2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

The 2020 United States presidential election in Washington is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Spike Cohen

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Primary elections

The primaries for the major parties were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Rocky de la Fuente had declared their candidacy for the Republican Party, but only Trump met all of the state party’s criteria by the official deadline of January 21, 2020 for being included on the ballot.[3] Thus Trump essentially ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus he received all of Washington's 43 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[4]

2020 Washington Republican primary[5]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[6]
Donald Trump 684,239 98.41 43
Write-ins 11,036 1.59 0
Total 695,275 100% 43

Democratic primary

A number of Democratic Party candidates ran or expressed interest in running.[7][8][9] Additionally, Seattle-based billionaire Howard Schultz announced a potential bid as an independent in early 2019, but backed out in September of that year.[10] The party's candidates included on the ballot at the deadline were Michael Bennet, former Vice President Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, Deval Patrick, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren and Andrew Yang.[3]

2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary[11]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[12]
Joe Biden 591,403 37.94 46
Bernie Sanders 570,039 36.57 43
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†) 142,652 9.15
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†) 122,530 7.86
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 63,344 4.06
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 33,383 2.14
Tulsi Gabbard 13,199 0.85
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 6,403 0.41
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 3,455 0.22
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,044 0.13
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,314 0.08
John Delaney (withdrawn) 573 0.04
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 508 0.03
Uncommitted 6,450 0.41
Total write-ins 1,479 0.09
Total 1,558,776 100% 89
†Candidate withdrew after the start of mail-in voting.

Green primary

As a minor party, Washington State's Green Party affiliate is excluded from the publicly funded Presidential Primary in Washington State. The Green Party of Washington will facilitate its primary by a mail-in ballot to its membership after its Spring Convention on May 23. [13] (deadline is June 13)

All candidates recognized by the Green Party of the United States as of April 23 will be on the ballot, plus a write-in option:

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[15] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[17] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[18] Likely D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[19] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[20] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[21] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[22] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[23] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[24] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[25] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[26] Safe D August 6, 2020

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Jul 19–20, 2020 534 (LV) ± 5.2% 28% 62% 6%
Public Policy Polling/NPI May 19–20, 2020 1,070 (LV) ± 3% 37% 59% 5%
SurveyUSA May 16–19, 2020 530 (LV) ± 5.5% 31% 57% 5%[lower-alpha 2] 7%
EMC Research Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2020 583 (A) ± 4.1% 39% 52% 9%
SurveyUSA Mar 4–6, 2020 992 (RV) ± 3.8% 34% 57% 9%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate Oct 22–23, 2019 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 37% 59% 3%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 1,265 ± 2.8% 31% 52% 17%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 1,265 ± 2.8% 32% 44% 24%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 1,265 ± 2.8% 33% 47% 20%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 4–6, 2020 992 (RV) ± 3.8% 35% 56% 9%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate Oct 22–23, 2019 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 37% 58% 6%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 1,265 ± 2.8% 32% 54% 14%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA Mar 4–6, 2020 992 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 52% 10%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate Oct 22–23, 2019 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 37% 60% 3%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 1,265 ± 2.8% 33% 48% 20%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 21–22, 2019 886 ± 3.3% 34% 59% 7%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "A candidate from another party" with 5%

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Washington presidential primary ballot is set, even as Democratic field remains in flux". The Spokesman-Review. January 23, 2020.
  4. "Washington Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  5. "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results". Washington Secretary of State. Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
  6. "Washington Republican Primary Results". USA Today. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
  7. Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  8. Zhou, Li (21 January 2019). "Kamala Harris announces her historic 2020 presidential campaign". Vox. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  9. Detrow, Scott (1 February 2019). "Cory Booker Makes It Official: He's Running For President In 2020". NPR. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  10. Emily Birnbaum (January 27, 2019). "Howard Schultz makes Twitter debut amid 2020 speculation". The Hill. Retrieved January 27, 2019.
  11. "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results". Washington Secretary of State. Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
  12. "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  13. "Green Party Presidential Primary". March 23, 2020.
  14. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  15. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  16. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  17. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  18. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  19. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  20. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  21. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  22. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  23. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  24. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  25. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  26. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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