2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 3, 2020 to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

November 3, 2020

All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 14 13

District 1

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, including all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties and portions of Holmes County. The incumbent is Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent)
Republican Gregory Merk
Republican John Mills
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Phil Ehr 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Phil Ehr
Total votes 100.0

District 2

The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Florida Panhandle, including Panama City, Lake City, and northern Tallahassee. The incumbent is Republican Neal Dunn, who was re-elected with 67.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Kristy Thripp (write-in)[11]
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kristy Thripp (write-in) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 3

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. The incumbent is Republican Ted Yoho, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[1] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve 4 terms.[14]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho[15]
  • Ryan Chamberlin, author[16]
  • Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[17]
  • Bill Engelbrecht, owner of Florida First Care, a Medicare home health agency[18]
  • Joe Millado, former legislative aid to former U.S. Representative Cliff Stearns[19]
  • Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[20]
  • Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman[21]
  • James St. George, physician[22]
  • David Theus, business consultant[18]
  • Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[23]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Kat Cammack
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Todd Chase
State officials
  • Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000-2008)[35]
  • Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010-2016)[35]
Gavin Rollins
State officials
Judson Sapp
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals
James St. George
Federal officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kat
Cammack
Ryan
Chamberlin
Todd
Chase
James St.
George
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy Pope
Wells
Other Undecided
Meer Research August 6–8, 2020 317 ± 5.75% 25% 3% 6% 13% 11% 15% 3% 4%[lower-alpha 2] 20%
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] June 16–17, 2020 405 (RV) ± 4.9% 10% 1% 5% 4% 1% 12% 1% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 60%
Hypothetical polling
with Ted Yoho
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy
Pope Wells
Ted
Yoho
Undecided
Meer Research November 20, 2019 533 (RV) ± 4.24% 8% 2% 3% 71% 16%

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack
Republican Ryan Chamberlin
Republican Todd Chase
Republican Bill Engelbrecht
Republican Joe Millado
Republican Gavin Rollins
Republican Judson Sapp
Republican James St. George
Republican David Theus
Republican Amy Pope Wells
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Adam Christensen, businessman[45]
  • Philip Dodds, software sales manager and Independent candidate for Florida's 3rd congressional district in 2012[45]
  • Tom Wells, physicist[45]

Endorsements

Adam Christensen
Tom Wells

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Christensen
Democratic Philip Dodds
Democratic Tom Wells
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 4

The 4th district encompasses parts of Jacksonville, along with parts of that city's northern and western suburbs and the city of St. Augustine. The incumbent is Republican John Rutherford, who was re-elected with 65.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erick Aguilar
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Donna Deegan
Unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Deegan 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Donna Deegan
Total votes 100.0

District 5

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. The incumbent is Democrat Al Lawson, who was re-elected with 66.8% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Albert Chester, pharmacist[52]
  • LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide[53]
  • Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Al Lawson
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Albert Chester
Democratic LaShonda "LJ" Holloway
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Gary Adler, community activist[57]
  • Roger Wagoner[53]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gary Adler
Republican Roger Wagoner
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 6

The 6th district encompasses the Daytona area, including Daytona Beach and DeLand. The incumbent is Republican Michael Waltz, who was elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Clinton Curtis
Democratic Richard Thripp
Total votes 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 7

The 7th district encompasses all of Seminole County and northern Orange County, including much of downtown and northern Orlando and the cities of Maitland and Winter Park. The incumbent is Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary result
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Richard Goble, businessman[61]
  • Leo Valentin, radiologist[62]
  • Yukong Zhao, real estate investor[61]
Withdrawn
  • Jan Edwards, businesswoman[63]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Goble
Republican Leo Valentin
Republican Yukong Zhao
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Richard
Goble (R)
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Leo
Valentin (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2-3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 4%[lower-alpha 4] 20% 43% 4% 29%
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2-3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 42%[lower-alpha 5] 43% 15%

Results

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent William Garlington
Total votes 100.0

District 8

The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast taking in Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. The incumbent is Republican Bill Posey, was re-elected with 60.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Scott Caine, retired U.S. Air Force colonel[64]
  • Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Caine
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[64]
Withdrawn
  • Hicham Ammi[65]
  • Tiffany Patti[66]
  • Jason Williams

Endorsements

Jim Kennedy

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Kennedy 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Jim Kennedy
Total votes 100.0

District 9

The 9th district encompasses eastern Orlando and the cities of Yeehaw Junction, Kissimmee, and St. Cloud. The incumbent is Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 58.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Jose Castillo[71]
  • Bill Olson, former U.S. Army sergeant[72]
  • Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker[73]
  • Christopher Wright, attorney[71]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jose Castillo
Republican Bill Olson
Republican Sergio E. Ortiz
Republican Christopher Wright
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent John Christian Rallison
Total votes 100.0

District 10

The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. The incumbent is Democrat Val Demings, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vennia Francois
Republican Willie Montague
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 10th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent Kristofer Lawson
Total votes 100.0

