East Coast Bays (New Zealand electorate)

East Coast Bays is a New Zealand parliamentary electorate. It was first formed in 1972 and has existed apart from a break lasting two parliamentary terms. The electorate has been held by Erica Stanford of the National Party since the 2017 general election.

East Coast Bays electorate boundaries used since the 2014 election

Election 2020
2020 general election: East Coast Bays
Notes:

 Blue background  denotes an incumbent.
 Pink background  denotes a current list MP.
 Yellow background  denotes a retiring MP.

Party Candidate Notes List # Source
National Erica Stanford 39   [1]
Labour Monina Hernandez 73   [2]
Green Dan Jones   [3]

Population centres

Since the 1969 election, the number of electorates in the South Island was fixed at 25, with continued faster population growth in the North Island leading to an increase in the number of general electorates. There were 84 electorates for the 1969 election,[4] and the 1972 electoral redistribution saw three additional general seats created for the North Island, bringing the total number of electorates to 87.[5] Together with increased urbanisation in Christchurch and Nelson, the changes proved very disruptive to existing electorates.[5] In the South Island, three electorates were abolished, and three electorates were newly created.[6] In the North Island, five electorates were abolished, two electorates were recreated, and six electorates were newly created (including East Coast Bays).[7]

The electorate is based around the north-eastern suburbs of North Shore City in north Auckland, including Torbay, Browns Bay and Mairangi Bay. The electorate crosses State Highway One at its southern end, which includes a section of Glenfield. East Coast Bays is a wealthy electorate, with incomes above the national average and boasting some of the most expensive real estate in the country. The electorate also contains many émigrés from South Africa.

History

East Coast Bays was an electorate in the New Zealand Parliament between 1972 and 1996, before being abolished to make way for the Albany electorate at the change to Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting. High population growth in North Auckland lead to the electorate's western fringe being removed in 2002, and with it the eponymous suburb of Albany, thus recreating East Coast Bays ahead of the 2002 election.

Although now a safe electorate for National, it was held for seven years by Social Credit MP Gary Knapp, from the 1980 by-election when he defeated future National party leader Don Brash. In the 1981, 1984 and 1987 general elections, Labour came third, with Knapp defeating Brash in 1981 and Murray McCully in 1984.

But in 1987 the declining fortunes of the Democratic Party (as Social Credit renamed itself), led to Knapp being defeated by Murray McCully, who held the electorate for National until 2017.

In December 2016, McCully announced that he would not stand for parliament in the 2017 general election,[8] and the seat of East Coast Bays was won by Erica Stanford, retaining it for the National Party.

Members of Parliament

Key

  National     Social Credit     Democrats     United Future     Green  

Election Winner
1972 election Frank Gill1
1975 election
1978 election
1980 by-election Gary Knapp
1981 election
1984 election
1987 election Murray McCully
1990 election
1993 election
electorate abolished, see Albany
2002 election Murray McCully
2005 election
2008 election
2011 election
2014 election
2017 election Erica Stanford

1 Resigned when appointed Ambassador to the United States

List MPs

Members of Parliament elected from party lists in elections where that person also unsuccessfully contested the East Coast Bays electorate. Unless otherwise stated, all MPs terms began and ended at general elections.

Election Winner
2002 election Paul Adams
2008 election Sue Bradford2

2Resigned in October 2009, five months after losing Green Party co-leadership vote to Metiria Turei

Election results

2017 election
2017 general election: East Coast Bays[9]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Erica Stanford 22,731 65.53 +3.61 22,006 62.78 −0.60
Labour Naisi Chen 6,441 18.57 +3.30 8,130 23.20 +11.05
Green Nicholas Mayne 2,306 6.65 −3.30 1,660 4.74 −3.49
Opportunities Teresa Moore 1,289 3.72 — 673 1.92 —
NZ First Ilja Ruppeldt 1,254 3.62 — 1,886 5.38 −0.58
ACT Stephen Berry 389 1.12 — 347 1.00 −4.96
New Conservative   95 0.27 −6.43
Legalise Cannabis   58 0.17 −0.12
Māori   55 0.16 +0.12
United Future   34 0.10 −0.11
People's Party   18 0.05 —
Outdoors   14 0.04 —
Democrats   6 0.02 −0.03
Mana   5 0.01 —
Ban 1080   5 0.01 −0.13
Internet   4 0.01 —
Informal votes 277 154
Total Valid votes 34,687 35,050
National hold Majority 16,290 46.96 +0.30

2014 election
2014 general election: East Coast Bays[10][11]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Y Murray McCully 19,951 61.92 -3.06 20,895 63.38 +0.52
New Conservative Colin Craig 4,923 15.27 +10.3 2,210 6.7 +2.96
Labour Greg Milner-White 3,915 12.15 -7.73 4,005 12.15 -5.05
Green Teresa Moore 3,206 9.95 +1.23 2,712 8.23 +0.17
Ban 1080 Tricia Cheel 229 0.71 +0.71 47 0.14 +0.14
NZ First   1,964 5.96 +1.02
ACT   580 1.76 +0.18
Internet Mana   222 0.67 +0.67
Māori   125 0.38 -0.01
Legalise Cannabis   95 0.29 -0.18
United Future   69 0.21 -0.22
Civilian   64 0.06 +0.06
Democrats   17 0.05 +0.02
Independent Coalition   4 0.01 +0.01
Focus   3 0.01 +0.01
Informal votes 327 73
Total Valid votes 32,557 33,041
National hold Majority 15,034 46.65 +1.55

2011 election
2011 general election: East Coast Bays[12]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Y Murray McCully 21,094 64.98 +6.90 21,079 62.86 +1.45
Labour Viv Goldsmith 6,453 19.88 +2.07 5,769 17.20 -4.44
Green Brett Stansfield 2,832 8.72 +2.20 2,704 8.72 +2.20
New Conservative Simonne Dyer 1,614 4.97 +4.97 1,254 3.74 +3.74
ACT Toby Hutton 467 1.44 -2.15 530 1.58 -4.08
NZ First   1,657 4.94 +2.11
Legalise Cannabis   156 0.47 +0.19
United Future   145 0.43 -0.31
Māori   130 0.39 -0.01
Mana   64 0.19 +0.19
Libertarianz   24 0.07 +0.001
Alliance   14 0.04 +0.002
Democrats   9 0.03 -0.01
Informal votes 902 160
Total Valid votes 32,460 33,535
National hold Majority 14,641 45.10 +4.82

Electorate (as at 26 November 2011): 47,305[13]

2008 election
2008 general election: East Coast Bays[14]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Y Murray McCully 20,151 58.09 +11.06 21,681 61.40 +9.13
Labour Viv Goldsmith 6,177 17.81 -9.31 7,642 21.64 -10.13
Family Party Paul Adams[note 1] 3,570 10.29 -5.58 505 1.43
Green Sue Bradford 2,263 6.52 +3.01 1,439 4.08 +0.59
ACT Tim Kronfeld 1,246 3.59 +2.12 2,000 5.66 +3.09
NZ First Dail Jones 730 2.10 -0.47 1,001 2.83 -1.94
No Commercial Airport at Whenuapai Toby Hutton 283 0.82
United Future Ian McInnes 215 0.62 -0.49 263 0.74 -1.65
Libertarianz Elah Zamora 56 0.16 25 0.07 +0.03
Progressive   214 0.61 -0.30
Bill and Ben   149 0.42
Māori   141 0.40 +0.14
Legalise Cannabis   98 0.28 +0.08
Kiwi   90 0.25
Alliance   14 0.04 -0.00
Pacific   14 0.04
Democrats   13 0.04 -0.00
Workers Party   8 0.02
RONZ   7 0.02 +0.00
RAM   5 0.01
Informal votes 281 91
Total Valid votes 34,691 35,309
National hold Majority 13,974 40.28 +20.38
  1. Paul Adams contested the 2005 election as an Independent: the "±% electoral votes" figure here compares Adams' percentage of electoral votes for the Family Party in 2008 with the 2005 percentage as an Independent.

2005 election
2005 general election: East Coast Bays[15]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Y Murray McCully 17,213 47.02 +7.93 19,437 52.27 +27.44
Labour Hamish McCracken 9,927 27.12 -7.03 11,813 31.77 -2.04
Independent Paul Adams 5,809 15.87
Green Jeanette Elley 1,287 3.52 -1.92 1,297 3.49 -8.48
NZ First Anne Martin 942 2.57 1,775 4.77 -5.20
ACT Andrew Stone 537 1.47 -4.95 956 2.39 -2.80
United Future Steven Dromgool 405 1.11 -8.14 890 2.39 -7.23
Progressive Fiona Beazley 253 0.69 -0.95 338 0.91 -0.36
Māori Rahuia Kapa 119 0.33 95 0.26
Democrats Patrick Fahey 73 0.20 14 0.04
Destiny John Steemson 39 0.11 370 1.00
Legalise Cannabis   74 0.20 -0.19
Christian Heritage   44 0.12 -0.93
Direct Democracy   28 0.08
Alliance   15 0.04 -0.86
Libertarianz   14 0.04
RONZ   7 0.02
99 MP   6 0.02
Family Rights   6 0.02
One NZ   5 0.01 -0.23
Informal votes 324 100
Total Valid votes 36,604 37,184
National hold Majority 7,286 19.90 +14.96

2002 election
2002 general election: East Coast Bays[16]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Y Murray McCully 12,134 39.09 7,876 24.83
Labour Hamish McCracken 10,600 34.15 10,722 33.81
United Future Paul Adams 2,872 9.25 3,052 9.62
ACT Julie Pepper 1,993 6.42 1,646 5.19
Green Jeanette Elley 1,688 5.44 3,796 11.97
One NZ Alan McCulloch 528 1.70 75 0.24
Progressive Jill Henry 508 1.64 403 1.27
Christian Heritage Ian Cummings 399 1.29 334 1.05
Alliance Fiona McLaren 316 1.02 287 0.90
NZ First   3,163 9.97
ORNZ   227 0.72
Legalise Cannabis   123 0.39
NMP   6 0.02
Mana Māori   4 0.01
Informal votes 392 75
Total Valid votes 31,038 31,714
National win new seat Majority 1,534 4.94

1993 election
1993 general election: East Coast Bays[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
National Murray McCully 10,209 46.74 -0.83
Alliance Heather-Ann McConachy 5,693 26.06
Labour Gordon Duncan 3,253 14.89
NZ First Anne Martin 2,232 10.21
Christian Heritage Dennis Knox 347 1.58
Natural Law Miranda Adams 107 0.48
Majority 4,516 20.67 -2.32
Turnout 21,841 86.74 -1.31
Registered electors 25,179

1990 election
1990 general election: East Coast Bays[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
National Murray McCully 10,791 47.57 +7.12
Democrats Gary Knapp 5,575 24.58 -14.45
Labour Vivienne Halligan 3,433 15.13
Green Dianne Gatward 2,406 10.60
NewLabour John Alfred Watson 430 1.89
Social Credit Sonia Lee Stewart 45 0.19
Majority 5,216 22.99 +21.57
Turnout 22,680 88.05 +1.89
Registered electors 25,758

1987 election
1987 general election: East Coast Bays[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
National Murray McCully 8,833 40.45 +4.62
Democrats Gary Knapp 8,522 39.03 -5.71
Labour Wayne Sellwood 4,411 20.20
Independent J C Braithwaite 68 0.31
Majority 311 1.42
Turnout 21,834 89.94 -3.46
Registered electors 24,276

1984 election
1984 general election: East Coast Bays[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Social Credit Gary Knapp 10,146 44.74 +0.16
National Murray McCully 8,126 35.83
Labour Michael Smythe 2,081 9.17
NZ Party David Phillips 2,035 8.97
Independent M F Smits 17 0.07
Majority 2,020 8.90 +5.96
Turnout 22,675 93.40 +1.26
Registered electors 24,276

1981 election
1981 general election: East Coast Bays[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Social Credit Gary Knapp 11,568 44.90 +1.59
National Don Brash 10,810 41.96 +3.76
Labour Neville Creighton 3,335 12.94
Independent Eric Smith 49 0.19
Majority 758 2.94 -2.17
Turnout 25,762 92.14 +28.50
Registered electors 27,957

1980 by-election
1980 East Coast Bays by-election
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Social Credit Gary Knapp 8,061 43.31 +23.33
National Don Brash 7,110 38.20
Labour Wyn Hoadley 3,296 17.71
Values Janet Moore 144 0.77
Majority 951 5.11
Turnout 18,611 63.64 -12.95
Registered electors 29,243
Social Credit gain from National Swing

1978 election
1978 general election: East Coast Bays[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
National Frank Gill 7,675 34.48 -20.96
Labour Colleen Hicks 6,109 27.45
Social Credit Gary Knapp 4,448 19.98
Independent National David Phillips 3,684 16.55
Values Eric Smith 339 1.52
Majority 1,566 7.03 -17.31
Turnout 22,255 76.59 -8.01
Registered electors 29,055

1975 election
1975 general election: East Coast Bays[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
National Frank Gill 12,739 55.44 +6.80
Labour Rex Stanton 7,145 31.09
Values John Bartram 1,839 8.00
Social Credit Noel Edward Lord 1,253 5.45
Majority 5,594 24.34 +18.72
Turnout 22,976 84.60 -2.59
Registered electors 27,157

1972 election
1972 general election: East Coast Bays[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
National Frank Gill 8,460 48.64
Labour Brian Pauling 7,481 43.01
Social Credit Betty Ross 1,357 7.80
New Democratic Kay Edgecumbe 93 0.53
Majority 979 5.62
Turnout 17,391 87.19
Registered electors 19,946

Notes
  1. "Erica Stanford".
  2. "Monina Hernandez".
  3. "Dan Jones".
  4. McRobie 1989, p. 111.
  5. McRobie 1989, p. 115.
  6. McRobie 1989, pp. 112, 116.
  7. McRobie 1989, pp. 111, 115.
  8. "Murray McCully says he won't stand again in next election". The New Zealand Herald. 15 December 2016. Retrieved 27 September 2017.
  9. "Official Count Results -- East Coast Bays (2017)". Electoral Commission. 7 October 2017. Retrieved 12 October 2017.
  10. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  11. "New Zealand Parliament - East Coast Bays Electorate Profile". Parliament.nz. 26 June 2015. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  12. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  13. "Enrolment statistics". Electoral Commission. 26 November 2011. Archived from the original on 10 November 2011. Retrieved 28 November 2011.
  14. Archived 11 December 2008 at the Wayback Machine
  15. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.org.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  16. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  17. Part 1: Votes recorded at each polling place (Technical report). New Zealand Chief Electoral Office. 1993. p. 19.
  18. Part 1: Votes recorded at each polling place (Technical report). New Zealand Chief Electoral Office. 1990. p. 29.
  19. Norton 1988, p. 218.
gollark: That sounds worrying.
gollark: If your problem actually is nice and differentiable - which it sounds like it *might* be, I think you're laying out cables or something? - then it should be a lot faster if you can use that instead of just moving around randomly.
gollark: "Borrow" a cutting-edge silicon fab and make your design on 5nm, for maximum good.
gollark: Again, computers are fast, so it can probably be optimized.
gollark: That's quite slow. I get bored if a program takes more than 5 minutes.

References
  • McRobie, Alan (1989). Electoral Atlas of New Zealand. Wellington: GP Books. ISBN 0-477-01384-8.CS1 maint: ref=harv (link)
  • Wilson, James Oakley (1985) [First ed. published 1913]. New Zealand Parliamentary Record, 1840–1984 (4th ed.). Wellington: V.R. Ward, Govt. Printer. OCLC 154283103.CS1 maint: ref=harv (link)
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