2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas

The 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas

November 8, 2016
Turnout	64.65%
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 6 0 Popular vote 684,872 380,494 Percentage 60.57% 33.65%
County Results Trump   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Clinton   50–60%   60–70%
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county

Despite Hillary Clinton having once served as First Lady of Arkansas for 12 years as the wife of then Governor of Arkansas Bill Clinton, Donald Trump won the state with 60.57% of the vote, and Hillary Clinton received 33.65% of the vote.[1] The Republican candidate has carried Arkansas in every election since 2000. This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican presidential candidate and an incumbent Republican senate candidate. Arkansas was also one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Trump's 60.57% of the vote is tied with Mitt Romney's 60.57% in the 2012 election, making both candidates' performances the best result for the Republican Party in Arkansas since Richard Nixon in 1972, although Trump bested Romney in terms of margin, winning by 26.92% versus Romney's 23.69%.

The Prohibition Party candidate, James Hedges, had the notable achievement of finishing third in Arkansas County, ahead of the major third party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. It was also the only county in the country where he did so.

Primary elections

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Arkansas voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, Libertarian, Constitution, and Prohibition parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Results of the Democratic primary by county. Bernie Sanders took Newton County and Carroll County. All others went to Hillary Clinton.

  Hillary Clinton

  Bernie Sanders

Opinion polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries § Arkansas

Results

See also: Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 37

 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arkansas
– Summary of results –

Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	146,057	66.08%	22	5	27
Bernie Sanders	66,236	29.97%	10	0	10
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	2,785	1.26%
John Wolfe Jr.	2,556	1.16%
James Valentine	1,702	0.77%
Rocky De La Fuente	1,684	0.76%
Total	221,020	100%	32	5	37
Sources: The Green Papers and Official County results (provisional) Arkansas Secretary of State

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county.

  Donald Trump

  Ted Cruz

  Marco Rubio

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[2][3]

Arkansas Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	134,744	32.79%	16	0	16
Ted Cruz	125,340	30.50%	15	0	15
Marco Rubio	101,910	24.80%	9	0	9
Ben Carson	23,521	5.72%	0	0	0
John Kasich	15,305	3.72%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	4,792	1.17%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	2,402	0.58%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	1,151	0.28%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	631	0.15%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	411	0.10%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	292	0.07%	0	0	0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)	252	0.06%	0	0	0
Bobby Jindal (withdrawn)	169	0.04%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	410,920	100.00%	40	0	40
Source: The Green Papers

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Arkansas

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arkansas as of Election Day.

1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[4]
2. CNN: Solid Trump[5]
3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[6]
4. NBC: Likely Trump[7]
5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[8]
6. Fox News: Solid Republican[9]
7. ABC: Solid Trump[10]

Statewide results

2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas[11]
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	%	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	684,872	60.57%	6
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	380,494	33.65%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	William Weld	29,829	2.64%	0
	Independent	Evan McMullin	Nathan Johnson	13,255	1.17%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	9,473	0.84%	0
	Prohibition Party	Jim Hedges	Bill Bayes	4,709	0.42%	0
	Constitution	Darrell Castle	Scott Bradley	4,613	0.41%	0
	Independent	Lynn S. Kahn	Kathleen Monahan	3,390	0.30%	0
Total				1,130,635	100.00%	6

