2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. Representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries will be held on August 4.[1]

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
November 3, 2020
All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 6 2
Elections in Missouri

District 1
See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district

The 1st district of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Katherine Bruckner, candidate for MO-91 in 2008[3]
  • Cori Bush, civil rights activist, candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[4]
  • Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements
Lacy Clay
Federal officials
Labor Unions
Organizations
Newspapers and Media
Cori Bush
U.S. Senators
State officials
Organizations
Party Officials
Individuals

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Katherine
Bruckner		 Cori
Bush		 Lacy
Clay		 Undecided
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 1] August 1–3, 2020 250 (LV) – 7% 42% 42% 9%

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cori Bush 72,812 48.6
Democratic Lacy Clay (incumbent) 68,201 45.5
Democratic Katherine Bruckner 8,796 5.9
Total votes 149,809 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Winnie Heartstrong, activist[19]
  • Anthony Rogers, radio show host[3]

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Anthony Rogers 6,932 61.6
Republican Winnie Heartstrong 4,324 38.4
Total votes 11,256 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Alex Furman 336 100.0
Total votes 336 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[22] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cori Bush
Republican Anthony Rogers
Libertarian Alex Furman
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent) 63,404 100.0
Total votes 63,404 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
Declined

Endorsements
Jill Schupp
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jill Schupp 102,592 100.0
Total votes 102,592 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Martin Schulte 735 100.0
Total votes 735 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Tossup August 6, 2020
Inside Elections[36] Lean R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean R July 2, 2020
Politico[38] Lean R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[39] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Lean R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[40] Lean D (flip) June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ann
Wagner (R)		 Jill
Schupp (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] August 13–14, 2020 925 – 42% 45% 14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout February 19–20, 2020 1,360 (LV) ± 2.6% 50% 40% 10%

Results
Missouri's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ann Wagner (incumbent)
Democratic Jill Schupp
Libertarian Martin Schulte
Total votes 100.0

District 3
See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district

The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Adela Wisdom, anti-prohibition activist[41]
  • Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Jeffrey Nowak, former marine[41]
  • Lynette Trares, Missouri State Department of Health and Senior Services employee[41]
  • Brandon Wilkinson, truck driver[41][42]

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) 80,585 74.8
Republican Brandon Wilkinson 15,894 14.8
Republican Lynette Trares 4,193 3.9
Republican Jeffrey Nowak 3,517 3.3
Republican Adela Wisdom 3,483 3.2
Total votes 107,672 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Megan Rezabek 27,809 66.9
Democratic Dennis Oglesby 13,789 33.1
Total votes 41,598 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Leonard Steinman III, perennial candidate[45]

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Leonard Steinman III 626 100.0
Total votes 626 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[47] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[49] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[50] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[51] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent)
Democratic Megan Rezabek
Libertarian Leonard J. Steinman II
Total votes 100.0

District 4
See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) 80,259 76.6
Republican Neal Gist 24,511 23.4
Total votes 104,770 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Lindsey Simmons, attorney[53]

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lindsey Simmons 38,196 100.0
Total votes 38,196 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Steven K. Koonse, retiree and Libertarian candidate for Missouri's 4th congressional district in 2018[54]
  • Robert Smith, small business owner[54]

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Steven K. Koonse 356 53.3
Libertarian Robert E. Smith 312 46.7
Total votes 668 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[55] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[56] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[58] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[59] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[60] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vicky Hartzler (incumbent)
Democratic Lindsey Simmons
Libertarian Steven K. Koonse
Total votes 100.0

District 5
See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district

The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) 74,940 85.3
Democratic Maite Salazar 12,907 14.7
Total votes 87,847 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Derks 13,826 35.4
Republican Jerry W. Barham 11,274 28.9
Republican Clay Chastain 7,510 19.2
Republican Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward 2,379 6.1
Republican R.H. Hess 2,206 5.6
Republican Richonda Oaks 1,868 4.8
Total votes 39,063 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robin Dominick 542 100.0
Total votes 542 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[70] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[71] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[72] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[73] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[74] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[75] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent)
Republican Ryan Derks
Libertarian Robin Dominick
Total votes 100.0

District 6
See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district

The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Chris Ryan, perennial candidate[76]

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent) 81,355 79.9
Republican Chris Ryan 20,475 20.1
Total votes 101,830 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Henry Martin, U.S. Army veteran[76]
  • Gena L. Ross, college professor[76]
  • Donald Robert Sartain[76]
  • Charles West, Clark County school board member[76]
  • Ramona Farris, consultant[76]

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gena L. Ross 14,483 32.8
Democratic Henry Martin 9,389 21.3
Democratic Charles West 6,940 15.7
Democratic Donald Robert Sartain 1,445 3.3
Total votes 44,124 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jim Higgins 431 100.0
Total votes 431 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[78] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[79] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[81] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[82] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[83] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 6th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Graves (incumbent)
Democratic Gena Ross
Libertarian Jim Higgins
Total votes 100.0

District 7
See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Steve Chetnik, manufacturing worker[84][85]
  • Eric Harleman, businessman[84]
  • Camille Lombardi-Olive, perennial candidate[84]
  • Billy Long, incumbent U.S. Representative[84]
  • Kevin VanStory, real estate broker[84]

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent) 69,319 66.1
Republican Eric Harleman 11,688 11.1
Republican Kevin VanStory 10,482 10.0
Republican Steve Chetnik 7,393 7.1
Republican Camille Lombardi-Olive 5,966 5.7
Total votes 104,848 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Teresa Montseny, historian[84]

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Montseny 30,469 100.0
Total votes 30,469 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Kevin Craig 508 100.0
Total votes 508 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[87] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[88] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[90] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[91] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[92] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 7th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Billy Long (incumbent)
Democratic Teresa Montseny
Libertarian Kevin Craig
Total votes 100.0

District 8
See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Smith (incumbent) 114,013 100.0
Total votes 114,013 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathryn Ellis 20,334 100.0
Total votes 20,334 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Tom Schmitz 264 100.0
Total votes 264 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[95] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[96] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[97] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[98] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[99] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[100] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Missouri's 8th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Smith (incumbent)
Democratic Kathy Ellis
Libertarian Tom Schmitz
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll released after the primary in August
  2. Poll conducted for the House Majority Pac.

References
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
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