2020 United States presidential election in Missouri

The 2020 United States presidential election in Missouri is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Missouri voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Missouri
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican
Elections in Missouri

Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating longshot candidate Bill Weld. Former Vice President Joe Biden became the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Results
2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary[3]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 400,347 60.10 44
Bernie Sanders 230,374 34.59 24
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 9,866 1.48 0
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 8,156 1.22 0
Tulsi Gabbard 4,887 0.73 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 3,309 0.50 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 2,682 0.40 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 953 0.14 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 651 0.10 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 584 0.09 0
Bill Haas 392 0.06 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 206 0.03 0
Velma Steinman 191 0.03 0
Leonard J. Steinman II 175 0.03 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 170 0.03 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 159 0.02 0
Steve Burke 122 0.02 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 103 0.02 0
Henry Hewes 94 0.01 0
Robby Wells 79 0.01 0
Roque De La Fuente III 66 0.01 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 52 0.01 0
Uncommitted 2,494 0.37 0
Total 666,112 100% 68

Republican primary

Results
2020 Missouri Republican primary[4]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 301,600 96.8% 54
Uncommitted 4,176 1.4%
Bill Weld 2,148 0.7%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 2,002 0.6%
Bob Ely 847 0.3%
Matthew John Matern 607 0.2%
Total 311,793 100% 54

Libertarian primary
Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
County results of the Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.
  Jacob Hornberger
  Uncommitted
  Tie
  No votes

Results
Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 10, 2020[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Jacob Hornberger 1,683 74.6%
Uncommitted 573 25.4%
Total 2,256 100%

Green primary
Main article: 2020 Green Party presidential primaries

Results
Missouri Green primary, 2020[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Howie Hawkins
Green Dario Hunter
Green David Rolde
Total votes 100%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Likely R July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[8] Likely R July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Likely R July 14, 2020
Politico[10] Safe R July 6, 2020
RCP[11] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R March 24, 2020
CNN[13] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[14] Likely R August 7, 2020
CBS News[15] Likely R August 9, 2020
270towin[16] Likely R August 2, 2020
ABC News[17] Lean R July 31, 2020
NPR[18] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[19] Likely R August 6, 2020
538[20] Lean R August 14, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win June 23, 2020 – July 1, 2020 July 13, 2020 43.0% 50.0% 7.0% Trump + 7.0
FiveThirtyEight Until July 1, 2020 July 26, 2020 43.6% 49.0% 7.4% Trump + 5.4

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov/Saint Louis University Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.95% 50% 43% 4% 4%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] Jun 16–22, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 48% – –
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Jun 10–11, 2020 1,152 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 43% – 6%
We Ask America May 26–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 48% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 3] 5%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Feb 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) – 53% 42% – 5%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[upper-alpha 2] Jan 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) – 50% 43% – 7%
Remington Research Group Sep 18–19, 2019 1,046 ± 3.0% 53% 42% – 5%
Remington Research Group Apr 10–11, 2019 955 ± 3.3% 51% 43% – 6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Feb 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) – 51% 39% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Feb 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) – 52% 37% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Undecided
Remington Research Group Apr 10–11, 2019 955 ± 3.3% 52% 36% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
Remington Research Group Apr 10–11, 2019 955 ± 3.3% 51% 38% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Feb 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) – 52% 37% 11%
Remington Research Group Sep 18–19, 2019 1,046 ± 3.0% 54% 37% 9%
Remington Research Group Apr 10–11, 2019 955 ± 3.3% 51% 39% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Feb 26–27, 2020 1,050 (LV) – 53% 35% 12%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[upper-alpha 2] Jan 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) – 51% 41% 8%
Remington Research Group Sep 18–19, 2019 1,046 ± 3.0% 54% 40% 6%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 604 ± 4.0% 40% 46% 14%

See also

Notes
  1. Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign
  2. Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 3%

References
  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved 12 August 2020.
  4. "Missouri Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  5. "Joe Biden, Donald Trump win Missouri Presidential Preferential Primary". KMBC. March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  6. "Candidate List — March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". Retrieved December 18, 2019.
  7. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  8. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  10. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  11. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  12. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  13. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  14. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  15. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  16. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  17. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  18. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  19. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
  20. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 14 August 2020.
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