2014 Maryland gubernatorial election
The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic Governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for reelection to a third consecutive term.
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County results Hogan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maryland | ||||||||
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Elections by year |
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Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Anthony G. Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.
Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill",[1] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the Democratic-leaning state.[2] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country."[3]
Background
Maryland is considered one of the most Democratic states in the country, and Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected Governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew in 1966. Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a rematch with O'Malley by a wider margin in 2010.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Running mate: Kenneth Ulman, Howard County Executive[5]
- Running mate: Jolene Ivey, State Delegate[7]
- Ralph Jaffe, teacher and perennial candidate[8]
- Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe[8]
- Heather Mizeur, State Delegate[9]
- Running mate: Delman Coates, Senior Pastor of the Mt. Ennon Baptist Church[10]
- Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate[11]
- Running mate: Clarence Tucker[11]
- Cindy Walsh, blogger[12]
- Running mate: Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia
Declined
- John Delaney, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)[13][14][15]
- Peter Franchot, Comptroller of Maryland (ran for re-election)[16]
- Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)[17]
- Kenneth Ulman, Howard County Executive (ran for Lieutenant Governor on Anthony Brown's ticket)[5]
Endorsements
Anthony G. Brown |
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National leaders
Federal legislators
State-level politicians
State legislators
Local elected officials
Organizations
|
Doug Gansler |
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Federal legislators
State-level politicians
State legislators
Local elected officials
Organizations
|
Heather Mizeur |
---|
Local elected officials
Civic leaders
Organizations
|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Anthony G. Brown |
Peter Franchot |
Doug Gansler |
Heather Mizeur |
Kenneth Ulman |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Post | June 5–8, 2014 | 487 | ± 5% | 46% | — | 23% | 16% | — | — | 16% |
Baltimore Sun | May 31–June 3, 2014 | 499 | ± 4.4% | 41% | — | 20% | 15% | — | — | 15% |
WPA Opinion Research** | May 6–7, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 34% | — | 20% | 7% | — | 3% | 40% |
St. Mary's College | April 10–13, 2014 | 502 | ± ? | 27.1% | — | 10.8% | 7.7% | — | — | 54.3% |
Washington Post | February 13–16, 2014 | 469 | ± 5.5% | 34% | — | 15% | 8% | — | — | 43% |
Baltimore Sun | February 8–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | — | 14% | 10% | — | — | 40% |
Gonzales Research | October 1–14, 2013 | 403 | ± 5% | 40.7% | — | 21.1% | 5.2% | — | — | 33% |
GarinHartYang* | September 11–15, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 43% | — | 21% | 5% | — | — | 31% |
46% | — | 24% | — | — | — | 30% | ||||
WPA Opinion Research** | September 10–11, 2013 | ? | ± ? | 40% | — | 22% | 7% | — | — | 38% |
NormingtonPets^ | December 3–5, 2012 | ? | ± 4.4% | 22% | 13% | 8% | — | 4% | — | 53% |
GarinHartYang* | September 12–13, 2012 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 31% | 14% | 18% | — | 4% | — | 33% |
37% | — | 23% | — | 5% | — | 35% | ||||
41% | — | 25% | — | — | — | 34% |
- ** Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign
- * Internal poll for the Anthony G. Brown campaign
- ^ Internal poll for the Peter Franchot campaign
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Anthony G. Brown | 249,398 | 51.41 | |
Democratic | Doug Gansler | 117,383 | 24.2 | |
Democratic | Heather Mizeur | 104,721 | 21.59 | |
Democratic | Cindy Walsh | 6,863 | 1.41 | |
Democratic | Charles U. Smith | 3,507 | 0.72 | |
Democratic | Ralph Jaffe | 3,221 | 0.66 | |
Total votes | 485,093 | 100.00 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- David R. Craig, Harford County Executive[50]
- Running mate: Jeannie Haddaway, State Delegate[51]
