2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi

The 2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Mississippi voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Mississippi has 6 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Primary elections

The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump was challenged by two candidates: businessman and perennial candidate Rocky De La Fuente of California, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts.[3]

2020 Mississippi Republican primary[4]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 240,125 98.6% 40
Bill Weld 2,292 0.9%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,078 0.4%
Total 243,495 100% 40

Democratic primary

Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared candidates still active in the race.[5]

2020 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary[6][7]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 222,160 80.96 34
Bernie Sanders 40,657 14.82 2
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 6,933 2.53 0
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 1,550 0.56 0
Tulsi Gabbard 1,003 0.37 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 562 0.20 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 450 0.16 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 440 0.16 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 378 0.14 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 258 0.09 0
Total 274,391 100% 36

Results by county

2020 Mississippi Democratic primary

(results per county)[8]

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Michael Bloomberg Elizabeth Warren Tulsi Gabbard Pete Buttigieg Andrew Yang Amy Klobuchar Tom Steyer Deval Patrick Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Adams 3,447 82.82 502 12.06 146 3.51 15 0.36 19 0.46 8 0.19 8 0.19 8 0.19 5 0.12 4 0.10 4,162
Alcorn 1,036 79.39 209 16.02 30 2.30 4 0.31 11 0.84 3 0.23 1 0.08 5 0.38 3 0.23 3 0.23 1,305
Amite 1,240 83.90 166 11.23 40 2.71 4 0.27 5 0.34 3 0.20 5 0.34 5 0.34 6 0.41 4 0.27 1,478
Attala 1,609 80.29 308 15.37 55 2.74 10 0.50 11 0.55 2 0.10 5 0.25 0 0.00 3 0.15 1 0.05 2,004
Benton 531 78.09 86 12.65 42 6.18 4 0.59 2 0.29 5 0.74 3 0.44 1 0.15 5 0.74 1 0.15 680
Bolivar 3,799 83.31 580 12.72 109 2.39 26 0.57 17 0.37 8 0.18 9 0.20 5 0.11 5 0.11 2 0.04 4,560
Calhoun 730 80.04 129 14.14 29 3.18 12 1.32 2 0.22 1 0.11 2 0.22 4 0.44 2 0.22 1 0.11 912
Carroll 791 79.18 138 13.81 50 5.01 3 0.30 7 0.70 2 0.20 4 0.40 1 0.10 2 0.20 1 0.10 999
Chickasaw 1,612 83.52 218 11.30 65 3.37 7 0.36 8 0.41 7 0.36 0 0.00 5 0.26 7 0.36 1 0.05 1,930
Choctaw 519 80.59 74 11.49 32 4.97 3 0.47 7 1.09 1 0.16 3 0.47 3 0.47 0 0.00 2 0.31 644
Claiborne 1,495 80.72 239 12.90 82 4.43 8 0.43 6 0.32 8 0.43 4 0.22 4 0.22 3 0.16 3 0.16 1,852
Clarke 1,305 86.48 124 8.22 56 3.71 9 0.60 3 0.20 3 0.20 5 0.33 3 0.20 1 0.07 0 0.00 1,509
Clay 2,751 85.97 278 8.69 118 3.69 20 0.63 15 0.47 10 0.31 1 0.03 3 0.09 1 0.03 3 0.09 3,200
Coahoma 2,452 76.91 478 14.99 102 3.20 37 1.16 40 1.25 7 0.22 28 0.88 19 0.60 17 0.53 8 0.25 3,188
Copiah 3,068 76.83 721 18.06 139 3.48 17 0.43 16 0.40 4 0.10 10 0.25 5 0.13 6 0.15 7 0.18 3,993
