2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The election will be conducted with ranked choice voting, as per the result of a referendum passed in 2016.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

November 3, 2020

All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0

Party Primaries were initially scheduled to take place on June 9, 2020. They were rescheduled by Gov. Janet Mills to July 14, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Mills' executive order also expanded the ability to request absentee ballots, which may now be done up to and on election day.[1] Parties currently qualified to participate in the 2020 Primary Election are the Democratic Party, the Green Independent Party, and the Republican Party. Two candidates in District 1 and four candidates in district 2 filed petitions with the Secretary of State by March 16, 2020.[2] Non-party candidates can also file petitions to be included on the ballot by June 1, 2020.[3]

District 1

The 1st district encompasses the southern coastal area of the state, taking in Portland, Augusta, Brunswick and Saco. The incumbent is Democrat Chellie Pingree, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2018.[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent) 102,773 100.0
Total votes 102,773 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Jay Allen, physician[6]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Allen 31,124 100.0
Total votes 31,124 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D August 5, 2020
Inside Elections[8] Safe D August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D July 23, 2020
Politico[10] Safe D July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[11] Safe D July 21, 2020
RCP[12] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[13] Safe D July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chellie
Pingree (D)
Jay
Allen (R)
Other/
Undecided
Critical Insights July 28 – August 10, 2020 250 48% 21% 30%[lower-alpha 2]

Results

Maine's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chellie Pingree (incumbent)
Republican Jay Allen
Total votes 100.0

District 2

The 2nd district covers most of northern rural Maine, including the cities of Lewiston, Bangor, Auburn and Presque Isle. The incumbent is Democrat Jared Golden, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.6% of the vote in 2018,[4] making him the first member of Congress to be elected by ranked choice voting.[14]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jared Golden
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Golden (incumbent) 57,718 100.0
Total votes 57,718 100.0

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Adrienne Bennett
Federal officials
Organizations
Eric Brakey
Federal officials
State officials* Paul Davis, state senator and former state representative (2008-2014), state Senate minority leader (2004-2006), and state senator (1998-2006) (co-endorsed with Dale Crofts)[33]
Organizations
Dale Crafts
Federal officials
State officials
  • Bernard Ayotte, former state representative (2006-2014)[38]
  • Kevin Battle, former state representative (2014-2018)[39]
  • Robert Berube, former state representative (2002-2008)[40]
  • Russell Black, state senator and former state representative (2010-2018)[41]
  • David C. Burns, former state senator (2012-2016)[42]
  • Richard Cebra, state representative and former Maine Republican Party chair (2012-2013) and state representative (2004-2012)[43]
  • Patrick Corey, state representative[44]
  • Dean Cray, former state representative (2008-2014)[45]
  • Andre Cushing III, former state senator (2012-2018), state Senate assistant majority leader, and state representative (2008-2012)[46]
  • Scott Cyrway, state senator[47]
  • Douglas Damon, former state representative (2010-2012)[48]
  • Paul Davis, state senator and former state representative (2008-2014), state senator (2002-2006), and state Senate minority leader (2004-2006) (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[49]
  • Peter Doak, former state representative (2012-2014)[50]
  • Dana Dow, state senator and state Senate minority leader[51]
  • Gary Drinkwater, state representative[52]
  • Bradlee Farrin, state senator and former state representative (2014-2018)[53]
  • Jeffery Gifford, former state representative (2006-2014)[54]
  • Randall Greenwood, former state representative (2014-2016)[55]
  • James Hamper, state senator and former state representative (2004-2012)[56]
  • Jeffery Hanley, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[57]
  • Gary Hilliard, former state representative (2014-2018)[58]
  • Brian Hobart, former state representative (2014-2016)[59]
  • Peter Johnson, former state representative (2008-2014)[60]
  • L. Gary Knight, former state representative (2006-2014)[61]
  • Paul LePage, 2022 Republican gubernatorial candidate and former Governor (2011-2019)[62]
  • Ricky Long, former state representative (2010-2016)[63]
  • Tom Martin, state representative and former state senator (2010-2012)[64]
  • Garrett Mason, former state senator (2010-2018) and state Senate majority leader[65]
  • Rick Mason, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[66]
  • Michael McClellan, former state representative (2010-2016)[67]
  • Susan Morissette, former state representative (2010-2012)[68]
  • Joshua Morris, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[69]
  • Allen Nadeau, former state representative (2012-2014)[70]
  • Melvin Newendyke, former state representative (2010-2014)[71]
  • John Picchiotti, former state representative (2010-2012, 2014-2018)[72]
  • Richard Pickett, state representative[73]
  • Jeffrey Pierce, former state representative (2014-2018)[74]
  • Debra Plowman, acting Education Commissioner (2016), Republican candidate in 2012 U.S. Senate race, and former state senator (2004-2012) and state Senate assistant majority leader and state representative (1992-2000)[75]
  • Gary Plummer, former state senator (2012-2014) and state representative (2004-2012)[76]
  • Matthew Pouliot, state senator and former state representative (2014-2018)[77]
  • Kerri Prescott, former state representative (2006-2012)[78]
  • Deborah Sanderson, state representative[79]
  • Jeffrey Timberlake, state senator and former state representative (2010-2018)[80]
  • Michael Timmons, former state representative (2014-2016)[81]
  • William Tuell, state representative[82]
  • Charlie Webster, former Maine Republican Party chair (2008-2012), 1994 Republican gubernatorial candidate, and former state senator (1984-1994), state Senate minority leader (1988-1992), state Senate assistant minority leader (1986-1988), and state representative (1980-1984)[83]
  • Stephen Wood, former state representative (2010-2018)[84]
  • David Woodsome, state senator[85]
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals
  • Shawn Moody, businessman, 2018 Republican gubernatorial nominee, and 2010 independent gubernatorial candidate[88]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Adrienne
Bennett
Eric
Brakey
Dale
Crafts
Undecided
SurveyUSA June 30 – July 6, 2020 604 (LV) ± 4.1% 25% 19% 37% 19%
We Ask America June 16–17, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 28% 22% 20% 29%

