2020 United States presidential election in Texas

The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Texas
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican
Elections in Texas
Government

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were declared Republican candidates. Former South Carolina Governor and U.S. Representative Mark Sanford and U.S. Representative Joe Walsh dropped out. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declined to run against Trump, as did 2016 Republican primary candidate and current senator Ted Cruz.[3][4]

Results

Texas Republican Party presidential primary, 2020[5]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Donald Trump 1,898,664 94.13% 117
Uncommitted 71,803 3.56% 0
Bill Weld 15,739 0.78% 0
Joe Walsh 15,824 0.78% 0
Rocky De La Fuente 7,563 0.38% 0
Bob Ely 3,582 0.37% 0
Matthew Matern 3,525 0.18% 0
Zoltan Istvan 1,447 0.07% 0
Total: 2,017,167 100% 155

Results by county

Donald J. Trump won in every county.

2020 Texas Republican primary
County De La Fuente Guerra % Ely % Istvan % Matern % Trump % Walsh % Weld % Uncommitted % Total votes cast Turnout
Anderson 16 0.20 1 0.01 1 0.01 15 0.19 7,646 96.63 30 0.38 24 0.30 180 2.27 7,913 28.07
Andrews 28 1.15 2 0.08 0 0.00 6 0.25 2,281 93.41 22 0.90 9 0.37 94 3.85 2,442 24.53
Angelina 20 0.16 23 0.18 5 0.04 21 0.16 12,166 94.97 79 0.62 59 0.46 437 3.41 12,810 24.82
Aransas 10 0.24 8 0.19 8 0.19 2 0.05 3,820 92.14 39 0.94 25 0.60 234 5.64 4,146 23.89
Archer 5 0.19 13 0.50 5 0.19 3 0.12 2,455 94.86 18 0.70 9 0.35 80 3.09 2,588 40.87
Armstrong 1 0.14 1 0.14 1 0.14 0 0.00 676 96.99 5 0.72 1 0.14 12 1.72 697 48.30
Atascosa 30 0.67 5 0.11 2 0.04 9 0.20 4,220 94.05 27 0.60 14 0.31 180 4.01 4,487 15.97
Austin 9 0.18 5 0.10 2 0.04 9 0.18 4,662 95.56 22 0.45 28 0.57 142 2.91 4,879 24.79
Bailey 16 1.74 1 0.11 1 0.11 1 0.11 832 90.73 9 0.98 6 0.65 51 5.56 917 26.21

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[6][7][8]

Results
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary[edit]
2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary[9][10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 725,562 34.64 113
Bernie Sanders 626,339 29.91 99
Michael Bloomberg 300,608 14.35 11
Elizabeth Warren 239,237 11.42 5
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 82,671 3.95 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 43,291 2.07 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 16,688 0.80 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 13,929 0.67 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 10,324 0.49 0
Tulsi Gabbard 8,688 0.41 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 6,674 0.32 0
Roque De La Fuente III 5,469 0.26 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 4,941 0.24 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 3,918 0.19 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 3,280 0.16 0
Robby Wells 1,505 0.07 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,304 0.06 0
Total 2,094,428 100% 228
†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Lean R July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Tilt R July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Lean R July 14, 2020
Politico[14] Lean R July 6, 2020
RCP[15] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[16] Tossup July 26, 2020
CNN[17] Lean R August 3, 2020
The Economist[18] Lean R August 15, 2020
CBS News[19] Lean R August 9, 2020
270towin[20] Lean R August 2, 2020
ABC News[21] Lean R July 31, 2020
NPR[22] Lean R August 3, 2020
NBC News[23] Tossup August 6, 2020
538[24] Lean R August 14, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
Real Clear Politics July 7 – August 5, 2020 August 7, 2020 44.3% 46.3% 9.4% Trump +2.0
270 to Win June 29 – August 5, 2020 August 7, 2020 45.2% 45.8% 9.0% Trump +0.6
FiveThirtyEight February 27, 2020 - August 5, 2020 August 9, 2020 45.9% 46.8% 7.3% Trump +0.9
Average 45.1% 46.3% 8.6% Trump +1.2

