2020 Vermont gubernatorial election

The 2020 Vermont gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Vermont. As Vermont does not impose term limits upon its governors, incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott is eligible to run for reelection to a third term in office. On November 18, 2019, he confirmed that he was running for reelection, but has not yet publicly announced his campaign.[1] On May 28, 2020, he officially announced his candidacy but stated that he would not campaign, maintain a campaign staff, or fundraise until the state of emergency due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Vermont ended.[2] The primary was held on August 11.

See also: 2020 United States gubernatorial elections and 2020 Vermont elections
2020 Vermont gubernatorial election
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Phil Scott David Zuckerman
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Phil Scott
Republican
Elections in Vermont

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary
  • John Klar, lawyer and pastor[3]
  • Bernard Peters, Independent candidate for Governor in 2014 and for State Representative in 1986
  • Emily Peyton, independent candidate for Governor in 2012 and 2014, Liberty Union nominee for Governor in 2018.[4]
  • Douglas Cavett[5]

Results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Phil Scott (incumbent) 42,342 73.1%
Republican John Klar 12,837 22.2%
Republican Emily Peyton 973 1.7%
Republican Douglas Cavett 957 1.6%
Republican Bernard Peters 783 1.4%
Total votes 57,892 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements
Rebecca Holcombe
State officials
  • Tim Briglin, state representative
  • Kevin “Coach” Christie, state representative
  • Sara Coffey, state representative
  • Peter Conlon, state representative
  • Madeleine Kunin, former Governor (1985-1991)[11]
  • Tim Jerman, Vermont Democratic Party vice chair and former state representative (2005-2017)
  • Martin Lalonde, state representative
  • Jim Masland, state representative
  • David Potter, state representative
  • Ann Pugh, state representative
  • Mary Sullivan, state representative
  • Maida Townsend, state representative
  • David Yacovone, state representative
  • Sam Young, state representative
Party chairs
Organizations
David Zuckerman
Federal officials
Party chairs[15]
Individuals

Results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Zuckerman 48,572 50.8%
Democratic Rebecca Holcombe 38,101 39.8%
Democratic Patrick Winburn 7,730 8.1%
Democratic Ralph Corbo 1,281 1.3%
Total votes 95,684 100.0%

Other candidates

Progressive Party

Leaders within the Progressive Party have only endorsed David Zuckerman for the gubernational election, advocating for Zuckerman to be elected with write-in voters.[18] The party has stated that if Cris Ericson wins the primary, "they would likely issue a “non-endorsement.”"[18] On election night the progressive nomination was listed as too close to call.[19]

Nominee

Eliminated in Primary
  • Boots Wardinski, Newbury resident, Liberty Union nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2016[4]

Results
Progressive primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive David Zuckerman (write-in) 261 31.1%
Progressive Cris Ericson 254 30.3%
Progressive Boots Wardinski 239 28.5%
Progressive Phil Scott (Write-in) 41 4.9%
Progressive Write-ins (other) 43 5.1%
Total votes 838 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Likely R April 3, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 19, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Likely R July 14, 2020
Politico[23] Lean R July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Likely R July 22, 2020
RCP[25] Likely R June 13, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Phil
Scott
(R)		 David
Zuckerman (D)		 Other /
Undecided
We Ask America June 2–3, 2020 500 ± 4.4% 60% 25% 15%
Braun Research/VPR February 4–10, 2020 603 ± 4.0% 52% 29% 19%
Hypothetical polling
with Rebecca Holcombe
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Phil
Scott
(R)		 Rebecca
Holcombe (D)		 Other /
Undecided
We Ask America June 2–3, 2020 500 ± 4.4% 62% 20% 18%
Braun Research/VPR February 4–10, 2020 603 ± 4.0% 55% 20% 26%

Endorsements
David Zuckerman
Federal officials
Party chairs[27]
Individuals

Results
2020 Vermont gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Phil Scott (incumbent)
Democratic David Zuckerman
Write-in
Total votes 100.0%

Notes
  1. Zuckerman is a member of the Vermont Progressive Party but also runs in Democratic primaries.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
gollark: I mean, I can, but it isn't programmed for that and it's more effort then I'm willing to do to patch it in on my phone.
gollark: Memetic apioformic other servers or something. I can't tell due to ABR privacy restrictions.
gollark: No. Denied.
gollark: It's memetic. It's not a meaningful count for anything.
gollark: Look, it made sense at the time.

References
  1. Landen, Xander. "Scott says he's undecided on 2020 — but he's already fundraising". Vermont Digger. Retrieved December 4, 2019.
  2. Baird, Joel Banner. "Gov. Scott seeks a third term, but will forego a campaign and fundraising". Burlington Free Press. Retrieved 2020-05-28.
  3. Margolis, Jon (2019-10-28). "Margolis: 'Rural populist' and GOP newcomer announces candidacy for governor". VTDigger. Retrieved 2019-10-30.
  4. "Election Information & Resources". sos.vermont.gov. Retrieved 2020-05-28.
  5. "Vermont 2020 Candidate List".
  6. Kinzel, Bob (January 13, 2020). "Lt. Gov. David Zuckerman Confirms The Speculation: He's Running For Governor In 2020". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
  7. Heintz, Paul (July 16, 2019). "Former Ed Secretary Rebecca Holcombe to Run for Governor of Vermont". Seven Days. Retrieved 2019-07-16.
  8. "Winburn for Governor | Winburn2020.com | United States". Mysite.
  9. Landen, Xander; Norton, Kit; Meyn, Colin (June 5, 2019). "Attorney general eyes run for governor in 2020. 'I've had conversations.'". VTDigger. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
  10. Landen, Xander (November 21, 2018). "Hallquist isn't ruling out another run. But for now, she's job hunting". VTDigger. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
  11. "Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox announces he is running for Utah governor, vows a 'different,' positive campaign". The Salt Lake Tribune. May 14, 2019.
  12. "Supporter". Rebecca for Vermont. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  13. "EMILY's List Endorses Rebecca Holcombe for Vermont Governor". www.emilyslist.org.
  14. https://m.sevendaysvt.com/OffMessage/archives/2020/07/27/bernie-sanders-endorses-david-zuckerman-for-governor
  15. "Zuckerman Endorsed by Democratic Party Leaders". David Zuckerman for Governor. March 12, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  16. "Ben and Jerry Endorse David". David Zuckerman for Governor. February 23, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  17. "Bill McKibben Endorses David Zuckerman". David Zuckerman for Governor. February 13, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  18. Elder-Connors, Liam. "Progressive Party Asks For Write-In To Beat Gubernatorial Candidates On Its Ballot". www.vpr.org. Retrieved 13 August 2020.
  19. https://vtdigger.org/election_brief/progressive-governor-race-still-too-close-to-call/
  20. "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  21. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
  22. "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
  23. "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Poltico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  24. "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  25. "2020 Govenor's Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  26. https://m.sevendaysvt.com/OffMessage/archives/2020/07/27/bernie-sanders-endorses-david-zuckerman-for-governor
  27. "Zuckerman Endorsed by Democratic Party Leaders". David Zuckerman for Governor. March 12, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  28. "Bill McKibben Endorses David Zuckerman". David Zuckerman for Governor. February 13, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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