District 11

The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, including The Villages and Spring Hill. The incumbent is Republican Daniel Webster, who was re-elected with 65.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Dana Cottrell, teacher and nominee for Florida's 11th congressional district in 2018[76]
Withdrawn
  • Jeff Rabinowitz[77]
  • James Henry

Endorsements

Dana Cottrell

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dana Cottrell 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent)
Democratic Dana Cottrell
Total votes 100.0

District 12

The 12th district encompasses the northern suburbs of Tampa, taking in Pasco County and northern Pinellas County. The incumbent is Republican Gus Bilirakis, who was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Kimberly Walker, U.S. Air Force veteran and former corrections officer[78]

Endorsements

Kimberly Walker
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kimberly Walker 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent)
Democratic Kimberly Walker
Independent Michael Knezevich
Total votes 100.0

District 13

The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Democrat Charlie Crist, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn

Endorsements

George Buck
Anna Paulina Luna
Federal officials
Local officials
Amanda Makki
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
George
Buck
Anna Paulina
Luna
Amanda
Makki
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls July 9, 2020 558 (LV) ± 4.1% 21% 13% 29% 5%[lower-alpha 6] 32%

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Becker
Republican George Buck
Republican Sheila Griffin
Republican Amanda Makki
Republican Sharon Newby
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Likely D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Rick
Baker (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics Sep 25, 2019 1,254 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 35.3% 22.7%

Results

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 14

The 14th district is centered around the city of Tampa and the immediate northern suburbs including Lutz, Citrus Park, Egypt Lake-Leto, Carrollwood, Lake Magdalene, Northdale, Town 'n' Country, and University. The incumbent is Democrat Kathy Castor, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent) 100.0%
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Paul Elliott, attorney and former Hillsborough County court judge[106]
  • Christine Quinn, businesswoman and nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district in 2016[106]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Elliott
Republican Christine Quinn
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 14th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Independent Alix Toulme Jr.
Independent Robert Wunderlich Sr.
Total votes 100.0

District 15

The 15th district is based in the eastern suburbs and exurbs of Tampa, including Temple Terrace, Brandon, Plant City, Lakeland and Bartow. The incumbent is Republican Ross Spano, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined
  • Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[109]
  • Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[109] (Running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
  • Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[109]
  • Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[109] (Running for Polk County School Board)

Endorsements

Scott Franklin
Local officials
Ross Spano
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin
Ross
Spano
Other
St. Pete's Polls August 12, 2020 594 (LV) ± 4% 41% 42% 17%

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Franklin
Republican Ross Spano (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
  • Kel Britvec, former DIA agent[117]
  • Andrew Learned, naval reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[118] (Running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
  • Loretta Miller, former IDF officer and Republican candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[119][120]
Declined

Endorsements

Alan Cohn
U.S. Senators
U.S. representatives
Municipal officials
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Adam Hattersley
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Labor unions
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alan Cohn
Democratic Adam Hattersley
Democratic Jesse Philippe
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Lean R July 16, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Lean R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Lean R July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Likely R April 30, 2020
RCP[9] Lean R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Lean R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 16

The 16th district encompasses the southern suburbs of Tampa, including Riverview and Sun City Center, and stretches down into Manatee County and northern Sarasota County. The incumbent is Republican Vern Buchanan, who was reelected with 54.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Margaret Good
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Margaret Good 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Likely R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Likely R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan (R)
Margaret
Good (D)
Undecided
Data Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 2] January 14–16, 2020 400 ± 4.9% 53% 33% 14%

Results

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Margaret Good
Total votes 100.0

District 17

The 17th district is located in south-central Florida, taking in Lake Okeechobee and Port Charlotte. The incumbent is Republican Greg Steube, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Allen Ellison, nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018[138]
  • Theodore Murray[138]

Endorsements

Allen Ellison

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Allen Ellison
Democratic Theodore Murray
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 18

The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, including Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and northern Palm Beach County. The incumbent is Republican Brian Mast, who was reelected with 54.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Brian Mast

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent)
Republican Nick Vessio
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Pam Keith, attorney, former U.S. Navy judge advocate (1995–1999), candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[141]
  • Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general[142]

Endorsements

Pam Keith
Organizations
Oz Vazquez
State officials
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pam Keith
Democratic Oz Vazquez
Total votes 100.0

Independent candidtates

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 19

The 19th district takes in southwestern Florida, including Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Naples, and Marco Island. The incumbent is Republican Francis Rooney, who was reelected with 62.3% of the vote in 2018.[1] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[148]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Byron Donalds
Organizations
Dane Eagle
Federal officials
State officials
Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)
Organizations
Dan Severson
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Casey
Askar
Byron
Donalds
Dane
Eagle
William
Figlesthaler
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls August 3, 2020 525 (LV) ± 4.3% 16% 22% 20% 21% 13%[lower-alpha 7] 14%
(Eagle-R) July 23, 2020 282 (LV) ± 5.7% 15% 21% 23% 19% 10%[lower-alpha 8] 8%
St. Pete Polls July 6, 2020 503 (LV) ± 4.3% 30% 26% 7% 16% 9%[lower-alpha 9] 12%