Covington 1,528 85.41 185 10.34 52 2.91 6 0.34 4 0.22 5 0.28 2 0.11 2 0.11 1 0.06 4 0.22 1,789
DeSoto 8,622 77.29 2,202 19.74 163 1.46 75 0.67 31 0.28 20 0.18 10 0.09 19 0.17 11 0.10 2 0.02 11,155
Forrest 4,876 74.04 1,405 21.33 183 2.78 58 0.88 22 0.33 11 0.17 11 0.17 6 0.09 6 0.09 8 0.12 6,586
Franklin 624 75.54 155 18.77 40 4.84 2 0.24 1 0.12 2 0.24 1 0.12 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 0.12 826
George 425 75.62 105 18.68 18 3.20 6 1.07 0 0.00 2 0.36 2 0.36 2 0.36 2 0.36 0 0.00 562
Greene 376 85.65 38 8.66 15 3.42 1 0.23 1 0.23 3 0.68 1 0.23 1 0.23 2 0.46 1 0.23 439
Grenada 1,927 82.95 230 9.90 103 4.43 13 0.56 16 0.69 5 0.22 6 0.26 14 0.60 5 0.22 4 0.17 2,323
Hancock 1,421 68.22 543 26.07 34 1.63 26 1.25 28 1.34 13 0.62 4 0.19 11 0.53 2 0.10 1 0.05 2,083
Harrison 9,808 77.14 2,457 19.32 244 1.92 82 0.64 45 0.35 30 0.24 17 0.13 15 0.12 11 0.09 6 0.05 12,715
Hinds 36,523 83.15 6,291 14.32 549 1.25 211 0.48 134 0.31 54 0.12 54 0.12 46 0.10 36 0.08 26 0.06 43,924
Holmes 3,253 83.05 478 12.20 130 3.32 10 0.26 6 0.15 12 0.31 7 0.18 6 0.15 7 0.18 8 0.20 3,917
Humphreys 1,520 81.50 213 11.42 90 4.83 8 0.43 10 0.54 7 0.38 5 0.27 6 0.32 5 0.27 1 0.05 1,865
Issaquena 172 78.54 28 12.79 14 6.39 1 0.46 1 0.46 0 0.00 1 0.46 1 0.46 1 0.46 0 0.00 219
Itawamba 467 74.60 135 21.57 10 1.60 1 0.16 6 0.96 3 0.48 2 0.32 0 0.00 0 0.00 2 0.32 626
Jackson 6,711 79.50 1,453 17.21 142 1.68 52 0.62 30 0.36 21 0.25 12 0.14 14 0.17 5 0.06 2 0.02 8,442
Jasper 2,121 85.28 236 9.49 93 3.74 7 0.28 5 0.20 9 0.36 2 0.08 6 0.24 5 0.20 3 0.12 2,487
Jefferson 1,845 83.52 255 11.54 76 3.44 8 0.36 8 0.36 6 0.27 4 0.18 0 0.00 5 0.23 2 0.09 2,209
Jefferson Davis 1,404 81.16 242 13.99 62 3.58 6 0.35 5 0.29 3 0.17 2 0.12 0 0.00 3 0.17 3 0.17 1,730
Jones 3,563 83.48 552 12.93 106 2.48 14 0.33 6 0.14 7 0.16 6 0.14 4 0.09 5 0.12 5 0.12 4,268
Kemper 1,250 86.33 124 8.56 53 3.66 3 0.21 4 0.28 2 0.14 3 0.21 2 0.14 3 0.21 4 0.28 1,448
Lafayette 3,049 67.14 1,228 27.04 90 1.98 99 2.18 28 0.62 18 0.40 7 0.15 13 0.29 6 0.13 3 0.07 4,541
Lamar 2,480 74.45 702 21.07 78 2.34 19 0.57 18 0.54 11 0.33 9 0.27 11 0.33 3 0.09 0 0.00 3,331
Lauderdale 5,218 86.30 611 10.11 153 2.53 17 0.28 12 0.20 7 0.12 7 0.12 9 0.15 4 0.07 8 0.13 6,046
Lawrence 1,148 82.89 161 11.62 50 3.61 9 0.65 4 0.29 4 0.29 1 0.07 2 0.14 1 0.07 5 0.36 1,385
Leake 1,742 80.09 339 15.59 65 2.99 11 0.51 5 0.23 2 0.09 1 0.05 1 0.05 7 0.32 2 0.09 2,175
Lee 4,471 79.34 957 16.98 130 2.31 38 0.67 14 0.25 7 0.12 9 0.16 5 0.09 2 0.04 2 0.04 5,635
LeFlore 2,857 87.72 284 8.72 79 2.43 13 0.40 3 0.09 8 0.25 3 0.09 3 0.09 7 0.21 0 0.00 3,257
Lincoln 2,129 79.53 423 15.80 87 3.25 11 0.41 7 0.26 10 0.37 0 0.00 1 0.04 4 0.15 5 0.19 2,677
Lowndes 5,011 85.03 717 12.17 106 1.80 25 0.42 11 0.19 7 0.12 7 0.12 2 0.03 6 0.10 1 0.02 5,893
Madison 10,849 82.09 2,002 15.15 180 1.36 72 0.54 41 0.31 24 0.18 13 0.10 11 0.08 17 0.13 7 0.05 13,216
Marion 1,728 85.12 219 10.79 67 3.30 6 0.30 2 0.10 3 0.15 1 0.05 1 0.05 3 0.15 0 0.00 2,030
Marshall 3,343 82.79 486 12.04 146 3.62 19 0.47 13 0.32 4 0.10 9 0.22 8 0.20 8 0.20 2 0.05 4,038
Monroe 2,419 84.61 309 10.81 80 2.80 20 0.70 13 0.45 2 0.07 7 0.24 5 0.17 1 0.03 3 0.10 2,859
Montgomery 937 77.25 164 13.52 81 6.68 9 0.74 3 0.25 6 0.49 3 0.25 8 0.66 0 0.00 2 0.16 1,213