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 1–5, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 3] 3%
Morning Consult Jul 24–Aug 2, 2020 2,576 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 47% 2% 5%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 2,685 (LV) ± 1.9% 45% 47% – –
Spry Strategies Jul 16–20, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% – 6%
Quinnipiac University Jul 16-20, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 45% 4% 4%
CBS News/YouGov Jul 7–10, 2020 1,185 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 4%[lower-alpha 4] 6%
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jul 7, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 44% – –
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 43% 48% 4% 5%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Jun 19–29, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.89% 48% 44% – 8%
Public Policy Polling Jun 24–25, 2020 729 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% – 5%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 5] 5%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas[upper-alpha 1] Jun 18–19, 2020 907 (V) ± 3% 48% 46% – 6%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[upper-alpha 2] Jun 2–3, 2020 683 (V) – 48% 48% – 4%
Quinnipiac May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 1,166 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 43% 6%[lower-alpha 6] 7%
Emerson College May 8–10, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 41% – 12%
Public Policy Polling Apr 27–28, 2020 1,032 (V) – 46% 47% – 7%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Apr 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.85% 43% 43% 5% 9%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Apr 10–19, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% – 7%
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 43% 11% –
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 1% 5%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% 3%[lower-alpha 7] 2%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 46% – 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 11% –
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 44% –[lower-alpha 8] –[lower-alpha 9]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 910 (LV) ± 3.24% 46% 44% 10%[lower-alpha 10] –
Data For Progress[upper-alpha 3] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 54% 40% 3%[lower-alpha 11] 3%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 46% – 3%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 48% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 12] 3%
Beacon Research (R) Nov 9–21, 2019 1,601 ± 3.0% 45% 44% – –
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 ± 3.0% 45% 39% – 16%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 ± 2.8% 46% 39% – –
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 ± 2.8% 38% 40% 13% 9%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 43% 47% – 10%
Climate Nexus Aug 20–25, 2019 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 43% 43% – 9%
University of Texas at Tyler Aug 1–4, 2019 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 41% 14% 8%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 49% 51% – –
University of Texas at Tyler Jul 24–27, 2019 1,414 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 37% 12% 14%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 44% 48% 1% 4%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 ± 6.9% 49% 42% – 7%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 49% 50% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 47% 46% 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 4] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 ± 3.6% 49% 46% – 5%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 9% –
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 1% 5%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 13] 3%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 45% – 10%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 11% –
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 45% –[lower-alpha 14] –[lower-alpha 15]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 910 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 42% 12%[lower-alpha 16] –
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 3] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 55% 40% 3%[lower-alpha 17] 2%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 47% – 3%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 50% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 18] 3%
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 ± 3.0% 44% 40% – 16%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 ± 2.8% 45% 40% – –
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 ± 2.8% 40% 38% 14% 8%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 42% 48% – 10%
Climate Nexus Aug 20–25, 2019 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 41% – 7%
University of Texas at Tyler Aug 1–4, 2019 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 42% 13% 7%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 49% 51% – –
University of Texas at Tyler Jul 24–27, 2019 1,414 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 39% 11% 12%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 47% 44% 1% 4%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 51% 49% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 47% 45% 2% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 12% –
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 19] 4%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 41% – 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 37% 16% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 44% –[lower-alpha 20] –[lower-alpha 21]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 907 (LV) ± 3.24% 48% 41% 12%[lower-alpha 22] –
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 3] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 56% 38% 3%[lower-alpha 23] 3%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 43% – 7%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 51% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 24] 2%
Beacon Research (R) Nov 9–21, 2019 1,601 ± 3.0% 46% 41% - -
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 ± 3.0% 46% 35% - 20%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 ± 2.8% 46% 39% - -
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 ± 2.8% 40% 37% 15% 9%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 42% 44% – 14%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 46% 45% 1% 5%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 53% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 48% 41% 2% 6%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 36% 17% –
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 25] 4%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 44% – 13%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 10% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 46% 41% –[lower-alpha 26] –[lower-alpha 27]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 44% 9%[lower-alpha 28] –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 2%[lower-alpha 29] 5%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% – 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 38% 17% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 46% 41% –[lower-alpha 30] –[lower-alpha 31]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 909 (LV) ± 3.24% 46% 38% 16%[lower-alpha 32] –

