2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas
The 2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Arkansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arkansas has 6 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
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Primary elections
The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.
Republican primary
Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republicans candidates. Tom Cotton, current senator from Arkansas, has declined to run as of January 2019.[3][4][5]
The following candidates are on the ballot.[6]
Arkansas Republican Party presidential primary, 2020[7] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Popular vote | Delegates | |
Count | Percentage | ||
238,980 | 97.13% | 40 | |
Bill Weld | 5,216 | 2.12% | 0 |
Rocky De La Fuente | 1,848 | 0.75% | 0 |
Total | 246,044 | 100% | 40 |
Democratic primary
Michael Bloomberg, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[8]
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[10] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 93,012 | 40.59 | 17 |
Bernie Sanders | 51,413 | 22.44 | 9 |
Michael Bloomberg | 38,312 | 16.72 | 5 |
Elizabeth Warren | 22,971 | 10.03 | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) | 7,649 | 3.34 | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) | 7,009 | 3.06 | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) | 2,053 | 0.90 | |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1,593 | 0.70 | |
Kamala Harris (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 574 | 0.25 | |
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 572 | 0.25 | |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 501 | 0.22 | |
Steve Bullock (withdrawn) | 485 | 0.21 | |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 443 | 0.19 | |
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 408 | 0.18 | |
Mosie Boyd | 393 | 0.17 | |
Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 304 | 0.13 | |
Total | 229,122 | 100% | 31 |
†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.
Results by county
2020 Arkansas Democratic primary
(results per county)[11] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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County | Joe Biden | Bernie Sanders | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren | Pete Buttigieg | Amy Klobuchar | Tom Steyer | Tulsi Gabbard | Kamala Harris | Andrew Yang | Michael Bennet | Cory Booker | Marianne Williamson | Steve Bullock | John Delaney | Joe Sestak | Mosie Boyd | Julian Castro | Total votes cast | ||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Arkansas | 450 | 49.23 | 125 | 13.68 | 158 | 17.29 | 81 | 8.86 | 21 | 2.30 | 35 | 3.83 | 16 | 1.75 | 10 | 1.09 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 0.33 | 4 | 0.44 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0.66 | 2 | 0.22 | 914 |
Ashley | 633 | 52.40 | 253 | 20.94 | 133 | 11.01 | 62 | 5.13 | 29 | 2.40 | 29 | 2.40 | 7 | 0.58 | 7 | 0.58 | 5 | 0.41 | 3 | 0.25 | 7 | 0.58 | 5 | 0.41 | 10 | 0.83 | 12 | 0.99 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0.50 | 4 | 0.33 | 1,208 |
Baxter | 955 | 43.02 | 448 | 20.18 | 400 | 18.02 | 188 | 8.47 | 100 | 4.50 | 79 | 3.56 | 11 | 0.50 | 7 | 0.32 | 8 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.32 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0.23 | 4 | 0.18 | 3 | 0.14 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0.05 | 2,220 |
Benton | 5,745 | 31.65 | 5,270 | 29.03 | 2,819 | 15.53 | 2,438 | 13.43 | 1,001 | 5.51 | 498 | 2.74 | 118 | 0.65 | 95 | 0.52 | 9 | 0.05 | 60 | 0.33 | 10 | 0.06 | 13 | 0.07 | 18 | 0.10 | 16 | 0.09 | 9 | 0.05 | 11 | 0.06 | 5 | 0.03 | 17 | 0.09 | 18,152 |
Boone | 676 | 40.36 | 406 | 24.24 | 265 | 15.82 | 152 | 9.07 | 65 | 3.88 | 55 | 3.28 | 8 | 0.48 | 22 | 1.31 | 2 | 0.12 | 6 | 0.36 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0.06 | 3 | 0.18 | 5 | 0.30 | 3 | 0.18 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0.06 | 1,675 |
Bradley | 372 | 54.95 | 96 | 14.18 | 106 | 15.66 | 24 | 3.55 | 15 | 2.22 | 8 | 1.18 | 16 | 2.36 | 5 | 0.74 | 14 | 2.07 | 1 | 0.15 | 4 | 0.59 | 9 | 1.33 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 0.15 | 677 |
Calhoun | 141 | 43.93 | 53 | 16.51 | 66 | 20.56 | 13 | 4.05 | 13 | 4.05 | 8 | 2.49 | 2 | 0.62 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 0.31 | 2 | 0.62 | 5 | 1.56 | 4 | 1.25 | 1 | 0.31 | 3 | 0.93 | 2 | 0.62 | 3 | 0.93 | 2 | 0.62 | 1 | 0.31 | 321 |
Carroll | 742 | 31.60 | 728 | 31.01 | 293 | 12.48 | 308 | 13.12 | 120 | 5.11 | 91 | 3.88 | 12 | 0.51 | 28 | 1.19 | 4 | 0.17 | 8 | 0.34 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.04 | 4 | 0.17 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0.09 | 2,348 |
Chicot | 711 | 54.27 | 197 | 15.04 | 266 | 20.31 | 45 | 3.44 | 14 | 1.07 | 18 | 1.37 | 10 | 0.76 | 4 | 0.31 | 8 | 0.61 | 4 | 0.31 | 7 | 0.53 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0.08 | 7 | 0.53 | 6 | 0.46 | 3 | 0.23 | 5 | 0.38 | 3 | 0.23 | 1,310 |
Clark | 948 | 48.79 | 331 | 17.04 | 282 | 14.51 | 150 | 7.72 | 57 | 2.93 | 68 | 3.50 | 28 | 1.44 | 11 | 0.57 | 23 | 1.18 | 8 | 0.41 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.26 | 3 | 0.15 | 7 | 0.36 | 8 | 0.41 | 10 | 0.51 | 2 | 0.10 | 1,943 |
Clay | 262 | 39.70 | 115 | 17.42 | 179 | 27.12 | 35 | 5.30 | 14 | 2.12 | 14 | 2.12 | 10 | 1.52 | 5 | 0.76 | 6 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.30 | 6 | 0.91 | 2 | 0.30 | 4 | 0.61 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 660 |
Cleburne | 556 | 45.61 | 178 | 14.60 | 278 | 22.81 | 85 | 6.97 | 40 | 3.28 | 44 | 3.61 | 14 | 1.15 | 8 | 0.66 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0.08 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 0.16 | 1,219 |
Cleveland | 186 | 47.21 | 66 | 16.75 | 70 | 17.77 | 17 | 4.31 | 9 | 2.28 | 17 | 4.31 | 5 | 1.27 | 5 | 1.27 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 0.76 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1.27 | 3 | 0.76 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 0.76 | 2 | 0.51 | 1 | 0.25 | 394 |
Columbia | 613 | 52.66 | 175 | 15.03 | 187 | 16.07 | 51 | 4.38 | 16 | 1.37 | 25 | 2.15 | 26 | 2.23 | 13 | 1.12 | 8 | 0.69 | 4 | 0.34 | 6 | 0.52 | 6 | 0.52 | 8 | 0.69 | 7 | 0.60 | 10 | 0.86 | 6 | 0.52 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.26 | 1,164 |
