2018 United States Senate election in Ohio
The 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio took place November 6, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was February 7, 2018, and the primary election was held May 8, 2018.[1] Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown—the only remaining elected Democratic statewide officeholder in Ohio at the time of the election—won his reelection bid for a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Jim Renacci in the general election.[2][3]
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Turnout | 54.65% | ||||||||||||||||
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County Results Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sherrod Brown, incumbent U.S. Senator[4]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sherrod Brown (Incumbent) | 613,373 | 100% | |
Total votes | 613,373 | 100% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Renacci, U.S. Representative[6]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[12][13]
Declined
- Ken Blackwell, former mayor of Cincinnati, former Ohio State Treasurer, and former Ohio Secretary of State[14]
- Rick Jones, Butler County Sheriff[15][16]
- John Kasich, Governor of Ohio, former U.S. Representative[17]
- Mary Taylor, Lieutenant Governor of Ohio (ran for governor and lost the primary)[15]
- Pat Tiberi, U.S. Representative[18][19][20][21]
- J. D. Vance, author and venture capitalist[22][23][24][25]
Endorsements
Mike Gibbons |
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|
Josh Mandel (withdrawn) |
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|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Melissa Ackison |
Don Eckhart |
Mike Gibbons |
Dan Kiley |
Jim Renacci |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 323 | – | 4% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 25% | 55% |
Fallon Research | April 4–7, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 21% | 65% |
OnMessage (R-Renacci) | March 20, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 36% | 47% |
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 541 | ± 5.7% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 21% | 58% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Renacci | 363,622 | 47.34% | |
Republican | Mike Gibbons | 243,426 | 31.69% | |
Republican | Melissa Ackison | 100,543 | 13.09% | |
Republican | Dan Kiley | 30,684 | 3.99% | |
Republican | Don Eckhart | 29,796 | 3.88% | |
Write-in | 78 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 768,149 | 100% |
General election
Candidates
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 14, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 20, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 26, 2018
Endorsements
Sherrod Brown (D) |
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Jim Renacci (R) |
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Note: These endorsements are only for the primary, not the general election.
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Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[137] | Likely D | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[138] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[139] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[140][lower-alpha 1] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[141] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[142] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sherrod Brown (D) |
Jim Renacci (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 923 | – | 53% | 43% | – | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 39% | – | 8% |
Cygnal (R) | October 30–31, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
Gravis Marketing | October 29–30, 2018 | 789 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 37% | – | 17% |
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 566 | ± 4.3% | 49% | 43% | 2%[143] | 6% |
Baldwin Wallace University | October 19–27, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 32% | – | 17% |
Suffolk University | October 4–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 36% | 0%[144] | 10% |
Baldwin Wallace University | September 8 – October 8, 2018 | 1,017 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 33% | – | 18% |
University of Akron | September 10 – October 4, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | – | 26% |
Ipsos | September 13–21, 2018 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | 50% | 39% | 2% | 9% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | September 18–20, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 564 LV | ± 5.0% | 49% | 35% | 7%[145] | 8% |
52% | 39% | 1% | 7% | ||||
796 RV | ± 4.2% | 49% | 33% | 10%[146] | 9% | ||
52% | 39% | 1% | 8% | ||||
Baldwin Wallace University | September 5–15, 2018 | 1,048 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 32% | – | 19% |
Morning Consult | September 2–11, 2018 | 1,592 | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | – | 22% |
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) | August 31 – September 4, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) | June 30 – July 10, 2018 | 1,485 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 41% | – | 14% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | June 11 – July 2, 2018 | 951 | ± 5.0% | 52% | 44% | – | 4% |
Marist College | June 17–22, 2018 | 778 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 38% | 1% | 10% |
Quinnipiac University | June 7–12, 2018 | 1,082 | ± 3.7% | 51% | 34% | 1% | 12% |
Suffolk University | June 6–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 37% | 2% | 8% |
America First Action (R) | May 29–31, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 41% | – | 10% |
