2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa | ||||||||||
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District 1
The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent is Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Abby Finkenauer, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Endorsements
Abby Finkenauer |
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) | 72,474 | 99.3 | |
N/A | Write-in | 482 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 72,956 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ashley Hinson, state representative[12]
Defeated in primary
- Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman[13]
Endorsements
Ashley Hinson |
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|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ashley Hinson | 38,552 | 77.8 | |
Republican | Thomas Hansen | 10,845 | 21.9 | |
N/A | Write-in | 152 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 49,549 | 100.0% |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
Inside Elections[20] | Tilt D | July 24, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Tossup | July 23, 2020 |
Politico[22] | Tossup | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[23] | Lean D | July 21, 2020 |
RCP[24] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[25] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Abby Finkenauer (D) |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 391 | ± 5.0% | 51% | 41% | 9%[lower-alpha 2] |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] | March 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – |
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 2] | January 11–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44%[lower-alpha 3] | 40% | 15% |
40%[lower-alpha 4] | 48% | – |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Ashley Hinson | |||
Total votes | 100.0 |
District 2
The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent is Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018;[1] he subsequently announced he would not seek re-election on April 12, 2019.[26]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Newman Abuissa, engineer[28]
Declined
- Joe Bolkcom, state senator[29]
- Wes Breckenridge, State Representative[29]
- Ken Croken, member of the Scott County Board of Supervisors[30]
- Cathy Glasson, union leader, nurse, and candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2018[31]
- Kevin Kinney, state senator[32]
- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. Representative[26]
- Ian Russell, attorney[33]
- Veronica Tessler, businesswoman[34]
- Zach Wahls, state senator[29][35]
Endorsements
Rita Hart |
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rita Hart | 67,023 | 99.6 | |
N/A | Write-ins | 268 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 67,291 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks, state senator; nominee for this seat in 2008, 2010, and 2014[49]
Defeated in primary
- Tim Borchardt, retail worker[50]
- Steven Everly, electrician[51]
- Rick Phillips, businessman[52]
- Bobby Schilling, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 17th congressional district (2011–2013)[53]
Declined
- Chris Cournoyer, state senator[55]
- Bob Gallagher, mayor of Bettendorf[56]
- Bobby Kaufmann, state representative[57]
- Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK Construction and member of the National Women's Business Council[58]
- Mark Lofgren, state senator[59]
- Chris Peters, surgeon and nominee for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018[60]
- Brad Randolph, mayor of Fort Madison[55]
- Roby Smith, state senator[56]
Endorsements
Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
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Bobby Schilling |
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 23,036 | 47.6 | |
Republican | Bobby Schilling | 17,570 | 36.3 | |
Republican | Steven Everly | 2,806 | 5.8 | |
Republican | Rick Phillips | 2,441 | 5.1 | |
Republican | Tim Borchardt | 2,369 | 4.9 | |
N/A | Write-in | 161 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 48,383 | 100.0% |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[66] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
Inside Elections[67] | Tilt D | July 24, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[68] | Lean D | July 23, 2020 |
Politico[69] | Lean D | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[70] | Lean D | July 21, 2020 |
RCP[71] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[72] | Likely D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Rita Hart (D) |
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) |
Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 374 | ± 5.1% | 44% | 47% | 9%[lower-alpha 8] |
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 5] | July 26–28, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 41% | 16% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rita Hart | |||
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | |||
Total votes | 100.0 |
District 3
The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent is Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. Representative[73]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 76,681 | 99.2 | |
N/A | Write-ins | 623 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 77,304 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Young, former U.S. Representative[75]
Defeated in primary
- Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran[76]
Declined
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Young | 39,103 | 69.5 | |
Republican | Bill Schafer | 16,904 | 30.1 | |
N/A | Write-in | 227 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 56,234 | 100.0% |
Third parties
Candidates
- Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian)[81]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[82] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
Inside Elections[83] | Tilt D | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] | Lean D | July 23, 2020 |
Politico[85] | Tossup | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[86] | Lean D | July 21, 2020 |
RCP[87] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[88] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Cindy Axne (D) |
David Young (R) |
Bryan Holder (L) |
Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 507 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 11] |
The Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 1] | July 7–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 44% | 6% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | |||
Republican | David Young | |||
Libertarian | Brian Jack Holder | |||
Total votes | 100.0 |
District 4
The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent is Republican Steve King, who was re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Randy Feenstra, state senator[89]
