2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

In the 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election on November 6, 2018, Kevin Stitt, Republican party nominee was elected as the next governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican governor Mary Fallin was term-limited and could not seek reelection to a third consecutive term. Primary elections occurred on June 26, 2018, with primary runoff elections having occurred on August 28, 2018.[1][2]

2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

November 6, 2018
 
Nominee Kevin Stitt Drew Edmondson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 644,579 500,973
Percentage 54.3% 42.2%

County results
Stitt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Edmondson:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Mary Fallin
Republican

Elected Governor

Kevin Stitt
Republican

The Democratic Party nominated former Oklahoma Attorney General Drew Edmondson. The Republican primary eliminated Lt. Gov. Todd Lamb, resulting in a runoff election between former Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett and businessman Kevin Stitt. On August 28, 2018, Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for the office. The Libertarian primary also advanced to a runoff, with Chris Powell, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma, winning the nomination. This was also the first election in which the Libertarian Party has been on the ballot to participate in a gubernatorial election in Oklahoma,[3] and the first time since 1986 that a candidate from the president's party was elected Governor of Oklahoma.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary runoff

Eliminated in the initial primary

Endorsements

Mick Cornett
Mayors
Individuals
  • Gary Richardson, Former Eastern District Attorney and Candidate for Governor in 2002 & 2018[30]
Organizations
Todd Lamb
U.S. Representative
Individuals
Organizations
Gary Richardson
Individuals
  • Thomas P. Stafford, Apollo 10 Commander[39]
  • Monica Deon, Former Tulsa County Donald Trump presidential campaign, 2016 Volunteer Coordinator[40]
Organizations
  • Sooner Politics News[41]
  • The Edmond Republican GROUP[42]
Kevin Stitt
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Mayors
Individuals
  • Blake "Cowboy" Stephens, Rancher, Educator and Candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[55]
Organizations
Newspapers

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett
Dan
Fisher
Gary
Jones
Todd
Lamb
Gary
Richardson
Kevin
Stitt
Other Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) June 6–7, 2018 435 ± 4.5% 21% 4% 2% 20% 6% 20% 28%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) May 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 13% 4% 3% 20% 13% 17% 30%
Right Strategy Group (R) May 22–23, 2018 409 ± 5.0% 20% 4% 3% 20% 4% 21% 29%
SoonerPoll May 15–23, 2018 319 20% 3% 4% 23% 3% 14% 1% 31%
Magellan Strategies April 18–19 and 22, 2018 644 ± 3.9% 17% 5% 5% 19% 12% 19% 23%
SoonerPoll March 14–22, 2018 294 22% 4% 3% 21% 7% 8% 36%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) March 9, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 15% 2% 3% 14% 10% 8% 48%
SoonerPoll January 4–9, 2018 213 24% 4% 3% 18% 9% 3% 39%

Results

Initial primary results by county:
Republican primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mick Cornett 132,806 29.3
Republican Kevin Stitt 110,479 24.4
Republican Todd Lamb 107,985 23.9
Republican Dan Fisher 35,818 7.9
Republican Gary Jones 25,243 5.6
Republican Gary Richardson 18,185 4.0
Republican Blake Stephens 12,211 2.7
Republican Christopher Barnett 5,240 1.2
Republican Barry Gowdy 2,347 0.5
Republican Eric Foutch 2,292 0.5
Total votes 452,606 100.0

Runoff

Campaign finance

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018
Candidate Total
raised
Total
spent
Total
cash-on-hand
Kevin Stitt $6,542,863.91 $6,018,662.13 $368,557.72
Mick Cornett $3,242,795.74 $2,826,305.70 $336,691.50

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mick
Cornett
Kevin
Stitt
Undecided
Remington (R) August 1–2, 2018 1,757 ± 2.3% 37% 47% 16%
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 385 ± 5.0% 33% 41% 26%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 483 ± 4.5% 37% 37% 25%

Results

Primary runoff results by county:
Republican primary runoff results[61]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Stitt 164,892 54.56
Republican Mick Cornett 137,316 45.44
Total votes 302,208 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Drew Edmondson
Governors