Fallon Research | May 21–25, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 34% | 3%[147] | 15% |
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) | April 2018 | 1,266 | – | 41% | 40% | – | 19% |
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 1,408 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | – | 11% |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 28 – March 9, 2018 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 29% | – | 30% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | February 12 – March 5, 2018 | 1,995 | ± 3.6% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) | February 2018 | – | – | 43% | 38% | – | 19% |
Results
The election was not particularly close, with Brown winning by 6.82%. Brown was the only Democrat who won statewide in Ohio in this election cycle. Brown was able to win re-election by winning back most of the rust belt, which swung Republican in 2016. Brown did well in Portage County, Summit County, and Trumbull County, which are all very heavily pro union counties. Brown also did well in the rust belt from Lucas County, home of Toledo, all the way to Cuyahoga County, home of Cleveland. Brown also trounced Renacci in Franklin County and Hamilton County home of Columbus and Cincinnati respectively, the latter, Hamilton County was once considered a Republican stronghold. Renacci, while performing well in most rural areas of the state, underperformed Mike DeWine the Republican Party's nominee and eventual winner for governor. Exit polls also show Brown had a very strong showing amongst minority and women voters, which was key to his victory. Brown was sworn in for a third term as the senior senator from Ohio on January 3, 2019.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sherrod Brown (Incumbent) | 2,355,923 | 53.41% | +2.70% | |
Republican | Jim Renacci | 2,053,963 | 46.57% | +1.87% | |
Write-in | 1,012 | 0.02% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 4,417,079 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
References
- "United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
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- Josh Mandel [@JoshMandelOhio] (7 December 2016). "Proud to have the support @TomCottonAR - I look forward to joining the fight with him in the United States Senate" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- Tobias, Andrew J. (May 30, 2017). "Ted Cruz endorses Josh Mandel for U.S. Senate". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
- Mike Lee [@MikeLeeforUtah] (1 June 2017). "I am excited to endorse @JoshMandelOhio for U.S. Senate. He is the conservative warrior Ohio needs to lead us to a stronger tomorrow. #ohsen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- Smyth, Julie Carr (May 24, 2017). "Portman backs Mandel for US Senate seat in Ohio". The Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved May 29, 2017.
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- Troy, Tom (September 13, 2017). "Josh Mandel gets Pa. senator's backing while Gibbons campaigns in NW Ohio". The Blade. Archived from the original on September 20, 2017. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
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- Sherrod Brown. "Last night, I took the stage in Cleveland with President @BarackObama and Ohio's own @RichCordray & @BettySutton". Twitter.
- Sherrod Brown. ""I've never served with a man with more principle, character, and integrity than Sherrod Brown." What an honor to be alongside Vice President @JoeBiden". Twitter.
- "OH-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Sherrod Brown (D) Take Down The GOP For Their Tax Scam Bill". Daily Kos. December 20, 2017.
- Brodey, Sam (August 4, 2017). "Franken, Klobuchar step up early with 2018 campaign cash for endangered Senate colleagues". MinnPost. Retrieved August 5, 2017.
- Mehta, Seema (September 8, 2017). "Sen. Kamala Harris heads to a key presidential battleground state to fundraise for a fellow senator". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
- "OH-Sen: Sen. Patty Murray (D. WA) Helps Sherrod Brown (D) Fight Back Against Trump & Mandel (R)". Daily Kos. December 27, 2017.
- "MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest". Daily Kos. February 27, 2018.
- "OH, WI, PA & MN-Sen: Warren (D. MA) Helps These Dems Continue To Stand Up To Wall Street". Daily Kos. March 9, 2018.
- Sherrod Brown. ".@ChrisCoons is right: We can angrily scroll through Twitter or watch TV and be upset about the direction of our country ... or we can knock doors and make phone calls. There's plenty to do. Let's get to work". Twitter.
- Sherrod Brown. "Thank you to everyone who joined us at our canvass kick-off and rally in Columbus with @KamalaHarris, @JoyceBeatty, @RichCordray, @BettySutton, @Donnelly4Ohio, and @RobForOhio!". Twitter.
- Sherrod Brown. "What a great day on the campaign trail with some very special guests!". Twitter.
- Nan Whaley. "Renacci = corporate first. Sherrod Brown = worker first. I know who I am with! #TeamSherrod #TeamOhio #OHSendebate". Twitter.
- Martin O'Malley. "#WinBackYourState Stark County!". Twitter.
- Justin Fairfax. "Proud to campaign for great Ohio Senator @SherrodBrown in Cincinnati! Let's take back Congress in 2018! #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
- Amy Schumer. "News". Twitter.
- John Legend. "Great to be back in my home state of Ohio supporting amazing Democrats running for office this year. If you live in Ohio, be sure to vote @SherrodBrown for Senate, @RichCordray for Gov, yes on Issue 1 and Dem up and down the ticket!". Twitter.
- "NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates". www.neafund.org.
- Perlman, Jason (October 18, 2017). "OHIO AFL-CIO Endorses Sherrod Brown For Re-Election To Senate". Ohio AFL–CIO. Retrieved November 3, 2017.
