2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican
Elections in North Carolina


Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were held on March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Despite speculation that he might seek the Democratic nomination, Roy Cooper, the Governor of North Carolina, declined to run.[3][4]

Democratic primary polling
Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date Updated Dates polled Joe
Biden		 Bernie
Sanders		 Michael
Bloomberg		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Tulsi
Gabbard		 Other/
Undecided[lower-alpha 1]
270 to Win March 3, 2020 February 21–March 2, 2020 27.8% 25.8% 17.0% 11.6% 0.8% 17.0%
RealClear Politics March 3, 2020 February 27–March 2, 2020 36.7% 23.3% 14.3% 10.7% 1.0% 14.0%
FiveThirtyEight March 3, 2020 until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 2] 34.5% 22.1% 14.4% 11.3% 0.2% 17.5%
Average 33.0% 23.7% 15.2% 11.2% 0.7% 16.2%
North Carolina primary results (March 3, 2020) 43.0% 24.1% 13.0% 10.5% 0.5% 8.9%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 North Carolina Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Joe
Biden		 Michael
Bloomberg		 Cory
Booker		 Pete
Buttigieg		 Kamala
Harris		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Andrew
Yang		 Other Undecided
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Spry Strategies/Civitas Mar 1–2, 2020 543 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 11% – 3% – 18% 7% – 6%[lower-alpha 4] 11%
Swayable Mar 1–2, 2020 1,209 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 18% – 4% – 23% 10% – 10%[lower-alpha 5] –
Data for Progress Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 334 (LV) ± 5.3% 36% 18% – 3% – 27% 14% – 3%[lower-alpha 6] –
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Elucd Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 657 (LV) ± 3.8% 25% 15% – 6% – 26% 12% – 6%[lower-alpha 7] 10%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 499 (LV) ± 5.1% 29% 14% – 4% – 25% 11% – 9%[lower-alpha 8] 9%
High Point University Feb 21–28, 2020 274 (LV) – 14% 20% – 8% – 28% 12% – 13%[lower-alpha 9] 7%
472 (RV) – 14% 18% – 8% – 31% 11% – 11%[lower-alpha 10] 7%
Spry Strategies/Civitas Feb 26–27, 2020 581 (LV) ± 4.1% 27% 16% – 4% – 19% 11% – 10%[lower-alpha 11] 15%
Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 568 (LV) ± 5.1% 24% 15% – 7% – 26% 11% – 8%[lower-alpha 12] 7%
974 (RV) ± 3.9% 22% 15% – 7% – 27% 11% – 9%[lower-alpha 13] 8%
Data for Progress Feb 23–27, 2020 536 (LV) ± 4.2% 25% 18% – 10% – 27% 11% – 8%[lower-alpha 14] –
Public Policy Polling Feb 23–24, 2020 852 (LV) ± 3.4% 23% 17% – 9% – 20% 11% – 8%[lower-alpha 15] 11%[lower-alpha 16]
Meredith College Feb 16–24, 2020 430 (LV) – 17.9% 17.0% 0.7% 10.0% – 19.5% 10.9% – 7.6%[lower-alpha 17] 16.5%[lower-alpha 18]
Spry Strategies/Civitas Feb 21–23, 2020 561 (LV) ± 3.75% 20% 20% – 3% – 20% 9% – 13%[lower-alpha 19] 14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell Feb 12–18, 2020 450 (LV) ± 6.5% 16% 19% – 10% – 23% 13% – 13%[lower-alpha 20] 6%
SurveyUSA/WRAL News Feb 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 5.0% 20% 22% – 11% – 22% 8% – 7%[lower-alpha 21] 11%
Feb 11, 2020 New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
High Point University Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 225 (LV) – 24% 16% 0% 8% – 20% 11% 3% 9%[lower-alpha 22] 8%
399 (RV) – 19% 13% 1% 6% – 25% 12% 4% 8%[lower-alpha 23] 12%
Public Policy Polling Feb 4–5, 2020 604 (LV) – 25% 14% – 9% – 16% 12% 5% 7%[lower-alpha 24] 13%[lower-alpha 25]
Jan 13, 2020 Booker withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling Jan 10–12, 2020 509 (LV) – 31% 8% 1% 6% – 18% 15% 5% 6%[lower-alpha 26] 11%[lower-alpha 27]
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019 Bloomberg launches his campaign
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 669 ± 3.5% 37% – 2% 6% 4% 14% 15% 2% 8%[lower-alpha 28] 10%
HighPoint University Nov 1–7, 2019 347[lower-alpha 29] ± 6.4% 33% – 2% 4% 5% 18% 13% 2% 6%[lower-alpha 30] 10%
1,049[lower-alpha 31] ± 3.6% 18% – 2% 4% 4% 15% 7% 2% 7%[lower-alpha 32] 23%
Siena Research/New York Times Oct 13–26, 2019 324 – 29% – 1% 1% 1% 13% 15% 0% 3%[lower-alpha 33] 32%
High Point University Sep 13–19, 2019 348 (A) – 31% – 4% 3% 6% 20% 15% 4% 3%[lower-alpha 34] 9%
SurveyUSA/Civitas Aug 1–5, 2019 534 ± 6.1% 36% – 1% 5% 8% 15% 13% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 35] 17%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 397 ± 4.9% 39% – 1% 8% 5% 22% 15% 1% 7%[lower-alpha 36] –

Results

Popular vote share by county
2020 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary[5]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[6]
Joe Biden 572,271 42.95 68
Bernie Sanders 322,645 24.22 37
Michael Bloomberg 172,558 12.95 3
Elizabeth Warren 139,912 10.50 2
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 43,632 3.27
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 30,742 2.31
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 10,679 0.80
Tulsi Gabbard 6,622 0.50
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,973 0.22
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,181 0.16
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,978 0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,341 0.10
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 1,243 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,098 0.08
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 699 0.05
No Preference 21,808 1.64
Total 1,332,382 100% 110

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

Results by county
2020 North Carolina Democratic primary

(results per county)[5]

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Michael Bloomberg Elizabeth Warren Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tom Steyer Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang Cory Booker Michael Bennet Deval Patrick Marianne Williamson John Delaney Julian Castro No Preference Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Alamance 7,702 43.61 4,383 24.82 2,307 13.06 1,646 9.32 600 3.40 386 2.19 112 0.63 85 0.48 42 0.24 29 0.16 27 0.15 17 0.10 17 0.10 24 0.14 23 0.13 261 1.48 17,661
Alexander 933 40.44 435 18.86 430 18.64 137 5.94 87 3.77 81 3.51 50 2.17 20 0.87 16 0.69 8 0.35 3 0.13 6 0.26 3 0.13 5 0.22 3 0.13 90 3.90 2,307
Alleghany 366 33.83 210 19.41 244 22.55 54 4.99 56 5.18 62 5.73 13 1.20 10 0.92 2 0.18 1 0.09 0 0 3 0.28 2 0.18 3 0.28 3 0.28 53 4.90 1,082
Anson 2,077 62.28 431 12.92 365 10.94 88 2.64 32 0.96 54 1.62 37 1.11 12 0.36 9 0.27 11 0.33 23 0.69 9 0.27 5 0.15 4 0.12 1 0.03 177 5.31 3,335
Ashe 969 40.27 536 22.28 379 15.75 233 9.68 101 4.20 72 2.99 13 0.54 21 0.87 5 0.21 2 0.08 6 0.25 1 0.04 1 0.04 2 0.08 2 0.08 63 2.62 2,406
Avery 457 44.07 272 26.23 128 12.34 87 8.39 20 1.93 39 3.76 5 0.48 7 0.68 0 0 1 0.10 1 0.10 1 0.10 0 0 2 0.19 0 0 17 1.64 1,037
Beaufort 2,761 52.34 774 14.67 876 16.61 267 5.06 136 2.58 147 2.79 39 0.74 43 0.82 12 0.23 13 0.25 23 0.44 10 0.19 12 0.23 12 0.23 5 0.09 145 2.75 5,275
Bertie 1,803 56.68 513 16.13 460 14.46 74 2.33 29 0.91 58 1.82 18 0.57 38 1.19 13 0.41 7 0.22 18 0.57 10 0.31 4 0.13 12 0.38 3 0.09 121 3.80 3,181
Bladen 2,499 59.11 581 13.74 515 12.18 138 3.26 40 0.95 72 1.70 42 0.99 41 0.97 12 0.28 14 0.33 14 0.33 7 0.17 10 0.24 5 0.12 4 0.09 234 5.53 4,228
Brunswick 7,806 45.12 2,600 15.03 3,558 20.56 1,082 6.25 1,029 5.95 768 4.44 125 0.72 68 0.39 13 0.08 16 0.09 21 0.12 17 0.10 16 0.09 7 0.04 5 0.03 171 0.99 17,302
Buncombe 15,533 24.94 23,440 37.64 4,928 7.91 10,655 17.11 3,074 4.94 2,397 3.85 1,193 1.92 366 0.59 109 0.18 31 0.05 49 0.08 20 0.03 40 0.06 22 0.04 22 0.04 403 0.65 62,282
Burke 3,026 43.88 1,495 21.68 1,034 14.99 478 6.93 229 3.32 224 3.25 74 1.07 45 0.65 21 0.30 20 0.29 14 0.20 6 0.09 5 0.07 11 0.16 4 0.06 210 3.05 6,896
Cabarrus 10,666 49.97 5,364 25.13 2,348 11.00 1,682 7.88 390 1.83 275 1.29 108 0.51 107 0.50 44 0.21 36 0.17 28 0.13 14 0.07 12 0.06 10 0.05 14 0.07 248 1.16 21,346
Caldwell 1,853 41.72 1,041 23.44 683 15.38 301 6.78 187 4.21 116 2.61 39 0.88 31 0.70 17 0.38 10 0.23 8 0.18 8 0.18 7 0.16 5 0.11 3 0.07 133 2.99 4,442
Camden 403 51.47 118 15.07 126 16.09 53 6.77 29 3.70 13 1.66 4 0.51 3 0.38 0 0 1 0.13 0 0 3 0.38 1 0.13 2 0.26 0 0 27 3.45 783
Carteret 2,969 43.55 1,251 18.35 1,237 18.15 502 7.36 288 4.22 248 3.64 57 0.84 52 0.76 17 0.25 10 0.15 8 0.12 5 0.07 10 0.15 5 0.07 6 0.09 152 2.23 6,817
Caswell 1,473 48.09 569 18.58 476 15.54 143 4.67 46 1.50 55 1.80 27 0.88 21 0.69 7 0.23 8 0.26 10 0.33 6 0.20 13 0.42 2 0.07 4 0.13 203 6.63 3,063
Catawba 4,618 41.09 2,775 24.69 1,732 15.41 876 7.79 502 4.47 312 2.78 94 0.84 52 0.46 30 0.27 18 0.16 14 0.12 18 0.16 9 0.08 15 0.13 5 0.04 170 1.51 11,240
Chatham 6,455 37.44 3,408 19.77 2,794 16.21 2,388 13.85 845 4.90 700 4.06 103 0.60 123 0.71 38 0.22 17 0.10 21 0.12 19 0.11 17 0.10 20 0.12 16 0.09 276 1.60 17,240
Cherokee 831 43.30 446 23.24 246 12.82 140 7.30 66 3.44 55 2.87 21 1.09 19 0.99 10 0.52 3 0.16 4 0.21 4 0.21 6 0.31 8 0.42 3 0.16 57 2.97 1,919
Chowan 831 54.49 184 12.07 275 18.03 78 5.11 45 2.95 36 2.36 9 0.59 5 0.33 2 0.13 1 0.07 5 0.33 2 0.13 6 0.39 3 0.20 1 0.07 42 2.75 1,525
Clay 416 42.84 201 20.70 130 13.39 92 9.47 41 4.22 41 4.22 8 0.82 4 0.41 1 0.10 3 0.31 6 0.62 1 0.10 1 0.10 2 0.21 2 0.21 22 2.27 971
Cleveland 4,197 51.73 1,406 17.33 1,250 15.41 424 5.23 132 1.63 174 2.14 81 1.00 41 0.51 16 0.20 16 0.20 25 0.31 17 0.21 14 0.17 12 0.15 5 0.06 304 3.75 8,114
Columbus 2,566 54.43 832 17.65 525 11.14 197 4.18 45 0.95 89 1.89 53 1.12 30 0.64 14 0.30 21 0.45 21 0.45 18 0.38 21 0.45 15 0.32 1 0.02 266 5.64 4,714