David Boren, 21st Governor of Oklahoma, Former President of University of Oklahoma, former US senator [73]

Mayors

Eric Garcetti, 42nd Mayor of Los Angeles [74]

State Representatives

Scott Inman, Minority Leader of the Oklahoma House of Representatives & candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[75]

Newspapers

The Tulsa World, Daily Newspaper for Tulsa, Oklahoma [76]

Individuals

Norman Jay Brown, auto mechanic & candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[77]

Organizations

Oklahoma Education Association,[78]

Oklahoma Public Employees Association,[79]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Drew
Edmondson
Connie
Johnson
Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) June 6–7, 2018 45% 11% 45%
SoonerPoll May 15–23, 2018 297 ± 5.7% 44% 14% 43%

Results

Results by county:
Democratic primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Drew Edmondson 242,764 61.4
Democratic Connie Johnson 152,730 38.6
Total votes 395,494 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Chris Powell, former chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and candidate for Oklahoma County Clerk in 2016[80]

Eliminated in the primary runoff

  • Rex L. Lawhorn, former chair of the Oklahoma Americans Elect Party and Oklahoma State Director for Our America Initiative[81]

Eliminated in the initial primary

Endorsements

Chris Powell
Newspapers
  • The City Sentinel, Monthly Newspaper for Oklahoma City, Oklahoma [83]
Individuals
  • Norma Sapp, Director, Oklahoma chapter of the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws[84]
  • Frank Grove, President, Drug Reform Network of Oklahoma[84]
  • Tim Gillespie, founder of the Oklahoma 2nd Amendment Association
  • Ken Young, Chair, Oklahoma State Board of Cosmetology
  • Tom Laurent, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and former member of the Libertarian National Committee
  • Robert T. Murphy, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and former member of the Libertarian National Committee and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016
  • D. Frank Robinson, first Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and founding member of the national Libertarian Party
  • Tina Kelly, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Steve Galpin, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Jimmy Cook, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Angela O’Dell, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party[85]

First round

Results

Initial primary results by county:
Libertarian primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Chris Powell 1,740 48.9
Libertarian Rex L. Lawhorn 1,154 32.4
Libertarian Joe Exotic 664 18.7
Total votes 3,558 100%

Runoff

Campaign finance

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018
Candidate Total
raised
Total
spent
Total
cash-on-hand
Chris Powell $10,142.88 $6,991.02 $3,017.51
Rex L. Lawhorn $4,575.00 $5,286.87 ($736.87)

Results

Primary runoff results by county:
Libertarian primary runoff results[61]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Chris Powell 547 59.1
Libertarian Rex L. Lawhorn 379 40.9
Total votes 926 100.0

General election

Oklahoma general election ballot for 2018

Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third.[86]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[87] Tossup October 26, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[88] Lean R September 14, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] Lean R September 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[90] Lean R September 15, 2018
Daily Kos[91] Lean R September 5, 2018
Fox News[92][lower-alpha 1] Likely R October 9, 2018
Politico[93] Lean R October 9, 2018
Governing[94] Lean R October 2, 2018
The Washington Post[95] Lean R October 16, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kevin
Stitt (R)
Drew
Edmondson (D)
Chris
Powell (L)
Undecided
SoonerPoll October 31 – November 3, 2018 338 ± 5.3% 47% 44% 3% 6%
SoonerPoll October 23–25, 2018 447 ± 4.6% 46% 42% 4% 8%
Magellan Strategies (R) October 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 51% 44% 1% 4%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R) September 25–29, 2018 500 ± 4.3% 46% 40% 4%
Right Strategy Group (R) September 25–26, 2018 1,058 ± 3.0% 47% 43% 2% 8%
SoonerPoll September 5–10, 2018 407 ± 4.9% 47% 44% 3% 6%
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 17%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% 39% 40% 21%
SoonerPoll May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 25% 32% 43%

Results

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Kevin Stitt 644,579 54.33% -1.47%
Democratic Drew Edmondson 500,973 42.23% +1.22%
Libertarian Chris Powell 40,833 3.44% N/A
Total votes 1,186,385 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

  • Oklahoma state elections, 2018

References

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Official campaign websites
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