2018 United States Senate election in Delaware
The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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Turnout | 52.18% | ||||||||||||||||
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County Results
Carper: 60-70% 50–60% Arlett: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Delaware | ||||||||||||
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The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth term.
Background
Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.
Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously had a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on in the 2018 Democratic primary to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.
The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran in seven other states.[2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator and 71st Governor of Delaware[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Kerri Evelyn Harris, Dover activist and U.S. Air Force veteran[4]
Withdrew
- Tykiem Booker, activist[5]
Declined
- Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)
Endorsements
Tom Carper |
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Kerri Evelyn Harris |
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Declined to endorse |
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Debates
Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018 for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts.[28][51] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Carper |
Kerri Evelyn Harris |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 24–29, 2018 | 354 | ± 5.2% | 51% | 19% | 30% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Carper (incumbent) | 53,633 | 64.59% | |
Democratic | Kerri Harris | 29,406 | 35.41% | |
Total votes | 83,039 | 100% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rob Arlett, Sussex County Councilman and former Delaware State Chairman for the Trump campaign[53]
Eliminated in primary
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[2]
- Gene Truono, businessman and former Chief Compliance Officer at PayPal[54]
Declined
- Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election)[57]
- Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014 (endorsed Rob Arlett)
Endorsements
Rob Arlett |
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Gene Truono |
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Declined to endorse |
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Debates
Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Arlett |
Rocky De La Fuente |
Gene Truono |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 24–29, 2018 | 288 | ± 5.8% | 19% | 7% | 15% | 60% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Rob Arlett | 25,284 | 66.77% | |
Republican | Gene Truono | 10,587 | 27.96% | |
Republican | Rocky De La Fuente | 1,998 | 5.28% | |
Total votes | 37,869 | 100% |
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner[69]
Declined
- Andrew Groff, businessman and perennial candidate
Endorsements
Demitri Theodoropoulos |
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Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nadine Frost, New Castle County chairwoman of Libertarian Party of Delaware and Libertarian nominee for Wilmington City Council in 2016[69]
Independents
Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which currently has no candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.
Candidates
General election
Endorsements
Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.
Tom Carper |
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Rob Arlett |
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Demitri Theodoropoulos |
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Declined to endorse |
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Debates
- with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former Governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt.[85] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.[86]
- Full video of debate, Facebook August 20, 2018
- with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett
The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic Senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.
- Full video of debate, C-SPAN October 17, 2018
- with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos
- Full video of debate, WHYY October 30, 2018
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[87] | Solid D | September 28, 2018 |
Inside Elections[88] | Solid D | November 14, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] | Safe D | November 15, 2017 |
Daily Kos[90] | Safe D | April 9, 2018 |
Fox News[91] | Likely D^ | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[92] | Solid D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[93] | Safe D | June 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[94] | Solid D | September 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Carper (D) |
Rob Arlett (R) |
Nadine Frost (L) |
Demitri Theodoropoulos (G) |
Undecided |
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University of Delaware | September 11–17, 2018 | 728 LV | – | 61% | 24% | 3% | 3% | 9% |
908 RV | ± 3.7% | 60% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 12% | ||
Gravis Marketing | July 24–29, 2018 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 39% | – | – | 14% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
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Democratic | Tom Carper (incumbent) | 217,385 | 59.95% | -6.47% | |
Republican | Rob Arlett | 137,127 | 37.81% | +8.85% | |
Green | Demitri Theodoropoulos | 4,170 | 1.15% | +0.35% | |
Libertarian | Nadine Frost | 3,910 | 1.09% | N/A | |
Total votes | 362,592 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
- United States Senate elections, 2018
- Elections in Delaware
References
- "United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved December 23, 2017.
- "California businessman running for US Senate in Delaware--and 7 other states". wdel.com.
