2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

November 8, 2016
Turnout	66.56% (0.61pp)[1]
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 10 0 Popular vote 1,594,511 1,071,068 Percentage 56.38% 37.87%
County Results Trump   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Clinton   40–50%   50–60%   70–80%
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county

On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Voters could choose any one party's primary in which to vote.

Donald Trump won the election in Missouri with 56.4% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 37.9% of the vote.[2] Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City.

With 37.9% of the vote, Hillary Clinton obtained the lowest percentage as a Democratic presidential nominee in the state since George McGovern's 37.7% in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party, and away from its long held status as a bellwether state. Missouri was also one of the eleven states that voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

County results of the Missouri Democratic presidential primary, 2016.

  Hillary Clinton

  Bernie Sanders

Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]

• Hillary Clinton
• Henry Hewes
• Rocky De La Fuente
• Bernie Sanders
• Keith Judd
• Willie L. Wilson
• Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
• John Wolfe Jr.
• Jon Adams

Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	310,600	49.61%	36	11	47
Bernie Sanders	309,073	49.37%	35	0	35
Uncommitted	3,697	0.59%	0	2	2
Henry Hewes	651	0.10%	0	0	0
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	437	0.07%	0	0	0
Jon Adams	428	0.07%	0	0	0
Rocky De La Fuente	340	0.05%	0	0	0
Willie Wilson	305	0.05%	0	0	0
Keith Judd	284	0.05%	0	0	0
John Wolfe	245	0.04%	0	0	0
Total	%	71	13	84
S\Insert paragraphource:The Green Papers

Republican primary

  Donald Trump

  Ted Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

• Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
• Ben Carson (withdrawn)
• Chris Christie (withdrawn)
• Ted Cruz
• Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
• Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
• John Kasich
• Rand Paul (withdrawn)
• Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
• Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
• Donald Trump

Missouri Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	383,631	40.84%	37	0	37
Ted Cruz	381,666	40.63%	15	0	15
John Kasich	94,857	10.10%	0	0	0
Marco Rubio	57,244	6.09%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	8,233	0.88%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	3,361	0.36%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	3,225	0.34%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	2,148	0.23%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	1,777	0.19%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,681	0.18%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	732	0.08%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	615	0.07%	0	0	0
Jim Lynch (withdrawn)	100	0.01%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	939,270	100.00%	52	0	52
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian primary

The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital, Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but was fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities, Kansas City and St. Louis. Kerbel won three counties around Springfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties of Harrison, Holt, Mercer, and Worth.[4]

Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016[4]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Uncommitted	1,183	40.61%
Austin Petersen	854	29.32%
Steve Kerbel	401	13.77%
Marc Allan Feldman	242	8.31%
Cecil Ince	134	4.60%
Rhett Smith	99	3.40%
Total	2,913	100%

General election

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of Election Day.

1. New York Times[5]: Solid Trump
2. FiveThirtyEight:[6] Solid Trump
3. Los Angeles Times:[7] Leans Trump
4. RealClearPolitics:[8] Likely Trump

Results

The statewide election results were as follows. The total vote count was 2,828,266.[9]

U.S. President and Vice President	Party	Votes	% of Votes
Donald J. Trump, Michael R. Pence	Republican	1,594,511	56.772%
Hillary Rodham Clinton, Timothy Michael Kaine	Democratic	1,071,068	38.135%
Gary Johnson, Bill Weld	Libertarian	97,359	3.466%
Jill Stein, Ajamu Baraka	Green	25,419	0.905%
Darrell L. Castle, Scott N. Bradley	Constitution	13,092	0.466%
Evan McMullin, Nathan Johnson	Write-in	7,071	0.252%
Tom Hoefling, Steve Schulin	Write-in	48	0.002%
Laurence Kotlikoff, Edward Leamer	Write-in	28	0.001%
"Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Michael Steinberg	Write-in	6	0.000%
Marshall Schoenke, James Creighton Mitchell Jr.	Write-in	3	0.000%
Matias Mollin, Andy Oliver	Write-in	0	0.0000%

By county

	Hillary Rodham Clinton Democratic		Donald John Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Total
County	%	#	%	#	%	#	#
Adair	34.23%	3,500	58.97%	6,030	6.81%	696	10,226
Andrew	22.37%	2,045	72.92%	6,665	4.70%	430	9,140
Atchison	19.82%	541	75.46%	2,060	4.73%	129	2,730
Audrain	25.54%	2,570	69.39%	6,981	5.07%	510	10,061
Barry	18.56%	2,710	78.25%	11,428	3.20%	467	14,605
Barton	13.39%	795	83.50%	4,959	3.12%	185	5,939
Bates	20.15%	1,618	74.72%	6,001	5.13%	412	8,031
Benton	21.12%	2,025	75.21%	7,213	3.67%	352	9,590
Bollinger	12.42%	705	85.04%	4,827	2.54%	144	5,676
Boone	49.04%	41,125	43.16%	36,200	7.80%	6,543	83,868
Buchanan	33.69%	12,013	59.79%	21,320	6.52%	2,326	35,659
Butler	17.59%	3,036	79.09%	13,650	3.32%	573	17,259
Caldwell	19.43%	838	74.95%	3,232	5.61%	242	4,312
Callaway	25.99%	4,989	68.03%	13,057	5.98%	1,147	19,193
Camden	21.18%	4,768	75.26%	16,944	3.56%	802	22,514
Cape Girardeau	22.93%	8,492	72.94%	27,017	4.13%	1,529	37,038
Carroll	17.08%	745	79.80%	3,480	3.12%	136	4,361
Carter	15.30%	436	81.54%	2,324	3.16%	90	2,850
Cass	29.12%	14,846	64.91%	33,098	5.97%	3,046	50,990
Cedar	16.08%	1,011	79.85%	5,021	4.07%	256	6,288
Chariton	22.37%	888	74.33%	2,950	3.30%	131	3,969
Christian	20.49%	8,508	74.51%	30,946	5.00%	2,077	41,531
Clark	21.83%	724	74.13%	2,458	4.04%	134	3,316
Clay	41.12%	45,304	52.17%	57,476	6.71%	7,396	110,176
Clinton	25.20%	2,572	69.23%	7,067	5.57%	569	10,208
Cole	29.20%	10,913	65.86%	24,616	4.94%	1,845	37,374
Cooper	24.19%	1,932	70.42%	5,624	5.38%	430	7,986
Crawford	18.39%	1,824	77.86%	7,724	3.75%	372	9,920
Dade	16.12%	637	80.59%	3,184	3.29%	130	3,951
Dallas	17.07%	1,272	79.10%	5,895	3.84%	286	7,453
Daviess	19.53%	730	74.02%	2,767	6.45%	241	3,738
DeKalb	17.94%	824	77.06%	3,540	5.01%	230	4,594
Dent	14.40%	978	82.46%	5,600	3.14%	213	6,791
Douglas	14.76%	984	82.30%	5,486	2.94%	196	6,666
Dunklin	22.31%	2,360	75.87%	8,026	1.82%	192	10,578
Franklin	24.63%	12,341	70.70%	35,430	4.67%	2,342	50,113
Gasconade	20.40%	1,520	76.10%	5,670	3.50%	261	7,451
Gentry	19.88%	605	75.71%	2,304	4.40%	134	3,043
Greene	33.06%	42,728	60.38%	78,035	6.55%	8,468	129,231
Grundy	17.62%	780	78.18%	3,462	4.20%	186	4,428
Harrison	15.56%	574	80.37%	2,965	4.07%	150	3,689
Henry	23.89%	2,357	71.71%	7,075	4.40%	434	9,866
Hickory	21.51%	1,016	74.98%	3,542	3.51%	166	4,724
Holt	14.73%	347	81.78%	1,926	3.48%	82	2,355
Howard	26.36%	1,283	67.32%	3,277	6.33%	308	4,868
Howell	16.51%	2,881	79.59%	13,893	3.90%	681	17,455
Iron	21.86%	933	74.33%	3,173	3.82%	163	4,269
Jackson	55.70%	163,723	39.0%	114,777	6.05%	10,481	173,275
Jasper	21.88%	10,572	72.57%	35,070	5.55%	2,684	48,326
Jefferson	29.71%	31,568	64.98%	69,036	5.30%	5,634	106,238
Johnson	28.06%	5,930	64.92%	13,719	7.02%	1,483	21,132
Knox	20.27%	379	75.72%	1,416	4.01%	75	1,870
Laclede	15.91%	2,553	80.25%	12,881	3.84%	617	16,051
Lafayette	25.53%	4,053	69.21%	10,988	5.26%	835	15,876
Lawrence	17.36%	2,901	78.31%	13,089	4.34%	725	16,715
Lewis	20.96%	934	75.04%	3,344	3.99%	178	4,456
Lincoln	22.33%	5,575	72.75%	18,159	4.92%	1,228	24,962
Linn	22.19%	1,240	73.17%	4,088	4.64%	259	5,587
Livingston	19.70%	1,265	75.99%	4,879	4.31%	277	6,421
Macon	20.29%	1,548	75.98%	5,798	3.73%	285	7,631
Madison	18.89%	1,005	77.09%	4,102	4.02%	214	5,321
Maries	17.64%	794	79.13%	3,561	3.22%	145	4,500
Marion	23.14%	2,994	72.80%	9,419	4.06%	525	12,938
McDonald	16.12%	1,329	80.07%	6,599	3.81%	314	8,242
Mercer	12.38%	216	85.16%	1,486	2.46%	43	1,745
Miller	15.33%	1,750	81.33%	9,285	3.34%	381	11,416
Mississippi	28.21%	1,458	69.65%	3,600	2.15%	111	5,169
Moniteau	18.11%	1,237	78.29%	5,347	3.60%	246	6,830
Monroe	20.52%	853	76.01%	3,159	3.46%	144	4,156
Montgomery	20.61%	1,119	76.02%	4,127	3.37%	183	5,429
Morgan	20.04%	1,768	76.64%	6,760	3.32%	293	8,821
New Madrid	26.27%	1,933	71.63%	5,270	2.09%	154	7,357
Newton	18.76%	4,990	77.25%	20,553	4.00%	1,063	26,606
Nodaway	26.74%	2,529	67.46%	6,380	5.80%	549	9,458
Oregon	18.53%	865	78.64%	3,671	2.83%	132	4,668
Osage	14.08%	998	82.60%	5,856	3.33%	236	7,090
Ozark	16.07%	724	80.78%	3,639	3.15%	142	4,505
Pemiscot	32.30%	1,947	65.77%	3,964	1.92%	116	6,027
Perry	17.39%	1,520	79.04%	6,908	3.57%	312	8,740
Pettis	23.87%	4,324	70.73%	12,810	5.39%	977	18,111
Phelps	25.69%	4,766	68.50%	12,709	5.81%	1,078	18,553
Pike	24.46%	1,806	71.44%	5,274	4.09%	302	7,382
Platte	40.85%	20,057	52.82%	25,933	6.33%	3,110	49,100
Polk	19.12%	2,631	75.84%	10,438	5.04%	694	13,763
Pulaski	21.66%	2,922	73.22%	9,876	5.12%	690	13,488
Putnam	15.05%	353	82.52%	1,936	2.43%	57	2,346
Ralls	21.61%	1,138	75.37%	3,969	3.02%	159	5,266
Randolph	22.15%	2,283	73.03%	7,529	4.82%	497	10,309
Ray	28.43%	3,090	65.36%	7,104	6.21%	675	10,869
Reynolds	17.77%	540	79.20%	2,406	3.03%	92	3,038
Ripley	15.03%	830	81.86%	4,522	3.11%	172	5,524
Saline	30.07%	2,789	64.45%	5,977	5.48%	508	9,274
Schuyler	18.29%	354	77.74%	1,505	3.98%	77	1,936
Scotland	18.55%	365	77.49%	1,525	3.96%	78	1,968
Scott	20.72%	3,575	76.31%	13,168	2.97%	513	17,256
Shannon	19.88%	776	75.97%	2,966	4.15%	162	3,904
Shelby	18.62%	606	77.54%	2,524	3.84%	125	3,255
St. Charles	34.14%	68,626	60.52%	121,650	5.34%	10,729	201,005
St. Clair	20.22%	936	75.62%	3,501	4.17%	193	4,630
St. Francois	25.27%	6,250	70.64%	17,468	4.08%	1,010	24,728
St. Louis	55.69%	286,704	39.32%	202,434	5.00%	25,720	514,858
Ste. Genevieve	30.02%	2,542	64.90%	5,496	5.09%	431	8,469
Stoddard	14.11%	1,876	83.36%	11,079	2.53%	336	13,291
Stone	17.43%	2,887	79.42%	13,158	3.15%	522	16,567
Sullivan	21.16%	526	75.78%	1,884	3.06%	76	2,486
Taney	18.60%	4,373	77.72%	18,276	3.68%	866	23,515
Texas	15.77%	1,728	81.01%	8,875	3.22%	353	10,956
Vernon	19.85%	1,707	75.97%	6,533	4.17%	359	8,599
Warren	24.80%	3,915	70.39%	11,111	4.80%	758	15,784
Washington	20.75%	1,926	75.93%	7,048	3.32%	308	9,282
Wayne	16.45%	948	80.84%	4,658	2.71%	156	5,762
Webster	18.98%	3,177	76.69%	12,840	4.34%	726	16,743
Worth	18.64%	195	77.25%	808	4.11%	43	1,046
Wright	14.41%	1,170	82.61%	6,707	2.98%	242	8,119
Kansas City	76.00%	97,735	19.17%	24,654	4.83%	6,212	128,601
St. Louis City	79.45%	104,235	15.88%	20,832	4.67%	6,124	131,191

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[10]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	19%	77%	Lacy Clay
2nd	53%	42%	Ann Wagner
3rd	67%	28%	Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th	65%	29%	Vicky Hartzler
5th	40%	55%	Emanuel Cleaver
6th	63%	31%	Sam Graves
7th	70%	25%	Billy Long
8th	75%	21%	Jason Smith

See also

• Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
• Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
• Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2016

References

1. "Voter Turnout Report - State of Missouri General Election - 2016 General Election" (PDF). Missouri's Secretary of State.
2. "Missouri Election Results 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved 2018-07-09.
3. http://www.memphisdemocrat.com/notice-of-primary-election/
4. "State of Missouri - Election Night Results". Missouri Secretary of State. Government of Missouri. 16 March 2016. Archived from the original on 18 March 2016. Retrieved 16 March 2016.
5. Aisch, Gregor; Katz, Josh (2016-09-08). "Missouri - 2016 Election Forecast". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
6. Silver, Nate (2016-06-29). "Missouri | 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
7. Lauter, David; Barabak, Mark Z.; Kim, Kyle; Arm; Emamdjomeh. "The race to 270". www.latimes.com. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
8. "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". www.realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
9. "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Missouri". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2018-03-28.
10. "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Missouri