Neshoba 1,213 82.13 203 13.74 35 2.37 11 0.74 4 0.27 3 0.20 5 0.34 2 0.14 1 0.07 0 0.00 1,477
Newton 1,338 84.90 172 10.91 54 3.43 3 0.19 1 0.06 0 0.00 0 0.00 3 0.19 2 0.13 3 0.19 1,576
Noxubee 1,551 84.20 185 10.04 77 4.18 7 0.38 6 0.33 9 0.49 3 0.16 1 0.05 0 0.00 3 0.16 1,842
Oktibbeha 3,564 74.22 971 20.22 136 2.83 56 1.17 25 0.52 18 0.37 13 0.27 14 0.29 5 0.10 0 0.00 4,802
Panola 3,084 82.37 429 11.46 158 4.22 19 0.51 11 0.29 6 0.16 8 0.21 9 0.24 16 0.43 4 0.11 3,744
Pearl River 1,240 74.16 353 21.11 30 1.79 14 0.84 15 0.90 5 0.30 5 0.30 2 0.12 5 0.30 3 0.18 1,672
Perry 536 80.84 83 12.52 36 5.43 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 2 0.30 2 0.30 2 0.30 2 0.30 663
Pike 3,471 81.69 570 13.41 132 3.11 24 0.56 13 0.31 15 0.35 5 0.12 5 0.12 6 0.14 8 0.19 4,249
Pontotoc 957 76.13 224 17.82 38 3.02 8 0.64 11 0.88 8 0.64 2 0.16 3 0.24 4 0.32 2 0.16 1,257
Prentiss 899 81.14 148 13.36 24 2.17 12 1.08 9 0.81 5 0.45 3 0.27 5 0.45 1 0.09 2 0.18 1,108
Quitman 911 79.36 139 12.11 63 5.49 7 0.61 3 0.26 1 0.09 8 0.70 5 0.44 7 0.61 4 0.35 1,148
Rankin 7,611 79.34 1,745 18.19 115 1.20 38 0.40 37 0.39 15 0.16 11 0.11 11 0.11 8 0.08 2 0.02 9,593
Scott 2,156 81.98 344 13.08 76 2.89 15 0.57 7 0.27 3 0.11 5 0.19 1 0.04 11 0.42 12 0.46 2,630
Sharkey 767 82.65 107 11.53 37 3.99 4 0.43 5 0.54 2 0.22 2 0.22 2 0.22 1 0.11 1 0.11 928
Simpson 1,940 82.20 331 14.03 56 2.37 12 0.51 6 0.25 3 0.13 2 0.08 2 0.08 3 0.13 5 0.21 2,360
Smith 794 81.19 128 13.09 41 4.19 5 0.51 3 0.31 2 0.20 1 0.10 2 0.20 2 0.20 0 0.00 978
Stone 680 79.91 135 15.86 23 2.70 3 0.35 1 0.12 1 0.12 2 0.24 1 0.12 3 0.35 2 0.24 851
Sunflower 2,754 82.83 385 11.58 119 3.58 15 0.45 22 0.66 6 0.18 2 0.06 10 0.30 7 0.21 5 0.15 3,325
Tallahatchie 1,368 78.89 213 12.28 99 5.71 11 0.63 14 0.81 5 0.29 8 0.46 7 0.40 5 0.29 4 0.23 1,734
Tate 1,455 80.08 263 14.47 63 3.47 12 0.66 7 0.39 0 0.00 1 0.06 11 0.61 3 0.17 2 0.11 1,817
Tippah 683 80.54 119 14.03 28 3.30 7 0.83 1 0.12 5 0.59 1 0.12 0 0.00 2 0.24 2 0.24 848
Tishomingo 406 71.10 134 23.47 12 2.10 5 0.88 4 0.70 1 0.18 4 0.70 3 0.53 2 0.35 0 0.00 571
Tunica 789 80.76 135 13.82 36 3.68 4 0.41 4 0.41 4 0.41 0 0.00 1 0.10 1 0.10 3 0.31 977
Union 757 77.01 171 17.40 40 4.07 2 0.20 7 0.71 2 0.20 2 0.20 1 0.10 1 0.10 0 0.00 983
Walthall 1,205 84.80 144 10.13 49 3.45 8 0.56 5 0.35 3 0.21 2 0.14 2 0.14 2 0.14 1 0.07 1,421
Warren 4,408 81.25 809 14.91 116 2.14 34 0.63 28 0.52 12 0.22 10 0.18 3 0.06 2 0.04 3 0.06 5,425
Washington 4,801 85.53 584 10.40 171 3.05 16 0.29 21 0.37 4 0.07 5 0.09 6 0.11 3 0.05 2 0.04 5,613
Wayne 1,689 83.49 211 10.43 87 4.30 11 0.54 4 0.20 7 0.35 4 0.20 4 0.20 2 0.10 4 0.20 2,023
Webster 451 79.54 73 12.87 26 4.59 2 0.35 3 0.53 3 0.53 2 0.35 3 0.53 0 0.00 4 0.71 567
Wilkinson 1,039 83.39 141 11.32 42 3.37 11 0.88 0 0.00 2 0.16 3 0.24 3 0.24 4 0.32 1 0.08 1,246
Winston 1,802 84.32 223 10.44 76 3.56 13 0.61 5 0.23 2 0.09 5 0.23 4 0.19 6 0.28 1 0.05 2,137
Yalobusha 1,238 78.55 226 14.34 71 4.51 6 0.38 9 0.57 3 0.19 5 0.32 5 0.32 6 0.38 7 0.44 1,576
Yazoo 2,401 82.09 380 12.99 103 3.52 18 0.62 6 0.21 7 0.24 2 0.07 1 0.03 5 0.17 2 0.07 2,925
Total 222,160 80.96 40,657 14.82 6,933 2.53 1,550 0.56 1,003 0.37 562 0.20 450 0.16 440 0.16 378 0.14 258 0.09 274,391

