2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Utah, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

November 3, 2020

All 4 Utah seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1

District 1

The 1st district is located in northern Utah, including the cities of Ogden, Logan, Park City, Layton, Clearfield, and the northern half of the Great Salt Lake. The incumbent is Republican Rob Bishop, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2018,[1] and announced in August 2017 that this term would be his final term.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Tina Cannon, Morgan County councilwoman[3]
  • J.C. DeYoung[4]
  • Doug Durbano, businessman and lawyer[5]
  • Chadwick Fairbanks, property manager[6]
  • Kerry Gibson, Utah Commissioner of Agriculture and Food and former Weber County commissioner[7]
  • Catherine Brenchley Hammon[8]
  • Zach Hartman, real estate investment advisor[4]
  • Blake Moore, former U.S. foreign service officer[9]
  • Mark Shepherd, mayor of Clearfield[10]
  • Bob Stevenson, Davis County commissioner[11]
  • Howard Wallack, retired business executive[6]
  • Katie Witt, mayor of Kaysville and former Longmont city councilwoman[12]
Declined

Endorsements

Katie Witt
Organizations

Convention results

Republican convention results[17]
Candidate Round 1 Pct. Round 11 Pct.
Kerry Gibson 248 25.7% 514 53.3%
Blake Moore 166 17.2% 388 40.2%
Tina Cannon 136 14.1% Eliminated Round 10
Doug Durbano 130 10.9% Eliminated Round 9
Howard Wallack 106 10.9% Eliminated Round 8
Bob Steveson 61 6.3% Eliminated Round 7
Mark Shepherd 45 4.6% Eliminated Round 6
Katie Witt 46 4.7% Eliminated Round 5
Chadwick Fairbanks 14 1.4% Eliminated Round 4
Zach Hartman 10 1.0% Eliminated Round 3
JC DeYoung 2 0.2% Eliminated Round 2
Catherine Brenchley Hammon 0 0.0% Eliminated Round 1

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Tina
Cannon
Douglas
Durbano
Kerry
Gibson
Catherine
Hammon
Blake
Moore
Mark
Shepherd
Bob
Stevenson
Katie
Witt
Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group[upper-alpha 1] June 18–20, 2020 834 (LV) ± 3.7% 15% 25% 23% 12% 25%
Dan Jones & Associates[upper-alpha 2] June 2–9, 2020 417 (LV) ± 5% 13% 16% 16% 7% 48%
Y2 Analytics May 16–18, 2020 127 (LV) ± 8.7% 20% 16% 38% 26%
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 103 (LV) ± 9.7% 8% 11% 7% 12% 6% 13% 25% 17% > 1%[lower-alpha 2]

Primary results

Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blake Moore 39,177 30.9%
Republican Bob Stevenson 36,232 28.6%
Republican Kerry Gibson 29,937 23.6%
Republican Katie Witt 21,265 16.8%
Total votes 126,611 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Jamie Cheek, college debate coach and rehabilitation counselor[19]
  • Darren Parry, chairman of the Northwestern Band of the Shoshone Nation[20]

Endorsements

Jamie Cheek
Organizations
Parties
  • American Muslim Political Party[23]
Darren Parry
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
  • Carl Moore, chairman of the Salt Lake City Air Protectors[26]
Organizations

Convention results

Democratic convention results[28]
Candidate Pct.
Darren Parry 55.6%
Jamie Cheek 44.4%

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jamie
Cheek
Darren
Parry
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 29 (LV) ± 18.2% 42% 58%

Primary results

Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Parry 8,917 52.5%
Democratic Jamie Cheek 8,060 47.5%
Total votes 16,977 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[30] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[32] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[33] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[34] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[35] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 Mar 21–30, 2020 268 (LV) 48% 24% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 23%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News Jan 16–30, 2020 551 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 47% 22% 12%[lower-alpha 4] 20%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News Sep 25 – October 8, 2019 198 (LV) 42% 21% 17%[lower-alpha 5] 21%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News Jun 27 – July 17, 2019 554 (LV) 45% 20% 14%[lower-alpha 6] 22%

Results

Utah's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blake Moore
Democratic Darren Parry
Total votes 100.0

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses both Salt Lake City and the rural western and southern parts of the state. The incumbent is Republican Chris Stewart, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Eliminated at convention

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Mark
Burkett
Ty
Jensen
Carson
Jorgensen
Chris
Stewart
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 175 (LV) 17% 6% 4% 73%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Eliminated at convention
  • Randy Hopkins, former regional director for the Utah State Workforce Department[41]
  • Larry Livingston, former IRS agent[42]

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Randy
Hopkins
Larry
Livingston
Kate
Weston
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 59 (LV) 41% 19% 40%

United Utah Party

Candidates

Declared
  • Joe Jarvis, physician[43]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[44] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[45] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[47] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[48] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[34] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[49] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 March 21–30, 2020 342 (LV) 41% 33% 8%[lower-alpha 7] 17%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News January 16–30, 2020 558 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 38% 36% 11%[lower-alpha 8] 15%
Y2 Analytics September 25 – October 8, 2019 267 (LV) 45% 37% 7%[lower-alpha 9] 11%
Y2 Analytics June 27 – July 17, 2019 689 (LV) 37% 36% 12%[lower-alpha 10] 15%

Results

Utah's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Stewart (incumbent)
Democratic Kael Weston
United Utah Joe Jarvis
Total votes 100.0

District 3

The 3rd district includes rural southeastern Utah, stretches into the Provo-Orem metro area, and takes in the southeastern Salt Lake City suburbs of Holladay, Cottonwood Heights, Sandy, and Draper. The incumbent is Republican John Curtis, who was re-elected with 67.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Tim
Alders
John
Curtis
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 184 (LV) 22% 78%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Devin D. Thorpe, nonprofit founder[50]
Eliminated at convention

Endorsements

Trey Robinson
Organizations

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jared
Anderson
Tray
Robinson
Devin
Thorpe
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 37 (LV) 37% 21% 42%

Independents

Candidates

Declared
  • Russel Fugal, former Utah Republican Party delegate[52]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[54] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[56] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[57] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[34] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[58] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 354 (LV) 46% 29% 4%[lower-alpha 11] 21%
Y2 Analytics January 16–30, 2020 570 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 48% 23% 8%[lower-alpha 12] 21%
Y2 Analytics September 25 – October 8, 2019 227 (LV) 46% 22% 16%[lower-alpha 13] 16%
[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5d092137e4cbcd000197be6e/t/5d49e150ea309b0001b7fab9/1565122896879/Utah+Policy+08052019+Topline+Report+-+final+cut+version.pdf Y2 Analytics June 27 – July 17, 2019 568 (LV) 43% 21% 14%[lower-alpha 14] 22%

Results

Utah's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Curtis (incumbent)
Democratic Devin Thorpe
Independent Russ Fugal
United Utah Thomas G. McNeill
Total votes 100.0

District 4

The 4th district is based in southwest Salt Lake County, taking in parts of West Valley City and Salt Lake City, as well as South Salt Lake, Taylorsville, Murray, West Jordan, Midvale, South Jordan, Riverton, Herriman, and Bluffdale. The district also stretches south into eastern Utah County, western Juab County, and northern Sanpete County. The incumbent is Democrat Ben McAdams, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Defeated at convention
  • Daniel Beckstrand, dental office manager[59]

Endorsements

Ben McAdams
Unions
Organizations
Daniel Beckstrand
Organizations

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Daniel
Beckstrand
Ben
McAdams
Undecided
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 98 (LV) ± 9.9% 3% 97%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Kim Coleman
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Burgess Owens
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kathleen
Anderson
Chris
Biesinger
Trent
Christensen
Kim
Coleman
Jay
McFarland
Burgess
Owens
Cindy
Thompson
Undecided
Y2 Analytics May 16–18, 2020 148 (LV) ± 8.1% 13% 23% 28% 36%
Hinckley Institute April 19–24, 2020 352 (LV) ± 5.2% 6% 3% 4% 4% 8% 6% 2% 67%
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 112 (LV) ± 9.3% 17% 6% 6% 17% 31% 22% 1%
Hypothetical polling
with Dan Hemmert, and Jefferson Moss
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kathleen
Anderson
Kim
Coleman
Dan
Hemmert
Jay
McFarland
Jefferson
Moss
Other Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) October 5–6, 2019 –(LV)[lower-alpha 15] 5% 4% 2% 17% 9%[lower-alpha 16] 65%
Echleon Insights (R)[upper-alpha 3] July 17–21, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 3% 1% 7% 2% 85%

