2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. Representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
November 3, 2020
All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 1
Elections in Oklahoma
Government

District 1
See also: Oklahoma's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and includes Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent is Republican Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Endorsements
Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Organizations
  • #VoteProChoice[4]

Primary results
Democratic primary results [5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kojo Asamoa-Caesar 34,868 63.64
Democratic Mark A. Keeter 19,924 36.36
Total votes 54,792 100.0%

Independents

Candidates

Declared
  • Evelyn L. Rogers, perennial candidate[3]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern (incumbent)
Democratic Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Independent Evelyn L. Rogers
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent is Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Endorsements
Markwayne Mullin
U.S. Presidents

Primary results
Republican primary results [5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) 53,116 79.9
Republican Joseph Silk 8,440 12.7
Republican Rhonda Hopkins 4,910 7.4
Total votes 66,466 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Danyell Lanier, project analyst[3]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Richie Castaldo, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2018[3]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[16] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[18] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[19] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[20] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[21] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent)
Democratic Danyell Lanier
Libertarian Richie Castaldo
Total votes 100.0

District 3
See also: Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent is Republican Frank Lucas, who has was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
Withdrew

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Zoe Midyett, rancher[23]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[27] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[28] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[29] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[30] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank D. Lucas (incumbent)
Democratic Zoe Midyett
Total votes 100.0

District 4
See also: Oklahoma's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in South Central Oklahoma and takes in some of the Oklahoma City suburbs, including those in Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent is Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[3]
  • Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Trevor Sipes, businessman[3]
  • Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional[3]

Primary Results
Republican primary results [5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 55,682 76.3
Republican James Taylor 11,073 15.2
Republican Trevor Sipes 4,355 6.0
Republican Gilbert O. Sanders 1,832 2.5
Total votes 72,942 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Mary Brannon, retired educator and nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2018[3]
  • John D. Argo, metalworker[3]
  • David R. Slemmons, retired librarian[3]

Withdrew
  • Wyndi Brown, activist and entrerenuer[31]
  • Wesley Forbes, energy program assistant[32]

Endorsements
David R. Slemmons
Individuals

Primary results
Democratic primary results [5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Brannon 32,184 63.9
Democratic David R. Slemmons 9,789 19.4
Democratic John D. Argo 8,432 16.7
Total votes 50,405 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[35] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[37] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[38] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[39] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[40] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent)
Democratic Mary Brannon
Libertarian Bob White
Total votes 100.0

District 5
See also: Oklahoma's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent is Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Tom Guild, perennial candidate[41]
  • Kendra Horn, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements
Tom Guild
Individuals
Organizations
Kendra Horn
Individuals
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results [5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kendra Horn (incumbent) 60,168 85.69
Democratic Tom Guild 10,050 14.31
Total votes 70,218 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
  • Dan Belcher, entreprenuer[58]
  • David Greene, former horse stall cleaner[59]
  • Merideth VanSant, businesswoman[60]
Declined

Endorsements
Stephanie Bice
Federal officials
Newspapers
  • The City Sentinel[68]
Organizations
Individuals
Terry Neese
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals
  • Carly Fiorina, 2016 Republican presidential candidate, Republican nominee in the 2010 U.S. Senate election in California, and former Hewlett-Packard CEO (1999-2005)[92]
David Hill (eliminated)
Individuals
Organizations
  • Conservative Leadership PAC[98]
  • FRC Action[99]

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Janet
Barresi		 Stephanie
Bice		 David
Hill		 Terry
Neese		 Other Undecided
Okie Polls June 23, 2020 16% 39% 15% 24% 6% --

Primary results
Republican primary results [5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terry Neese 24,822 36.5
Republican Stephanie Bice 17,289 25.4
Republican David Hill 12,915 19.0
Republican Janet Barresi 6,796 10.0
Republican Jake A. Merrick 1,736 2.6
Republican Michael Ballard 1,689 2.5
Republican Miles V. Rahimi 966 1.4
Republican Shelli Landon 912 1.3
Republican Charles Tuffy Pringle 907 1.3
Total votes 68,032 100.0%

Runoff results
Republican primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Stephanie Bice
Republican Terry Neese
Total votes 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[100] Tossup July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[101] Tossup June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[102] Tossup July 2, 2020
Politico[103] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[104] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[105] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[106] Tossup June 7, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kendra
Horn (D)		 Generic Republican Undecided
Amber Integrated Jun 1-4, 2020 95 (LV) – 42% 41% 18%
Amber Integrated Mar 5-8, 2020 89 (LV) – 40% 44% 16%
Amber Integrated (R) December 18–20, 2019 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 45% 15%
with Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kendra
Horn (D)		 Generic Opponent Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Brad Parscale[upper-alpha 1] Dec 3-4, 2019 300 (LV) ± 5.66% 37% 49%[lower-alpha 1] 2%[lower-alpha 2] 12%[lower-alpha 3]
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Generic Democrat Generic Republican Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Brad Parscale[upper-alpha 2] December 3–4, 2019 300 (LV) ± 5.66% 42% 49% 9%[lower-alpha 4]

Results
Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kendra Horn (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. "It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 49% as opposed to "Horn has performed her job as Congresswoman well enough to deserve re-election"
  2. "Refused" with 2%
  3. "Unsure/depends" with 12%
  4. "Undecided" with 7%; "don't know/refused" with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Parscale, the manager of Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Parscale, the manager of Trump's 2020 presidential campaign

References
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  3. Krehbiel, Randy (June 14, 2020). "Congressional primaries include Democrats dueling for 1st District". Tulsa World.
  4. "Candidates". #VoteProChoice. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
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