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe R July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[10] Safe R July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[12] Safe R July 6, 2020
RCP[13] Likely R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R March 24, 2020
CNN[15] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[16] Likely R August 7, 2020
CBS News[17] Likely R August 9, 2020
270towin[18] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[19] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[20] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[21] Safe R August 6, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win June 2–4, 2020 June 16, 2020 41.0% 50.0% 9.0% Trump + 9.0

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group Jul 30 – Aug 9, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 53% 43%
Chism Strategies Jun 2–4, 2020 568 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 41% 6%[lower-alpha 3] 3%
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College Apr 8–9, 2020 508 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 38% 7% 7%
Mason-Dixon Feb 26–28, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 56% 41% 3%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Feb 26–28, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 59% 36% 5%
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See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 6%

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Harrison, Bobby (27 February 2020). "Who's on the ballot for Mississippi's March 10 primary?". Mississippi Today. Retrieved 10 March 2020.
  4. "2020 Candidate Qualifying List" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  5. Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  6. "2020 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
  7. "Mississippi Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  8. "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results" (PDF). ms.gov. Mississippi Secretary of State. March 20, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 16, 2020. Retrieved April 16, 2020.
  9. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  10. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  11. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  12. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  14. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  15. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  16. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  17. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  18. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  19. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  20. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  21. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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