Economy of Uganda

The economy of Uganda has great potential and appeared poised for rapid economic growth and development.[18] Uganda is endowed with significant natural resources, including ample fertile land, regular rainfall, and mineral deposits.

Economy of Uganda
Kampala, the financial centre of Uganda
CurrencyUgandan shilling (UGX, USh)
1 July – 30 June
Trade organisations
AU, EAC, COMESA, WTO
Country group
  • Least Developed[1]
  • Low-income economy[2]
Statistics
GDP
  • $33.930 billion (nominal, 2020 est.)[3]
  • $113.476 billion (PPP, 2020 est.)[3]
GDP rank90th (nominal, 2017)
GDP growth
  • 3.9% (2017) 5.9% (2018)
  • 6.1% (2019e) 6.5% (2020f)[4][note 1]
GDP per capita
  • $823 (nominal, 2020 est.)[3]
  • $2,752 (PPP, 2020 est.)[3]
GDP by sector
  • Agriculture: 71.9%
  • Industry: 4.4%
  • Services: 23.7%
  • (2017 est.)
3.2% (2019)[3]
19.1% (31 December 2017 est.)[5]
Population below poverty line
  • 21.4% (2017 est.)[6]
  • 41.7% on less than $1.90/day (2016)[7]
42.8 medium (2016)[8]
Labour force
  • 16,833,878 (2019)[11]
  • 48.0% employment rate (2017)[12]
Labour force by occupation
  • agriculture: 71%
  • industry: 7%
  • services: 22%
  • (2013 est.)[6]
Main industries
sugar processing, brewing, tobacco, cotton textiles; cement, steel production[6]
116th (medium, 2020)[13]
External
Exports $3.339 billion (2017 est.)[6]
Export goods
coffee, fish and fish products, tea, cotton, flowers, horticultural products; gold[6]
Main export partners
Imports $5.036 billion (2017 est.)[6]
Import goods
capital equipment, vehicles, petroleum, medical supplies; cereals[6]
Main import partners
FDI stock
$10.909 billion (2016)[14]
−$1.212 billion (2017 est.)[6]
$7.163 billion (31 December 2017 est.)[6]
Public finances
$11.2 billion ($3.8 billion, domestic) (2018)[15]
–4.1% (of GDP) (2017 est.)[6]
Revenues$3.98 billion (2017)[16]
Expenses$7.66 billion (2017)[16]
Economic aid$3.68 billion (2017)[16]
Standard & Poor's: B[17]
Foreign reserves
 $3.654 billion (31 December 2017 est.)[6]
Main data source: CIA World Fact Book
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.
A family in a market in Kampala.

Chronic political instability and erratic economic management since the implementation of self-rule has produced a record of persistent economic decline that has left Uganda among the world's poorest and least-developed countries.[19] The informal economy, which is predominantly female, is broadly defined as a group of vulnerable individuals without protections in regards to their work.[20] Women face a plethora of barriers specific to gender when attempting to access the formal economy of Uganda, and research showing prejudice against lending to women in the informal sector.[21][22] The national energy needs have historically been more than domestic energy generation, though large petroleum reserves have been found in the country's west.[23]

After the turmoil of the Amin period, the country began a program of economic recovery in 1981 that received considerable foreign assistance. From mid-1984 onward, overly expansionist fiscal and monetary policies and the renewed outbreak of civil strife led to a setback in economic performance.[24]

The economy has grown since the 1990s; real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an average of 6.7% annually during the period 1990–2015,[25] whereas real GDP per capita grew at 3.3% per annum during the same period.[25] During this period, the Ugandan economy experienced economic transformation: the share of agriculture value added in GDP declined from 56% in 1990 to 24% in 2015; the share of industry grew from 11% to 20% (with manufacturing increasing at a slower pace, from 6% to 9% of GDP); and the share of services went from 32% to 55%.[25]

International trade and finance
Ugandan export destinations in 2006.