Conway | 974 | 45.73 | 359 | 16.85 | 370 | 17.37 | 125 | 5.87 | 68 | 3.19 | 62 | 2.91 | 52 | 2.44 | 27 | 1.27 | 26 | 1.22 | 6 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.14 | 6 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.14 | 6 | 0.28 | 10 | 0.47 | 10 | 0.47 | 22 | 1.03 | 1 | 0.05 | 2,130 |
Craighead | 1,849 | 36.14 | 1,397 | 27.31 | 873 | 17.06 | 487 | 9.52 | 198 | 3.87 | 166 | 3.24 | 31 | 0.61 | 26 | 0.51 | 13 | 0.25 | 22 | 0.43 | 3 | 0.06 | 8 | 0.16 | 6 | 0.12 | 21 | 0.41 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 0.04 | 9 | 0.18 | 5,116 |
Crawford | 1,061 | 37.91 | 623 | 22.26 | 569 | 20.33 | 221 | 7.90 | 71 | 2.54 | 80 | 2.86 | 56 | 2.00 | 30 | 1.07 | 9 | 0.32 | 14 | 0.50 | 7 | 0.25 | 7 | 0.25 | 11 | 0.39 | 4 | 0.14 | 2 | 0.07 | 6 | 0.21 | 23 | 0.82 | 5 | 0.18 | 2,799 |
Crittenden | 1,652 | 53.20 | 491 | 15.81 | 568 | 18.29 | 144 | 4.64 | 43 | 1.38 | 68 | 2.19 | 20 | 0.64 | 21 | 0.68 | 11 | 0.35 | 20 | 0.64 | 10 | 0.32 | 9 | 0.29 | 12 | 0.39 | 7 | 0.23 | 7 | 0.23 | 11 | 0.35 | 5 | 0.16 | 6 | 0.19 | 3,105 |
Cross | 430 | 48.37 | 149 | 16.76 | 161 | 18.11 | 44 | 4.95 | 36 | 4.05 | 22 | 2.47 | 8 | 0.90 | 4 | 0.45 | 8 | 0.90 | 3 | 0.34 | 4 | 0.45 | 5 | 0.56 | 2 | 0.22 | 3 | 0.34 | 4 | 0.45 | 3 | 0.34 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0.11 | 889 |
Dallas | 350 | 53.68 | 58 | 8.90 | 108 | 16.56 | 18 | 2.76 | 7 | 1.07 | 28 | 4.29 | 17 | 2.61 | 12 | 1.84 | 5 | 0.77 | 4 | 0.61 | 1 | 0.15 | 12 | 1.84 | 2 | 0.31 | 10 | 1.53 | 3 | 0.46 | 3 | 0.46 | 10 | 1.53 | 4 | 0.61 | 652 |
Desha | 641 | 52.16 | 173 | 14.08 | 227 | 18.47 | 46 | 3.74 | 16 | 1.30 | 29 | 2.36 | 23 | 1.87 | 6 | 0.49 | 12 | 0.98 | 6 | 0.49 | 13 | 1.06 | 13 | 1.06 | 6 | 0.49 | 7 | 0.57 | 2 | 0.16 | 3 | 0.24 | 5 | 0.41 | 1 | 0.08 | 1,229 |
Drew | 655 | 46.49 | 225 | 15.97 | 264 | 18.74 | 81 | 5.75 | 23 | 1.63 | 71 | 5.04 | 14 | 0.99 | 10 | 0.71 | 5 | 0.35 | 5 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.43 | 7 | 0.50 | 7 | 0.50 | 17 | 1.21 | 4 | 0.28 | 11 | 0.78 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0.07 | 1,409 |
Faulkner | 3,059 | 34.27 | 2,503 | 28.04 | 1,223 | 13.70 | 1,295 | 14.51 | 294 | 3.29 | 317 | 3.55 | 57 | 0.64 | 54 | 0.60 | 21 | 0.24 | 24 | 0.27 | 13 | 0.15 | 8 | 0.09 | 12 | 0.13 | 19 | 0.21 | 5 | 0.06 | 6 | 0.07 | 11 | 0.12 | 6 | 0.07 | 8,927 |
Franklin | 355 | 36.08 | 147 | 14.94 | 247 | 25.10 | 72 | 7.32 | 32 | 3.25 | 42 | 4.27 | 19 | 1.93 | 13 | 1.32 | 11 | 1.12 | 3 | 0.30 | 5 | 0.51 | 11 | 1.12 | 6 | 0.61 | 2 | 0.20 | 7 | 0.71 | 4 | 0.41 | 4 | 0.41 | 4 | 0.41 | 984 |
Fulton | 331 | 40.66 | 154 | 18.92 | 160 | 19.66 | 56 | 6.88 | 25 | 3.07 | 28 | 3.44 | 12 | 1.47 | 6 | 0.74 | 1 | 0.12 | 8 | 0.98 | 12 | 1.47 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.37 | 9 | 1.11 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0.12 | 2 | 0.25 | 814 |
Garland | 2,890 | 36.85 | 1,653 | 21.08 | 1,550 | 19.76 | 677 | 8.63 | 391 | 4.99 | 389 | 4.96 | 87 | 1.11 | 48 | 0.61 | 19 | 0.24 | 30 | 0.38 | 6 | 0.08 | 20 | 0.26 | 34 | 0.43 | 7 | 0.09 | 19 | 0.24 | 10 | 0.13 | 7 | 0.09 | 6 | 0.08 | 7,843 |
Grant | 355 | 36.52 | 172 | 17.70 | 191 | 19.65 | 85 | 8.74 | 54 | 5.56 | 55 | 5.66 | 16 | 1.65 | 10 | 1.03 | 3 | 0.31 | 4 | 0.41 | 6 | 0.62 | 3 | 0.31 | 4 | 0.41 | 6 | 0.62 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 0.21 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 0.10 | 972 |
Greene | 646 | 34.96 | 399 | 21.59 | 426 | 23.05 | 133 | 7.20 | 82 | 4.44 | 56 | 3.03 | 24 | 1.30 | 15 | 0.81 | 3 | 0.16 | 15 | 0.81 | 7 | 0.38 | 11 | 0.60 | 5 | 0.27 | 12 | 0.65 | 10 | 0.54 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 1,848 |
Hempstead | 549 | 55.57 | 128 | 12.96 | 149 | 15.08 | 43 | 4.35 | 15 | 1.52 | 28 | 2.83 | 10 | 1.01 | 8 | 0.81 | 9 | 0.91 | 1 | 0.10 | 4 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.20 | 9 | 0.91 | 15 | 1.52 | 10 | 1.01 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.20 | 4 | 0.40 | 988 |
Hot Spring | 735 | 38.99 | 452 | 23.98 | 344 | 18.25 | 111 | 5.89 | 43 | 2.28 | 85 | 4.51 | 26 | 1.38 | 11 | 0.58 | 5 | 0.27 | 11 | 0.58 | 12 | 0.64 | 9 | 0.48 | 9 | 0.48 | 3 | 0.16 | 14 | 0.74 | 3 | 0.16 | 5 | 0.27 | 7 | 0.37 | 1,885 |
Howard | 358 | 52.49 | 104 | 15.25 | 81 | 11.88 | 38 | 5.57 | 19 | 2.79 | 29 | 4.25 | 12 | 1.76 | 6 | 0.88 | 7 | 1.03 | 3 | 0.44 | 5 | 0.73 | 3 | 0.44 | 3 | 0.44 | 5 | 0.73 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.29 | 4 | 0.59 | 3 | 0.44 | 682 |
Independence | 796 | 41.22 | 354 | 18.33 | 338 | 17.50 | 200 | 10.36 | 61 | 3.16 | 79 | 4.09 | 24 | 1.24 | 28 | 1.45 | 7 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.36 | 4 | 0.21 | 8 | 0.41 | 9 | 0.47 | 5 | 0.26 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.26 | 2 | 0.10 | 1,931 |
Izard | 356 | 45.01 | 144 | 18.20 | 120 | 15.17 | 64 | 8.09 | 34 | 4.30 | 41 | 5.18 | 2 | 0.25 | 6 | 0.76 | 3 | 0.38 | 6 | 0.76 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0.13 | 5 | 0.63 | 1 | 0.13 | 791 |
Jackson | 466 | 46.32 | 163 | 16.20 | 193 | 19.18 | 57 | 5.67 | 35 | 3.48 | 31 | 3.08 | 7 | 0.70 | 12 | 1.19 | 5 | 0.50 | 2 | 0.20 | 9 | 0.89 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.50 | 11 | 1.09 | 4 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.10 | 1,006 |
Jefferson | 5,018 | 48.40 | 1,496 | 14.43 | 2,238 | 21.59 | 649 | 6.26 | 114 | 1.10 | 197 | 1.90 | 189 | 1.82 | 85 | 0.82 | 31 | 0.30 | 40 | 0.39 | 23 | 0.22 | 62 | 0.60 | 43 | 0.41 | 27 | 0.26 | 25 | 0.24 | 64 | 0.62 | 14 | 0.14 | 53 | 0.51 | 10,368 |
Johnson | 573 | 33.43 | 356 | 20.77 | 303 | 17.68 | 161 | 9.39 | 85 | 4.96 | 86 | 5.02 | 47 | 2.74 | 31 | 1.81 | 4 | 0.23 | 14 | 0.82 | 9 | 0.53 | 9 | 0.53 | 7 | 0.41 | 7 | 0.41 | 6 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.35 | 3 | 0.18 | 7 | 0.41 | 1,714 |
Lafayette | 237 | 68.30 | 37 | 10.66 | 40 | 11.53 | 8 | 2.31 | 5 | 1.44 | 4 | 1.15 | 3 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1.15 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1.15 | 4 | 1.15 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 347 |
Lawrence | 391 | 36.37 | 187 | 17.40 | 211 | 19.63 | 78 | 7.26 | 37 | 3.44 | 47 | 4.37 | 32 | 2.98 | 39 | 3.63 | 8 | 0.74 | 8 | 0.74 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.28 | 13 | 1.21 | 7 | 0.65 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.28 | 1,075 |
Lee | 420 | 53.98 | 112 | 14.40 | 142 | 18.25 | 12 | 1.54 | 5 | 0.64 | 26 | 3.34 | 10 | 1.29 | 9 | 1.16 | 2 | 0.26 | 4 | 0.51 | 21 | 2.70 | 1 | 0.13 | 4 | 0.51 | 2 | 0.26 | 2 | 0.26 | 3 | 0.39 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0.13 | 778 |
Lincoln | 371 | 52.33 | 119 | 16.78 | 107 | 15.09 | 20 | 2.82 | 7 | 0.99 | 26 | 3.67 | 13 | 1.83 | 12 | 1.69 | 4 | 0.56 | 5 | 0.71 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.42 | 4 | 0.56 | 2 | 0.28 | 9 | 1.27 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 0.28 | 709 |
Little River | 379 | 54.53 | 97 | 13.96 | 94 | 13.53 | 36 | 5.18 | 17 | 2.45 | 12 | 1.73 | 5 | 0.72 | 7 | 1.01 | 9 | 1.29 | 3 | 0.43 | 6 | 0.86 | 5 | 0.72 | 7 | 1.01 | 6 | 0.86 | 1 | 0.14 | 3 | 0.43 | 2 | 0.29 | 6 | 0.86 | 695 |
Logan | 415 | 40.33 | 163 | 15.84 | 261 | 25.36 | 76 | 7.39 | 27 | 2.62 | 19 | 1.85 | 21 | 2.04 | 10 | 0.97 | 4 | 0.39 | 7 | 0.68 | 7 | 0.68 | 4 | 0.39 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.19 | 4 | 0.39 | 4 | 0.39 | 3 | 0.29 | 1,029 |
Lonoke | 1,252 | 37.97 | 795 | 24.11 | 560 | 16.99 | 298 | 9.04 | 131 | 3.97 | 135 | 4.09 | 28 | 0.85 | 27 | 0.82 | 11 | 0.33 | 15 | 0.45 | 9 | 0.27 | 3 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.09 | 9 | 0.27 | 4 | 0.12 | 10 | 0.30 | 3 | 0.09 | 4 | 0.12 | 3,297 |
Madison | 391 | 35.48 | 269 | 24.41 | 202 | 18.33 | 92 | 8.35 | 52 | 4.72 | 26 | 2.36 | 17 | 1.54 | 15 | 1.36 | 6 | 0.54 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 0.09 | 4 | 0.36 | 6 | 0.54 | 5 | 0.45 | 6 | 0.54 | 2 | 0.18 | 4 | 0.36 | 2 | 0.18 | 1,102 |
Marion | 327 | 38.02 | 210 | 24.42 | 148 | 17.21 | 72 | 8.37 | 47 | 5.47 | 28 | 3.26 | 7 | 0.81 | 4 | 0.47 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0.70 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.23 | 860 |
Miller | 1,069 | 61.09 | 270 | 15.43 | 215 | 12.29 | 78 | 4.46 | 23 | 1.31 | 22 | 1.26 | 9 | 0.51 | 10 | 0.57 | 11 | 0.63 | 2 | 0.11 | 5 | 0.29 | 7 | 0.40 | 9 | 0.51 | 5 | 0.29 | 7 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.11 | 4 | 0.23 | 2 | 0.11 | 1,750 |
Mississippi | 1,017 | 51.05 | 322 | 16.16 | 381 | 19.13 | 101 | 5.07 | 34 | 1.71 | 29 | 1.46 | 9 | 0.45 | 9 | 0.45 | 5 | 0.25 | 11 | 0.55 | 13 | 0.65 | 13 | 0.65 | 5 | 0.25 | 16 | 0.80 | 10 | 0.50 | 10 | 0.50 | 4 | 0.20 | 3 | 0.15 | 1,992 |
Monroe | 375 | 48.70 | 132 | 17.14 | 109 | 14.16 | 39 | 5.06 | 11 | 1.43 | 12 | 1.56 | 12 | 1.56 | 16 | 2.08 | 4 | 0.52 | 4 | 0.52 | 26 | 3.38 | 10 | 1.30 | 4 | 0.52 | 5 | 0.65 | 3 | 0.39 | 5 | 0.65 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0.13 | 770 |
Montgomery | 226 | 45.02 | 85 | 16.93 | 85 | 16.93 | 36 | 7.17 | 15 | 2.99 | 27 | 5.38 | 7 | 1.39 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.20 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 0.20 | 502 |
Nevada | 299 | 51.37 | 90 | 15.46 | 77 | 13.23 | 34 | 5.84 | 6 | 1.03 | 26 | 4.47 | 11 | 1.89 | 7 | 1.20 | 3 | 0.52 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0.17 | 4 | 0.69 | 7 | 1.20 | 4 | 0.69 | 4 | 0.69 | 4 | 0.69 | 1 | 0.17 | 3 | 0.52 | 582 |
Newton | 184 | 39.66 | 137 | 29.53 | 61 | 13.15 | 53 | 11.42 | 5 | 1.08 | 11 | 2.37 | 1 | 0.22 | 7 | 1.51 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 464 |
Ouachita | 1,218 | 57.29 | 295 | 13.88 | 348 | 16.37 | 67 | 3.15 | 49 | 2.30 | 39 | 1.83 | 13 | 0.61 | 19 | 0.89 | 11 | 0.52 | 8 | 0.38 | 14 | 0.66 | 3 | 0.14 | 12 | 0.56 | 13 | 0.61 | 3 | 0.14 | 4 | 0.19 | 8 | 0.38 | 2 | 0.09 | 2,126 |
Perry | 269 | 33.17 | 164 | 20.22 | 181 | 22.32 | 71 | 8.75 | 29 | 3.58 | 43 | 5.30 | 14 | 1.73 | 4 | 0.49 | 6 | 0.74 | 6 | 0.74 | 3 | 0.37 | 5 | 0.62 | 5 | 0.62 | 4 | 0.49 | 3 | 0.37 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.00 | 811 |
Phillips | 969 | 52.52 | 291 | 15.77 | 296 | 16.04 | 94 | 5.09 | 19 | 1.03 | 53 | 2.87 | 8 | 0.43 | 21 | 1.14 | 10 | 0.54 | 9 | 0.49 | 7 | 0.38 | 14 | 0.76 | 6 | 0.33 | 7 | 0.38 | 18 | 0.98 | 15 | 0.81 | 2 | 0.11 | 6 | 0.33 | 1,845 |
Pike | 190 | 41.67 | 73 | 16.01 | 68 | 14.91 | 42 | 9.21 | 16 | 3.51 | 33 | 7.24 | 8 | 1.75 | 8 | 1.75 | 2 | 0.44 | 3 | 0.66 | 4 | 0.88 | 5 | 1.10 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 456 |
Poinsett | 393 | 46.56 | 168 | 19.91 | 157 | 18.60 | 49 | 5.81 | 10 | 1.18 | 13 | 1.54 | 12 | 1.42 | 9 | 1.07 | 2 | 0.24 | 3 | 0.36 | 2 | 0.24 | 4 | 0.47 | 3 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.83 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 0.24 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 0.24 | 844 |
Polk | 272 | 31.74 | 208 | 24.27 | 157 | 18.32 | 74 | 8.63 | 40 | 4.67 | 40 | 4.67 | 16 | 1.87 | 13 | 1.52 | 1 | 0.12 | 9 | 1.05 | 6 | 0.70 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.47 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.47 | 7 | 0.82 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 0.23 | 857 |
Pope | 1,070 | 34.35 | 861 | 27.64 | 491 | 15.76 | 323 | 10.37 | 134 | 4.30 | 113 | 3.63 | 28 | 0.90 | 19 | 0.61 | 7 | 0.22 | 11 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.19 | 3 | 0.10 | 15 | 0.48 | 8 | 0.26 | 11 | 0.35 | 10 | 0.32 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.06 | 3,115 |
Prairie | 207 | 47.70 | 76 | 17.51 | 69 | 15.90 | 23 | 5.30 | 5 | 1.15 | 20 | 4.61 | 6 | 1.38 | 7 | 1.61 | 4 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0.92 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0.92 | 1 | 0.23 | 3 | 0.69 | 434 |
Pulaski | 24,587 | 44.66 | 11,063 | 20.10 | 8,991 | 16.33 | 6,261 | 11.37 | 1,604 | 2.91 | 1,503 | 2.73 | 236 | 0.43 | 227 | 0.41 | 114 | 0.21 | 86 | 0.16 | 123 | 0.22 | 93 | 0.17 | 25 | 0.05 | 27 | 0.05 | 27 | 0.05 | 39 | 0.07 | 28 | 0.05 | 18 | 0.03 | 55,052 |
Randolph | 333 | 32.84 | 225 | 22.19 | 246 | 24.26 | 72 | 7.10 | 35 | 3.45 | 40 | 3.94 | 9 | 0.89 | 11 | 1.08 | 13 | 1.28 | 4 | 0.39 | 2 | 0.20 | 9 | 0.89 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.10 | 6 | 0.59 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0.10 | 3 | 0.30 | 1,014 |
Saline | 3,121 | 37.30 | 1,814 | 21.68 | 1,532 | 18.31 | 834 | 9.97 | 399 | 4.77 | 385 | 4.60 | 96 | 1.15 | 39 | 0.47 | 45 | 0.54 | 22 | 0.26 | 9 | 0.11 | 14 | 0.17 | 17 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.02 | 8 | 0.10 | 10 | 0.12 | 7 | 0.08 | 13 | 0.16 | 8,367 |
