2020 United States presidential election in Kansas

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has 6 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Kansas
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican
Elections in Kansas

By the time that the primary elections were held in Kansas, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary
Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On September 7, 2019, the Kansas Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[3] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[4][5] At its state convention held between January 31 and February 1, 2020, the state party voted to formally bind all 39 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[6][7]

Democratic primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was conducted entirely by mail. Votes were counted on May 2, 2020. Joe Biden was declared the winner.[8]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary[edit]
2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary[9][10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 110,041 76.85% 29
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 33,142 23.15% 10
Total 143,183 100% 39

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Likely R July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Likely R July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Likely R July 14, 2020
Politico[14] Safe R July 6, 2020
RCP[15] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe R March 24, 2020
CNN[17] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[18] Likely R August 7, 2020
CBS News[19] Likely R August 9, 2020
270towin[20] Likely R August 2, 2020
ABC News[21] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[22] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[23] Likely R August 6, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
FiveThirtyEight Until June 1, 2020 July 14, 2020 41.5% 50.6% 7.9% Trump +9.1

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 5–9, 2020 1,202 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 41% 5% 6%
Public Policy Polling Aug 5–6, 2020 864 (V) ± 3.3% 50% 43% – 7%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 699 (RV) ± 4.2% 52% 40% 6%[lower-alpha 3] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) Apr 15–22, 2020 1,632 (LV) ± 4.7% 51% 41% – 8%
Public Policy Polling Mar 10–11, 2020 1,567 (V) – 52% 40% – 8%
DFM Research Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 51% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 3%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 50% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 4%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 51% 40% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling Mar 10–11, 2020 1,567 (V) – 52% 40% – 7%
The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 63% 26% – 11%
DFM Research Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 53% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 6] 1%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 63% 32% – 5%
DFM Research Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 53% 41% 3%[lower-alpha 7] 3%

Notes
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 6%
  4. "Someone else" with 3%
  5. "Someone else" with 2%
  6. "Someone else" with 2%
  7. "Someone else" with 3%
Partisan clients

    See also

    References
    1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    3. Kinnard, Meg (September 7, 2019). "Nevada, SC, Kansas GOP drop presidential nomination votes". AP NEWS.
    4. Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
    5. Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
    6. "Kansas GOP won't hold a caucus in 2020". KAKE. September 6, 2019.
    7. "Kansas Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
    8. Hanna, John (3 May 2020). "Joe Biden Wins Kansas Primary Conducted Exclusively By Mail". HuffPost. Retrieved 3 May 2020.
    9. "View Kansas' 2020 primary results". www.cnn.com. CNN. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
    10. "KSDEMS: 2020 Primary Results.xlsx". Google Docs. Kansas Democratic Party. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
    11. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    12. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    13. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    14. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
    15. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
    16. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
    17. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
    18. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
    19. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
    20. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
    21. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
    22. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
    23. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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