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- "Biden wades into Delaware primary on behalf of Carper". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Tom Carper for Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Tom Carper for Senate in Delaware - Giffords". August 17, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
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- "Matthew Albright on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Tom Carper on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
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- Campaign, Human Rights. "HRC Endorses Sen. Carper & Rep. Blunt Rochester for Re-Election - Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "The News Journal's editorial board endorses Tom Carper in the U.S. Senate primary". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "A Democrat from Dover is challenging Senator Tom Carper in the September primary".
- "Ilhan Omar on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
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- "Opposing view: Why you should vote for Kerri Harris for U.S. Senate". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
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- "YouTube: Kerri Evelyn Harris Calls Out Wall St. Democrat".
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- "Endorsements - Kerri Evelyn Harris - Democrat for US Senate". www.kerrievelynharris.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Democratic Socialists of Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Democracy for America on Twitter".
- "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Harris Endorsed by Justice Democrats". May 22, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Our Revolution on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- The People for Bernie Sanders [@People4Bernie] (July 17, 2018). ".@KerriHarrisDE is an activist, a community organizer and a veteran of the United States Air Force. She's an incredible movement leader and we're so proud to endorse her campaign for US Senate. Join the political revolution: www.kerrievelynharris.com" (Tweet). Retrieved July 17, 2018 – via Twitter.
- "ProgActNet on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
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- Greenwald, Glenn; Grim, Ryan (July 12, 2018). "The Team That Helped Elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Has Its Next Mission: Lifting Kerri Harris Over Sen. Tom Carper". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "YouTube: Kerri Evelyn Harris Calls Out Wall St. Democrat".
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- "2018 Delaware primary election results". Retrieved June 12, 2019.
- "Sussex Councilman Arlett Announces U.S. Senate Bid". Salisbury, MD: WBOC-TV. April 17, 2018. Retrieved April 17, 2018.
- "TRUONO, EUGENE (GENE) J JR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- Goss, Scott (March 22, 2017). "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Chuck Boyce dropping out of race". The News Journal. Retrieved March 19, 2018.
- Petree, Rob (April 23, 2018). "Former candidate Chuck Boyce endorses Rob Arlett for U.S. Senate". WXDE. Archived from the original on April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 28, 2018.
- "State of Delaware - Department of Elections · New Castle County Office - 2016 Filed Candidates". electionsncc.delaware.gov.
- "Rob Arlett for US Senate on Twitter".
- "Carter Clark (@carterclarkkkk) • Instagram photos and videos". instagram.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Coach Glanden on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Bobby Halton on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Charlie Kirk on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Rob Arlett Responds To The News That Bobby Knight Will Attend His Rally & Fundraiser". June 8, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Michael F. McMahon on Twitter".
- "Frank Ricci on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Shawn Michael Greener on Facebook".
- https://twitter.com/nevercarper/status/1037107549999443969?s=21
- "The News Journal editorial board endorses Gene Truono in the Republican Senate primary". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Candidates file for primaries". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "alvie. on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Declared Write-In Candidates, November 6, 2018 General Election" (PDF). State of Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
- "The Green Papers: Delaware 2016 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
- "Chris Coons on Facebook".
- "Lisa Blunt Rochester on Twitter".
- "Matthew Bittle on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "John Carney on Instagram: "Thank you to everyone who came out to the Sussex County Jamboree this weekend! We have a great slate of candidates this year, and I'm…"". Instagram. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "Laura Sturgeon". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- https://twitter.com/tomcarperforde/status/1057634672077811713?s=21
- https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
- https://www.facebook.com/165571920202215/posts/1953597024733020/
- https://www.facebook.com/98639748010/posts/10156824653393011/
- "ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club.
- https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/09/19/ncco-gop-chair-resigns-blasts-party-and-u-s-senate-candidate-rob-arlett/1357246002/
- "Politics of Courage on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- "**Live from GHADA US Senate candidates debate/forum**".
- "Delaware Senate Candidates Debate Set for August 27".
- "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- "Delaware - 2018 Senate Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 25, 2018.
- "State of Delaware General Election (Official Results)". State of Delaware Election Commissioner. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites