2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut

The 2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has 7 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until August 11, 2020, marking the first time that the modern presidential primary season has extended into August. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties. Furthermore, both the Democratic and Republican National Conventions were scheduled one and two weeks afterwards, respectively, essentially making the Connecticut primary races pro forma.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 19, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3] Then on April 17, they were further pushed back to August 11.[4]

Republican primary

The state had 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention, all going to Trump.[5]

2020 Connecticut Republican presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 69,807 79.0% 28
Uncommitted 12,147 13.7% 0
Rocky De La Fuente (withdrawn) 6,438 7.3% 0
Total 88,392 100% 28 (of 28)

Democratic primary

2020 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7]
Joe Biden 218,791 84.84% 60
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 29,797 11.55%
Uncommitted 5,911 2.29%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 3,377 1.31%
Total 257,876 100% 60

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[12] Lean D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[13] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[14] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[15] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[16] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[17] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[18] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[19] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[20] Safe D August 6, 2020

Polling

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Survey USA May 19-24, 2020 808 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 52% 7% 8%
Quinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 945 (RV) ± 3.2% 33% 56% 3%[lower-alpha 2] 7%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 34% 47%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 36% 52%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 32% 52% 16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 33% 52% 15%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1000 (A) ± 3.% 33% 47% 20%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 34% 46% 20%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 34% 47% 19%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 48%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 38% 50%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 35% 52% 13%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 35% 51% 14%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1000 (A) ± 3.0% 36% 49% 16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 35% 49% 16%

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%

See also

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Connecticut governor says primaries moved to June". CNN. March 19, 2020.
  4. Dixon, Ken (April 17, 2020). "Connecticut's presidential primary will be delayed further by coronavirus: August 11". Connecticut Post.
  5. "Connecticut Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
  6. "August 2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary". Connecticut Secretary of State. 14 August 2020.
  7. "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Connecticut Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved 12 August 2020.
  8. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  9. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  10. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  11. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  12. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  13. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  14. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  15. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  16. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  17. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  18. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  19. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  20. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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