2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)

Nominee Asa Hutchinson Jared Henderson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 582,406 283,218 Percentage 65.3% 31.8%

County results Hutchinson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Henderson:      40-50%      50–60%

Governor before election Asa Hutchinson Republican Elected Governor Asa Hutchinson Republican

Incumbent Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson won reelection to a second term in the biggest margin for a Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Asa Hutchinson, incumbent Governor[1][2]
• Jan Morgan, gun range owner[3][4]

Declined

• Tim Griffin, Lieutenant Governor and former U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[5][6]
• Leslie Rutledge, Attorney General (running for re-election)[1]
• John Thurston, Land Commissioner (running for Secretary of State)[1]

Endorsements

Asa Hutchinson
Federal officials Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[7] Organizations National Rifle Association[8] Newspapers Arkansas Democrat-Gazette[9]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Asa Hutchinson	Jan Morgan	Undecided
Hendrix College	April 17–19, 2018	676	± 3.8%	58%	31%	12%

Results

Results by county:

Hutchinson

•   80–90%
•   70–80%
•   60–70%
•   50–60%

Morgan

•   50–60%

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Asa Hutchinson (incumbent)	145,251	69.7
	Republican	Jan Morgan	63,009	30.3
Total votes			208,260	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Jared Henderson, former Arkansas executive director of Teach For America[10]
• Leticia Sanders, hairdresser[11]

Declined

• Keith Ingram, Minority Leader of the Arkansas Senate[1]
• Jay Martin, former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives[12][13]

Results

Results by county:

Henderson

•   70–80%
•   60–70%
•   50–60%

Sanders

•   50–60%

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jared Henderson	68,340	63.4
	Democratic	Leticia Sanders	39,382	36.6
Total votes			107,722	100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declined

• Bobby Bones, radio host[14][15]

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

• Mark West (Libertarian), pastor and nominee for AR-01 in 2016[16][17]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[18]	Solid R	October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[19]	Solid R	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[20]	Solid R	November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[21]	Solid R	November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[23]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[24]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Fox News[25][lower-alpha 1]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Politico[26]	Solid R	November 5, 2018
Governing[27]	Safe R	November 5, 2018

Notes

1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

Dates	Location	Hutchinson	Henderson	West	Link
September 12, 2018	Little Rock, Arkansas	Didn't participate	Participant	Participant	Full debate - YouTube
October 12, 2018	Conway, Arkansas	Participant	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Asa Hutchinson (R)	Jared Henderson (D)	Mark West (L)	Other	Undecided
University of Arkansas	October 1–28, 2018	618	± 3.9%	59%	35%	–	6%	–
Hendrix College	October 18–19, 2018	528	± 4.3%	60%	24%	5%	–	11%
Hendrix College	September 5–7, 2018	1,701	± 2.4%	60%	25%	6%	–	9%
Mason-Dixon	March 21–24, 2018	625	± 4.0%	63%	24%	–	–	13%

Results

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Republican	Asa Hutchinson (incumbent)	582,406	65.33%	+9.89%
	Democratic	Jared Henderson	283,218	31.77%	-9.72%
	Libertarian	Mark West	25,885	2.90%	+0.98%
Total votes			891,509	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

See also

• 2018 Arkansas elections

References

1. Wickline, Michael R. (January 3, 2017). "Arkansas governor to hold fundraiser for term 2; re-election bid not yet formally announced". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
2. Wickline, Michael R. (May 17, 2017). "Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson to pursue second term". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
3. Lanning, Curt (October 3, 2017). "Gov. Hutchinson May Have a GOP Challenger". KNWA-TV. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
4. "Republican Jan Morgan Announces Run for Arkansas Governor". U.S. News and World Report. January 1, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
5. Ramsey, David (April 18, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin "opposes Obamacare" (duh), dodges questions on "Arkansas Works"". Arkansas Times. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
6. DeMillo, Andrew (July 11, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Griffin says he's seeking re-election". Log Cabin Democrat. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
7. Donald J. Trump. ".@AsaHutchinson, the great Governor of Arkansas, is in a primary tomorrow. He has done an incredible job with a focus on lower taxes, border security, and crime prevention. Asa loves our military and our veterans. I fully endorse Asa for Governor!". Twitter.
8. "NRA Endorses Governor Asa Hutchinson In Re-Election Bid". 5newsonline.com. September 20, 2018.
9. "EDITORIAL: For Asa Hutchinson". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. October 23, 2018.
10. Brock, Roby (December 12, 2017). "Jared Henderson to run as Democratic candidate for Governor". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
11. "Meet Jan Morgan, GOP Candidate For Arkansas Governor". KFSM. March 27, 2018. Retrieved April 8, 2018.
12. Brock, Roby (November 28, 2017). "Former State Rep. Jay Martin eyeing run for governor on Democratic ticket". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
13. "Martin says time is not right to run for Arkansas governor's office". Talk Business & Politics. December 1, 2017. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
14. "Radio host Bobby Bones considering run for Ark. governor". THV11 Digital, KTHV. January 3, 2017. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
15. Taha, Nada (March 14, 2017). "Bobby Makes Official Statement On Political Plans". The Bobby Bones Show. Archived from the original on March 20, 2017. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
16. Wickline, Michael R. (June 28, 2017). "Libertarian to run for governor's post". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
17. Lampe, Ellen (June 27, 2017). "Libertarian Party Candidate Announces Run for AR Governor". ArkansasMatters.com. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
18. "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
19. "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
20. "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
21. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
22. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
23. "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
24. "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
25. "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
26. "Race Ratings, Politico predicts". Politico.
27. "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved July 18, 2018.

External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

• Jared Henderson (D) for Governor
• Asa Hutchinson (R) for Governor
• Mark West (L) for Governor