2018 South Carolina gubernatorial election

The 2018 South Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster, who took office after Nikki Haley resigned to become U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, ran for election to a full term. The primary was held on June 12, with the Democrats nominating State Representative James E. Smith Jr. McMaster failed to win a majority of the vote, and then defeated John Warren in the Republican runoff on June 26. In the general election, McMaster defeated Smith, winning election to a full term.[1]

2018 South Carolina gubernatorial election

November 6, 2018

Nominee Henry McMaster James Smith Party Republican Democratic Running mate Pamela Evette Mandy Powers Norrell Popular vote 921,342 784,182 Percentage 54.0% 45.9%

County Results McMaster:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80% Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election Henry McMaster Republican Elected Governor Henry McMaster Republican

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Henry McMaster, incumbent governor[2][3]
  • Running mate: Pamela Evette, businesswoman[4]

Defeated in Runoff

• John Warren, businessman[5][6]
  • Running mate: Pat McKinney, businessman[7]

Defeated in Primary

• Kevin Bryant, incumbent Lieutenant Governor[8]
• Yancey McGill, former Democratic lieutenant governor and former Democratic state senator[9][2]
• Catherine Templeton, attorney, former director of the Department of Health and Environmental Control and former director of the Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation[10]
  • Running mate: Walt Wilkins, Greenville County Solicitor[11]

Declined

• Tom Davis, state senator[12]
• Jeff Duncan, U.S. Representative[13][14]
• Mikee Johnson, businessman and former chairman of the South Carolina Chamber of Commerce (endorsed Catherine Templeton)[15]
• Tim Scott, U.S. Senator[16][17][18]
• Joe Taylor, former South Carolina Secretary of Commerce[19][20]
• Billy Wilkins, former Chief Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit[2][21][22]
• Alan Wilson, attorney general (running for re-election)[13][2][23]

Endorsements

Catherine Templeton
State figures Ralph Norman, member of the United States House of Representatives from South Carolina.[24] Wes Climer, state senator[24] Bobby Harrell, former Speaker of South Carolina House of Representatives[25] Organizations Maggie's List[26]

John Warren

State figures Ralph Norman, member of the United States House of Representatives from South Carolina.[27] Knox H. White, Mayor of Greenville[28] Pat McKinney, former chairman of the State Ports Authority, later chosen as Warren's running mate [29] Elise Bidwell, member of South Carolina Educational Television Commission Lance Byars Phil Robertson, star of Duck Dynasty[30] Catherine Templeton, business woman and defeated candidate in gubernatorial Republican primary Kevin L. Bryant, 91st Lieutenant Governor of South Carolina and defeated candidate in gubernatorial Republican Primary[31] Tom Davis, state senator [32]

First round

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Henry McMaster	Kevin Bryant	Yancey McGill	Catherine Templeton	John Warren	Other	Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R-Warren)	May 29–31, 2018	500	± 4.4%	33%	5%	2%	17%	19%	–	24%
Target-Insyght	May 29–31, 2018	400	± 5.0%	37%	4%	3%	25%	20%	–	11%
Target-Insyght	April 3–5, 2018	400	± 5.0%	46%	6%	4%	22%	1%	–	22%
TargetPoint/GQR	March 10–17, 2018	397	–	41%	5%	3%	10%	2%	–	35%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	November 29 – December 30, 2017	2,223	± 2.1%	40%	11%	3%	8%	–	10%	28%
Mason-Dixon	December 6–10, 2017	400	± 5.0%	51%	8%	1%	21%	–	–	19%
South Carolina Public Affairs	October 10–11, 2017	633	± 4.0%	33%	5%	5%	7%	–	–	50%

Results

Primary results by county:

McMaster

•   McMaster—60–70%
•   McMaster—50–60%
•   McMaster—40–50%
•   McMaster—30–40%

Warren

•   Warren—30–40%
•   Warren—40–50%

Templeton

•   Templeton—40–50%

McGill

•   McGill—40–50%

Republican primary results[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Henry McMaster (incumbent)	155,723	42.32
	Republican	John Warren	102,390	27.82
	Republican	Catherine Templeton	78,705	21.39
	Republican	Kevin Bryant	24,790	6.74
	Republican	Yancey McGill	6,375	1.73
Total votes			367,983	100.0

Runoff

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Henry McMaster	John Warren	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	June 19–21, 2018	1,650	± 3.0%	54%	37%	9%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R-Warren)	June 19–20, 2018	500	± 4.4%	42%	46%	13%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	June 13–14, 2018	1,000	± 3.0%	60%	31%	9%

Results

Primary runoff results by county:

McMaster

•   McMaster—80–90%
•   McMaster—70–80%
•   McMaster—60–70%
•   McMaster—50–60%

Warren

•   Warren—50–60%
•   Warren—60–70%
•   Warren—70–80%

Republican primary runoff results[34]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Henry McMaster (incumbent)	184,286	53.63
	Republican	John Warren	159,349	46.37
Total votes			343,635	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• James Smith, state representative[35]
  • Running mate: Mandy Powers Norrell, state representative[36]

Defeated in Primary

• Phil Noble, business and technology consultant and candidate for lieutenant governor in 1994[37]
  • Running mate: Gloria Bromell Tinubu, former Atlanta, Georgia City Councilwoman, former Georgia State Representative and nominee for SC-07 in 2012 and 2014[38]
• Marguerite Willis, attorney[39]
  • Running mate: John Scott, state senator[40]

Declined

• Steve Benjamin, Mayor of Columbia[13][2][41][42]
• Marlon Kimpson, state senator[2][43][41][44]
• Inez Tenenbaum, former State Superintendent of Education, former chair of the Consumer Product Safety Commission and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004[43][41]

Endorsements

Phil Noble
Doug Jones, U.S. Senator from Alabama[45]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Noble	James Smith	Marguerite Willis	Other	Undecided
Target-Insyght	April 3–5, 2018	400	± 5.0%	27%	27%	21%	–	25%
TargetPoint/GQR	March 10–17, 2018	296	–	7%	18%	11%	–	57%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	November 29 – December 30, 2017	2,223	± 2.1%	25%	20%	–	21%	34%

Results

Primary results by county:

Smith

•   Smith—70–80%
•   Smith—60–70%
•   Smith—50–60%
•   Smith—40–50%

Willis

•   Willis—40–50%

Democratic primary results[46]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	James Smith	148,633	61.81
	Democratic	Marguerite Willis	66,248	27.55
	Democratic	Phil Noble	25,587	10.64
Total votes			240,468	100.0

Independents and Third Parties

Declared

• Phil Cheney (independent), former Anderson City Councilman, candidate for SC-03 in 2006 and write-in candidate for SC-05 in 2017[47]

Failed Nomination

• Martin Barry (American Party), medication researcher,[48] nomination declined by the American Party[49]
  • Running mate: James Cartee, theater director

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[50]	Likely R	August 30, 2018
The Washington Post[51]	Likely R	October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[52]	Solid R	October 17, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[53]	Solid R	August 31, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[54]	Safe R	September 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[55]	Safe R	October 9, 2018
Daily Kos[56]	Likely R	September 5, 2018
Fox News[57][lower-alpha 1]	Likely R	October 9, 2018
Politico[58]	Likely R	October 9, 2018
Governing[59]	Likely R	October 2, 2018

Notes

1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Henry McMaster (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials Donald Trump, 45th President of The United States[60] Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[61] State figures Tom Rice, U.S. Representative (SC-7)[62] Katrina Shealy, state senator[63] Kevin Brackett, a South Carolina Circuit Solicitor[64] Scarlett Wilson, a South Carolina Circuit Solicitor[64] Organizations The National Rifle Association[65] SC Citizens for Life[66] Newspapers The Post and Courier[67]

James Smith (D)

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[68] U.S. Senators Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator (I-VT)[69] U.S. Representatives James Clyburn, U.S. Representative (D-SC)[70] Local and statewide politicians Robert Barber, former state representative[44] Steve Benjamin, current Mayor of Columbia[42] Floyd Breeland, former state representative[44] Margie Bright Matthews, state senator[44] Robert Brown, state representative[44] Wendell Gilliard, state representative[44] Jim Hodges, former Governor of South Carolina[71] Joe Jefferson, state representative[44] Marlon Kimpson, state senator[44] Marvin Pendarvis, state representative[44] Vic Rawl, Chairman of the Charleston County Council[44] Richard Riley, former United States Secretary of Education and former Governor of South Carolina[72] Leon Stavrinakis, state representative[44] Mary Tinkler, Charleston County Treasurer and former state representative[44] Joe Riley, former Mayor of Charleston, SC.[73] Individuals Jay Inslee, Governor of Washington and chairman of the Democratic Governors Association[74] Organizations Conservation Voters of South Carolina[75] Our Revolution SC[69] Planned Parenthood Action Fund[76] Sierra Club South Carolina chapter[77] South Carolina Equality[78] VoteVets.org[79]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Henry McMaster (R)	James Smith (D)	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	October 29–31, 2018	3,792	± 1.6%	54%	38%	8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	October 12–14, 2018	4,830	± 2.1%	56%	32%	12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	September 24 – October 2, 2018	2,692	± 1.9%	51%	37%	13%
The Tarrance Group (R-RGA)	August 11–13, 2018	601	± 4.1%	52%	41%	7%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Smith)	August 6–9, 2018	605	± 4.1%	47%	43%	10%

Results

South Carolina gubernatorial election, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Republican	Henry McMaster (incumbent)	921,342	53.96%	-1.94%
	Democratic	James Smith	784,182	45.92%	+4.50%
	n/a	Write-ins	2,045	0.12%	+0.05%
Total votes			1,707,569	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

See also

• 2018 South Carolina elections

References

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61. "Columbia, Conway on Agenda for President, Vice President Campaign Stops for McMaster". WLTX. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
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64. "2 prosecutors in SC corruption investigation endorse McMaster in GOP runoff". Thestate.com. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
65. "NRA Endorses Gov. McMaster for Re-election in South Carolina". NRA-PVF.
66. "Who endorses whom in the South Carolina governor's race, and when it matters". The Greenville News. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
67. "Editorial: Vote to keep McMaster as governor". The Post and Courier. November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
68. Marchant, Bristow. "Here's who Joe Biden is backing in the SC governor's race". The State. Retrieved 25 February 2018.
69. Kelly, Erin (October 11, 2018). "Sen. Bernie Sanders to campaign in nine battleground states to end 'right-wing government'". USA Today. Retrieved October 16, 2018.
70. "#SC2018: Jim Clyburn Joining James Smith For Campaign Events". March 27, 2018.
71. Kropf, Schuyler (12 October 2017). "Former Democratic Gov. Jim Hodges backs James Smith for South Carolina governor in 2018". Post and Courier. Retrieved 14 October 2017.
72. Byrd, Caitlin (November 15, 2017). "Democrat James Smith endorsed by former Gov. Dick Riley in 2018 South Carolina governor's race". The Post and Courier. Retrieved December 5, 2017.
73. Caitlin Byrd. "Former Charleston Mayor Joe Riley endorses James Smith for governor: 'He can win'". Postandcourier.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
74. Jay Inslee. "An Army combat veteran who received the Bronze Star and Purple Heart for his service in Afghanistan, @JamesSmithSC has led a life of service to his country and to South Carolina. We've got great Democratic candidates ready to lead their states across the country". Twitter.
75. Williamson Pezé, Jennie; Tynan, John (April 19, 2018). "Conservation Voters Back James Smith for Governor - Conservation Voters of South Carolina". Conservation Voters of South Carolina. Board of Directors of Conservation Voters of South Carolina.
76. Ringer, Vicki (May 2, 2018). "Planned Parenthood Votes! South Atlantic Announces Endorsement of James Smith for South Carolina Governor". Plannedparenthoodaction.org.
77. "SC Sierra Club Endorses James Smith". FITSNews. March 22, 2018.
78. "#SC2018: James Smith Gets Equality PAC Endorsement". FITSNews.
79. Hegdahl, Rick (June 6, 2018). "VoteVets PAC Endorses James Smith for Governor". VoteVets.org.

External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

• Henry McMaster (R) for Governor
• James Smith (D) for Governor