Convention results

Republican convention results[88]
Candidate Round 1 Pct. Round 2 Pct. Round 3 Pct. Round 4 Pct. Round 5 Pct. Round 6 Pct.
Kim Coleman 324 43.4% 324 43.4% 332 44.5% 348 46.6% 365 48.9% 402 53.8%
Burgess Owens 211 28.2% 212 28.4% 218 29.2% 237 31.7% 268 35.9% 335 44.9%
Jay McFarland 75 10.0% 75 10.0% 79 10.5% 97 13.0% 107 14.3% Eliminated
Kathleen Anderson 53 7.1% 54 7.2% 60 8.0% 63 8.4% Eliminated
Trent Christensen 51 6.8% 51 6.8% 56 7.5% Eliminated
Chris Biesinger II 29 3.8% 30 4.0% Eliminated
Cindy Thompson 3 0.4% Eliminated
Exhausted votes 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 1 0.1% 1 0.1% 6 0.8% 9 1.2%

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Burgess Owens 49,292 43.6%
Republican Kim Coleman 27,493 24.1%
Republican Jay McFarland 24,385 21.5%
Republican Trent Christensen 12,132 10.8%
Total votes 113,302 100.0%

United Utah Party

Candidates

Declared
  • Jonia Broderick, author[89]

General election

Endorsements

Ben McAdams (D)
Unions
Organizations
Burgess Owens (R)
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[101] Tossup August 14, 2020
Inside Elections[102] Tilt D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[103] Lean D July 2, 2020
Politico[104] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[105] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[34] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[106] Tossup June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ben
McAdams (D)
Burgess
Owens (R)
Other Undecided
RMG Research July 27 – August 1, 2020 800 ± 3.5% 35% 35% 6% [lower-alpha 17] 24%
Moore Information (R)[upper-alpha 4] July 8–11, 2020 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 34% 43% 5% [lower-alpha 18] 11%
Hypothetical polling
With Jay McFarland
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ben
McAdams (D)
Jay
McFarland (R)
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) October 5–6, 2019 819 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 40% 15%
with Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ben
McAdams (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Hinckley Institute April 19–24, 2020 1000 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 34% 9%[lower-alpha 19] 22%
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 307 (LV) 38% 38% 5%[lower-alpha 20] 18%
Y2 Analytics January 16–30, 2020 591 (LV) ± (4% – 4.2%) 32% 41% 12%[lower-alpha 21] 15%
Y2 Analytics September 25 – October 8, 2019 198 (LV) 35% 37% 11%[lower-alpha 22] 17%
Y2 Analytics June 27 – July 17, 2019 647 (LV) 36% 34% 9%[lower-alpha 23] 21%

Results

Utah's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben McAdams (incumbent)
Republican Burgess Owens
Libertarian John Molnar
United Utah Jonia Broderick
Total votes 100.0

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. JC DeYoung with 1%; Chadwick Fairbanks and Zach Hartman with < 1%
  3. "Someone else" with 4%; "other" with 1%
  4. "Someone else" with 9%; "other" with 3%
  5. "Third party candidate" with 15%; "other" with 2%
  6. "Third party candidate" with 11%; "other" with 3%
  7. "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 4%
  9. "Third party candidate" with 5%; "other" with 2%
  10. "Third party candidate" with 7%; "other" with 5%
  11. "Someone else" and "other" with 2%
  12. "Someone else" with 5%; "other" with 3%
  13. "Third party candidate" with 10%; "other" with 6%
  14. "Third party candidate" with 10%; "other" with 4%
  15. Not yet released
  16. "Someone else" with 7%; Burgess Owens with 2%
  17. John Molnar (L) with 4%; Jonia Broderick (United Utah Party) with 2%
  18. John Molnar (L) with 5%; Jonia Broderick (United Utah Party) with <0.5%
  19. "Someone else" with 9%
  20. "Someone else" with 4%; "other" with 1%
  21. "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 5%
  22. "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 3%
  23. "Third party candidate" with 6%; "other" with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Moore's campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Moore's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by Kathleen Anderson campaign.
  4. This poll's sponsor is a PAC which supports exclusively Republican Congressional candidates

References

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  2. Bowman, Bridget (August 28, 2017). "Rob Bishop Says His Next Term Will Be His Last". Roll Call. Retrieved February 16, 2019.
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  5. Vandenack, Tim (January 22, 2020). "Layton businessman Doug Durbano joins race for 1st District U.S. House seat". Standard-Examiner.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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