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Darren Aquino
Republican Casey Askar
Republican Byron Donalds
Republican Dane Eagle
Republican William Figlesthaler
Republican Randy Henderson
Republican Daniel Kowal
Republican Christy McLaughlin
Republican Dan Severson
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Cindy Banyai

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Banyai
Democratic David Holden
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Independent Antonio Dumornay
Total votes 100.0

District 20

The 20th district is located in southeast Florida, encompassing the majority-black areas in and around Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach. The incumbent is Democrat Alcee Hastings, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018[176]
  • Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. representative[177]
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Vic DeGrammont, realtor[181]
  • Gregory Musselwhite, Sr., wedding inspector[182]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vic DeGrammont
Republican Gregory Musselwhite
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 21

The 21st district is centered around southeastern Palm Beach County, taking in South Palm Beach, West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Delray Beach. The incumbent is Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Lois Frankel
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent)
Democratic Guido Weiss
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Disqualified
  • Michael Bluemling Jr., U.S. Army veteran[190][191]
  • Victor Garcia da Rosa, businessman[192]

Endorsements

Laura Loomer
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Laura
Loomer
Other
The Washington Sentinel[upper-alpha 3] Released June 20, 2020 [lower-alpha 10] 51% >=4%[lower-alpha 11]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christian Acosta
Republican Elizabeth Felton
Republican Laura Loomer
Republican Aaron Scanlan
Republican Reba Sherrill
Republican Michael Vilardi
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 21st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 22

The 22nd district takes in Boca Raton, as well as northeastern Broward County, including Parkland and Coral Springs. The incumbent is Democrat Ted Deutch, who was re-elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Fran Flynn, businesswoman[198]
  • Jessi Melton, owner of Paragon Wireless Group[199]
  • James Pruden, attorney[199]
  • Darlene Swaffar, insurance agency owner[200]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fran Flynn
Republican Jessi Melton
Republican James Pruden
Republican Darlene Swaffar
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 23

The 23rd district encompasses central Broward County, including Weston, Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Plantation, and stretches into Miami-Dade County, taking in Miami Beach. The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jen Perelman
Individuals
Organizations
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Organizations
Newspapers
  • South Florida Sun Sentinel[208]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jen Perelman
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Kroske
Republican Jeff Olson
Republican Carla Spalding
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020

Results

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 24

The 24th district is centered around northern Miami and the surrounding areas, including Miami Gardens, Opa Locka, Biscayne Park, Brownsville, Pembroke Park and parts of Hollywood. The incumbent is Democrat Frederica Wilson, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Frederica Wilson
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ricardo de La Fuente
Democratic Sakinah Lehtola
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[214]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lavern Spicer
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Libertarian Courtney Omega-Turner
Total votes 100.0

District 25

The 25th district stretches from the eastern suburbs of Naples across the The Everglades to Hialeah, Miami Springs, Miami Lakes, Hialeah Gardens, and Doral. The incumbent is Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0
Republican hold

District 26

The 26th district covers south Florida, taking in all of Monroe County and southwestern Miami-Dade County, including Homestead, Kendale Lakes, Florida City, South Miami Heights and The Hammocks. The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew
  • José Peixoto, engineer and Independent candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016[220]
  • Irina Vilariño, restaurateur[221][222]
Declined

Endorsements

Carlos A. Giménez
Federal officials

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Omar Blanco
Republican Carlos A. Giménez
Total votes 100.0

Endorsements

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Tossup July 31, 2020
Inside Elections[232] Tilt D August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Debbie
Murcasel-Powell (D)
Carlos
Gimenez (R)
Other/
Undecided
Meet Street Insights (R)[upper-alpha 4] July 14–18, 2020 400 ±  4.9% 42% 47% 11%

Results

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 27

The 27th district is located entirely within Miami-Dade County, including over half of Miami, as well as Kendall, Miami Beach, Coral Gables, West Miami, South Miami, Pinecrest, Cutler Bay, Palmetto Bay, Key Biscayne, and North Bay Village. The incumbent is Democrat Donna Shalala, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Donna Shalala
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Shalala (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Maria Elvira Salazar
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Juan Fiol
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Likely D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[7] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Lean D June 3, 2020
RCP[9] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Shalala (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
  3. "someone else" with 5%
  4. Standard VI response
  5. Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
  6. Griffin with 4%; Newby with 1%
  7. Henderson with 8%; Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; McLuaghlin and Kowal with 1%;
  8. Henderson with 6%; Aquino, McLaughlin, and Severson with 1%;
  9. Henderson with 5%; Aquino and McLaughlin each with 2%; Kowal and Severson each with <1%
  10. Not yet released
  11. "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
  2. Poll conducted for Vern Buchanan
  3. Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
  4. Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.

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