Results by county

County	Trump#	Trump%	Clinton#	Clinton%	Johnson#	Johnson%	McMullin#	McMullin%	Stein#	Stein%	Hedges#	Hedges%	Castle#	Castle%	Kahn#	Kahn%	Total votes
Arkansas	3,926	61.59%	1,939	31.21%	126	2.03%	44	0.71%	64	1.03%	133	2.14%	40	0.64%	40	0.64%	6,312
Ashley	5,338	66.04%	2,408	29.79%	156	1.93%	58	0.69%	34	0.42%	33	0.41%	31	0.38%	27	0.33%	8,085
Baxter	14,682	74.28%	4,169	21.09%	452	2.29%	158	0.80%	140	0.71%	38	0.19%	85	0.43%	42	0.21%	19,766
Benton	60,871	62.87%	28,005	28.92%	3,871	4.00%	2,313	2.39%	949	0.98%	279	0.29%	342	0.35%	194	0.20%	96,824
Boone	12,235	75.94%	2,926	18.16%	379	2.35%	186	1.15%	134	0.83%	84	0.52%	105	0.65%	62	0.38%	16,111
Bradley	2,164	59.24%	1,317	36.05%	73	2.00%	35	0.96%	16	0.44%	21	0.57%	15	0.41%	12	0.33%	3,653
Calhoun	1,556	68.58%	639	28.16%	44	1.94%	14	0.62%	3	0.13%	3	0.13%	7	0.31%	3	0.13%	2,269
Carroll	6,786	63.08%	3,342	31.07%	238	2.21%	80	0.74%	210	1.95%	43	0.40%	32	0.30%	27	0.25%	10,758
Chicot	1,716	41.09%	2,350	56.27%	35	0.84%	27	0.65%	15	0.36%	16	0.38%	4	0.10%	13	0.31%	4,176
Clark	4,404	51.65%	3,620	42.46%	196	2.30%	141	1.65%	68	0.80%	34	0.40%	42	0.49%	21	0.25%	8,526
Clay	3,781	72.71%	1,199	23.06%	100	1.92%	20	0.38%	35	0.67%	27	0.52%	19	0.37%	19	0.37%	5,200
Cleburne	9,458	78.26%	2,101	17.39%	229	1.89%	113	0.94%	63	0.52%	44	0.36%	42	0.35%	35	0.29%	12,085
Cleveland	2,462	73.40%	723	21.56%	59	1.76%	53	1.58%	8	0.24%	32	0.95%	11	0.33%	6	0.18%	3,354
Columbia	5,456	61.39%	3,140	35.33%	117	1.32%	50	0.56%	40	0.45%	18	0.20%	46	0.52%	20	0.23%	8,887
Conway	4,849	61.17%	2,656	33.51%	171	2.16%	84	1.06%	43	0.54%	69	0.87%	30	0.38%	25	0.32%	7,927
Craighead	22,892	64.35%	10,538	29.62%	1,031	2.90%	440	1.24%	304	0.85%	139	0.39%	134	0.38%	95	0.27%	35,573
Crawford	16,686	74.33%	4,488	19.81%	581	2.59%	248	1.10%	173	0.77%	119	0.53%	80	0.36%	75	0.33%	22,450
Crittenden	6,964	43.66%	8,410	52.72%	242	1.52%	97	0.61%	96	0.60%	37	0.23%	58	0.36%	48	0.30%	15,952
Cross	4,584	66.69%	1,999	29.08%	105	1.53%	32	0.47%	24	0.35%	54	0.79%	44	0.64%	32	0.47%	6,874
Dallas	1,509	54.46%	1,165	42.04%	26	0.94%	28	1.01%	12	0.43%	13	0.47%	8	0.29%	10	0.36%	2,771
Desha	1,919	45.08%	2,228	52.34%	44	1.03%	26	0.62%	4	0.09%	12	0.28%	8	0.19%	16	0.38%	4,257
Drew	3,968	60.17%	2,365	35.86%	111	1.68%	38	0.58%	43	0.65%	28	0.42%	18	0.27%	24	0.36%	6,595
Faulkner	29,346	61.75%	14,629	30.78%	1,675	3.52%	838	1.76%	511	1.08%	176	0.37%	210	0.44%	142	0.30%	47,527
Franklin	5,039	74.43%	1,376	20.32%	177	2.61%	67	0.99%	34	0.50%	21	0.31%	29	0.43%	27	0.40%	6,770
Fulton	3,471	72.74%	1,067	22.36%	107	2.24%	27	0.57%	41	0.86%	19	0.40%	18	0.38%	22	0.46%	4,772
Garland	26,087	63.69%	12,311	30.17%	989	2.42%	399	0.98%	387	0.95%	279	0.68%	171	0.42%	182	0.45%	40,805
Grant	5,725	76.90%	1,373	18.44%	177	2.38%	51	0.69%	30	0.40%	21	0.28%	36	0.48%	32	0.43%	7,445
Greene	10,720	73.42%	3,071	21.03%	404	2.77%	138	0.95%	97	0.66%	98	0.67%	35	0.24%	37	0.25%	14,600
Hempstead	4,401	62.43%	2,377	33.72%	106	1.50%	48	0.68%	22	0.31%	37	0.52%	38	0.54%	20	0.28%	7,049
Hot Spring	8,172	68.42%	3,149	26.36%	239	2.00%	94	0.79%	112	0.94%	77	0.64%	30	0.25%	71	0.59%	11,944