Defeated in primary
- Steve King, incumbent U.S. Representative[90]
- Steve Reeder, businessman[91]
- Bret Richards, U.S. Army veteran and former businessman[92]
- Jeremy Taylor, Woodbury County supervisor and former state representative[93]
Declined
- Rick Bertrand, state senator and candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2016[94]
- Cyndi Hanson, candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018[95]
- Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce[96]
- Rick Sanders, Story County supervisor[97]
- Linda Upmeyer, Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives[98]
Endorsements
Randy Feenstra |
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Steve King |
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Steve King |
Randy Feenstra |
Steve Reeder |
Jeremy Taylor |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 6] | May 16–18, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 41% | 1% | 4% | 3%[upper-alpha 7] | – |
41%[lower-alpha 14] | 48% | – | – | – | – | ||||
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 8] | May 7–8, 2020 | 350 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 39% | 36% | – | – | 9%[lower-alpha 15] | 10% |
American Viewpoint/[upper-alpha 8] | April 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 34% | – | – | 8%[lower-alpha 16] | 15% |
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 8] | January 27–29, 2020 | –[lower-alpha 17] | – | 53% | 22% | – | – | – | –[lower-alpha 18] |
G1 Survey Research | October 1–3, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 59% | 15% | 6% | 0% | 2%[lower-alpha 19] | 17% |
64%[lower-alpha 20] | 24% | – | – | – | 12%[lower-alpha 21] | ||||
64%[lower-alpha 22] | – | – | 19% | – | 17%[lower-alpha 23] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Randy Feenstra | 37,297 | 45.5 | |
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 29,362 | 35.9 | |
Republican | Jeremy Taylor | 6,417 | 7.8 | |
Republican | Bret Richards | 6,136 | 7.5 | |
Republican | Steve Reeder | 2,522 | 3.1 | |
N/A | Write-in | 176 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 81,910 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- J. D. Scholten, former paralegal, former professional baseball player, and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018[110]
Endorsements
J.D. Scholten |
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 46,354 | 99.6 | |
N/A | Write-in | 166 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 46,520 | 100.0% |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[113] | Safe R | July 16, 2020 |
Inside Elections[114] | Safe R | July 24, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[115] | Safe R | July 23, 2020 |
Politico[116] | Safe R | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[117] | Safe R | July 21, 2020 |
RCP[118] | Lean R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[119] | Likely R | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Randy Feenstra (R) |
J.D. Scholten (D) |
Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 393 | ± 5.0% | 54% | 34% | 12%[lower-alpha 24] |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Randy Feenstra | |||
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | |||
Total votes | 100.0 |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Other" with 1% and Undecided with 8%
- Standard VI response
- Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
- Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- Standard VI response
- "No one" with 1% and Undecided with 9%
- Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- "Other" with 1%, "No one" with 1%, and Undecided with 6%
- Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- If only King and Feenstra were candidates
- "Another candidate" with 9%
- "Another candidate" with 8%
- Not yet released
- Not yet released
- Bret Richards with 2%
- If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
- "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
- If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
- "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
- "Other" with 1%, "No one" with 3%, and Undecided with 8%
- Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
- The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
- This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
- The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
- Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
- American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
- Richards with 3%
- Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC
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State Senator Zach Wahls has said he would not run for Congress if Hart does.
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Rita Hart (IA-02)
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There's also talk of Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK construction, eyeing a run.
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- Weigel, David (January 15, 2019). "The Trailer: The message of Julián Castro's visit to Puerto Rico". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- Hayworth, Bret (January 24, 2019). "Jeremy Taylor of Sioux City enters GOP primary to unseat Iowa's Steve King". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved April 13, 2019.
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- https://www.feenstraforcongress.com/2020/05/07/ia0forlife
- "Republican Jewish Coalition Endorses Rep. Steve King's Primary Opponent". May 8, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
- http://mainstreetpac.com/republican-main-street-partnership-pac-announces-endorsement-of-seven-congressional-candidates-in-key-suburban-districts-2
- Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 5, 2020). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses challenger Randy Feenstra over Rep. Steve King in primary race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
- https://siouxcityjournal.com/opinion/editorial/our-opinion-feenstra-represents-best-choice-for-republicans-in-4th-district-u-s-house-primary/article_e89b30a3-289b-5911-b77f-ebff6a685691.html
- "Congressman Steve King receives campaign endorsement from former Rep. Klemme". KCAU. February 22, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
- https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2020/05/sam-clovis-endorses-steve-king
- "Election Night Reporting | UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 4 – REPUBLICAN". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Iowa Secretary of State.
- Judd, Donald (August 5, 2019). "Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King". CNN. Retrieved August 5, 2019.
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- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
External links
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates