2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary

The 2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary took place in Vermont, United States, on March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Vermont primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 23 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 16 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Main article: 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary
March 3, 2020
23 Democratic National Convention delegates (16 pledged, 7 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Bernie Sanders Joe Biden
Home state Vermont Delaware
Delegate count 11 5
Popular vote 79,921 34,669
Percentage 50.57% 21.94%
 
Candidate Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg
Home state Massachusetts New York
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 19,785 14,828
Percentage 12.52% 9.38%
Election results by county
  Bernie Sanders
Elections in Vermont

The Associated Press declared Bernie Sanders the winner of the Vermont primary.[1] Whilst Sanders had won over 85% of the vote four years previously, his underperformance in his home state in 2020 allowed former Vice President Joe Biden to garner 5 delegates alongside his second place finish, adding to the narrative of Biden's surge in the primaries.

Sanders had served as the junior Senator from Vermont since 2007.

Procedure

Vermont was one of 14 states holding primaries on Super Tuesday.[2]

Early voting began on January 18, 2020, and took six days a week between then and election day.[3]

Regular voting took place throughout the state from 5:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts closing as late as 10:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates needed to meet a threshold of 15 percent in order to be considered viable. The 16 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 16 pledged delegates, 11 were allocated on the basis of the statewide result (by definition coterminous with the state's sole congressional district) and another 2 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 3 at-large pledged delegates.[4]

After town caucuses on Tuesday, April 7, 2020 to designate delegates for the state convention, the state convention will be held on Saturday, May 30, 2020 to nominate national convention district delegates, who in turn elect the 3 pledged at-large and 2 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention at the national convention delegate meeting on June 13, 2020. The 16 pledged delegates Vermont sends to the national convention will be joined by 7 unpledged PLEO delegates who are also selected at the national convention delegate meeting (4 members of the Democratic National Committee; 2 members of Congress, including Senator Patrick Leahy and U.S. Representatives Peter Welch; and former DNC chair Howard Dean).[4]

Candidates

The following people have filed and qualified to be on the ballot in Vermont.[5]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling
Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated		 Dates
polled		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Joe
Biden		 Michael
Bloomberg		 Tulsi
Gabbard		 Other/
Undecided[lower-alpha 1]
270 to Win March 3, 2020 February 4–March 2, 2020 52.0% 14.0% 10.7% 10.3% 1.0% 12.0%
RealClear Politics March 3, 2020 Insufficient recent polling to supply an average.
FiveThirtyEight March 3, 2020 until March 2, 2020[lower-alpha 2] 53.0% 14.2% 10.4% 8.9% 0.9% 12.6%
Average 52.5% 14.1% 10.55% 9.6% 0.95% 12.3%
Vermont primary results (March 3, 2020) 50.6% 12.5% 21.9% 9.4% 0.8% 4.8%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Vermont Democratic Primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Joe
Biden		 Michael
Bloomberg		 Pete
Buttigieg		 Amy
Klobuchar		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Other Un-
decided
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Swayable Mar 1–2, 2020 147 (LV) ± 11.0% 11% 16% 5% 2% 48% 17% 2%[lower-alpha 4] –
Data for Progress Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 236 (LV) ± 6.9% 16% 8% 1% – 57% 16% 2%[lower-alpha 5] –
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Vermont Public Radio Feb 4–10, 2020 332 (LV) ± 4.0% 5% 7% 9% 4% 51% 13% 2%[lower-alpha 6] 7%

Results
Popular vote share by county
  Sanders—40–50%
  Sanders—50–60%
2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7]
Bernie Sanders 79,921 50.57 11
Joe Biden 34,669 21.94 5
Elizabeth Warren 19,785 12.52 0
Michael Bloomberg 14,828 9.38 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 3,709 2.35 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 1,991 1.26 0
Tulsi Gabbard 1,303 0.82 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 591 0.37 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 202 0.13 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn†) 137 0.09 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 135 0.09 0
Mark Stewart 110 0.07 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 52 0.03 0
Write-ins[lower-alpha 7] 219 0.14 0
Overvotes 57 0.04 0
Blank votes 323 0.20 0
Total 158,032 100% 16

†Candidate withdrew after no-excuse, in-person absentee voting started.