Craven 5,100 48.81 1,748 16.73 1,894 18.13 565 5.41 391 3.74 301 2.88 70 0.67 48 0.46 26 0.25 19 0.18 25 0.24 6 0.06 11 0.11 10 0.10 2 0.02 233 2.23 10,449
Cumberland 19,559 54.40 7,393 20.56 4,822 13.41 1,921 5.34 533 1.48 373 1.04 171 0.48 167 0.46 98 0.27 103 0.29 84 0.23 35 0.10 44 0.12 27 0.08 28 0.08 595 1.65 35,953
Currituck 960 47.60 427 21.17 276 13.68 171 8.48 54 2.68 36 1.78 8 0.40 18 0.89 2 0.10 4 0.20 1 0.05 0 0 1 0.05 1 0.05 3 0.15 55 2.73 2,017
Dare 2,179 40.91 1,282 24.07 780 14.65 511 9.59 233 4.37 154 2.89 26 0.49 46 0.86 7 0.13 7 0.13 11 0.21 2 0.04 7 0.13 2 0.04 2 0.04 77 1.45 5,326
Davidson 4,472 45.04 2,234 22.50 1,503 15.14 569 5.73 346 3.49 283 2.85 64 0.64 75 0.76 33 0.33 16 0.16 14 0.14 9 0.09 10 0.10 60 0.60 15 0.15 225 2.27 9,928
Davie 1,275 40.27 706 22.30 552 17.44 238 7.52 133 4.20 118 3.73 21 0.66 21 0.66 9 0.28 4 0.13 4 0.13 7 0.22 6 0.19 9 0.28 4 0.13 59 1.86 3,166
Duplin 2,486 55.55 675 15.08 689 15.40 133 2.97 45 1.01 82 1.83 25 0.56 30 0.67 14 0.31 11 0.25 17 0.38 13 0.29 9 0.20 17 0.38 6 0.13 223 4.98 4,475
Durham 29,664 36.22 22,104 26.99 7,504 9.16 16,580 20.24 2,926 3.57 1,805 2.20 263 0.32 224 0.27 137 0.17 92 0.11 63 0.08 62 0.08 43 0.05 18 0.02 27 0.03 398 0.49 81,910
Edgecombe 3,982 56.29 1,043 14.74 1,198 16.94 252 3.56 73 1.03 80 1.13 44 0.62 53 0.75 16 0.23 25 0.35 28 0.40 20 0.28 14 0.20 14 0.20 4 0.06 228 3.22 7,074
Forsyth 23,929 42.69 14,296 25.51 7,797 13.91 5,307 9.47 2,166 3.86 1,152 2.06 203 0.36 182 0.32 131 0.23 109 0.19 77 0.14 43 0.08 52 0.09 27 0.05 29 0.05 547 0.98 56,047
Franklin 3,732 45.94 1,580 19.45 1,218 14.99 496 6.11 189 2.33 460 5.66 51 0.63 47 0.58 33 0.41 22 0.27 19 0.23 15 0.18 10 0.12 10 0.12 9 0.11 232 2.86 8,123
Gaston 7,920 46.94 4,043 23.96 2,159 12.80 1,207 7.15 478 2.83 345 2.04 146 0.87 89 0.53 36 0.21 29 0.17 23 0.14 27 0.16 16 0.09 8 0.05 10 0.06 336 1.99 16,872
Gates 751 53.19 221 15.65 226 16.01 71 5.03 15 1.06 25 1.77 10 0.71 12 0.85 5 0.35 5 0.35 11 0.78 5 0.35 1 0.07 3 0.21 1 0.07 50 3.54 1,412
Graham 249 43.23 97 16.84 69 11.98 33 5.73 12 2.08 28 4.86 29 5.03 6 1.04 2 0.35 1 0.17 5 0.87 0 0 2 0.35 0 0 0 0 43 7.47 576
Granville 3,472 46.05 1,583 20.99 1,062 14.08 471 6.25 220 2.92 192 2.55 55 0.73 68 0.90 17 0.23 17 0.23 19 0.25 26 0.34 16 0.21 13 0.17 6 0.08 303 4.02 7,540
Greene 1,098 49.64 417 18.85 315 14.24 82 3.71 19 0.86 52 2.35 31 1.40 11 0.50 13 0.59 10 0.45 9 0.41 8 0.36 8 0.36 5 0.23 3 0.14 131 5.92 2,212
Guilford 37,425 45.65 21,337 26.02 10,288 12.55 7,491 9.14 2,205 2.69 1,396 1.70 298 0.36 251 0.31 181 0.22 167 0.20 131 0.16 84 0.10 63 0.08 37 0.05 39 0.05 597 0.73 81,990
Halifax 4,844 62.02 1,131 14.48 882 11.29 259 3.32 73 0.93 103 1.32 32 0.41 67 0.86 15 0.19 21 0.27 39 0.50 21 0.27 12 0.15 12 0.15 4 0.05 296 3.79 7,811
Harnett 4,324 49.05 1,924 21.83 1,157 13.13 541 6.14 218 2.47 157 1.78 61 0.69 57 0.65 37 0.42 25 0.28 27 0.31 16 0.18 11 0.12 16 0.18 5 0.06 239 2.71 8,815
Haywood 3,446 40.31 1,952 22.84 849 9.93 769 9.00 382 4.47 356 4.16 352 4.12 66 0.77 23 0.27 12 0.14 17 0.20 7 0.08 16 0.19 3 0.04 5 0.06 293 3.43 8,548
Henderson 5,713 38.36 3,729 25.04 1,588 10.66 1,641 11.02 866 5.81 698 4.69 416 2.79 68 0.46 21 0.14 8 0.05 13 0.09 7 0.05 9 0.06 4 0.03 13 0.09 100 0.67 14,894
Hertford 2,377 60.90 433 11.09 534 13.68 103 2.64 32 0.82 44 1.13 11 0.28 38 0.97 7 0.18 13 0.33 14 0.36 7 0.18 4 0.10 9 0.23 2 0.05 275 7.05 3,903
Hoke 2,801 53.48 1,114 21.27 648 12.37 215 4.11 68 1.30 55 1.05 39 0.74 20 0.38 20 0.38 23 0.44 20 0.38 6 0.11 8 0.15 8 0.15 3 0.06 189 3.61 5,237
Hyde 380 47.38 128 15.96 86 10.72 83 10.35 7 0.87 23 2.87 10 1.25 6 0.75 6 0.75 0 0 4 0.50 0 0 1 0.12 4 0.50 1 0.12 63 7.86 802
Iredell 6,245 41.26 3,424 22.62 2,509 16.58 1,181 7.80 639 4.22 426 2.81 153 1.01 92 0.61 37 0.24 31 0.20 27 0.18 16 0.11 22 0.15 12 0.08 9 0.06 312 2.06 15,135