Howard	3,157	67.54%	1,351	28.90%	60	1.28%	37	0.79%	22	0.47%	20	0.43%	13	0.28%	14	0.30%	4,674
Independence	9,936	72.98%	2,881	21.16%	352	2.59%	155	1.14%	85	0.62%	101	0.74%	57	0.42%	47	0.35%	13,614
Izard	4,042	74.19%	1,113	20.43%	125	2.29%	49	0.90%	45	0.83%	30	0.55%	32	0.59%	12	0.22%	5,448
Jackson	3,267	63.36%	1,583	30.70%	111	2.15%	58	1.12%	26	0.50%	31	0.60%	48	0.93%	32	0.63%	5,156
Jefferson	9,250	35.72%	15,772	60.91%	296	1.14%	138	0.53%	157	0.61%	82	0.32%	106	0.41%	93	0.36%	25,894
Johnson	6,091	66.85%	2,427	26.64%	294	3.23%	89	0.98%	90	0.99%	40	0.44%	55	0.60%	26	0.29%	9,112
Lafayette	1,758	61.47%	1,032	36.08%	26	0.91%	13	0.45%	5	0.17%	14	0.49%	5	0.17%	7	0.24%	2,860
Lawrence	4,064	71.49%	1,263	22.22%	165	2.90%	56	0.99%	39	0.69%	40	0.70%	36	0.63%	22	0.39%	5,685
Lee	1,229	40.61%	1,735	57.34%	22	0.73%	16	0.53%	6	0.20%	12	0.40%	3	0.10%	3	0.10%	3,026
Lincoln	2,455	64.17%	1,252	32.72%	48	1.25%	12	0.31%	16	0.42%	8	0.21%	22	0.58%	13	0.34%	3,826
Little River	3,605	68.97%	1,397	26.73%	85	1.63%	34	0.65%	14	0.27%	24	0.46%	42	0.80%	26	0.50%	5,227
Logan	5,746	72.54%	1,715	21.65%	195	2.46%	70	0.88%	54	0.68%	62	0.78%	46	0.58%	33	0.42%	7,921
Lonoke	19,958	73.65%	5,664	20.90%	767	2.83%	243	0.90%	172	0.63%	119	0.44%	78	0.29%	99	0.37%	27,100
Madison	4,928	72.04%	1,588	23.21%	144	2.10%	47	0.69%	54	0.79%	43	0.63%	23	0.34%	14	0.20%	6,841
Marion	5,336	75.08%	1,434	20.18%	157	2.21%	61	0.86%	56	0.79%	21	0.30%	25	0.35%	17	0.24%	7,107
Miller	11,294	70.19%	4,273	26.56%	237	1.47%	75	0.47%	69	0.43%	56	0.35%	65	0.40%	22	0.14%	16,091
Mississippi	7,061	53.48%	5,670	42.94%	181	1.37%	81	0.61%	65	0.49%	49	0.37%	41	0.31%	56	0.42%	13,204
Monroe	1,489	51.63%	1,312	45.49%	37	1.28%	12	0.42%	9	0.31%	11	0.38%	6	0.21%	8	0.28%	2,884
Montgomery	2,643	74.26%	748	21.02%	52	1.46%	28	0.79%	33	0.93%	24	0.67%	10	0.28%	21	0.59%	3,559
Nevada	2,000	61.61%	1,157	35.64%	35	1.08%	15	0.46%	6	0.18%	16	0.49%	10	0.31%	7	0.22%	3,246
Newton	2,875	76.61%	699	18.63%	49	1.31%	22	0.59%	69	1.84%	13	0.35%	15	0.40%	11	0.29%	3,753
Ouachita	5,351	53.86%	4,321	43.49%	97	0.98%	48	0.48%	24	0.24%	40	0.40%	40	0.20%	34	0.34%	9,955
Perry	3,008	69.86%	1,049	24.36%	113	2.62%	49	1.14%	38	0.88%	13	0.30%	15	0.35%	21	0.49%	4,306
Phillips	2,446	35.18%	4,310	61.99%	62	0.89%	38	0.55%	20	0.29%	31	0.45%	26	0.37%	20	0.29%	6,953
Pike	3,150	79.13%	685	17.21%	73	1.83%	24	0.60%	8	0.20%	23	0.58%	10	0.25%	8	0.20%	3,981
Poinsett	5,502	71.25%	1,880	24.35%	154	1.99%	50	0.65%	34	0.44%	50	0.65%	25	0.32%	27	0.35%	7,722
Polk	6,618	80.40%	1,212	14.72%	164	1.99%	94	1.14%	56	0.68%	36	0.44%	35	0.43%	16	0.19%	8,231
Pope	16,256	72.03%	5,000	22.15%	618	2.74%	233	1.03%	225	1.00%	94	0.42%	82	0.36%	61	0.27%	22,569
Prairie	2,505	72.74%	814	23.64%	56	1.63%	36	1.05%	10	0.29%	9	0.26%	8	0.23%	6	0.17%	3,444
Pulaski	61,257	38.34%	89,574	56.06%	4,328	2.71%	1,761	1.10%	1,553	0.97%	529	0.33%	403	0.25%	371	0.23%	159,776
Randolph	4,509	70.69%	1,425	22.34%	203	3.18%	65	1.02%	53	0.83%	38	0.60%	61	0.96%	25	0.39%	6,279
Saint Francis	3,195	43.00%	4,031	54.25%	64	0.86%	18	0.24%	18	0.24%	18	0.24%	56	0.75%	30	0.40%	7,430
