2020 United States presidential election in New York
The 2020 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] It has also been announced that New York will not be incumbent President Trump’s home state for this election, now Florida.
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Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]
Canceled Republican primary
On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump automatically gets to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention.[4][5]
Democratic primary
On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot.[6] However on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23 after a suit made by former presidential primary candidate Andrew Yang.[7]
Among the other major candidates were entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the 4th Democratic debate.
- Results
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[10] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 1,120,209 | 70.2% | 231 |
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 281,529 | 17.6% | 43 |
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 81,535 | 5.1% | |
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 39,292 | 2.5% | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 22,515 | 1.4% | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 22,386 | 1.4% | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 10,872 | 0.7% | |
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 8,998 | 0.6% | |
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 3,008 | 0.2% | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 2,910 | 0.2% | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 2,274 | 0.1% | |
Total | 1,595,528 | 100% | 274 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | July 23, 2020 |
Inside Elections[12] | Safe D | July 17, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | July 14, 2020 |
Politico[14] | Safe D | July 6, 2020 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | August 3, 2020 |
Niskanen[16] | Safe D | March 24, 2020 |
CNN[17] | Safe D | August 3, 2020 |
The Economist[18] | Safe D | August 7, 2020 |
CBS News[19] | Likely D | August 9, 2020 |
270towin[20] | Safe D | August 2, 2020 |
ABC News[21] | Safe D | July 31, 2020 |
NPR[22] | Likely D | August 3, 2020 |
NBC News[23] | Safe D | August 6, 2020 |
538[24] | Safe D | August 14, 2020 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
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Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
270 to Win | May 27, 2020 | May 27, 2020 | 57.0% | 32.0% | 11.0% | Biden + 25.0 |
with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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Siena College | Jun 23–25, 2020 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 57% | – | 10% |
Siena College | May 17–21, 2020 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 57% | – | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 32% | 55% | 5%[lower-alpha 3] | 8% |
Siena College | Apr 19–23, 2020 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 29% | 65% | – | 6% |
Siena College | Mar 22–26, 2020 | 566 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 58% | – | 10% |
Siena College | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 658 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 55% | – | 5% |
Former candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio
with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand
with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
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See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
References
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "New York presidential primary postponed amid record numbers of coronavirus cases". ABC News. March 28, 2020.
- "New York might cancel Republican presidential primary". Politico. February 28, 2020.
- "New York cancels Republican presidential primary". Politico. March 3, 2020.
- "New York cancels Democratic presidential primary". Politico. April 28, 2020.
- "Judge rules New York Democratic presidential primary will take place as planned". CNN. May 6, 2020.
- "NYS Board of Elections Unofficial Election Night Results". nyenr.elections.ny.gov. New York State Board of Elections. Retrieved June 26, 2020.
- "NEW YORK STATE PRIMARY RESULTS". NY1. Retrieved 12 August 2020.
- "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New York Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved 3 July 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
- "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
- "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
- "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 14 August 2020.