2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska

The 2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. Incumbent Republican Deb Fischer was re-elected to a second term against Lincoln city councilwoman Jane Raybould and Libertarian candidate Jim Schultz. The election comprises part of the 2018 U.S. Senate elections.

2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska

November 6, 2018
Turnout57.32%
 
Nominee Deb Fischer Jane Raybould
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 403,151 269,917
Percentage 57.7% 38.6%

County Results

Fischer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%

Raybould:      40-50%      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Deb Fischer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Deb Fischer
Republican

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on May 15, 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Deb Fischer, incumbent U.S. Senator[2][3]

Eliminated in Primary

  • Jack Heidel, retired University of Nebraska at Omaha professor[4][5]
  • Dennis Frank Macek[6]
  • Jeffrey Lynn Stein[7]
  • Todd Watson, businessman and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[8]

Declined

Endorsements

Deb Fischer
Federal officials
Governors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide politicians
Mayors
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent) 128,157 75.79%
Republican Todd F. Watson 19,661 11.63%
Republican Jack Heidel 9,413 5.57%
Republican Jeffrey Lynn Stein 6,380 3.77%
Republican Dennis Frank Macek 5,483 3.24%
Total votes 169,094 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in Primary

Endorsements

Jane Raybould
U.S. Senators
Local and statewide politicians
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jane Raybould 59,067 63.68%
Democratic Chris Janicek 18,752 20.22%
Democratic Frank B. Svoboda 10,548 11.37%
Democratic Larry Marvin 4,393 4.74%
Total votes 92,760 100%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Results by county:
Libertarian primary election[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jim Schultz 1,202 100%
Total votes 1,202 100%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Safe R September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[36] Safe R April 9, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe R April 5, 2018
Fox News[38] Likely R^ July 9, 2018
CNN[39] Solid R July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[40] Safe R June 2018

^Highest rating given

Debates

Host
network/sponsors
Date Link(s) Participants
Jane
Raybould (D)
Deb
Fischer (R)
KMTV-TV August 27, 2018 [41] Invited Invited

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Deb
Fischer (R)
Jane
Raybould (D)
Undecided
DFM Research October 23–27, 2018 683 ± 3.8% 54% 39% 7%
Grassroots Targeting (R) Late June 2018 1,000 ± 3.1% 63% 28%
Meeting Street Research (R-Fischer) January 24–28, 2018 500 51% 34%
Public Policy Polling (D-Raybould) November 10–12, 2017 1,190 ± 2.8% 42% 31% 27%

Results

United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2018[42]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent) 403,151 57.69% -0.08%
Democratic Jane Raybould 269,917 38.62% -3.61%
Libertarian Jim Schultz 25,349 3.63% N/A
Write-in 466 0.07% N/A
Total votes 698,883 100% N/A
Republican hold
gollark: Not really the point. If you *can* distinguish them that's just an imperfect speaker.
gollark: There is no such thing as a "legitimate sound".
gollark: And to muck with positioning.
gollark: It probably doesn't help with your ability to distinguish them that the wall demon emulator uses stereo speakers for better audio quality.
gollark: How? You cannot actually SEE the wall demon.

References

  1. "United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. Rindels, Michelle (November 25, 2016). "Fresh off 2016 losses, Democrats target 2018 Senate races". McClatchy DC. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
  3. Walton, Don (June 18, 2017). "Don Walton: Deb Fischer embarks on re-election bid". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved June 18, 2017.
  4. Retired professor will challenge Fischer in GOP primary
  5. Sen. Fischer’s Latest Rival Asking a Lot
  6. Deb Fischer enters election year with $2.4 million; challenger Jane Raybould has $200,000
  7. Several Nebraska incumbents are running unopposed, but Deb Fischer faces 10 challengers
  8. Walton, Don (November 21, 2017). "Fischer faces Republican challenge from the right". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
  9. Kraushaar, Josh (October 17, 2017). "Bannon's Bark Is Worse Than His Bite". National Journal. Retrieved October 18, 2017.
  10. Jordan, Joe (October 20, 2017). "All Quiet on the Fischer Front as Money Rolls In". News Channel Nebraska. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  11. Moring, Roseann (November 28, 2017). "Don Stenberg, Shane Osborn endorse Deb Fischer in U.S. Senate race". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
  12. Donald Trump. "Nebraska - make sure you get out to the polls and VOTE for Deb Fischer today!". Twitter.
  13. Deb Fischer. "I'm honored to have the endorsement of more than 500 leaders across #Nebraska. Check out the full list here:". Twitter.
  14. "SBA List Endorses Deb Fischer for Senate". Susan B. Anthony List. November 8, 2017.
  15. "Farm Bureau endorses Sen. Deb Fischer". Lincoln Journal Star. February 20, 2018.
  16. Aaron Sanderford (March 23, 2018). "Fischer announces endorsement from national small business group". Omaha World-Herald.
  17. "NEBRASKA CATTLEMEN ANNOUNCE SUPPORT FOR FISCHER FOR U.S. SENATE". April 30, 2018.
  18. https://twitter.com/DebFischerNE/status/992458236199661569
  19. https://twitter.com/DebFischerNE/status/993598921619529728
  20. https://twitter.com/DebFischerNE/status/994959366884397057
  21. Sanderford, Aaron (August 24, 2018). "Omaha fire union endorses Deb Fischer, a red flag for Jane Raybould". Omaha World-Herald.
  22. "2018 Nebraska primary election results" (PDF). Retrieved 10 June 2019.
  23. Walton, Don (August 25, 2017). "Jane Raybould will challenge Sen. Deb Fischer". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved August 25, 2017.
  24. Several Nebraska incumbents are running unopposed, but Deb Fischer faces 10 challengers
  25. Samantha. "Please join us for an evening featuring Senator Ben Nelson and in support of Jane Raybould for US Senate". Douglas County Democrats. Archived from the original on 2018-06-21.
  26. Bischof, Bayley. "Jane Raybould kicks off campaign for U.S. Senate". KLKN-TV.
  27. "NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates". www.neafund.org.
  28. Benson, Jenni (March 15, 2018). "NSEA endorses Raybould in challenge to Fischer". JournalStar.com. Don Walton.
  29. Muller, Tiffany (March 29, 2018). "End Citizens United Endorses Jane Raybould for U.S. Senate in Nebraska - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
  30. "LCV Action Fund Endorses Jane Raybould for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. June 12, 2018.
  31. https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/endorsements
  32. "Endorsed Candidates | Rachel's Action Network". rachelsactionnetwork.org.
  33. https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements
  34. "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  35. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  36. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  37. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  38. "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  39. "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  40. https://www.c-span.org/video/?450392-1/nebraska-us-senate-debate
  41. https://electionresults.sos.ne.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=SW&map=CTY
Official campaign websites
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