Primary results

Both Bennett and Brakey conceded the race to Crafts the day after the primary. As Crafts did not get 50% of the vote, Maine's ranked choice system calls for the second choices of the last place candidate's votes to be distributed to the other candidates, whether or not the candidates concede the race. Crafts criticized this as a waste of taxpayer dollars, and both Bennett and Brakey said they would refuse to accept the results of the ranked choice tabulation. Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap said whether the concessions could stop the tabulation was "a question for lawyers", but that the tabulation would begin on July 18. Crafts called on the Maine Legislature to examine this issue. Dunlap's office, while not responding directly to Crafts' call to action on the Legislature, did agree with Crafts that Dunlap was performing his duty under the law. [89]

Republican primary results[90]
Party Candidate Round 1 Round 2
Votes % (gross) % (net) Transfer Votes % (gross) % (net)
Republican Dale Crafts 19,337 41.3% 45.7% +3,551 22,888 48.9% 58.5%
Republican Adrienne Bennett 13,468 28.8% 31.8% +2,739 16,207 34.6% 41.5%
Republican Eric Brakey 9,542 20.4% 22.5% -9,542 Eliminated
Total active votes 42,347 100.0% 39,095 100.0%
Exhausted ballots 4,458 9.5% +3,252 7,710 16.5%
Total votes 46,805 100.0% 46,805 100.0%

% (gross) = percent of all valid votes cast (without eliminating the exhausted votes)
% (net) = percent of votes cast after eliminating the exhausted votes

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[91] Tossup August 5, 2020
Inside Elections[92] Tilt D August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] Tossup July 23, 2020
Politico[94] Tossup July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[95] Tossup July 21, 2020
RCP[96] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[97] Lean D July 26, 2020