Results by county
2020 Vermont Democratic primary

(results per county)[8]

County Bernie Sanders Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang Tom Steyer Deval Patrick Marianne Williamson Mark Stewart Julian Castro Write-ins Overvotes Blank votes Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Addison 5,069 48.61 2,256 21.63 1,581 15.16 974 9.34 227 2.18 117 1.12 67 0.64 34 0.33 15 0.14 7 0.07 6 0.06 11 0.11 5 0.05 17 0.16 7 0.07 35 0.34 10,428
Bennington 3,568 45.10 2,308 29.17 813 10.28 827 10.45 158 2.00 69 0.87 62 0.78 27 0.34 10 0.13 20 0.25 9 0.11 4 0.05 5 0.06 17 0.21 3 0.04 12 0.15 7,912
Caledonia 2,749 50.88 1,182 21.88 656 12.14 501 9.27 121 2.24 56 1.04 59 1.09 33 0.61 5 0.09 10 0.19 6 0.11 4 0.07 1 0.02 5 0.09 7 0.13 8 0.15 5,403
Chittenden 26,465 51.98 9,959 19.56 6,972 13.69 4,647 9.13 1,254 2.46 777 1.53 375 0.74 173 0.34 43 0.08 22 0.04 37 0.07 27 0.05 14 0.03 56 0.11 9 0.02 83 0.16 50,913
Essex 408 43.78 275 29.51 55 5.90 117 12.55 22 2.36 15 1.61 10 1.07 7 0.75 2 0.21 0 0 0 0 2 0.21 0 0 7 0.75 1 0.11 11 1.18 932
Franklin 3,962 50.14 1,919 24.28 527 6.67 1,021 12.92 194 2.46 81 1.03 57 0.72 47 0.59 7 0.09 8 0.10 14 0.18 7 0.09 4 0.05 25 0.32 3 0.04 26 0.33 7,902
Grand Isle 936 46.73 475 23.71 178 8.89 284 14.18 54 2.70 31 1.55 17 0.85 9 0.45 2 0.10 0 0 1 0.05 2 0.10 0 0 3 0.15 2 0.10 9 0.45 2,003
Lamoille 3,146 53.57 1,271 21.64 495 8.43 680 11.58 114 1.94 65 1.11 37 0.63 26 0.44 5 0.09 4 0.07 2 0.03 0 0 2 0.03 9 0.15 1 0.02 16 0.27 5,873
Orange 3,283 52.10 1,342 21.30 885 14.05 451 7.16 134 2.13 85 1.35 60 0.95 20 0.32 8 0.13 6 0.10 4 0.06 2 0.03 2 0.03 5 0.08 3 0.05 11 0.17 6,301
Orleans 1,985 51.53 899 23.34 341 8.85 439 11.40 67 1.74 37 0.96 35 0.91 14 0.36 5 0.13 4 0.10 7 0.18 5 0.13 1 0.03 1 0.03 2 0.05 10 0.26 3,852
Rutland 5,585 46.49 3,275 27.26 979 8.15 1,463 12.18 310 2.58 133 1.11 122 1.02 46 0.38 18 0.15 16 0.13 15 0.12 15 0.12 5 0.04 16 0.13 5 0.04 11 0.09 12,014
Washington 8,668 51.76 3,260 19.47 2,479 14.80 1,347 8.04 467 2.79 178 1.06 134 0.80 66 0.39 17 0.10 9 0.05 23 0.14 16 0.10 9 0.05 19 0.11 6 0.04 49 0.29 16,747
Windham 6,857 55.21 2,316 18.65 1,844 14.85 748 6.02 237 1.91 171 1.38 115 0.93 36 0.29 31 0.25 17 0.14 6 0.05 9 0.07 2 0.02 13 0.10 4 0.03 13 0.10 12,419
Windsor 7,240 47.22 3,932 25.64 1,980 12.91 1,329 8.67 350 2.28 176 1.15 153 1.00 53 0.35 34 0.22 14 0.09 5 0.03 6 0.04 2 0.01 26 0.17 4 0.03 29 0.19 15,333
Total 79,921 50.57 34,669 21.94 19,785 12.52 14,828 9.38 3,709 2.35 1,991 1.26 1,303 0.82 591 0.37 202 0.13 137 0.09 135 0.09 110 0.07 52 0.03 219 0.14 57 0.04 323 0.20 158,032

Notes
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
  5. Gabbard with 2%
  6. Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
  7. Donald Trump with 83 votes; Blank (written in) with 8 votes; Hillary Clinton with 5 votes; Michael Bennet with 3 votes; Ron Paul, Michelle Obama, John Edwards, Thomas James Torgensen, and Stephen Richardson with 2 votes; 110 other write-ins with 1 vote
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References
  1. Wilson Ring (March 3, 2020). "Sanders wins his home state of Vermont on Super Tuesday". Associated Press. Retrieved April 10, 2020.
  2. Putnam, Josh (May 31, 2016). "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  3. WCAX (January 17, 2020). "Vermont's early primary voting period opens". WCAX 3.
  4. "Vermont Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  5. "Vermont Sec of State" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State.
  6. "Vermont Election Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  7. "Vermont Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
  8. "Official Report of the Canvassing Committee" (PDF). Vermont Official State Website. United States and Vermont Statewide Offices. March 3, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 27, 2020. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
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