Scott | 159 | 44.41 | 55 | 15.36 | 73 | 20.39 | 16 | 4.47 | 11 | 3.07 | 13 | 3.63 | 4 | 1.12 | 6 | 1.68 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 1.68 | 5 | 1.40 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1.12 | 1 | 0.28 | 1 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.84 | 1 | 0.28 | 358 |
Searcy | 121 | 36.56 | 82 | 24.77 | 52 | 15.71 | 45 | 13.60 | 12 | 3.63 | 8 | 2.42 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.60 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 331 |
Sebastian | 2,735 | 35.85 | 1,919 | 25.15 | 1,486 | 19.48 | 671 | 8.80 | 328 | 4.30 | 194 | 2.54 | 91 | 1.19 | 56 | 0.73 | 10 | 0.13 | 22 | 0.29 | 8 | 0.10 | 9 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.05 | 14 | 0.18 | 10 | 0.13 | 3 | 0.04 | 63 | 0.83 | 6 | 0.08 | 7,629 |
Sevier | 255 | 47.22 | 105 | 19.44 | 94 | 17.41 | 32 | 5.93 | 11 | 2.04 | 9 | 1.67 | 6 | 1.11 | 5 | 0.93 | 3 | 0.56 | 5 | 0.93 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 1.11 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0.93 | 540 |
Sharp | 417 | 41.49 | 195 | 19.40 | 188 | 18.71 | 64 | 6.37 | 42 | 4.18 | 34 | 3.38 | 11 | 1.09 | 21 | 2.09 | 7 | 0.70 | 1 | 0.10 | 7 | 0.70 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.10 | 6 | 0.60 | 4 | 0.40 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.20 | 1,005 |
St. Francis | 1,182 | 55.03 | 297 | 13.83 | 368 | 17.13 | 84 | 3.91 | 27 | 1.26 | 34 | 1.58 | 10 | 0.47 | 15 | 0.70 | 20 | 0.93 | 10 | 0.47 | 14 | 0.65 | 11 | 0.51 | 16 | 0.74 | 20 | 0.93 | 19 | 0.88 | 5 | 0.23 | 13 | 0.61 | 3 | 0.14 | 2,148 |
Stone | 343 | 33.83 | 246 | 24.26 | 158 | 15.58 | 112 | 11.05 | 48 | 4.73 | 41 | 4.04 | 13 | 1.28 | 15 | 1.48 | 2 | 0.20 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.49 | 3 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.20 | 17 | 1.68 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0.39 | 1 | 0.10 | 1,014 |
Union | 1,350 | 54.09 | 450 | 18.03 | 356 | 14.26 | 113 | 4.53 | 51 | 2.04 | 38 | 1.52 | 14 | 0.56 | 15 | 0.60 | 29 | 1.16 | 2 | 0.08 | 8 | 0.32 | 25 | 1.00 | 16 | 0.64 | 4 | 0.16 | 7 | 0.28 | 9 | 0.36 | 4 | 0.16 | 5 | 0.20 | 2,496 |
Van Buren | 418 | 37.79 | 198 | 17.90 | 217 | 19.62 | 121 | 10.94 | 43 | 3.89 | 55 | 4.97 | 21 | 1.90 | 12 | 1.08 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0.18 | 3 | 0.27 | 5 | 0.45 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.09 | 1,106 |
Washington | 6,914 | 28.33 | 8,491 | 34.79 | 3,007 | 12.32 | 3,884 | 15.91 | 920 | 3.77 | 687 | 2.81 | 149 | 0.61 | 157 | 0.64 | 22 | 0.09 | 58 | 0.24 | 14 | 0.06 | 22 | 0.09 | 17 | 0.07 | 14 | 0.06 | 14 | 0.06 | 8 | 0.03 | 9 | 0.04 | 19 | 0.08 | 24,406 |
White | 1,401 | 42.53 | 685 | 20.80 | 599 | 18.18 | 284 | 8.62 | 86 | 2.61 | 111 | 3.37 | 26 | 0.79 | 29 | 0.88 | 14 | 0.43 | 17 | 0.52 | 9 | 0.27 | 4 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.12 | 6 | 0.18 | 4 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.12 | 8 | 0.24 | 3 | 0.09 | 3,294 |