Endorsements

Jared Golden (D)
Organizations
Dale Crafts (R)
Federal officials
State officials
  • Bernard Ayotte, former state representative (2006-2014)[104]
  • Kevin Battle, former state representative (2014-2018)[105]
  • Robert Berube, former state representative (2002-2008)[106]
  • Russell Black, state senator and former state representative (2010-2018)[107]
  • David C. Burns, former state senator (2012-2016)[108]
  • Richard Cebra, state representative and former Maine Republican Party chair (2012-2013) and state representative (2004-2012)[109]
  • Patrick Corey, state representative[110]
  • Dean Cray, former state representative (2008-2014)[111]
  • Andre Cushing III, former state senator (2012-2018), state Senate assistant majority leader, and state representative (2008-2012)[112]
  • Scott Cyrway, state senator[113]
  • Douglas Damon, former state representative (2010-2012)[114]
  • Paul Davis, state senator and former state representative (2008-2014), state senator (2002-2006), and state Senate minority leader (2004-2006) (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[115]
  • Peter Doak, former state representative (2012-2014)[116]
  • Dana Dow, state senator and state Senate minority leader[117]
  • Gary Drinkwater, state representative[118]
  • Bradlee Farrin, state senator and former state representative (2014-2018)[119]
  • Jeffery Gifford, former state representative (2006-2014)[120]
  • Randall Greenwood, former state representative (2014-2016)[121]
  • James Hamper, state senator and former state representative (2004-2012)[122]
  • Jeffery Hanley, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[123]
  • Gary Hilliard, former state representative (2014-2018)[124]
  • Brian Hobart, former state representative (2014-2016)[125]
  • Peter Johnson, former state representative (2008-2014)[126]
  • L. Gary Knight, former state representative (2006-2014)[127]
  • Paul LePage, 2022 Republican gubernatorial candidate and former Governor (2011-2019)[128]
  • Ricky Long, former state representative (2010-2016)[129]
  • Tom Martin, state representative and former state senator (2010-2012)[130]
  • Garrett Mason, former state senator (2010-2018) and state Senate majority leader[131]
  • Rick Mason, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[132]
  • Michael McClellan, former state representative (2010-2016)[133]
  • Susan Morissette, former state representative (2010-2012)[134]
  • Joshua Morris, state representative (co-endorsed with Eric Brakey)[135]
  • Allen Nadeau, former state representative (2012-2014)[136]
  • Melvin Newendyke, former state representative (2010-2014)[137]
  • John Picchiotti, former state representative (2010-2012, 2014-2018)[138]
  • Richard Pickett, state representative[139]
  • Jeffrey Pierce, former state representative (2014-2018)[140]
  • Debra Plowman, acting Education Commissioner (2016), Republican candidate in 2012 U.S. Senate race, and former state senator (2004-2012) and state Senate assistant majority leader and state representative (1992-2000)[141]
  • Gary Plummer, former state senator (2012-2014) and state representative (2004-2012)[142]
  • Matthew Pouliot, state senator and former state representative (2014-2018)[143]
  • Kerri Prescott, former state representative (2006-2012)[144]
  • Deborah Sanderson, state representative[145]
  • Jeffrey Timberlake, state senator and former state representative (2010-2018)[146]
  • Michael Timmons, former state representative (2014-2016)[147]
  • William Tuell, state representative[148]
  • Charlie Webster, former Maine Republican Party chair (2008-2012), 1994 Republican gubernatorial candidate, and former state senator (1984-1994), state Senate minority leader (1988-1992), state Senate assistant minority leader (1986-1988), and state representative (1980-1984)[149]
  • Stephen Wood, former state representative (2010-2018)[150]
  • David Woodsome, state senator[151]
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals
  • Shawn Moody, businessman, 2018 Republican gubernatorial nominee, and 2010 independent gubernatorial candidate[154]
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jared
Golden (D)
Dale
Crafts (R)
Other/
Undecided
Critical Insights July 28 – August 10, 2020 250 42% 33% 26%[lower-alpha 3]
Colby College/SocialSphere July 18–24, 2020 888 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 33% 17%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican (R)
Jared
Golden (D)
Undecided
Colby College/SocialSphere February 10–13, 2020 493 (LV) 29% 43% 28%

Results

Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Golden (incumbent)
Republican Dale Crafts
Total votes 100.0

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Undecided with 23%, "Someone else" with 4%, "Prefer not to say" with 2%, and "Will not vote" with 1%
  3. Undecided with 22%, "Someone else" with 2%, "Prefer not to say" with 1%, and "Will not vote" with 1%

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  153. https://www.frcaction.org/get.cfm?i=PR20B21
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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