2020 United States presidential election in Georgia

The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Georgia
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican
Elections in Georgia

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, they were moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3] On April 9, the primary elections were again rescheduled to June 9.[4]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

Democratic primary
2020 Georgia Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7]
Joe Biden 922,177 84.86% 105
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 101,668 9.36%
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 21,906 2.02%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 9,117 0.84%
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 7,657 0.70%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 6,346 0.58%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 5,154 0.47%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 4,317 0.40%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,117 0.38%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,752 0.16%
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,476 0.14%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,042 0.10%
Total 1,086,729 100% 105

More than 200,000 votes were also cast by mail in the March 24 presidential preference primary before it was cancelled amidst the Covid-19 pandemic. These votes were not included in the official primary result, however they were separately counted.[8] Voters who participated in the March 24 primary were able to vote again in the June 9 primary for all other offices.[9]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Tossup July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Tossup July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Lean R July 14, 2020
Politico[13] Lean R July 6, 2020
RCP[14] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Tossup March 24, 2020
CNN[16] Tossup August 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Tossup August 7, 2020
CBS News[18] Tossup August 9, 2020
270towin[19] Tossup August 2, 2020
ABC News[20] Tossup July 31, 2020
NPR[21] Tossup August 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Tossup August 6, 2020
538[23] Tilt R August 14, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] Margin
Real Clear Politics June 20, 2020 – August 8, 2020 August 8, 2020 45.7% 46.7% 7.6% Trump +1.0
FiveThirtyEight until August 8, 2020 August 8, 2020 45.7% 46.2% 8.1% Trump +0.5
270 to Win July 17, 2020 – August 8, 2020 August 8, 2020 46.4% 45.4% 8.2% Biden +1.0
Average February 27, 2020 – July 31, 2020 August 8, 2020 45.9% 46.1% 8.0% Trump +0.2

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Jo
Jorgensen (L)		 Other Undecided
Landmark Communications Aug 14-15, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 4% - 3%
SurveyUSA Aug 6–8, 2020 623 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 46% – 4% 6%
CBS News/YouGov Jul 28–31, 2020 1,109 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% – 3% 5%
HIT Strategies (D) Jul 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 40% 44% - 3% 10%
Monmouth University July 23–27, 2020 402 (RV) ± 2% 47% 47% - – 6%[lower-alpha 3]
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,337 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 47% – – –
Public Policy Polling Jul 23–24, 2020 722 (V) – 45% 46% – – 9%
Trafalgar Group July 15–18, 2020 1,023 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 4] 2%
Spry Strategies Jul 11–16, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% – – 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang Jul 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 47% – – 10%
Gravis Marketing/OANN July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 45% - – 8%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 1] Jun 25–26, 2020 734 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 49% - – 6%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% - 4%[lower-alpha 5] 5%
Public Policy Polling Jun 12–13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 48% - – 6%
TargetSmart May 21–27, 2020 321 (RV) ± 5.5% 44% 40% - 10%[lower-alpha 6] 6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 48% - 3%[lower-alpha 7] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2% 47% 47% - – 6%[lower-alpha 8]
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[upper-alpha 2] May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46% - – –
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 46% 47% - – 7%[lower-alpha 9]
Cygnal/David Ralston[lower-alpha 10] Apr 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% - 7% 5%
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate[lower-alpha 11] Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% - – 6%
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 47% - 4% –
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 43% - 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% - – 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% - – 10%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 47% 48% - – 5%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 51% - 3% 4%[lower-alpha 12]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% - – 11%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 6% 3%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% - 5%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% - 14%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 49% 42% – 9%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 46% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 13]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 38% - 17%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 43% - 11%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 49% 44% – 7%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 7%[lower-alpha 14]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 46% 3% –
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 41% 5% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% – 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% – 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 48% 46% – 6%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 48% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 15]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% – 9%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 42% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% - 6%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 46% - 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 47% 47% – 5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 47% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 16]
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Other Undecided
AJC Jan 6–15, 2020 1,025 (V) ± 3.1% 43.6% 46.9%[lower-alpha 17] 1.8%[lower-alpha 18] 7.7%[lower-alpha 19]

See also

Notes
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Listed as "other/undecided"
  4. "Another Party candidate"
  5. "Other" with 3%; "would not vote" with 1%
  6. "Different candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  7. "Someone else" with 3%
  8. Listed as "other/undecided"
  9. "Undecided" with 5%; "Did not answer" with 2%
  10. Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  11. Poll sponsored by Doug Collins' campaign
  12. Wouldn't vote with 1%; don't know/refused with 3%
  13. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 5%
  14. Wouldn't vote with 3%; don't know/refused with 4%
  15. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  16. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  17. "Vote against Trump" with 46.9%
  18. Would not vote with 1.8%
  19. Listed as "don't know/refused"
  1. This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling
  2. This poll was sponsored by a Republican-supporting organisation

References
  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Georgia presidential primaries postponed over coronavirus concerns". Associated Press. USA Today. March 14, 2020.
  4. Mark Niesse (April 9, 2020). "Georgia primary delayed again to June 9 during coronavirus emergency". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  5. "Georgia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  6. "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  7. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  8. "March 24, 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". Georgia Secretary of State. June 26, 2020. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  9. "COVID-19 Georgia Voter Guide: Vote by mail basics, FYIs, and FAQs". Advancing Justice-Atlanta. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  10. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  17. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  18. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  22. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  23. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
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