Woodruff | 303 | 43.66 | 120 | 17.29 | 119 | 17.15 | 57 | 8.21 | 12 | 1.73 | 15 | 2.16 | 15 | 2.16 | 8 | 1.15 | 3 | 0.43 | 6 | 0.86 | 5 | 0.72 | 3 | 0.43 | 4 | 0.58 | 3 | 0.43 | 8 | 1.15 | 6 | 0.86 | 6 | 0.86 | 1 | 0.14 | 694 |
Yell | 342 | 36.42 | 166 | 17.68 | 161 | 17.15 | 88 | 9.37 | 36 | 3.83 | 60 | 6.39 | 25 | 2.66 | 11 | 1.17 | 3 | 0.32 | 4 | 0.43 | 3 | 0.32 | 10 | 1.06 | 7 | 0.75 | 3 | 0.32 | 5 | 0.53 | 2 | 0.21 | 8 | 0.85 | 5 | 0.53 | 939 |
Total | 93,011 | 40.59 | 51,413 | 22.44 | 38,312 | 16.72 | 22,970 | 10.03 | 7,649 | 3.34 | 7,009 | 3.06 | 2,053 | 0.90 | 1,593 | 0.70 | 715 | 0.31 | 715 | 0.31 | 574 | 0.25 | 572 | 0.25 | 501 | 0.22 | 485 | 0.21 | 443 | 0.19 | 408 | 0.18 | 393 | 0.17 | 304 | 0.13 | 229,120 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
270 to Win[12] | Safe R | July 22, 2020 |
Princeton Electoral Consotrium[13] | Lean R | July 21, 2020 |
The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | June 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | April 3, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
Politico[17] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
RCP[18] | Likely R | June 22, 2020 |
Niskanen[19] | Safe R | March 24, 2020 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
JHK Forecasts[21] | Safe R | June 27, 2020 |
The Economist[22] | Safe R | July 5, 2020 |
CBS News[23] | Likely R | July 26, 2020 |
Elections Daily[24] | Safe R | July 20, 2020 |
ABC News[25] | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
NPR[26] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
NBC News[27] | Safe R | August 6, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | 5%[lower-alpha 2] | 3% |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Another candidate" with 5%
See also
References
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- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- Wells, Dylan; Talwar, Saisha (August 9, 2017). "Trump could face GOP challengers in the 2020 election". ABC News. Retrieved August 9, 2017.
- Millar, Lindsey (August 6, 2017). "Cotton figures in New York Times roundup on 2020 presidential race". Arkansas Times. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
- Beaumont, Thomas (May 19, 2017). "GOP's Cotton in Iowa: "I'm ready for that new beginning."". The Seattle Times. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
- "Sample ballots in Arkansas". January 28, 2020.
- "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
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- "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
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- "Biden-Trump 2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls". 270 to Win. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
- "Princeton Election Consortium". 270 to Win. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
- "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 2020-07-05.
- "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- Cunningham, Eric (July 20, 2020). "Race Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved July 20, 2020.
- "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
- "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.