- Ron George, State Delegate[52]
- Larry Hogan, former State Secretary of Appointments[54]
- Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration[55]
- Charles Lollar, former chairman of the Charles County Republican Central Committee and nominee for Maryland's 5th congressional district in 2010[56]
- Running mate: Kenneth R. Timmerman, investigative reporter, conservative activist and nominee for Maryland's 8th congressional district in 2012[57]
Disqualified
- Brian Vaeth, businessman, retired firefighter and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[58]
- Running mate: Duane "Shorty" Davis, activist[59]
Withdrew
- Blaine Young, president of the Frederick County Board of Commissioners[60]
Declined
- Dan Bongino, former United States Secret Service agent and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (ran for Congress)[61]
- Nancy Jacobs, state senator[62][63]
- John R. Leopold, former Anne Arundel County Executive[62][64]
- Marty Madden, former state senator[62]
- Meyer Marks, political activist[61][65]
- E. J. Pipkin, Minority Leader of the Maryland Senate and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004[66]
- Michael Steele, former lieutenant governor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and former chairman of the Republican National Committee[67]
Endorsements
David R. Craig |
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Larry Hogan |
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Charles Lollar |
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|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Craig |
Ron George |
Larry Hogan |
Charles Lollar |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Post | June 5–8, 2014 | 228 | ± 7.5% | 19% | 5% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 29% |
Baltimore Sun | May 31–June 3, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 12% | 6% | 27% | 12% | — | 37% |
St. Mary's College | April 10–13, 2014 | 270 | ± ? | 7.8% | 3.8% | 16% | 3.8% | — | 68.6% |
Washington Post | February 13–16, 2014 | 290 | ± 7% | 13% | 4% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 57% |
Baltimore Sun | February 8–12, 2014 | 499 | ± 4.4% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 5% | — | 69% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Larry Hogan | 92,376 | 42.98 | |
Republican | David R. Craig | 62,639 | 29.14 | |
Republican | Charles Lollar | 33,292 | 15.49 | |
Republican | Ron George | 26,628 | 12.39 | |
Total votes | 214,935 | 100.00 |
General election
Candidates
- Larry Hogan (Republican Party), former State Secretary of Appointments
- Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration
- Anthony G. Brown (Democratic Party), Lieutenant Governor of Maryland
- Running mate: Kenneth Ulman, Howard County Executive
- Shawn Quinn (Libertarian Party), candidate for the House of Delegates in 2010[12]
- Running mate: Lorenzo Gaztanaga, perennial candidate
Campaign
Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as a part of the Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland."[74] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled fewer than 4,000 people.[75]
Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state's abortion or gun control laws.[76] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Hogan's call for Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."
Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing Brown/O'Malley's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by "40 consecutive tax hikes."[77] Brown said there have been times he has disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction.[78] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters" and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth.[79]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 7, 2014 – C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2014 – YouTube
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[80] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[81] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[82] | Tilt D | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[83] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Anthony G. Brown (D) |
Larry Hogan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Opinion Research* | October 20–24, 2014 | 500 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 44% | — | 17% |
Gonzales Research | October 20–24, 2014 | 822 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 2%[84] | 18% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,086 | ± 5% | 51% | 38% | 0% | 11% |
WPA Opinion Research* | October 19–20, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 41% | — | 15% |
Gravis Marketing | October 6–9, 2014 | 784 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
Baltimore Sun | October 4–8, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Washington Post | October 2–5, 2014 | 549 LV | ± 5% | 47% | 38% | 4%[84] | 11% |
807 RV | ± 4% | 44% | 31% | 6%[84] | 19% | ||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,096 | ± 4% | 55% | 38% | 1% | 7% |
Gonzales Research | September 16–23, 2014 | 805 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 43% | 1%[84] | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,082 | ± 4% | 51% | 37% | 3% | 10% |
OnMessage, Inc.* | August 18–19, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38 | 45% | 42% | 4%[84] | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,409 | ± ? | 52% | 39% | 2% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 9–10, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 48% | 35% | 7% | 10% |
Washington Post | June 5–8, 2014 | 962 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 33% | — | 16% |
WPA Opinion Research* | May 6–7, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 35% | — | 23% |
WPA Opinion Research* | September 10–11, 2013 | ? | ± ? | 46% | 32% | — | 22% |
- * Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Larry Hogan | 884,400 | 51.03% | +9.24% | |
Democratic | Anthony G. Brown | 818,890 | 47.25% | -8.99% | |
Libertarian | Shawn Quinn | 25,382 | 1.46% | +0.70% | |
Write-in | 4,505 | 0.26% | +0.15% | ||
Total votes | 1,733,177 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
By county
Source:[85]
County | Brown | Votes | Hogan | Votes | Others | Votes | Totals | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allegany | 22.60% | 4,629 | 75.25% | 15,410 | 2.14% | 439 | 20,478 | |||
Anne Arundel | 32.16% | 58,001 | 66.10% | 119,195 | 1.74% | 3,142 | 180,338 | |||
Baltimore (City) | 75.50% | 106,213 | 21.92% | 30,845 | 2.58% | 3,628 | 140,686 | |||
Baltimore (County) | 38.89% | 102,734 | 59.03% | 155,936 | 2.07% | 5,473 | 264,143 | |||
Calvert | 29.11% | 9,579 | 69.11% | 22,739 | 1.78% | 586 | 32,904 | |||
Caroline | 20.97% | 1,931 | 77.58% | 7,144 | 1.44% | 133 | 9,208 | |||
Carroll | 16.07% | 10,349 | 82.20% | 52,951 | 1.74% | 1,119 | 64,419 | |||
Cecil | 20.43% | 5,467 | 77.33% | 20,699 | 2.24% | 600 | 26,766 | |||
Charles | 51.83% | 24,601 | 46.91% | 22,268 | 1.26% | 600 | 47,469 | |||
Dorchester | 30.51% | 3,252 | 68.26% | 7,276 | 1.24% | 132 | 10,660 | |||
Frederick | 34.57% | 27,682 | 63.34% | 50,715 | 2.09% | 1,675 | 80,072 | |||
Garrett | 17.80% | 1,634 | 79.71% | 7,319 | 2.49% | 229 | 9,182 | |||
Harford | 21.66% | 19,814 | 76.52% | 69,986 | 1.82% | 1,660 | 91,460 | |||
Howard | 46.68% | 49,227 | 51.54% | 54,353 | 1.78% | 1,873 | 105,453 | |||
Kent | 33.56% | 2,603 | 64.58% | 5,009 | 1.86% | 144 | 7,756 | |||
Montgomery | 61.81% | 163,694 | 36.75% | 97,312 | 1.44% | 3,813 | 264,819 | |||
Prince George's | 84.23% | 184,950 | 14.86% | 32,619 | 0.91% | 2,003 | 219,572 | |||
Queen Anne's | 19.34% | 3,757 | 79.46% | 15,436 | 1.20% | 233 | 19,426 | |||
St. Mary's | 25.20% | 8,203 | 72.72% | 23,675 | 2.09% | 679 | 32,557 | |||
Somerset | 31.86% | 2,135 | 66.38% | 4,448 | 1.16% | 78 | 6,701 | |||
Talbot | 29.03% | 4,420 | 69.72% | 10,616 | 1.25% | 190 | 15,226 | |||
Washington | 24.89% | 9,661 | 73.33% | 28,469 | 1.78% | 691 | 38,821 | |||
Wicomico | 34.07% | 8,833 | 64.30% | 16,669 | 1.63% | 422 | 25,924 | |||
Worcester | 28.85% | 5,521 | 69.35% | 13,271 | 1.80% | 345 | 19,137 |
By congressional district
Hogan won 5 of the state's 8 congressional districts, including 4 that are heavily Democratic in presidential races.[86]
District | Hogan | Brown | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 77.96% | 20.41% | Andy Harris |
2nd | 56.59% | 41.27% | Dutch Ruppersberger |
3rd | 54.99% | 42.93% | John Sarbanes |
4th | 33.72% | 65.16% | Donna Edwards |
5th | 47.23% | 51.31% | Steny Hoyer |
6th | 58.27% | 39.85% | John Delaney |
7th | 38.30% | 59.58% | Elijah Cummings |
8th | 49.71% | 48.70% | Chris Van Hollen |
See also
References
- "Maryland Governor's race has turned unexpectedly tight". Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
- "Unofficial 2014 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". Maryland State Board of Elections. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2014.
