2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana

The 2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 9 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana
November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,102,169 820,299
Percentage 56.72% 42.22%
Parish Results
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

 Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

Louisiana was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 14.5 percent margin. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Bush's performance was much wider margin than that of his 2000 results which was 6.8 percent less. The state, like other states in the Deep South, is racially polarized when it comes to presidential elections, as a wide majority of the white population votes Republican, and a wide majority of the black population votes Democratic.

Primaries
  • 2004 Louisiana Democratic primary
  • 2004 Louisiana Republican primary

Campaign

Predictions
Elections in Louisiana
Government

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Leans Republican
  2. Associated Press: Leans Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by at least 48 percent of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 51 to 39 percent.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $1,933,549.[3] Kerry raised $1,303,859.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[5][6]

Analysis

Bush performed here better than he did in 2000. He won four more parishes: Caddo, Bienville, St. Landry, and West Baton Rouge (WBR), but he won each with very slim margins of victory of less than two percent, except for WBR which he won with 54% of the vote, indicating that the parish is trending Republican. In the northern portion of the state, he barely lost in Madison and Tensas. The only two parishes in which he got less than 40% of the vote in were East Carroll and Orleans. Bush also won six of seven congressional districts in the state, each with at least 58% of the vote. The Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, which covers the parish and city of Orleans, was won by Kerry with 70% of the vote. In other words, no CD in the state was competitive. As of the 2016 presidential election, this is the last election in which East Baton Rouge Parish and Caddo Parish voted for the Republican candidate. Conversely, this is the last election in which Assumption Parish and Pointe Coupee Parish voted for the Democratic candidate.

Results
United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2004[7]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Party George W. Bush 1,102,169 56.72% 9
Democratic John Kerry 820,299 42.22% 0
Independent Ralph Nader 7,032 0.36% 0
American Independent Michael Peroutka 5,203 0.27% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 2,781 0.14% 0
Independent Walt Brown 1,795 0.09% 0
Independent Gene Amondson 1,566 0.08% 0
Green David Cobb 1,276 0.07% 0
Socialist Workers Roger Calero 985 0.05% 0
Invalid or blank votes 169,510 1.35% —
Totals - 1,943,106 100.00% 9
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 58.5%

Results breakdown

By parish
Parish Bush# Bush% Kerry# Kerry% Others# Others% Total#
Acadia16,08363.75%8,93735.42%2100.83%25,230
Allen5,14056.33%3,79141.55%1932.12%9,124
Ascension24,65263.07%13,95235.69%4841.24%39,088
Assumption4,96646.26%5,58552.03%1841.71%10,735
Avoyelles8,30253.48%6,97644.93%2471.59%15,525
Beauregard9,46871.30%3,66627.61%1451.09%13,279
Bienville3,52951.33%3,22146.85%1251.82%6,875
Bossier29,92170.59%12,11628.59%3480.82%42,385
Caddo54,16250.99%51,50248.48%5630.53%106,227
Calcasieu46,05857.82%32,84441.23%7590.95%79,661
Caldwell3,30869.61%1,38429.12%601.26%4,752
Cameron3,19068.75%1,36729.46%831.79%4,640
Catahoula3,21564.95%1,67333.80%621.25%4,950
Claiborne3,70455.87%2,85443.05%721.09%6,630
Concordia5,42660.43%3,44638.38%1071.19%8,979
De Soto6,21154.79%5,02644.34%990.87%11,336
East Baton Rouge99,89054.45%82,17144.79%1,4060.77%183,467
East Carroll1,35739.97%1,98058.32%581.71%3,395
East Feliciana5,02054.57%4,09144.47%890.97%9,200
Evangeline8,36158.02%5,75639.94%2942.04%14,411
Franklin6,14067.49%2,82831.08%1301.43%9,098
Grant5,90873.97%1,97624.74%1031.29%7,987
Iberia19,41660.17%12,42338.50%4271.32%32,266
Iberville6,56044.19%8,06354.31%2231.50%14,846
Jackson5,03765.89%2,52333.01%841.10%7,644
Jefferson117,69261.53%71,93637.61%1,6410.86%191,269
Jefferson Davis8,06461.49%4,84536.94%2061.57%13,115
LaSalle5,01280.40%1,15418.51%681.09%6,234
Lafayette57,73064.20%31,20534.70%9811.09%89,916
Lafourche22,73460.04%14,41738.08%7121.88%37,863
Lincoln10,79159.23%7,24239.75%1851.02%18,218
Livingston33,94876.77%9,88822.36%3820.86%44,218
Madison2,29149.03%2,33449.95%481.03%4,673
Morehouse7,47057.63%5,33141.13%1611.24%12,962
Natchitoches9,26054.59%7,39643.60%3071.81%16,963
Orleans42,76021.81%151,68677.36%1,6400.84%196,086
Ouachita41,74764.79%22,01134.16%6781.05%64,436
Plaquemines7,86564.72%4,18134.41%1060.87%12,152
Pointe Coupee5,42948.17%5,71250.68%1301.15%11,271
Rapides34,43263.63%18,90434.93%7761.43%54,112
Red River2,50752.95%2,14045.20%881.86%4,735
Richland5,47163.14%3,08235.57%1121.29%8,665
Sabine6,70470.07%2,74128.65%1221.28%9,567
St. Bernard19,59665.68%9,95633.37%2850.96%29,837
St. Charles14,74761.80%8,89537.27%2220.93%23,864
St. Helena2,23540.58%3,17357.62%991.80%5,507
St. James4,54540.80%6,40657.50%1901.71%11,141
St. Jon8,93745.83%10,29352.78%2701.38%19,500
St. Landry18,31449.83%18,16249.41%2790.76%36,755
St. Martin12,09152.99%10,31945.22%4081.79%22,818
St. Mary12,87656.75%9,54442.07%2671.18%22,687
St. Tammany75,08174.70%24,64324.52%7870.78%100,511
Tangipahoa26,17062.14%15,33536.41%6081.44%42,113
Tensas1,45349.05%1,46849.56%411.38%2,962
Terrebonne26,35764.97%13,67833.72%5311.31%40,566
Union7,45769.78%3,05828.61%1721.61%10,687
Verm15,06961.38%9,08337.00%3981.62%24,550
Vernon11,03072.06%4,03526.36%2421.58%15,307
Washington11,00661.69%6,55436.74%2811.58%17,841
Webster11,06660.03%6,82137.00%5462.96%18,433
West Baton Rouge5,82053.73%4,93145.52%810.75%10,832
West Carroll3,73074.27%1,23124.51%611.21%5,022
West Feliciana2,83255.34%2,21443.27%711.39%5,117
Winn4,36767.12%2,05631.60%831.28%6,506

By congressional district

Bush won 6 of 7 congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 71% 28% David Vitter
Bobby Jindal
2nd 24% 75% William J. Jefferson
3rd 58% 41% Billy Tauzin
Charlie Melancon
4th 59% 40% Jim McCrery
5th 62% 37% Rodney Alexander
6th 59% 40% Richard H. Baker
7th 70% 30% Chris John
Charles Boustany

Electors
Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Louisiana is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:

  1. Tom Angers
  2. Michael Bayham
  3. David R. Carroll
  4. Archie Corder
  5. Floyd Gonzalez
  6. Gerald Hebert
  7. John H. Musser
  8. Sal Palmisano
  9. Ruth L. Ulrich
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References
  1. Archived 2016-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
  3. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  4. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  5. "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  6. "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  7. "2004 Presidential General Election Results - Louisiana".
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