- Rankin, Rich; Johnson, Glenn; Arnold, Jerry; Meadors, Tim; Baumhower, Bruce (October 16, 2017). "United Auto Workers Endorses Sherrod Brown for U.S. Senate | UAW". UAW.
- Roberts, Cecile (April 13, 2018). "UMWA endorses Brown for Senate, five U.S. Representatives in Ohio primary - UMWA". UMWA.
- "Sherrod Brown (D-OH) for Senate - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
- Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
- Pathé, Simone (April 13, 2017). "Liberal PAC Makes First Senate Endorsements of 2018". Roll Call. Retrieved April 14, 2017.
- "Sherrod Brown – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
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- ".@JimRenacci has worked so hard on Tax Reductions, Illegal Immigration, the Border and Crime. I need Jim very badly to help our agenda and to keep MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! He will be a fantastic Senator for the Great State of Ohio, and has my full endorsement!". Twitter. April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
- Mike Pence. "Congrats to my friend @JimRenacci on his #OHSen primary win tonight. I was for Jim Renacci before it was cool – back when we served together in the House. @RealDonaldTrump and I are with you & look forward to working with you in the US Senate. #MAGA". Twitter.
- Rob Portman. ". @JimRenacci has a track record of success as a job creator and battle-tested conservative leader, and I am proud to endorse him in the race for U.S. Senate". Twitter.
- Seth A. Richardson (January 29, 2018). "Rob Portman, Josh Mandel back Jim Renacci in Senate race". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved January 30, 2018.
- Mary Taylor. "My friend @JimRenacci is best positioned to advance President @realDonaldTrump's economic agenda. It's time to send career politician Sherrod Brown home, so I'll be voting Renacci on Nov. 6. (even though he once dressed an actress who was supposed to be me up in a cat suit 😂)". Twitter.
- Hancock, Laura (January 19, 2018). "All sitting GOP members of U.S. House from Ohio endorse Jim Renacci". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved January 19, 2018.
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- "Trump Jr. to campaign in Ohio for Renacci". ABC6OnYourSide.com. September 5, 2018.
- Eric Trump. "Great being in OHIO in support of @JimRenacci and @Bob_Gibbs! Two great people who will #MakeAmericaGreatAgain". Twitter.
- Jim Renacci. "Wave of conservative momentum behind our campaign for #OHsen continues. Honored to have earned the Brown County GOP's endorsement for US Senate tonight". Twitter.
- Jim Renacci. "Honored to have earned the Cuyahoga County Republican Party's endorsement today for U.S. Senate. Momentum & support from conservatives across Ohio continues to grow behind our campaign to defeat @SherrodBrown. #OHsen". Twitter.
- Jim Renacci. "Momentum keeps building for our campaign for Senate. Proud to have the support of Fulton County". Twitter.
- "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
- Jim Renacci. "Thank you Preble County GOP for the overwhelming support! #OHSEN". Twitter.
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- "History". BIPAC Action Fund.
- "Ohio Black Republican Association Endorses Renacci for Senate". Renacci for Senate. March 20, 2018. Archived from the original on March 27, 2018. Retrieved March 26, 2018.
- Andrew J. Tobias (March 20, 2018). "Ohio Right to Life endorses Anthony Gonzalez in Ohio 16th District congressional race, Jim Renacci for Senate". The Plain Dealer.
- "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
- "NRA Endorses Jim Renacci for U.S. Senate". National Rifle Association. April 10, 2018.
- Students for Trump. "Ohio has benefited tremendously under President Trump's policies, but liberal Sherrod Brown has obstructed every step of the way and voted against your big beautiful tax cut. Ohio must elect @JimRenacci in November!". Twitter.
- Bergum, Tatiana (July 26, 2018). "Pro-Life Group Endorses Jim Renacci Over Pro-Abortion Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate Race". LifeNews.com.
- "Small Business Endorses Congressman Jim Renacci for the U.S. Senate". NFIB. August 2, 2018.
- Jim Renacci. "Proud to be endorsed by Ohioans for Concealed Carry. #OHSen". Twitter.
- "Ohio GOP endorses Mike DeWine in governor's race". 9 February 2018.
- "Jim Renacci in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate: endorsement editorial".
- "Renacci has the advantage in GOP race for US Senate". The Vindicator. April 30, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
- "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 13, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- Stephen Faris (write-in) with 2%
- Stephen Faris (write-in) with 0%
- Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 4%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 2%, other with 1%
- Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 6%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 3%, other with 1%
- Philena Farley (G, write-in) 3%
- "United States Senate general election in Ohio, 2018".
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites