into 2020". Columbia Daily Tribune. Retrieved 2019-04-02.
  8. "A Greitens comeback? Supporters of the ex-Missouri governor are hopeful".
  9. "Greitens 2020? Could former Gov. Greitens run for governor again?". KOMU.com.
  10. Hancock, Jason [@J_Hancock] (April 8, 2019). ". @MonettiforMO went on @PeteMundo show this morning to announce he will not challenge @GovParsonMO in the GOP primary for governor in 2020. He'll dissolve his exploratory committee. #MoLeg #MoGOv" (Tweet). Retrieved April 8, 2019 – via Twitter.
  11. https://www.electneely.com/
  12. https://www.electneely.com/
  13. Donald J. Trump. "I am pleased to endorse Governor Mike Parson of Missouri. He is very Popular, Strong, and knows what he is doing – he gets it! Based on the fact that Mike has announced he will run again in 2020 for Governor, Mike Parson has my Complete and Total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  14. Parson, Mike (February 21, 2020). "It was great to be in Springfield with Governor Scott Walker tonight. The 2020 Missouri Republican Lincoln Days is off to a fantastic start. Our party is STRONG! #mogovpic.twitter.com/pJRaNcV2kk".
  15. Lieb, David A. (August 12, 2019). "Democrat Galloway launches Missouri gubernatorial campaign". Associated Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
  16. Eric Morrison (D) for Governor
  17. "Missouri 2020 Governor Candidate List".
  18. Rosenbaum, Jason. "New Missouri Democratic vice chair says the party can attract both urban and rural voters". ksmu.org. Retrieved 2018-12-11.
  19. Salter, Jim; Stafford, Margaret (July 28, 2019). "Jason Kander is back after quietly working through PTSD". Associated Press. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  20. Raasch, Chuck (December 12, 2018). "McCaskill: I'll never run again, but I'll stay involved in politics". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved February 27, 2019.
  21. Suntrup, Jack. "Missouri lawmaker from Affton who considered run for governor backs Democratic auditor instead". stltoday.com. Retrieved 2019-07-02.
  22. Chelsea Handler (July 25, 2020). "Missouri governor Mike Parson said that kids who get COVID-19 at school will just have to "go home and get over it." Well when @NicoleRGalloway defeats him in November, Governor Parson will just have to get over that too". Twitter.
  23. "State & Local". 3.14 Action. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  24. Schriock, Stephanie (November 19, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". emilyslist.org. EMILY’s List.
  25. Rodríguez, Yamelsie; Hill, Brandon (November 7, 2019). "Planned Parenthood Advocates and Votes Endorse Reproductive Health Champion Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Great Plains Votes; Advocates of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri.
  26. Reform, Fight For (February 27, 2020). "[ENDORSEMENT ALERT] We're excited to announce our endorsement of @nicolergalloway for Governor of Missouri! As State Auditor, Nicole put rooting out fraud and corruption at the forefront of her agenda — and she'll continue to do so as Missouri's next Governor. #FFREndorsedpic.twitter.com/lIEEepkRT6".
  27. "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  28. "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  29. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
  30. "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
  31. "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Poltico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  32. "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  33. "2020 Govenor's Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  34. Donald J. Trump. "I am pleased to endorse Governor Mike Parson of Missouri. He is very Popular, Strong, and knows what he is doing – he gets it! Based on the fact that Mike has announced he will run again in 2020 for Governor, Mike Parson has my Complete and Total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  35. Parson, Mike (February 21, 2020). "It was great to be in Springfield with Governor Scott Walker tonight. The 2020 Missouri Republican Lincoln Days is off to a fantastic start. Our party is STRONG! #mogovpic.twitter.com/pJRaNcV2kk".
  36. Chelsea Handler (July 25, 2020). "Missouri governor Mike Parson said that kids who get COVID-19 at school will just have to "go home and get over it." Well when @NicoleRGalloway defeats him in November, Governor Parson will just have to get over that too". Twitter.
  37. "State & Local". 3.14 Action. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  38. Schriock, Stephanie (November 19, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". emilyslist.org. EMILY’s List.
  39. Rodríguez, Yamelsie; Hill, Brandon (November 7, 2019). "Planned Parenthood Advocates and Votes Endorse Reproductive Health Champion Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Great Plains Votes; Advocates of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri.
  40. Reform, Fight For (February 27, 2020). "[ENDORSEMENT ALERT] We're excited to announce our endorsement of @nicolergalloway for Governor of Missouri! As State Auditor, Nicole put rooting out fraud and corruption at the forefront of her agenda — and she'll continue to do so as Missouri's next Governor. #FFREndorsedpic.twitter.com/lIEEepkRT6".
Official campaign websites
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