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 33] 4%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 40% – 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 41% 15% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 42% –[lower-alpha 34] –[lower-alpha 35]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 905 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 37% 15%[lower-alpha 36] –
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 3] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) – 56% 36% 4%[lower-alpha 37] 4%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 43% – 6%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) – 50% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 38] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 ± 3.0% 45% 33% - 22%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 ± 2.8% 39% 30% 21% 10%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 46% 44% 1% 6%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 54% 46% – –

Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Tom
Steyer (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 909 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 36% 17%[lower-alpha 39] –

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Andrew
Yang (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 45% 43% –[lower-alpha 40] –[lower-alpha 41]

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Other Undecided
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 41% 43% – 16%

with Donald Trump and Julian Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Julian
Castro (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 ± 3.0% 45% 34% - 21%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 ± 2.8% 46% 33% - -
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 41% 44% – 16%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 53% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 46% 43% 1% 6%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 46% 41% 2% 8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 ± 3.0% 46% 33% - 21%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 ± 2.8% 39% 32% 19% 10%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 44% 45% – 11%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 54% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 47% 43% 1% 6%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 54% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 48% 41% 2% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 4] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 ± 3.6% 49% 40% – 11%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 ± 2.8% 47% 41% - -
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 ± 2.8% 40% 42% 11% 8%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 ± 3.4% 48% 45% 1% 3%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 50% 50% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 47% 46% 1% 4%
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[upper-alpha 5] Jan 5–11, 2019 504 ± 4.4% 52% 39% – –
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Mark Cuban

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Mark
Cuban (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling Dec 2017 – – 44% 47% –

with Donald Trump and a Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat (D)		 Undecided
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) – 42% 47% 11%

with Donald Trump and a generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 48% 52%[lower-alpha 42] –[lower-alpha 43]
Quinnipiac Sep 4–9, 2019 1,410 (RV) ± 3.1% 35% 48%[lower-alpha 44] 17%[lower-alpha 45]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Feb 15–24, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 49% 51% –

See also

Notes
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Progress Texas, an organisation promoting progressive policies
  2. Poll sponsored by the Texas Democratic Party
  3. By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
  4. Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  5. Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
Samples
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Another Party Candidate" with 2%; "Jo Jorgensen" with 2%
  4. "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  5. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  6. "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  7. Other with 1%; neither with 2%
  8. Data not yet released
  9. Data not yet released
  10. "Neither-other" with 10%
  11. Would not vote with 3%
  12. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  13. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  14. Data not yet released
  15. Data not yet released
  16. "Neither-other" with 12%
  17. Would not vote with 3%
  18. Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  19. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  20. Data not yet released
  21. Data not yet released
  22. "Neither-other" with 12%
  23. Would not vote with 3%
  24. Other with 1%; neither with 2%
  25. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  26. Data not yet released
  27. Data not yet released
  28. "Neither-other" with 9%
  29. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  30. Data not yet released
  31. Data not yet released
  32. "Neither-other" with 16%
  33. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  34. Data not yet released
  35. Data not yet released
  36. "Neither-other" with 15%
  37. Would not vote with 4%
  38. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  39. "Neither-other" with 17%
  40. Data not yet released
  41. Data not yet released
  42. Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  43. Not yet released
  44. "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 48%
  45. "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "Don't know/no answer" with 3%

References
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  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Governor Greg Abbott for President in 2020?". News/Talk 95.1 & 790 KFYO.
  4. Garrett, Robert T. (March 8, 2018). "Texas Gov. Greg Abbott rules out running for president – in 2020, at least". Dallas News.
  5. https://results.texas-election.com/races
  6. Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
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  13. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  14. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  15. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  16. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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