2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary
The 2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary took place on Tuesday, April 7, 2020, in the midst of a global pandemic, along with the Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice election. It is one of the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Wisconsin primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 97 delegates, of which 84 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary. Although in-person voting took place on April 7, full results were not released until April 13, in accordance with a district court ruling.[1]
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97 Democratic National Convention delegates (84 pledged, 13 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | |||||||||||||||||||
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Election results by county
Joe Biden |
Elections in Wisconsin | ||||||||||
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As of the primary on April 7, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders were the only candidates left in the race. However, the next morning, before any of Wisconsin's results were released, Sanders dropped out of the race, leaving Biden as the party's presumed presidential nominee.[2]
Procedure
Wisconsin was the sole state that voted on April 7, 2020, in the Democratic primaries.[3]
Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15% at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 84 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 77 pledged delegates, between 5 and 11 are allocated to each of the state's 8 congressional districts and another 10 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 29 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.[4]
On Sunday, April 26, 2020, county caucuses will select delegates for congressional district caucuses which will take place on Sunday, May 17, 2020, which in turn designate national convention district-level delegates. The administrative committee meeting before the state convention will subsequently be on Friday, June 12, 2020, to vote on the 29 pledged at-large and 10 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 77 pledged delegates Wisconsin sends to the national convention will be joined by 13 unpledged PLEO delegates (eight members of the Democratic National Committee; four members of Congress, including one Senator and 3 U.S. Representatives; and the governor).[4]
COVID-19 pandemic
Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, several states delayed their scheduled primaries and extended the vote-by-mail period. Concerns were raised by health officials, poll workers, and voters that in-person voting at the height of the pandemic would be unsafe for vulnerable individuals.[5] Governor Tony Evers (D) signed an executive order for all-mail-in election, but the order was rejected by the Republican-controlled Wisconsin Legislature.[6]
On April 2, although U.S. District Judge William M. Conley refused to postpone the election, he extended the deadline for absentee voting to April 13 (ordering clerks not to release any election data before that date).[7][8] However, on April 6, the Supreme Court of the United States overturned Conley's decision, meaning that all absentee ballots must still be postmarked by "election day, Tuesday, April 7" even though it will still be acceptable for the ballots to be received by the clerks as late as April 13.[9][10] The Supreme Court of the United States, "did not alter the provision in Conley's amended order which prohibits the reporting of results until April 13".[11]
Governor Evers then called a special session of the legislature to postpone in-person voting, but the session ended within minutes without action, forcing the primary to go on as planned.[12]
Despite having previously expressed the view that he would violate the law by doing so,[13] on April 6, Evers issued an executive order which, if enforced, would have postponed the April 7 elections until the tentative date of June 9.[14][15] Republican leaders immediately announced that they would challenge the order in the Wisconsin Supreme Court.[14] The Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled that Evers did not have the authority to postpone the elections, thus meaning that Evers' executive order was nullified, and that the elections would be held as scheduled on April 7.[16]
This was appealed to a federal court who sided with the Governor, and that was appealed to the US Supreme Court, which on a 5–4 vote, upheld the State court's ruling.[17]
Voting was somewhat chaotic, with people waiting in the rain for hours in some cases in masks and social distancing.[18] However, by the time the election concluded, Milwaukee Election Commissioner Neil Albrecht stated that despite some of the problems, the in-person voting ran smoothly.[19]
Polling
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | ||||||
270 to Win | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
RealClear Politics | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | April 5, 2020 | until March 29, 2020 [lower-alpha 2] | 51.6% | 36.0% | 12.4% | ||||||
Average | 54.1% | 36.7% | 9.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Wisconsin Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Un- decided | ||
Marquette University Law School | Mar 24–29, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 4] | ||
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 898(LV) | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | – | 3%[lower-alpha 5] | 3% | ||
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[lower-alpha 6] | ± 6.4% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | ||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Feb 19–23, 2020 | 490 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 17% | – | 13% | – | 11% | 29% | 9% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 7] | 4% | ||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 428 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 12% | – | 9% | 30% | 12% | – | – | 11%[lower-alpha 8] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 464 (RV) | – | 21.8% | 8.4% | – | 7.7% | – | 3% | 28.4% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 2.5%[lower-alpha 9] | 10.9% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 6% | 1% | 15% | – | 4% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 3%[lower-alpha 10] | 9% | ||
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | 7% | 3% | 9% | – | 4% | 21% | 13% | 3% | 6%[lower-alpha 11] | 10% | ||
Marquette University Law School | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 19% | 16% | 3% | 3%[lower-alpha 12] | 11% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 801 (RV) | – | 30% | – | 3% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 6%[lower-alpha 13] | 10% | ||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 292 | – | 23% | – | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 2% | 2%[lower-alpha 14] | 19% | ||
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 274 (LV) | – | 17% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 15] | 35% | ||
Fox News | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 16] | 9% | ||
Marquette University Law School | Aug 25–29, 2019 | 444 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 28% | – | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 17% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 17] | 13% | ||
Change Research | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 935 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 24% | 29% | 2% | 5%[lower-alpha 18] | – | ||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 1261 (LV) | – | 18% | – | 3% | 15% | 17% | 1% | 19% | 19% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 19] | – | ||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 238 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 2%[lower-alpha 20] | – | ||
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Apr 15–18, 2019 | 485 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | – | 4% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 11%[lower-alpha 21] | 14% | ||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 15–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 14% | 1% | 10%[lower-alpha 22] | – |
Results
Candidate | Votes[22] | % | Delegates[23] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 581,463 | 62.86% | 56 |
Bernie Sanders | 293,441 | 31.72% | 28 |
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 14,060 | 1.52% | |
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 8,846 | 0.96% | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 6,079 | 0.66% | |
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 5,565 | 0.60% | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 4,946 | 0.53% | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 3,349 | 0.36% | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 836 | 0.09% | |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 529 | 0.06% | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 475 | 0.05% | |
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 311 | 0.03% | |
Uncommitted | 3,590 | 0.39% | |
Scattering | 1,575 | 0.17% | |
Total | 925,065 | 100% | 84 |
100% precincts reporting[24]
See also
- Impact of the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic on politics
- 2020 Wisconsin elections
- 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
- 2020 Wisconsin Republican primary
- 2020 Democratic National Convention
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Don't know with 2%; Refused to answer with 2%
- Gabbard with 3%
- Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
- Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
- "Not sure/other" with 11%
- Gabbard with 0.8%; Patrick with 0.6%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.4%; Steyer with 0.3%
- Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; Bennet and Delaney not reported
- Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; none of the above with 1%
- Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; would not vote with 1%
- Bullock, Steyer, Williamson, someone else, Would not vote, and Refused with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Delaney with 0%
- Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; others with 0%
- O'Rourke with 1%; Steyer with 0%; Castro with no voters; other with 0%
- Bullock, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Other with <1%; Castro and Messam with 0%; None of the above with 1%
- "Someone else", Bullock, Gillibrand, O'Rourke, Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Gabbard, Delaney, Castro, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- Gabbard with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Steyer, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Sestak with 0%
- Gabbard and O'Rourke with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters
- Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
- O'Rourke with 5%; Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
- O'Rourke with 6%; Gillibrand with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
References
- Larsen, Emily (7 April 2020). "An awkward coronavirus Democratic primary in Wisconsin". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved 8 April 2020.
- Sullivan, Sean; Janes, Chelsea (8 April 2020). "Bernie Sanders to end his presidential campaign". Washington Post. Retrieved 8 April 2020.
- Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- "Wisconsin Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- "Wisconsin set to hold in-person voting in presidential primary". Reuters. 2020-04-04. Retrieved 2020-04-05.
- Coronavirus is disrupting the 2020 election. Here’s a list of all the primaries that have been postponed by Yelena Dzhanova, CNBC, 2 Apr 2020
- Todd Richmond (April 3, 2020). "Wisconsin barrels ahead with election despite virus fears". AP.
- Johnson, Martin (2020-04-04). "Wisconsin Republicans say they will ask Supreme Court to block extended absentee voting". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-04-05.
- "Supreme Court blocks extended absentee voting in Wisconsin primary". Channel3000.com. April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- Supreme Court of the United States (April 6, 2020). "REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE, ET AL. v. DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMITTEE, ET AL. No. 19A1016" (PDF). electionlawblog.org. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- "URGENT -- Wisconsin Supreme Court Orders Election Day to Continue and U.S. Supreme Court Alters Ballot Receipt Deadline; Tallying and Reporting Results Still Prohibited Until April 13 - COVID-19 | Wisconsin Elections Commission". elections.wi.gov. Retrieved 2020-04-07.
- Glauber, Bill; Marley, Patrick. "In matter of seconds, Republicans stall Gov. Tony Evers' move to postpone Tuesday election". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- Governor Evers Tweet April 1 2020
- CNN, Eric Bradner and Kate Sullivan (April 6, 2020). "Wisconsin governor orders delay of primary election until June". CNN. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- Ruthhart, Bill. "Wisconsin governor issues executive order to delay Tuesday's election until June". chicagotribune.com.
- "Wisconsin Supreme Court rules Evers cannot postpone election". WISN. Associated Press. April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/scotus-wisconsin-election/
- https://www.axios.com/wisconsin-results-coronavirus-supreme-court-0715ee50-a85b-41e8-a4ef-053290bc2692.html
- Milwaukee Election Chief: Despite Some Issues, In-Person Voting Went Smoothly
- "Wisconsin Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
- "April 2020 Spring Election and Presidential Preference Primary Results". Wisconsin Elections Commission. Wisconsin Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
- Canvass Results for 2020 Spring Election and Presidential Preference Vote - 4/7/2020 (PDF) (Report). Wisconsin Elections Commission. May 4, 2020. pp. 1–2. Retrieved May 5, 2020.
- "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
- https://www.newyorker.com/news/election-2020/wisconsin-primary-live-election-results