2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Cindy Hyde-Smith Mike Espy
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican
Elections in Mississippi

Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith is running for election to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy. The 2020 election therefore constitutes a rematch of the 2018 special election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Organizations

Results
Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) 235,463 100.0%
Total votes 235,463 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary
  • Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 [9]
  • Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[10]

Declined

Endorsements
Mike Espy
Organizations

Results
Results by county
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Espy 250,496 93.12%
Democratic Tobey Bartee 11,148 4.14%
Democratic Jensen Bohren 7,345 2.74%
Total votes 268,989 100.0%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Safe R July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Safe R July 10, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe R August 5, 2020
Daily Kos[20] Safe R July 22, 2020
Politico[21] Likely R July 6, 2020
RCP[22] Likely R August 6, 2020
Niskanen[23] Safe R July 26, 2020
270towin[24] Safe R August 6, 2020

Endorsements
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Organizations
Mike Espy (D)
Current and Former Elected Officials
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Cindy
Hyde-Smith (R)		 Mike
Espy (D)		 Other Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) July 30 – August 9, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 42% 3% 8%
Public Policy Polling May 27–28, 2020 871 (V) ± 3.3% 49% 41% – 10%
Impact Management Group/Y'all Politics (R) May 4–7, 2020 606 (LV) ± 4.4% 58% 31% 3%[lower-alpha 1] 9%[lower-alpha 2]
The Progress Campaign (D) March 3–7, 2020 826 (V) – 52% 44% – 4%[lower-alpha 3]
Mason-Dixon February 26–28, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 43% – 4%
Chism Strategies January 3–7, 2020 618 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 36% – 20%

Results
United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent)
Democratic Mike Espy
Libertarian Jimmy Edwards
Total votes 100.00%

Notes
  1. Edwards (L) with 3%
  2. Includes "refused"
  3. Listed as "other/undecided"
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References
  1. https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8MS00261
  2. Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019). "Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
  3. Douglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018). "Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon". McClatchy. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  4. Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019). "Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary". Mississippi Today. Retrieved November 15, 2019.
  5. 2020 Candidates
  6. "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  7. https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8MS00287
  8. "Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi". The Philadelphia Tribune.
  9. "Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate". AP NEWS. 2020-01-10. Retrieved 2020-02-13.
  10. Ulmer, Sarah (June 17, 2019). "Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run". Retrieved June 17, 2019.
  11. Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  12. "DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". November 13, 2019.
  13. "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  14. Acosta, Lucas (March 4, 2020). "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign.
  15. "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  16. Pettus, Emily (Mar 11, 2020). "Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith". Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  17. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  18. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
  19. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  20. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  21. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  24. "2020 Senate Map Based on Polls". 270towin.com. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  25. "U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate". www.yallpolitics.com. Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.
  26. "Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senare Contests". AP.
  27. "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  28. https://www.wjtv.com/news/mississippi-afl-cio-endorses-mike-espy-for-senate/
Official campaign websites
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