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- "State, county seats up for grabs this year". Gazette.net. December 31, 2013. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
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- "Endorsements". anthonybrown.com. Retrieved October 23, 2013.
- Wagner, John (July 22, 2013). "Hoyer, Miller among latest to endorse Anthony Brown's bid for Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- Bush, Matt (January 10, 2014). "House Speaker Busch Endorses Anthony Brown For Maryland Governor". wamu.org. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
- "Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman Endorsed by Maryland-DC Council of AFL-CIO". AnthonyBrown.com. October 26, 2013. Archived from the original on October 30, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013.
- "SEIU Maryland-DC State Council Endorses Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman". AnthonyBrown.com. September 30, 2013. Archived from the original on October 4, 2013. Retrieved October 1, 2013.
- Wagner, John (July 31, 2013). "Brown wins backing of veterans group in Maryland gubernatorial race". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 1, 2013.
- "MSEA endorses Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown for Maryland governor". WJLA.com. October 19, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
- "AFSCME endorses Brown-Ulman campaign for Md Governor". delmarvanow.com. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
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- "Mizeur gains endorsement of Gilchrest, Shore leaders". Heathermizeur.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2013. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
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- "Official 2014 Gubernatorial Primary Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". Maryland Secretary of State. July 16, 2014. Retrieved July 30, 2014.
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- Wagner, John (August 9, 2013). "Lollar to launch Maryland gubernatorial campaign during first week of September". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
- Wagner, John (February 24, 2014). "Maryland GOP gubernatorial hopeful Lollar chooses Kenneth Timmerman as running mate". Washington Post. Retrieved February 24, 2014.
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- Wagner, John (August 24, 2013). "GOP's Young decides against bid for governor of Maryland next year". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 26, 2013.
- Wagner, John (June 1, 2013). "Bongino confirms bid for Congress rather than Maryland governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 2, 2013.
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- "State Sen. Nancy Jacobs to run for Congress". Star Dem. January 4, 2012.
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- Wagner, John (August 5, 2013). "Top Maryland Senate Republican E.J. Pipkin plans to resign, move to Texas". The Washington Post.
- Wagner, John (September 18, 2013). "Former RNC chair Michael Steele will 'take a pass' on Maryland governor's race". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
- Wagner, John (July 16, 2013). "David Craig unveils Del. Haddaway-Riccio as running mate in Maryland governor's race". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 18, 2014.
- "GOP's Craig to enter race for governor; Brown picks Ulman for ticket". May 29, 2013. Retrieved February 18, 2014.
- Costa, Robert; Johnson, Jenna (January 20, 2015). "Hogan, Christie: Strong bond between 'two peas in a pod' will be on display Wednesday". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 7, 2019.
- Collins, David (October 22, 2014). "Chris Christie Again Stops for Larry Hogan". WBAL. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
- Wagner, John (February 5, 2014). "Ehrlich to appear at event for Maryland GOP gubernatorial hopeful Larry Hogan". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 10, 2014.
- Griffiths, Brian (December 12, 2013). "Larry Hogan for Governor". Retrieved February 10, 2014.
- "A summer sequel: Hogan posts another ad on 'the most incompetent man in Maryland'". Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
- Alexander Burns. "Obamacare fight erupts in deep-blue Maryland". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
- Kevin Robillard. "How Larry Hogan won in Maryland". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
- Seven commentators (October 7, 2014). "Analyzing the gubernatorial debate: Commentators react". Maryland Reporter. Retrieved October 25, 2014.
Here are some reactions to last night's debate
- "BLOG: Maryland Gubernatorial Debate Wrap-Up". WJZ-TV. October 7, 2014. Retrieved October 8, 2014.
- Dresser, Michael; Cox, Erin (October 7, 2014). "Brown, Hogan accuse each other of not telling truth". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved October 8, 2014.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
- Shawn Quinn (L)
- "Official 2014 Gubernatorial General Election results for Governor / Lt. Governor". State Board of Elections, Maryland. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
- "2018 Election Results". Maryland State Board of Elections. Retrieved July 9, 2018.
External links
- Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org
- Official campaign websites (Archived)