Jackson 1,867 31.99 1,868 32.00 475 8.14 689 11.80 266 4.56 193 3.31 215 3.68 58 0.99 18 0.31 3 0.05 7 0.12 7 0.12 9 0.15 19 0.33 2 0.03 141 2.42 5,837
Johnston 8,061 44.38 4,347 23.93 2,447 13.47 1,491 8.21 586 3.23 389 2.14 88 0.48 104 0.57 29 0.16 29 0.16 27 0.15 17 0.09 15 0.08 22 0.12 14 0.08 497 2.74 18,163
Jones 820 61.84 184 13.88 181 13.65 28 2.11 15 1.13 9 0.68 11 0.83 9 0.68 3 0.23 3 0.23 6 0.45 1 0.08 0 0 5 0.38 2 0.15 49 3.70 1,326
Lee 2,520 44.74 1,233 21.89 955 16.95 333 5.91 170 3.02 169 3.00 53 0.94 35 0.62 5 0.09 12 0.21 7 0.12 9 0.16 4 0.07 7 0.12 4 0.07 117 2.08 5,633
Lenoir 3,539 53.40 1,201 18.12 1,024 15.45 228 3.44 79 1.19 112 1.69 45 0.68 28 0.42 15 0.23 18 0.27 28 0.42 16 0.24 9 0.14 14 0.21 3 0.05 268 4.04 6,627
Lincoln 2,896 46.66 1,244 20.04 1,040 16.76 373 6.01 207 3.33 140 2.26 71 1.14 36 0.58 21 0.34 9 0.14 8 0.13 10 0.16 5 0.08 8 0.13 2 0.03 137 2.21 6,207
Macon 1,445 39.82 739 20.36 460 12.68 304 8.38 172 4.74 158 4.35 205 5.65 30 0.83 7 0.19 10 0.28 5 0.14 0 0 5 0.14 7 0.19 2 0.06 80 2.20 3,629
Madison 1,066 27.40 1,295 33.29 314 8.07 481 12.37 109 2.80 166 4.27 154 3.96 54 1.39 18 0.46 9 0.23 10 0.26 9 0.23 7 0.18 5 0.13 1 0.03 192 4.94 3,890
Martin 2,132 60.53 441 12.52 400 11.36 131 3.72 37 1.05 70 1.99 33 0.94 22 0.62 6 0.17 7 0.20 9 0.26 7 0.20 5 0.14 6 0.17 2 0.06 214 6.08 3,522
McDowell 1,317 38.67 871 25.57 306 8.98 280 8.22 105 3.08 92 2.70 160 4.70 37 1.09 13 0.38 1 0.03 9 0.26 6 0.18 3 0.09 3 0.09 2 0.06 201 5.90 3,406
Mecklenburg 72,713 44.77 39,648 24.41 22,322 13.74 16,586 10.21 5,458 3.36 2,786 1.72 862 0.53 505 0.31 298 0.18 217 0.13 102 0.06 114 0.07 88 0.05 65 0.04 51 0.03 615 0.38 162,430
Mitchell 266 29.59 324 36.04 73 8.12 128 14.24 19 2.11 36 4.00 30 3.34 3 0.33 2 0.22 0 0 0 0 1 0.11 2 0.22 1 0.11 2 0.22 12 1.33 899
Montgomery 1,320 50.97 416 16.06 374 14.44 121 4.67 46 1.78 62 2.39 29 1.12 25 0.97 10 0.39 6 0.23 16 0.62 7 0.27 5 0.19 8 0.31 3 0.12 142 5.48 2,590
Moore 4,896 49.06 1,610 16.13 1,833 18.37 782 7.84 336 3.37 233 2.33 42 0.42 44 0.44 18 0.18 17 0.17 8 0.08 2 0.02 8 0.08 2 0.02 1 0.01 147 1.47 9,979
Nash 6,534 54.15 2,134 17.68 2,002 16.59 480 3.98 138 1.14 228 1.89 66 0.55 63 0.52 28 0.23 22 0.18 23 0.19 12 0.10 18 0.15 15 0.12 5 0.04 299 2.48 12,067
New Hanover 12,332 36.65 9,165 27.24 5,173 15.37 3,540 10.52 1,641 4.88 979 2.91 174 0.52 150 0.45 74 0.22 38 0.11 33 0.10 17 0.05 23 0.07 10 0.03 7 0.02 295 0.88 33,651
Northampton 2,656 58.70 499 11.03 505 11.16 126 2.78 46 1.02 83 1.83 23 0.51 89 1.97 20 0.44 18 0.40 32 0.71 11 0.24 12 0.27 9 0.20 8 0.18 388 8.57 4,525
Onslow 4,972 52.40 2,021 21.30 1,173 12.36 605 6.38 201 2.12 137 1.44 62 0.65 36 0.38 29 0.31 18 0.19 18 0.19 12 0.13 12 0.13 4 0.04 4 0.04 184 1.94 9,488
Orange 13,029 29.24 12,772 28.66 4,554 10.22 10,322 23.17 1,808 4.06 1,333 2.99 96 0.22 192 0.43 99 0.22 28 0.06 18 0.04 20 0.04 23 0.05 8 0.02 12 0.03 244 0.55 44,558
Pamlico 948 54.14 213 12.16 274 15.65 83 4.74 54 3.08 57 3.26 14 0.80 10 0.57 5 0.29 6 0.34 4 0.23 6 0.34 5 0.29 6 0.34 3 0.17 63 3.60 1,751
Pasquotank 2,415 56.57 663 15.53 628 14.71 183 4.29 89 2.08 96 2.25 23 0.54 18 0.42 9 0.21 20 0.47 7 0.16 6 0.14 4 0.09 1 0.02 0 0 107 2.51 4,269
Pender 2,513 45.72 1,191 21.67 861 15.66 392 7.13 221 4.02 139 2.53 41 0.75 31 0.56 7 0.13 5 0.09 14 0.25 6 0.11 5 0.09 2 0.04 5 0.09 64 1.16 5,497
Perquimans 594 45.27 175 13.34 262 19.97 58 4.42 31 2.36 54 4.12 12 0.91 18 1.37 4 0.30 1 0.08 5 0.38 3 0.23 4 0.30 20 1.52 2 0.15 69 5.26 1,312
Person 2,329 51.10 777 17.05 654 14.35 293 6.43 80 1.76 106 2.33 42 0.92 49 1.08 12 0.26 9 0.20 12 0.26 6 0.13 5 0.11 6 0.13 3 0.07 175 3.84 4,558
Pitt 10,329 48.14 5,105 23.79 2,639 12.30 1,554 7.24 602 2.81 454 2.12 117 0.55 92 0.43 47 0.22 38 0.18 31 0.14 27 0.13 25 0.12 8 0.04 13 0.06 376 1.75 21,457
Polk 1,066 41.85 521 20.46 299 11.74 284 11.15 132 5.18 106 4.16 96 3.77 17 0.67 3 0.12 2 0.08 2 0.08 3 0.12 2 0.08 5 0.20 0 0 9 0.35 2,547
Randolph 2,788 41.11 1,734 25.57 1,083 15.97 500 7.37 223 3.29 171 2.52 33 0.49 44 0.65 21 0.31 15 0.22 13 0.19 4 0.06 4 0.06 11 0.16 6 0.09 131 1.93 6,781
Richmond 2,654 53.79 701 14.21 693 14.05 175 3.55 72 1.46 85 1.72 59 1.20 44 0.89 20 0.41 18 0.36 15 0.30 14 0.28 10 0.20 15 0.30 3 0.06 356 7.22 4,934
Robeson 6,300 43.29 2,382 16.37 1,380 9.48 532 3.66 136 0.93 261 1.79 858 5.90 153 1.05 67 0.46 78 0.54 77 0.53 60 0.41 47 0.32 51 0.35 25 0.17 2,145 14.74 14,552
Rockingham 3,571 46.21 1,506 19.49 1,551 20.07 360 4.66 165 2.14 172 2.23 44 0.57 57 0.74 15 0.19 17 0.22 15 0.19 13 0.17 9 0.12 13 0.17 5 0.06 214 2.77 7,727
Rowan 4,799 46.14 2,393 23.01 1,507 14.49 662 6.37 298 2.87 226 2.17 102 0.98 59 0.57 26 0.25 27 0.26 21 0.20 14 0.13 11 0.11 13 0.13 11 0.11 231 2.22 10,400
Rutherford 2,153 47.01 1,146 25.02 403 8.80 276 6.03 98 2.14 105 2.29 200 4.37 37 0.81 11 0.24 3 0.07 9 0.20 6 0.13 8 0.17 5 0.11 1 0.02 119 2.60 4,580
Sampson 2,839 55.44 862 16.83 818 15.97 213 4.16 53 1.03 62 1.21 27 0.53 26 0.51 11 0.21 14 0.27 20 0.39 9 0.18 9 0.18 5 0.10 5 0.10 148 2.89 5,121
Scotland 2,075 55.16 529 14.06 330 8.77 155 4.12 65 1.73 95 2.53 212 5.64 43 1.14 13 0.35 17 0.45 8 0.21 5 0.13 7 0.19 11 0.29 4 0.11 193 5.13 3,762
Stanly 1,775 47.50 740 19.80 537 14.37 223 5.97 101 2.70 89 2.38 58 1.55 34 0.91 14 0.37 9 0.24 2 0.05 8 0.21 7 0.19 9 0.24 2 0.05 129 3.45 3,737
Stokes 1,213 40.22 681 22.58 533 17.67 174 5.77 92 3.05 74 2.45 38 1.26 21 0.70 4 0.13 5 0.17 6 0.20 6 0.20 4 0.13 3 0.10 2 0.07 160 5.31 3,016
Surry 1,949 41.60 1,021 21.79 827 17.65 305 6.51 119 2.54 147 3.14 42 0.90 37 0.79 14 0.30 8 0.17 14 0.30 5 0.11 5 0.11 12 0.26 6 0.13 174 3.71 4,685
Swain 554 34.69 470 29.43 161 10.08 111 6.95 64 4.01 58 3.63 82 5.13 21 1.31 5 0.31 3 0.19 2 0.13 4 0.25 1 0.06 4 0.25 2 0.13 55 3.44 1,597
Transylvania 1,890 35.83 1,288 24.42 552 10.46 692 13.12 298 5.65 304 5.76 148 2.81 33 0.63 7 0.13 0 0 6 0.11 1 0.02 5 0.09 2 0.04 0 0 49 0.93 5,275
Tyrrell 220 39.36 91 16.28 98 17.53 22 3.94 15 2.68 20 3.58 4 0.72 7 1.25 2 0.36 0 0 6 1.07 1 0.18 0 0 2 0.36 1 0.18 70 12.52 559
Union 9,117 44.44 4,587 22.36 3,069 14.96 1,767 8.61 844 4.11 506 2.47 157 0.77 103 0.50 42 0.20 31 0.15 24 0.12 20 0.10 19 0.09 11 0.05 10 0.05 207 1.01 20,514
Vance 3,348 59.20 794 14.04 768 13.58 217 3.84 58 1.03 87 1.54 36 0.64 46 0.81 12 0.21 21 0.37 20 0.35 11 0.19 11 0.19 7 0.12 8 0.14 211 3.73 5,655
Wake 79,007 40.53 50,919 26.12 23,544 12.08 27,837 14.28 6,821 3.50 3,759 1.93 505 0.26 812 0.42 403 0.21 175 0.09 121 0.06 89 0.05 85 0.04 35 0.02 51 0.03 763 0.39 194,926
Warren 2,211 57.49 548 14.25 480 12.48 132 3.43 46 1.20 68 1.77 22 0.57 38 0.99 10 0.26 20 0.52 12 0.31 12 0.31 14 0.36 43 1.12 6 0.16 184 4.78 3,846
Washington 1,079 55.82 292 15.11 269 13.92 56 2.90 13 0.67 43 2.22 38 1.97 12 0.62 6 0.31 4 0.21 4 0.21 4 0.21 6 0.31 6 0.31 3 0.16 98 5.07 1,933
Watauga 2,298 23.13 4,707 47.38 716 7.21 1,336 13.45 469 4.72 245 2.47 49 0.49 37 0.37 26 0.26 8 0.08 3 0.03 7 0.07 4 0.04 2 0.02 1 0.01 26 0.26 9,934
Wayne 5,781 49.69 2,340 20.11 1,672 14.37 493 4.24 207 1.78 198 1.70 115 0.99 76 0.65 32 0.28 55 0.47 39 0.34 18 0.15 29 0.25 12 0.10 11 0.09 556 4.78 11,634
Wilkes 1,787 45.02 873 22.00 634 15.97 247 6.22 87 2.19 84 2.12 22 0.55 18 0.45 6 0.15 7 0.18 7 0.18 7 0.18 3 0.08 3 0.08 4 0.10 180 4.54 3,969
Wilson 5,063 52.06 1,928 19.82 1,546 15.90 409 4.21 143 1.47 149 1.53 61 0.63 61 0.63 26 0.27 25 0.26 34 0.35 19 0.20 10 0.10 13 0.13 14 0.14 225 2.31 9,726
Yadkin 784 41.68 461 24.51 302 16.06 120 6.38 46 2.45 50 2.66 13 0.69 15 0.80 1 0.05 2 0.11 4 0.21 1 0.05 2 0.11 2 0.11 0 0 78 4.15 1,881
Yancey 848 34.77 709 29.07 206 8.45 318 13.04 79 3.24 79 3.24 76 3.12 27 1.11 3 0.12 2 0.08 4 0.16 4 0.16 2 0.08 5 0.21 0 0 77 3.16 2,439
Total 572,271 42.95 322,645 24.22 172,558 12.95 139,912 10.50 43,632 3.27 30,742 2.31 10,679 0.80 6,622 0.50 2,973 0.22 2,181 0.16 1,978 0.15 1,341 0.10 1,243 0.09 1,098 0.08 699 0.05 21,808 1.64 1,332,382

