2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Kentucky voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

November 3, 2020
Turnout	%
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President Donald Trump Republican

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until June 23, 2020. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[4]

Democratic primary

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary[edit]

2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary [5]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates[6]
Joe Biden	365,283	67.91%	52
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)	65,055	12.09%
Uncommitted	58,364	10.85%	2
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	15,300	2.84%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)	9,127	1.70%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	7,267	1.35%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)	5,859	1.09%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)	5,296	0.98%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)	2,656	0.49%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)	2,514	0.47%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	1,183	0.22%
Total	537,904	100%	54

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[8]	Safe R	July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]	Safe R	July 14, 2020
Politico[10]	Safe R	July 6, 2020
RCP[11]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
Niskanen[12]	Safe R	March 24, 2020
CNN[13]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
The Economist[14]	Safe R	August 7, 2020
CBS News[15]	Likely R	August 9, 2020
270towin[16]	Safe R	August 2, 2020
ABC News[17]	Safe R	July 31, 2020
NPR[18]	Likely R	August 3, 2020
NBC News[19]	Safe R	August 6, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden	Donald Trump	Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
270 to Win	June 13, 2020 – June 15, 2020	June 18, 2020	37.0%	57.0%	6%	Trump + 20.0
FiveThirtyEight	Until June 15, 2020	June 24, 2020	38.9%	55.9%	5.2%	Trump + 17.0

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Joe Biden (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	41%	4%[lower-alpha 3]	5%
Morning Consult	Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020	793 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	35%	2%	4%
Bluegrass Data	Jul 25–29, 2020	3,020 (RV)	± 2.0%	52%	45%	–	–
Spry Strategies	Jul 11–16, 2020	600 (LV)	± 3.7%	60%	34%	–	6%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[upper-alpha 1]	Jul 7–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	41%	–	–
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[upper-alpha 2]	Jun 2020	–[lower-alpha 4]	–	54%	39%	–	–
Civiqs/Data for Progress	Jun 13–15, 2020	898 (RV)	± 3.8%	57%	37%	5%[lower-alpha 5]	1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[upper-alpha 3]	May, 2020	–[lower-alpha 6]	–	57%	36%	–	–
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[lower-alpha 7]	May 21–24, 2020	500 (RV)	± 4.5%	53%	36%	6%[lower-alpha 8]	5%
Public Policy Polling	May 14–15, 2020	1,104 (V)	–	55%	39%	5%[lower-alpha 9]	2%
Bluegrass Data	April, 2020	–	–	55%	34%	–	–
Fabrizio Ward/AARP	Jul 29–31, 2019	600	± 4.0%	53%	41%	–	4%
Gravis Marketing	Jun 11–12, 2019	741	± 3.6%	57%	37%	–	6%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttigieg (D) Undecided Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12% Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Undecided Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 ± 3.6% 57% 35% 8% Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Undecided Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12% Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 402 ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

See also

• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. "Someone else" 3%; "Would not vote" 1%
4. Not yet released
5. "someone else" with 5%
6. Not yet released
7. U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
8. "Some other candidate" with 6%
9. "Someone else" with 5%

1. Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
2. Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
3. Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign

References

1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. "Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.
4. "Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
5. "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Kentucky State Board of Elections. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
6. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
7. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
8. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
10. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
11. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
12. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
13. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
14. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
15. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
16. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
17. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
18. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
19. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.