2020 United States House of Representatives election ratings

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections will be held November 3, 2020. Elections will be held to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, will also be held on this date.

Race ratings

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

  • Tossup: no advantage
  • Tilt (sometimes used): slight advantage
  • Lean: clear advantage
  • Likely or favored: strong, but not certain advantage
  • Safe or solid: outcome is nearly certain
District 2017 CPVI[1] Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
August 14,
2020[3]		 IE
August 7,
2020[4]		 Sabato
July 23,
2020[5]		 Politico
July 6,
2020[6]		 Daily Kos
August 10,
2020[7]		 RCP
June 9,
2020[8]		 Niskanen
July 26,
2020[9]
Alaska at-large R+9 Don Young (R) 53.1% R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Arizona 1 R+2 Tom O'Halleran (D) 53.8% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Safe D
Arizona 2 R+1 Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 54.7% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Lean D Safe D
Arizona 6 R+9 David Schweikert (R) 55.2% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup
Arizona 8 R+13 Debbie Lesko (R) 55.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arkansas 2 R+7 French Hill (R) 52.1% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R
California 1 R+11 Doug LaMalfa (R) 54.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R
California 3 D+5 John Garamendi (D) 58.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
California 4 R+10 Tom McClintock (R) 54.1% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R
California 7 D+3 Ami Bera (D) 55.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
California 9 D+8 Jerry McNerney (D) 56.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
California 10 EVEN Josh Harder (D) 52.3% D Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Safe D
California 16 D+9 Jim Costa (D) 57.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
California 21 D+5 TJ Cox (D) 50.4% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tossup Likely D
California 22 R+8 Devin Nunes (R) 52.7% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R
California 24 D+7 Salud Carbajal (D) 58.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
California 25 EVEN Mike Garcia (R) 54.9% R Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Likely D
(flip)
California 31 D+8 Pete Aguilar (D) 58.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
California 36 D+2 Raul Ruiz (D) 59.0% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
California 39 EVEN Gil Cisneros (D) 51.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tossup Safe D
California 42 R+9 Ken Calvert (R) 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R
California 45 R+3 Katie Porter (D) 52.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Safe D
California 48 R+4 Harley Rouda (D) 53.6% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Likely D
California 49 R+1 Mike Levin (D) 56.4% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
California 50 R+11 Vacant 51.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Lean R Safe R Likely R Safe R
Colorado 3 R+6 Scott Tipton (R)
(Lost Primary)		 51.5% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Safe R Safe R
Colorado 6 D+2 Jason Crow (D) 54.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
Connecticut 2 D+3 Joe Courtney (D) 62.2% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Connecticut 5 D+2 Jahana Hayes (D) 55.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Lean D Safe D Likely D Safe D
Florida 6 R+7 Michael Waltz (R) 56.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Florida 7 EVEN Stephanie Murphy (D) 57.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
Florida 9 D+5 Darren Soto (D) 58.0% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Florida 13 D+2 Charlie Crist (D) 57.6% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Safe D
Florida 15 R+6 Ross Spano (R) 53.0% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Florida 16 R+7 Vern Buchanan (R) 54.6% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Florida 18 R+5 Brian Mast (R) 54.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Tossup
Florida 25 R+4 Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 60.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R
Florida 26 D+6 Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) 50.9% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Safe D
Florida 27 D+5 Donna Shalala (D) 51.8% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Safe D Safe D
Georgia 2 D+6 Sanford Bishop (D) 59.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Georgia 6 R+8 Lucy McBath (D) 50.5% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Likely D
Georgia 7 R+9 Rob Woodall (R)
(Retiring)		 50.1% R Lean D
(flip)		 Tilt D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
(flip)
Illinois 6 R+2 Sean Casten (D) 53.6% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D
Illinois 12 R+5 Mike Bost (R) 51.6% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Lean R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois 13 R+3 Rodney Davis (R) 50.4% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean D
(flip)
Illinois 14 R+5 Lauren Underwood (D) 52.5% D Likely D Safe D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D
Illinois 16 R+8 Adam Kinzinger (R) 59.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois 17 D+3 Cheri Bustos (D) 62.1% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
Indiana 1 D+8 Pete Visclosky (D)
(Retiring)		 65.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Indiana 2 R+11 Jackie Walorski (R) 54.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Indiana 5 R+9 Susan Brooks (R)
(Retiring)		 56.8% R Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean D
(flip)
Indiana 9 R+13 Trey Hollingsworth (R) 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Iowa 1 D+1 Abby Finkenauer (D) 51.0% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D
Iowa 2 D+1 Dave Loebsack (D)
(Retiring)		 54.8% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D
Iowa 3 R+1 Cindy Axne (D) 49.3% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D
Iowa 4 R+11 Steve King (R)
(Lost Primary)		 50.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Lean R Likely R
Kansas 2 R+10 Steve Watkins (R)
(Lost Primary)		 47.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Kansas 3 R+4 Sharice Davids (D) 53.6% D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D
Kentucky 6 R+9 Andy Barr (R) 51.0% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Leans R
Maine 2 R+2 Jared Golden (D) 50.5% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
Massachusetts 9 D+4 Bill Keating (D) 59.4% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan 3 R+6 Justin Amash (L)
(Retiring)		 54.4% R Lean R
(flip)		 Tilt R
(flip)		 Lean R
(flip)		 Tossup Likely R
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup
Michigan 5 D+5 Dan Kildee (D) 59.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan 6 R+4 Fred Upton (R) 50.2% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Michigan 7 R+7 Tim Walberg (R) 53.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Michigan 8 R+4 Elissa Slotkin (D) 50.6% D Lean D Safe D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Safe D
Michigan 11 R+4 Haley Stevens (D) 51.8% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lean D Safe D
Minnesota 1 R+5 Jim Hagedorn (R) 50.1% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R
Minnesota 2 R+2 Angie Craig (D) 52.7% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D
Minnesota 3 D+1 Dean Phillips (D) 55.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
Minnesota 7 R+12 Collin Peterson (D) 52.1% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
Minnesota 8 R+4 Pete Stauber (R) 50.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R
Missouri 2 R+8 Ann Wagner (R) 51.2% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean D
(flip)
Montana at-large R+11 Greg Gianforte (R)
(Retiring)		 50.9% R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Nebraska 2 R+4 Don Bacon (R) 51.0% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Tossup
Nevada 2 R+7 Mark Amodei (R) 58.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Nevada 3 R+2 Susie Lee (D) 51.9% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D
Nevada 4 D+3 Steven Horsford (D) 51.9% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
New Hampshire 1 R+2 Chris Pappas (D) 53.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Safe D
New Hampshire 2 D+2 Ann McLane Kuster (D) 55.5% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New Jersey 2 R+1 Jeff Van Drew (R) 52.9% D Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup
New Jersey 3 R+2 Andy Kim (D) 50.0% D Tossup Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
New Jersey 4 R+8 Chris Smith (R) 55.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
New Jersey 5 R+3 Josh Gottheimer (D) 56.2% D Likely D Safe D Safe D Lean D Safe D Likely D Safe D
New Jersey 7 R+3 Tom Malinowski (D) 51.7% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Lean D Safe D
New Jersey 11 R+3 Mikie Sherrill (D) 56.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Lean D Likely D Likely D Safe D
New Mexico 2 R+6 Xochitl Torres Small (D) 50.9% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
New York 1 R+5 Lee Zeldin (R) 51.5% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R
New York 2 R+3 Peter T. King (R)
(Retiring)		 53.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Lean R
New York 3 D+1 Thomas Suozzi (D) 59.0% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New York 11 R+3 Max Rose (D) 53.0% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
New York 18 R+1 Sean Patrick Maloney (D) 55.5% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Lean D Safe D Likely D Safe D
New York 19 R+2 Antonio Delgado (D) 51.4% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D
New York 21 R+4 Elise Stefanik (R) 56.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Tossup
New York 22 R+6 Anthony Brindisi (D) 50.8% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
New York 23 R+6 Tom Reed (R) 54.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
New York 24 D+3 John Katko (R) 52.6% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R
New York 27 R+11 Chris Jacobs (R) 49.1% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R
North Carolina 1 D+5 G. K. Butterfield (D) 69.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
North Carolina 2 D+9 George Holding (R)
(Retiring)		 51.3% R Likely D
(flip)		 Likely D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)
North Carolina 6 D+8 Mark Walker (R)
(Retiring)		 56.5% R Likely D
(flip)		 Likely D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)
North Carolina 8 R+5 Richard Hudson (R) 55.3% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R
North Carolina 9 R+7 Dan Bishop (R) 50.7% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Lean R
North Carolina 11 R+14 Vacant 59.2% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Ohio 1 R+5 Steve Chabot (R) 51.3% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R
Ohio 10 R+4 Mike Turner (R) 55.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Safe R Tossup
Ohio 12 R+7 Troy Balderson (R) 51.4% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Lean R Lean R
Ohio 13 D+7 Tim Ryan (D) 61.0% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Ohio 14 R+5 David Joyce (R) 55.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Oklahoma 5 R+10 Kendra Horn (D) 50.7% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Oregon 4 EVEN Peter DeFazio (D) 56.0% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Oregon 5 EVEN Kurt Schrader (D) 55.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Pennsylvania 1 R+1 Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 51.3% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Lean R
Pennsylvania 7 D+1 Susan Wild (D) 53.5% D Lean D Safe D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Safe D
Pennsylvania 8 R+1 Matt Cartwright (D) 54.6% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Safe D
Pennsylvania 10 R+6 Scott Perry (R) 51.3% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R
Pennsylvania 16 R+8 Mike Kelly (R) 51.6% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Lean R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Pennsylvania 17 R+3 Conor Lamb (D) 56.3% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Safe D
South Carolina 1 R+10 Joe Cunningham (D) 50.6% D Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
South Carolina 2 R+12 Joe Wilson (R) 56.3% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Texas 2 R+11 Dan Crenshaw (R) 52.8% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Safe R Lean R
Texas 3 R+13 Van Taylor (R) 54.3% R Lean R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Safe R Lean D
(flip)
Texas 6 R+9 Ron Wright (R) 53.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Texas 7 R+7 Lizzie Fletcher (D) 52.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Lean D Likely D
Texas 10 R+9 Michael McCaul (R) 51.1% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Tossup
Texas 17 R+12 Bill Flores (R)
(Retiring)		 56.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Texas 21 R+10 Chip Roy (R) 50.2% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely D
(flip)
Texas 22 R+10 Pete Olson (R)
(Retiring)		 51.4% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Likely D
(flip)
Texas 23 R+1 Will Hurd (R)
(Retiring)		 49.2% R Lean D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Likely D
(flip)
Texas 24 R+9 Kenny Marchant (R)
(Retiring)		 50.6% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
(flip)
Texas 25 R+11 Roger Williams (R) 53.5% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Safe R Tossup
Texas 31 R+10 John Carter (R) 50.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Lean R Safe R Likely R Tossup
Texas 32 R+5 Colin Allred (D) 52.3% D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D
Utah 4 R+13 Ben McAdams (D) 50.1% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Virginia 1 R+8 Rob Wittman (R) 55.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Virginia 2 R+3 Elaine Luria (D) 51.1% D Tossup Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D
Virginia 5 R+6 Denver Riggleman (R)
(Lost Primary)		 53.2% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Virginia 7 R+6 Abigail Spanberger (D) 50.3% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Likely D
Washington 3 R+4 Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) 52.7% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Washington 5 R+8 Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) 54.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Washington 8 EVEN Kim Schrier (D) 52.4% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D
Washington 10 D+5 Denny Heck (D)
(Retiring)		 61.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
West Virginia 2 R+17 Alex Mooney (R) 54.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
West Virginia 3 R+23 Carol Miller (R) 56.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wisconsin 1 R+5 Bryan Steil (R) 54.6% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wisconsin 3 EVEN Ron Kind (D) 59.7% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D
Wisconsin 6 R+8 Glenn Grothman (R) 55.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wisconsin 7 R+8 Tom Tiffany (R) 57.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Overall D - 221
R - 186
28 tossups		 D - 236
R - 191
8 tossups		 D - 227
R - 195
13 tossups		 D - 216
R - 192
27 tossups		 D - 223
R - 194
18 tossups		 D - 214
R - 190
31 tossups		 D - 243
R - 180
12 tossups
District 2017 CPVI Incumbent Previous result Cook IE Sabato Politico Daily Kos RCP Niskanen

Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2020 House of Representatives elections.

Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Democratic Republican Lead
FiveThirtyEight Jun 17, 2020 ? – Jun 16, 2020 48.6% 40.7% +7.9%
RealClear Politics Jun 16, 2020 May 2, 2020 - Jun 16, 2020 49.0% 40.5% +8.5%
Individual polls
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Democratic Republican Other Undecided Wouldn't vote Lead
Emerson College Dec 6–9, 2018 800 ± 3.6% 46.2% 44.2% N/A N/A N/A +2.0%
HarrisX Jan 2–4, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jan 5–7, 2019 3,005 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jan 8–10, 2019 3,015 – 44% 36% N/A N/A N/A +8%
HarrisX Jan 11–14, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jan 15–18, 2019 3,005 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
Emerson College Jan 20–21, 2019 942 ± 3.3% 52.4% 47.6% N/A N/A N/A +4.8%
Morning Consult Jan 18–22, 2019 1,996 ± 2.0% 43% 38% N/A 17% 3% +5%
HarrisX Jan 19–22, 2019 3,003 – 42% 36% 5% 12% 5% +6%
HarrisX Jan 23–26, 2019 3,000 – 42% 36% N/A N/A N/A +6%
HarrisX Jan 27–30, 2019 3,001 – 43% 36% 5% 11% 5% +7%
HarrisX Jan 31–Feb 3, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Feb 4–7, 2019 3,002 – 43% 36% 5% 12% 4% +7%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 6–10, 2019 1,000 – 46% 45% N/A 10% N/A +1%
HarrisX Feb 10–13, 2019 3,005 – 43% 37% 5% 12% 5% +6%
Emerson College Feb 16–20, 2019 1,000 ± 3.0% 52.9% 47.1% N/A N/A N/A +5.8%
HarrisX Feb 14–17, 2019 3,000 – 42% 36% N/A N/A N/A +6%
Public Opinion Strategies Feb 16–20, 2019 800 ± 3.1% 46% 44% N/A N/A N/A +2%
HarrisX Feb 18–21, 2019 3,007 – 43% 35% 5% 13% 4% +8%
D-CYFOR Feb 22–23, 2019 1,000 ± 3.1% 46% 39% 2% 11% 2% +7%
Morning Consult Feb 22–24, 2019 1,994 ± 2.0% 42% 36% N/A 19% 3% +6%
HarrisX Feb 22–25, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% 6% 12% 3% +7%
HarrisX Feb 26–Mar 1, 2019 3,006 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
HarrisX Mar 2–5, 2019 3,006 – 41% 38% 5% 13% 4% +3%
HarrisX Mar 6–9, 2019 3,000 – 42% 38% N/A N/A N/A +4%
HarrisX Mar 10–13, 2019 3,001 – 42% 36% 6% 12% 4% +6%
HarrisX Mar 14–17, 2019 3,000 – 43% 35% N/A N/A N/A +8%
HarrisX Mar 18–21, 2019 3,005 – 43% 35% 4% 13% 5% +8%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 20–24, 2019 1,000 – 42.8% 46.7% N/A 10.4% N/A +2.9%
HarrisX Mar 22–25, 2019 3,002 – 43% 36% 4% 13% 4% +7%
Public Policy Polling Mar 27–28, 2019 846 ± 3.4% 51% 40% N/A 9% N/A +11%
HarrisX Mar 26–29, 2019 3,008 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
Morning Consult Mar 29–Apr 1, 2019 1,945 ± 2.0% 42% 40% N/A 16% 2% +2%
HarrisX Mar 30–Apr 2, 2019 3,007 – 43% 36% 5% 12% 4% +7%
Georgetown Mar 31–Apr 4, 2019 1,000 ± 3.1% 42% 37% N/A 21% N/A +5%
HarrisX Apr 3–6, 2019 3,000 – 41% 36% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Apr 5–7, 2019 1,992 ± 2.0% 45% 36% N/A 16% 3% +9%
HarrisX Apr 7–10, 2019 3,002 – 42% 35% 6% 13% 4% +7%
HarrisX Apr 11–14, 2019 3,000 – 42% 37% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Apr 12–14, 2019 1,998 ± 2.0% 42% 39% N/A 17% 2% +3%
HarrisX Apr 15–18, 2019 3,005 – 41% 35% 4% 14% 5% +6%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21, 2019 1,992 ± 2.0% 45% 34% N/A 17% 3% +11%
HarrisX Apr 19–22, 2019 3,007 – 43% 35% 5% 12% 4% +8%
HarrisX Apr 23–26, 2019 3,001 – 41% 36% 6% 13% 4% +5%
Morning Consult Apr 28–29, 2019 1,995 ± 2.0% 44% 37% N/A 16% 3% +7%
HarrisX Apr 27–30, 2019 3,005 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
HarrisX May 1–4, 2019 3,000 – 42% 37% N/A N/A N/A +5%
HarrisX May 5–8, 2019 3,004 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
McLaughlin & Associates May 7–11, 2019 1,000 – 45% 47% N/A 8% N/A +2%
HarrisX May 9–12, 2019 3,000 – 40% 36% N/A N/A N/A +4%
Morning Consult May 10–122, 2019 1,995 ± 2.0% 43% 37% N/A 18% 3% +6%
HarrisX May 13–27, 2019 3,003 – 42% 37% 4% 13% 4% +5%
HarrisX May 17–24, 2019 7,036 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 5% +6%
HarrisX May 25–28, 2019 3,005 – 42% 35% 5% 14% 3% +7%
YouGov May 26–28, 2019 1,114 ± 2.6% 48% 39% 1% 10% 2% +9%
HarrisX May 29–Jun 1, 2019 3,000 – 42% 37% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult May 31–Jun 2, 2019 1,997 ± 2.0% 45% 36% N/A 17% 3% +9%
YouGov Jun 2–4, 2019 1,189 ± 2.7% 45% 41% 1% 10% 2% +4%
HarrisX Jun 2–5, 2019 3,003 – 43% 35% 5% 13% 4% +8%
HarrisX Jul 6–9, 2019 3,000 – 41% 36% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Jun 7–9, 2019 1,991 ± 2.0% 47% 35% N/A 16% 2% +12%
YouGov Jun 9–11, 2019 1,102 ± 2.6% 46% 40% 2% 10% 2% +6%
HarrisX Jun 10–13, 2019 3,004 – 42% 36% 5% 12% 4% +6%
Morning Consult Jun 14–16, 2019 1,992 ± 2.0% 43% 37% N/A 16% 3% +6%
HarrisX Jun 14–17, 2019 3,004 – 41% 35% 5% 14% 5% +6%
YouGov Jun 16–18, 2019 1,196 ± 2.7% 47% 39% 1% 10% 2% +8%
HarrisX Jun 18–21, 2019 3,001 – 42% 36% 4% 13% 5% +6%
McLaughlin & Associates Jun 18–24, 2019 1,000 – 46% 47% N/A 8% N/A +1%
Morning Consult Jun 21–24, 2019 1,991 ± 2.0% 44% 38% N/A 16% 2% +6%
HarrisX Jun 22–25, 2019 3,004 – 42% 36% 6% 12% 3% +6%
YouGov Jun 22–25, 2019 1,104 ± 2.6% 46% 40% 1% 11% 2% +6%
HarrisX Jun 26–29, 2019 3,000 – 42% 36% N/A N/A N/A +6%
Morning Consult Jun 29–Jul 1, 2019 1,472 ± 3.0% 45% 35% N/A 17% 3% +10%
YouGov Jun 30–Jul 2, 2019 1,259 ± 2.9% 48% 39% 1% 10% 2% +9%
HarrisX Jun 30–Jul 3, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% 5% 12% 5% +7%
HarrisX Jul 4–7, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
YouGov Jul 7–9, 2019 1,130 ± 2.6% 47% 38% 1% 12% 2% +9%
HarrisX Jul 8–11, 2019 3,003 – 41% 35% 6% 13% 3% +6%
Morning Consult Jul 12–14, 2019 1,984 ± 2.0% 44% 35% N/A 18% 4% +9%
HarrisX Jul 12–15, 2019 3,003 – 42% 37% 4% 14% 3% +5%
YouGov Jul 14–16, 2019 1,143 ± 2.6% 47% 40% 1% 10% 1% +7%
HarrisX Jul 15–18, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% 5% 13% 4% +7%
HarrisX Jul 16–19, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jul 20–23, 2019 3,015 – 41% 37% N/A N/A N/A +4%
YouGov Jul 21–23, 2019 1,207 ± 2.9% 47% 40% 1% 9% 2% +7%

Party listings

The campaign committees for the two parties -- the DCCC and NRCC -- publish their own lists of targeted seats.

Democratic

These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in January 2020.[10]

These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in August 2019.[11]

These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in January 2019.[12]

These races were added to the DCCC's "frontline" list of defensive targets in February 2019.[13]

Republican

These races were announced as the NRCC's offensive targets in February 2019.[14]

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (April 7, 2017). "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on December 23, 2017.
  2. "House election results 2018". Cnn.com. Retrieved January 9, 2019.
  3. "2020 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  4. "House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  5. "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
  6. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  7. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved July 22, 2020.
  8. "Battle for the House 2020". RealClearPolitics. June 9, 2020. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  9. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Retrieved July 29, 2020.
  10. "MEMO: Democrats Set to Protect & Expand House Majority, as 2020 Kicks off". January 16, 2020. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  11. "MEMO: DCCC Expands Offensive Battlefield to 39 Districts". August 15, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  12. "Democrats Go on Offense – DCCC Chairwoman Cheri Bustos Announces Initial 2020 Offensive Battlefield". January 28, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  13. "2019-2020 DCCC Frontline Members". February 7, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  14. "NRCC Announces 55 Offensive Targets for the 2020 Cycle". February 9, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
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