Republican primary

The North Carolina Republican Party submitted to the state only the name of incumbent President Donald Trump to be listed on the primary ballot. The campaign of Bill Weld "has written to the [state Board of Elections] asking to be added to the ballot, arguing that his candidacy meets the legal test because he’s received widespread news coverage, raised more than $1.2 million, and has qualified for the primary ballot in six other states," according to the News and Observer.[7] Joe Walsh similarly petitioned the state board of elections. On Dec. 20, 2019, the state board unanimously voted to include both Weld and Walsh on the ballot.[8]

Republican primary polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump		 Joe
Walsh		 Bill
Weld		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 501 (LV) ± 5.0% 91% – 5% 5%
High Point University Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 198 (LV) – 91% 4% 1% 4%
400 (RV) – 88% 4% 1% 7%
Emerson College May 31–Jun 3, 2019 336 (LV) ± 3.1% 88% – 12% –

Results

2020 North Carolina Republican primary[9]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates[10]
Count Percentage
Donald Trump 750,600 93.53% 71
Joe Walsh 16,356 2.04% 0
Bill Weld 15,486 1.93% 0
No Preference 20,085 2.50% 0
Total 802,527 100% 71

Results by county
2020 North Carolina Republican primary

(results per county)[9]

County Donald Trump Joe Walsh Bill Weld No Preference Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Alamance 12,843 94.08 259 1.90 208 1.52 341 2.50 13,651
Alexander 5,402 96.43 71 1.27 53 0.95 76 1.36 5,602
Alleghany 1,433 95.85 21 1.40 9 0.60 32 2.14 1,495
Anson 1,145 97.36 13 1.11 6 0.51 12 1.02 1,176
Ashe 3,321 94.24 86 2.44 39 1.11 78 2.21 3,524
Avery 3,748 93.54 77 1.92 61 1.52 121 3.02 4,007
Beaufort 5,332 95.88 78 1.40 63 1.13 88 1.58 5,561
Bertie 735 97.87 8 1.07 2 0.27 6 0.80 751
Bladen 3,044 97.91 23 0.74 12 0.39 30 0.96 3,109
Brunswick 15,269 94.17 291 1.79 273 1.68 382 2.36 16,215
Buncombe 17,893 92.52 431 2.23 476 2.46 539 2.79 19,339
Burke 7,547 95.23 121 1.53 94 1.19 163 2.06 7,925
Cabarrus 16,516 92.93 403 2.27 347 1.95 506 2.85 17,772
Caldwell 8,044 96.19 118 1.41 89 1.06 112 1.34 8,363
Camden 1,348 94.53 23 1.61 28 1.96 27 1.89 1,426
Carteret 10,696 95.25 172 1.53 138 1.23 223 1.99 11,229
Caswell 1,587 97.84 15 0.92 8 0.49 12 0.74 1,622
Catawba 18,807 93.74 411 2.05 337 1.68 508 2.53 20,063
Chatham 5,793 92.78 127 2.03 185 2.96 139 2.23 6,244
Cherokee 5,030 95.14 83 1.57 77 1.46 97 1.83 5,287
Chowan 1,239 96.50 11 0.86 9 0.70 25 1.95 1,284
Clay 2,237 94.51 33 1.39 37 1.56 60 2.53 2,367
Cleveland 8,049 96.73 79 0.95 79 0.95 114 1.37 8,321
Columbus 3,521 98.05 19 0.53 16 0.45 35 0.97 3,591
Craven 10,937 94.96 178 1.55 160 1.39 243 2.11 11,518
Cumberland 13,965 94.21 286 1.93 219 1.48 354 2.39 14,824
Currituck 3,658 92.75 80 2.03 65 1.65 141 3.58 3,944
Dare 3,082 93.65 79 2.40 66 2.01 64 1.94 3,291
Davidson 18,716 95.45 304 1.55 229 1.17 359 1.83 19,608
Davie 6,753 92.25 163 2.23 147 2.01 257 3.51 7,320
Duplin 4,252 97.57 26 0.60 20 0.46 60 1.38 4,358
Durham 6,768 83.74 424 5.25 505 6.25 385 4.76 8,082
Edgecombe 1,828 96.46 13 0.69 12 0.63 42 2.22 1,895
Forsyth 23,307 90.19 784 3.03 745 2.88 1,005 3.89 25,841
Franklin 5,011 94.98 97 1.84 57 1.08 111 2.10 5,276
Gaston 16,573 95.26 290 1.67 211 1.21 324 1.86 17,398
Gates 529 95.83 9 1.63 5 0.91 9 1.63 552
Graham 1,513 97.11 17 1.09 15 0.96 13 0.83 1,558
Granville 3,315 95.64 56 1.62 38 1.10 57 1.64 3,466
Greene 1,474 98.60 10 0.67 3 0.20 8 0.54 1,495
Guilford 27,561 91.32 828 2.74 790 2.62 1,003 3.32 30,182
Halifax 2,035 97.51 22 1.05 9 0.43 21 1.01 2,087
Harnett 9,093 95.56 124 1.30 112 1.18 186 1.95 9,515
Haywood 7,079 94.77 111 1.49 113 1.51 167 2.24 7,470
Henderson 16,339 94.70 252 1.46 277 1.61 386 2.24 17,254
Hertford 605 97.42 7 1.13 6 0.97 3 0.48 621
Hoke 1,916 94.95 32 1.59 27 1.34 43 2.13 2,018
Hyde 339 97.98 3 0.87 3 0.87 1 0.29 346
Iredell 21,150 93.18 501 2.21 376 1.66 672 2.96 22,699
Jackson 3,143 93.13 75 2.22 67 1.99 90 2.67 3,375
Johnston 19,073 94.89 350 1.74 257 1.28 420 2.09 20,100
Jones 1,021 97.80 8 0.77 4 0.38 11 1.05 1,044
Lee 3,648 95.40 52 1.36 48 1.26 76 1.99 3,824
Lenoir 4,822 96.83 46 0.92 32 0.64 80 1.61 4,980
Lincoln 10,616 94.10 216 1.91 168 1.49 282 2.50 11,282
Macon 5,527 94.61 111 1.90 79 1.35 125 2.14 5,842
Madison 2,073 96.37 26 1.21 16 0.74 36 1.67 2,151
Martin 1,370 97.23 17 1.21 8 0.57 14 0.99 1,409
McDowell 6,392 94.31 134 1.98 86 1.27 166 2.45 6,778
Mecklenburg 33,693 87.34 1,548 4.01 1,738 4.51 1,600 4.15 38,579
Mitchell 3,893 93.27 90 2.16 74 1.77 117 2.80 4,174
Montgomery 2,516 96.84 19 0.73 25 0.96 38 1.46 2,598
Moore 13,518 92.34 297 2.03 331 2.26 494 3.37 14,640
Nash 8,367 96.53 80 0.92 72 0.83 149 1.72 8,668
New Hanover 16,699 90.87 501 2.73 525 2.86 652 3.55 18,377
Northampton 659 97.34 4 0.59 4 0.59 10 1.48 677
Onslow 14,087 95.08 210 1.42 163 1.10 356 2.40 14,816
Orange 4,312 86.67 199 4.00 286 5.75 178 3.58 4,975
Pamlico 1,667 95.48 29 1.66 18 1.03 32 1.83 1,746
Pasquotank 2,081 94.94 40 1.82 21 0.96 50 2.28 2,192
Pender 5,339 96.25 56 1.01 69 1.24 83 1.50 5,547
Perquimans 1,213 95.89 16 1.26 14 1.11 22 1.74 1,265
Person 2,757 97.15 31 1.09 19 0.67 31 1.09 2,838
Pitt 10,327 94.66 212 1.94 133 1.22 237 2.17 10,909
Polk 2,157 95.87 34 1.51 31 1.38 28 1.24 2,250
Randolph 15,612 96.44 195 1.20 155 0.96 226 1.40 16,188
Richmond 2,946 96.84 31 1.02 18 0.59 47 1.55 3,042
Robeson 3,620 95.89 57 1.51 26 0.69 72 1.91 3,775
Rockingham 8,190 96.59 103 1.21 58 0.68 128 1.51 8,479
Rowan 14,447 95.35 235 1.55 195 1.29 274 1.81 15,151
Rutherford 7,214 95.50 104 1.38 95 1.26 141 1.87 7,554
Sampson 4,942 97.15 42 0.83 34 0.67 69 1.36 5,087
Scotland 1,102 95.41 20 1.73 13 1.13 20 1.73 1,155
Stanly 8,195 94.75 184 2.13 90 1.04 180 2.08 8,649
Stokes 7,316 95.14 112 1.46 71 0.92 191 2.48 7,690
Surry 7,259 95.19 118 1.55 87 1.14 162 2.12 7,626
Swain 1,128 94.00 23 1.92 18 1.50 31 2.58 1,200
Transylvania 3,797 94.71 60 1.50 68 1.70 84 2.10 4,009
Tyrrell 225 96.57 3 1.29 1 0.43 4 1.72 233
Union 21,182 94.76 371 1.66 378 1.69 422 1.89 22,353
Vance 1,210 96.11 19 1.51 12 0.95 18 1.43 1,259
Wake 52,255 88.57 2,025 3.43 2,518 4.27 2,199 3.73 58,997
Warren 791 95.53 12 1.45 11 1.33 14 1.69 828
Washington 641 96.68 5 0.75 7 1.06 10 1.51 663
Watauga 3,619 91.76 101 2.56 125 3.17 99 2.51 3,944
Wayne 10,479 96.36 109 1.00 93 0.86 194 1.78 10,875
Wilkes 10,885 95.02 171 1.49 147 1.28 252 2.20 11,455
Wilson 5,278 96.58 57 1.04 48 0.88 82 1.50 5,465
Yadkin 6,352 95.89 105 1.59 44 0.66 123 1.86 6,624
Yancey 2,568 96.98 24 0.91 30 1.13 26 0.98 2,648
Total 750,600 93.53% 16,356 2.04% 15,486 1.93% 20,085 2.50% 802,527