Saline	35,863	68.83%	13,256	25.44%	1,466	2.81%	607	1.17%	326	0.63%	193	0.37%	186	0.36%	203	0.39%	52,100
Scott	2,731	77.81%	602	17.15%	83	2.36%	22	0.63%	25	0.71%	16	0.46%	9	0.26%	22	0.63%	3,510
Searcy	2,955	79.27%	601	16.12%	68	1.82%	30	0.80%	18	0.48%	22	0.59%	16	0.43%	18	0.48%	3,728
Sebastian	29,127	65.25%	12,300	27.56%	1,630	3.65%	569	1.27%	481	1.08%	173	0.39%	232	0.52%	125	0.28%	44,637
Sevier	3,282	71.94%	1,075	23.56%	83	1.82%	44	0.96%	20	0.44%	47	1.03%	7	0.15%	4	0.09%	4,562
Sharp	5,407	74.59%	1,472	20.31%	155	2.14%	56	0.77%	49	0.68%	52	0.72%	36	0.50%	22	0.30%	7,249
Stone	4,113	73.21%	1,203	21.41%	120	2.14%	41	0.73%	62	1.10%	35	0.62%	21	0.37%	23	0.41%	5,618
Union	10,456	61.89%	5,855	34.66%	275	1.63%	97	0.57%	70	0.41%	66	0.39%	41	0.24%	34	0.20%	16,894
Van Buren	5,382	73.33%	1,549	21.11%	182	2.48%	55	0.75%	53	0.72%	51	0.69%	46	0.63%	21	0.29%	7,339
Washington	41,476	50.67%	33,366	40.76%	3,360	4.10%	1,438	1.76%	1,316	1.61%	124	0.15%	566	0.69%	215	0.26%	81,861
White	21,077	75.28%	5,170	18.46%	695	2.48%	495	1.77%	151	0.54%	148	0.53%	178	0.64%	85	0.30%	27,999
Woodruff	1,347	52.39%	1,118	43.49%	45	1.75%	16	0.62%	12	0.47%	14	0.54%	12	0.47%	7	0.27%	2,571
Yell	4,608	71.56%	1,480	22.98%	157	2.44%	34	0.53%	47	0.73%	67	1.04%	16	0.25%	30	0.47%	6,439

By congressional district

The Republican Party won all four of the state's congressional districts.[12]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	65%	30%	Rick Crawford
2nd	52%	42%	French Hill
3rd	62%	31%	Steve Womack
4th	63%	31%	Bruce Westerman

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

• Woodruff (largest city: Augusta)

Turnout

The voter turnout in Arkansas was 64.65% with 1,137,772 ballots cast out of 1,759,974 registered voters.[13]

See also

• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. "Arkansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
2. James Jackson (2015-11-10). "Candidates file for Arkansas primaries - News - The Sun-Times - Heber Springs, AR - Heber Springs, AR". The Sun-Times. Archived from the original on 2015-11-16. Retrieved 2016-01-21.
3. "Washington County, AR : March 1, 2016 Republican Preferential Primary Sample Ballots". Co.washington.ar.us. Archived from the original on January 29, 2016. Retrieved 2016-01-21.
4. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
5. "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
6. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
7. Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
8. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
9. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
10. "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
11. "2016 General ELection and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Official County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State.
12. http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
13. "AR - Election Results". Retrieved December 2, 2016.

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Arkansas