Since assuming power in early 1986, Museveni's government has taken important steps toward economic rehabilitation. The country's infrastructure, notably its transport and communications systems which were destroyed by war and neglect, is being rebuilt. Recognizing the need for increased external support, Uganda negotiated a policy framework paper with the IMF and the World Bank in 1987. Uganda subsequently began implementing economic policies designed to restore price stability and sustainable balance of payments, improve capacity utilization, rehabilitate infrastructure, restore producer incentives through proper price policies, and improve resource mobilization and allocation in the public sector. These so-called Structural Adjustment Programs greatly improved the shape of the Ugandan economy, but did not lead to economic growth in the first decade after their implementation. Since 1995, Uganda has experienced rapid economic growth, but it is not clear to what extent this positive development can be attributed to Structural Adjustment.[26] Uganda is a member of the World Trade Organization, since 1 January 1995 and a member of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, from 25 October 1962.[27]

Currency
Main article: Ugandan shilling

Uganda began issuing its own currency in 1966 through the Bank of Uganda.[28]

Agriculture
Main article: Agriculture in Uganda
See also: Fishing in Uganda, Forestry in Uganda, and Dairy industry in Uganda

Agricultural products supply a significant portion of Uganda's foreign exchange earnings, with coffee alone, of which Uganda is Africa's second largest producer after Ethiopia,[29] accounting for about 17% of the country's exports in 2017 and earning the country US$545 million.[29] Exports of apparel, hides, skins, vanilla, vegetables, fruits, cut flowers, and fish are growing, while cotton, tea, and tobacco continue to be mainstays.[30]

Transportation
Main article: Transport in Uganda

As of 2017, Uganda had about 130,000 kilometres (80,778 mi) of roads, with approximately 5,300 kilometres (3,293 mi) (4 percent) paved.[31] Most paved roads radiate from Kampala, the country's capital and largest city.[32]

As of 2017, Uganda's metre gauge railway network measures about 1,250 kilometres (777 mi) in length. Of this, about 56% (700 kilometres (435 mi)), is operational. A railroad originating at Mombasa on the Indian Ocean connects with Tororo, where it branches westward to Jinja, Kampala, and Kasese and northward to Mbale, Soroti, Lira, Gulu, and Pakwach. The only railway line still operating, however, is the one to Kampala.[31]

Uganda's important link to the port of Mombasa is now mainly by road, which serves its transport needs and also those of neighboring Rwanda, Burundi, parts of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and South Sudan.[33]

An international airport is at Entebbe on the northern shores of Lake Victoria, about 41 kilometres (25 mi) south of Kampala.[34] In January 2018, the government of Uganda began the construction of Kabaale International Airport, in the Western Region of Uganda. This will be Uganda's second international airport, which is planned to facilitate the construction of an oil refinery and boost tourism.[35]

Communications
Main article: Communications in Uganda
See also: List of mobile network operators in Uganda

The Uganda Communications Commission regulates communications, primarily "delivered through an enabled private sector." The companies it regulates include television networks, radio stations, mobile network operators, and fixed-line telephone companies.[36]

Mining and petroleum
Main article: Mining industry of Uganda

Uganda's predominant mineral occurrences are gold, tungsten, tin, beryl, and tantalite in the south; tungsten, clay, and granite between latitude zero and two degrees north; and gold, mica, copper, limestone, and iron in the north.[37]

In late 2012, the government of Uganda was taken to court over value added tax that it placed on goods and services purchased by Tullow Oil, a foreign oil company operating in the country at the time.[38] The court case was heard at an international court based in the United States. The Ugandan government insisted that Tullow could not claim taxes on supplies as recoverable costs before oil production starts.[39] Sources from within the government reveal that the main concern at present is the manner in which millions of dollars have been lost in the past decade, money that could allegedly have stayed in Uganda for investment in the public sector; a Global Financial Integrity report recently revealed that illicit money flows from Uganda between 2001 and 2012 totalled $680 million.[39] Tullow Oil was represented in the court case by Kampala Associated Advocates, whose founder is Elly Kurahanga, the President of Tullow Uganda.[38] A partner at Kampala Associated Advocates, Peter Kabatsi, was also Uganda's solicitor general between 1990 and 2002, and he has denied claims that he negotiated contracts with foreign oil firms during his time in this role.[38]

In June 2015, the Ugandan government and Tullow Oil settled a longstanding dispute regarding the amount of certain capital gains taxes that the company owed to the government.[40] The government claimed that the company owed US$435 million.[41] The claim, however, was settled for US$250 million.[40]

In April 2018, the government signed agreements with Albertine Graben Refinery Consortium, an International consortium led by General Electric of the United States, to build a 60,000 barrels-per-day Uganda Oil Refinery in Western Uganda. The cost of the development is budgeted at about US$4 billion.[42][43]

Women in the Economy

The agriculture sector of the Ugandan economy, which composes roughly 40% of the country's GDP, is largely fulfilled by women laborers, especially in managing products, marketing, and the crop sub-sector.[44] 76% of women work in the agriculture sector and roughly 66% of men do, and women provide for 80% of food crops and 60% of traditional exports such as coffee or tea.[21] In the formal, non-agricultural economy, men constitute 61% of the workforce, whereas women predominate the informal economy, and this can be attributed to the lack of equity between men and women in the country.[44] The Uganda Bureau of Statistics reported, when looking at the urban workforce in 2015, 88.6% of women were employed informally, and 84.2% of men were.[45] Women are unable to enter into certain sectors, especially in the formal economy, due to the inability to provide substantial initial funding, and remain in the trade and service sectors of the economy. Comparatively, men dominate the more profitable sectors, such as manufacturing.[21] Women traders make up 70% of those in markets and 40% in shops in addition to dominating other sectors such as the service industry, crafts, and tailoring.[46]

Women are often undervalued in data compilation, particularly when considering their role in their domestic home lives. For example, women commonly match the contribution of their husbands to their familial income, if not provide more, when taking into consideration the value of their labor and the profits made from selling excess food.[21] Urban women on average earn between 50% and 70% of a household's income.[46] Women are also discredited in data collection due to biases of data collectors resulting in inaccurate reports, as well as income being measured per house, rather than separating by gender.[21] The barriers women face to further their entrepreneurial careers are different than men, inherent within the biased culture and institutions plaguing Uganda despite the passing of somewhat progressive policies, especially with the 1985 transition of government to the National Resistance Movement party.[47]

Data
Year 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GDP in $
(PPP)		 4.69 bil. 6.71 bil. 10.08 bil. 15.36 bil. 22.16 bil. 35.82 bil. 39.53 bil. 43.85 bil. 49.38 bil. 53.77 bil. 58.59 bil. 63.88 bil. 66.52 bil. 70.78 bil. 75.33 bil. 80.46 bil. 83.39 bil. 88.67 bil.
GDP per capita in $
(PPP)		 416 509 639 826 1,016 1,389 1,482 1,589 1,728 1,820 1,920 2,026 2,044 2,112 2,185 2,267 2,281 2,354
GDP growth
(real)		 −3.9 % −3.0 % 6.5 % 9.2 % 3.9 % 10.0 % 7.0 % 8.1 % 10.4 % 8.1 % 7.7 % 6.8 % 2.2 % 4.7 % 4.6 % 5.7 % 2.3 % 4.5 %
Government debt
(% of GDP)		 ... ... ... ... 63 % 55 % 36 % 22 % 20 % 19 % 22 % 23 % 25 % 28 % 31 % 33 % 37 % 39 %

Source: IMF[48]

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See also

References
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  2. "World Bank Country and Lending Groups". datahelpdesk.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 29 September 2019.
  3. "World Economic Outlook Database, October 2019". IMF.org. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 27 February 2020.
  4. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2020 : Slow Growth, Policy Challenges" (PDF). openknowledge.worldbank.org. World Bank. p. 147. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
  5. Biryabarema, Elias (3 October 2017). "Uganda central bank lowers key lending rate to 9.5 percent". Reuters.com. Retrieved 8 June 2018.
  6. "AFRICA :: UGANDA". CIA.gov. Central Intelligence Agency. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
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  19. Staff Writer (31 May 2016). "The richest and poorest countries in Africa". Johannesburg: Businesstech.co.za. Retrieved 8 June 2018.
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  43. Musisi, Frederic (8 May 2018). "Uganda signs off Shs4 trillion for US in refinery". Daily Monitor. Kampala. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
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  45. "2017 Statistical Report" (PDF). Uganda Bureau of Statistics: 169. 2017.
  46. Lange, Siri (2003). "When women grow wings: Gender relations in the informal economy of Kampala". CMI Report. R 2003: 8: 1–8.
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  48. "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects". Retrieved 2018-08-24.
  1. FY based numbers
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