Libertarian primary
Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
County results of the North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.
  None of the above
  Tie
  Vermin Supreme
  Ken Armstrong
  Jedidiah Hill
  Dan Behrman
  Jo Jorgensen
  Steve Richey
  Kim Ruff
  No votes

Results
North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020[11]
Candidate Votes Percentage
None of the above 2,060 30%
Jacob Hornberger 604 9%
John McAfee 570 8%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 545 8%
Vermin Supreme 410 6%
Ken Armstrong 366 5%
Jo Jorgensen 316 5%
Steve Richey 278 4%
Adam Kokesh 240 3%
Max Abramson 236 3%
James Ogle 232 3%
Kenneth Blevins 199 3%
Dan Behrman 194 3%
Jedidiah Hill 194 3%
Souraya Faas 193 3%
Erik Gerhardt 150 2%
Arvin Vohra 127 2%
Total 6,914 100%

Green primary
Main article: 2020 Green Party presidential primaries

Results
North Carolina Green primary, 2020[12][13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Howie Hawkins 247 60.54%
Green No Preference 161 39.46%
Total votes 408 100%

Constitution primary

Results
North Carolina Constitution primary, 2020[12][14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution No Preference 193 44.57%
Constitution Don Blankenship 128 29.56%
Constitution Charles Kraut 112 25.87%
Total votes 438 100%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Tossup July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[16] Tossup July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Tossup July 14, 2020
Politico[18] Tossup July 6, 2020
RCP[19] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[20] Tossup March 24, 2020
CNN[21] Tossup August 3, 2020
The Economist[22] Tossup August 11, 2020
CBS News[23] Tossup August 9, 2020
270towin[24] Tossup August 2, 2020
ABC News[25] Tossup July 31, 2020
NPR[26] Tossup August 3, 2020
NBC News[27] Tossup August 6, 2020
538[28] Tossup August 14, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 37] Margin
270 to Win July 17–31, 2020 August 2, 2020 47.2% 45.5% 7.3% Biden +1.7
Real Clear Politics July 28 – August 10, 2020 August 13, 2020 47.0% 47.0% 6.0% Even
FiveThirtyEight until August 7, 2020 August 10, 2020 47.6% 45.4% 7.0% Biden +2.2
Average 47.3% 46.0% 6.7% Biden +1.3

June 1 – October 31, 2020

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Jo
Jorgensen (L)		 Howie
Hawkins (G)		 Other Undecided
East Carolina University Aug 12-13, 2020 1,255 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% - - 3% 4%
NC Civitas/Harper Polling Aug 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 2% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College Aug 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 46% – – – 6%
CNBC/Change Research Aug 7–9, 2020 493 (LV) – 48% 47% – – – –
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research Aug 6–8, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% – – – –
Data for Progress Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 1,170 (LV) – 45% 49% – – – 6%
44% 46% 2% 1% – 7%
Public Policy Polling Jul 30–31, 2020 934 (V) – 46% 49% – – – 6%
CBS News/YouGov Jul 28–31, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 48% – – 2% 5%
HIT Strategies (D) Jul 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 47% – – 3% 10%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–26, 2020 284 (LV) – 46% 49% – – – –
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,504 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 47% – – – –
Public Policy Polling Jul 23–24, 2020 884 (V) – 46% 49% – – – 5%
Cardinal Point Analytics Jul 22–24, 2020 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 1% – – 4%
Zogby Analytics July 21–23, 2020 809 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 44% 4% 1% – –
NBC News/Marist College July 14–22, 2020 882 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 51% – – 2% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–21, 2020 919 (RV) – 42% 43% 2% 1% 1% 11%
Spry Strategies July 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% – – – 5%
Cardinal Point Analytics July 13–15, 2020 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 48% – – 1% 3%
Change Research/CNBC July 10–12, 2020 655 (LV) – 46% 47% – – – –
Public Policy Polling July 7–8, 2020 818 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 50% – – – 5%
Change Research/CNBC June 26–28, 2020 468 (LV)[lower-alpha 38] – 44% 51% – – – –
East Carolina University June 22–25, 2020 1,149 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 45% – – 7%[lower-alpha 39] 4%
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2020 1,157 (V) – 46% 48% – – – 6%
Fox News June 20–23, 2020 1,012 (RV) ± 3% 45% 47% – – 5%[lower-alpha 40] 3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College June 8–18, 2020 653 (RV) ± 4.1% 40% 49% – – 4%[lower-alpha 41] 7%
Gravis Marketing/OANN June 17, 2020 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 43% – – – 10%
Redfield & Whilton Strategies Jun 14–17, 2020 902 (LV) ± 3.26% 40% 46% 1% <1% 1% 11%
Change Research/CNBC June 12–14, 2020 378 (LV)[lower-alpha 42] – 45% 47% 1% 1% – –
Public Policy Polling June 2–3, 2020 913 (V) ± 3.2% 45% 49% – – – 6%

January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31, 2020 806 (LV) – 45% 46% 4% 4%
Harper Polling/Civitas May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 47% 44% – 9%
Neighbourhood Research & Media May 12–21, 2020 391 (LV) – 42% 42% – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14, 2020 859 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 45% 3%[lower-alpha 43] 8%
Meeting Street Insights (R) May 9-13, 2020 500 (RV) – 47% 47% – 6%
East Carolina University May 7–9, 2020 1,111 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 7%[lower-alpha 44] 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–4, 2020 1,362 (RV) ± 3% 46% 49% 4%[lower-alpha 45] 2%
Meredith College Apr 27–28, 2020 604 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 47% 5%[lower-alpha 46] 7%
SurveyUSA Apr 23–26, 2020 580 (LV) ± 5.5% 45% 50% – 5%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 1] Apr 20–21, 2020 1,275 (RV) – 46% 49% – 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Put NC First (D) Apr 13–18, 2020 800 (LV) – 45% 48% – –
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave Apr 13–16, 2020 500 (LV) – 46% 48% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling Apr 14–15, 2020 1,318 (V) – 47% 48% – 5%
Harper Polling Apr 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 42% – 9%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 48% – –
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 49% 1% 5%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 49% – 6%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 44% 46% – 11%

January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 45% 5% 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% – –
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% 4% –[lower-alpha 47]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 35% 20%[lower-alpha 48] 7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 ± 3.2% 46% 51% – 4%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 41% 49% – 10%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 45% 44% – 11%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 45% 49% – 5%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 46% 49% – 5%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 ± 3.1% 44% 56% – –
Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] May 25 – Jun 1, 2019 730 – 52% 41% – 7%
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 43% 39% 7% 11%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 ± 3.6% 44% 49% – 7%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 ± 4.0% 45% 46% 8% 1%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Undecided
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 45% –
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 47% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Other Undecided
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 44% 36% 6% 14%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 ± 3.6% 46% 45% – 9%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 45% – 9%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 42% – 14%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 39% 6% 8%
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 49.4% 46.8% 3.8% –[lower-alpha 47]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 27% 25.1%[lower-alpha 49] 8.9%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 ± 3.2% 47% 46% – 7%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 43% 41% – 16%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 47% 44% – 9%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 ± 3.1% 48% 52% – –

Donald Trump vs. Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Other Undecided
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 ± 4.0% 46% 36% 18% 1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 49.3% 46.9% 3.8% –[lower-alpha 47]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39.1% 28.4% 24.8%[lower-alpha 50] 7.7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 ± 3.2% 47% 47% – 5%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 44% 43% – 13%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 47% 41% – 12%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 7%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 ± 3.1% 51% 49% – –
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 45% 34% 5% 16%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 ± 3.6% 45% 45% – 10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 46% 12%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 40% 17%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 ± 3.6% 46% 45% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Harper Polling/Civitas Institute[upper-alpha 3] Apr 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 40% – 10%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 43% – –
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.4% 46% 48% 1% 5%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 50% – 5%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 47% – 10%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 44% 45% 4% 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 44% – –
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 4% –[lower-alpha 47]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 33% 23%[lower-alpha 51] 6%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 ± 3.2% 47% 50% – 4%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 43% 47% – 10%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 46% 44% – 10%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 47% 48% – 5%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 ± 3.1% 46% 54% – –
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 46% 34% 9% 10%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 ± 3.6% 45% 48% – 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 41% – –
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% – 8%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 43% – 12%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 44% 43% 4% 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 44% – –
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 48.5% 47.6% 3.9% –[lower-alpha 47]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39.1% 33% 20.2%[lower-alpha 52] 7.4%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 ± 3.2% 46% 49% – 5%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 43% 44% – 12%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 46% 43% – 11%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 ± 4.0% 48% 46% – 6%
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 ± 3.1% 50% 50% – –
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 ± 3.6% 46% 46% – 8%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12% 1%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michelle
Obama (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 43% 50% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Oprah
Winfrey (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 ± 2.7% 43% 45% – 12%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 ± 4.0% 48% 38% 12% 2%

with Donald Trump and a person whose name was randomly chosen out of a phone book

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic individual Refused/no answer Undecided
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 42.7% 40.1% 1.1% 16.2%

with Donald Trump and Roy Cooper

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Roy
Cooper (D)		 Other Undecided
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 11% 1%

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Other Undecided
ALG Research/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 4] Jan 8–12, 2020 700 (LV) – 44% 48% – –
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 5] Sep 16–17, 2019 628 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 50% – 3%
Elon University Feb 20 – Mar 7, 2019 914 ± 3.5% 36% 48% 6%[lower-alpha 53] 9%[lower-alpha 54]

See also

Notes
General footnotes
    1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
    2. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
    3. Key:
      A – all adults
      RV – registered voters
      LV – likely voters
      V – unclear
    4. Klobuchar with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 3%
    5. Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
    6. Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
    7. Klobuchar with 6%
    8. Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
    9. Klobuchar and Steyer with 4%; Booker and Patrick with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
    10. Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Booker with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
    11. Klobuchar with 5%; "Another Candidate" with 5%
    12. Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
    13. Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
    14. Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
    15. Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
    16. Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
    17. Klobuchar with 4.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Yang with 0.7%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Williamson with 0.5%; Castro and Delaney with 0.0%
    18. "No preference" with 3.7%; "Don't know" with 11.2%; "No answer/Refused" with 1.6%
    19. Klobuchar with 6%; "Another Candidate" with 7%
    20. Klobuchar with 7%; Gabbard and Steyer with 3%
    21. Klobuchar with 5%; others with 2%
    22. Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
    23. Steyer and Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
    24. Klobuchar with 5% and Steyer with 2%
    25. Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
    26. Klobuchar and Steyer with 3%
    27. Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
    28. Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 3%
    29. Democrats only
    30. Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; refused with 6%
    31. All adults
    32. Gabbard with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 1%; refused with 21%
    33. O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
    34. Castro, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%
    35. Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; O'Rourke with 0%
    36. O'Rourke with 3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
    37. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
    38. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
    39. "Some other candidate" with 7%
    40. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
    41. "Another candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
    42. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
    43. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
    44. "Other candidate" with 7%
    45. "Someone else" with 4%
    46. "Someone else" with 5%
    47. The poll does not have a separate listing for this entry, which is instead added into the 'Other' grouping.
    48. Refused/no answer with 0.2%
    49. Refused/no answer with 0.1%
    50. Refused/no answer with 0.1%
    51. Refused/no answer with 0.1%
    52. Refused/no answer with 0.1%
    53. "Someone else" with 6%
    54. "Other/it depends" with 6%; "Don't know" with 3%
    Partisan clients
    1. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
    2. Poll sponsored by the North Carolina Republican Party
    3. Poll sponsored by the Civitas Institute, a conservative think tank
    4. Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, a group that has exclusively endorsed Democrats
    5. Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, a group that has exclusively endorsed Democrats

    References
    1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    3. Dovere, Edward-Isaac (July 18, 2017). "Can Roy Cooper Show Democrats How to Win Again?". Politico. Retrieved August 28, 2017.
    4. Moody, Aaron; Specht, Paul A. (March 29, 2018). "Roy Cooper for president? 'I'm sure I'll get some calls.'". The News & Observer. Retrieved July 5, 2018.
    5. "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
    6. "North Carolina Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
    7. News and Observer
    8. WRAL.com
    9. "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved 2020-03-04.
    10. "North Carolina Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
    11. "LOCAL ELECTIONS". ABC 11. March 3, 2020. Retrieved March 4, 2020.
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    14. "PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE - CST (VOTE FOR 1)". er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved March 4, 2020.
    15. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
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    20. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
    21. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
    22. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
    23. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
    24. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
    25. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
    26. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
    27. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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