2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

The 2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 7 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 959,792 503,966
Percentage 65.57% 34.43%
County Results

Bush

  50-60%
  60-70%
  70-80%
  80-90%
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

 Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

Elections in Oklahoma
Government

Oklahoma was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 31.14% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Bush won this state, every single county, and congressional district. Giving Bush 65.57% of the vote, it was the most Republican state in the south and Bush's fifth best performances in the country after Utah, Wyoming, Idaho and Nebraska.[1] In addition, he performed nine points better here than he had four years earlier, indicating the state is trending Republican.

Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since 1952, and a Republican stronghold since 1980, with no counties voting Democratic since 2000.

Primaries
  • 2004 Oklahoma Democratic primary

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, each with a double-digit margin and with at least 53% of the vote, except for the first poll. Many polls had Bush winning with a 30% margin or even higher. The final 3 poll average had Bush leading 63% to 32%.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $1,194,549.[4] Kerry raised $357,038.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6][7]

Analysis

Bush won here in 2000 with just 60% of the vote, and losing several counties in the eastern part of the state. However, the major difference between 2000 and 2004 is that in 2000 the Reform Party and Libertarian Party candidates were on the ballot. Oklahoma now has the toughest laws for a third-party candidate to get ballot access, as no independent has gotten ballot access here since 2000. Bush won every single county in 2004, including winning statewide with over 65% of the vote, which is one of Bush's best performances in the nation. Bush's key to victory was gaining the heavily populated counties of Tulsa County and Oklahoma County with over 64% of the vote in each.

Results
2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[8]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush Dick Cheney 959,792 65.57% 7
Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 503,966 34.43% 0
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 55.6%

Results breakdown

By county
County Bush# Bush% Kerry# Kerry%
Adair4,97066%2,56034%
Alfalfa2,20182%47018%
Atoka3,14062%1,94638%
Beaver2,27188%29712%
Beckham5,45474%1,93126%
Blaine3,19972%1,22228%
Bryan8,61460%5,74240%
Caddo6,49162%3,91638%
Canadian33,29777%9,71223%
Carter12,17365%6,46435%
Cherokee9,56353%8,62247%
Choctaw3,16855%2,63945%
Cimarron1,24287%18413%
Cleveland65,66666%33,98434%
Coal1,39654%1,20346%
Comanche21,16364%12,02036%
Cotton1,74266%89834%
Craig3,89461%2,50439%
Creek18,84566%9,92735%
Custer7,83974%2,80126%
Delaware10,01664%5,59136%
Dewey1,84382%40818%
Ellis1,68581%39519%
Garfield17,68576%5,58624%
Garvin7,61067%3,70633%
Grady14,12970%5,96930%
Grant1,95077%57123%
Greer1,52968%71932%
Harmon83870%35430%
Harper1,39784%26816%
Haskell2,94655%2,37845%
Hughes3,06657%2,28643%
Jackson7,02476%2,23224%
Jefferson1,54659%1,05741%
Johnston2,63461%1,71139%
Kay14,17770%5,95630%
Kingfisher5,62985%1,02215%
Kiowa2,60865%1,41335%
Latimer2,53557%1,94543%
LeFlore10,68161%6,74039%
Lincoln10,14972%4,04128%
Logan11,46770%4,86930%
Love2,29560%1,53840%
Major3,12085%53715%
Marshall3,36362%2,08838%
Mayes9,94659%6,93341%
McClain10,03873%3,74227%
McCurtain7,47267%3,68433%
McIntosh4,69251%4,48849%
Murray3,66561%2,31039%
Muskogee15,12155%12,58545%
Noble3,99375%1,33525%
Nowata2,80563%1,65937%
Okfuskee2,54259%1,74341%
Oklahoma174,70764%97,28336%
Okmulgee8,36353%7,36747%
Osage11,46759%8,06841%
Ottawa7,43959%5,08441%
Pawnee4,41263%2,56337%
Payne19,56066%10,10134%
Pittsburg11,13460%7,45240%
Pontotoc9,64265%5,16535%
Pottawatomie17,21267%8,63633%
Pushmataha2,86260%1,93440%
Roger1,38878%38222%
Rogers24,98168%11,91732%
Seminole5,62361%3,64839%
Sequoyah8,86560%5,91040%
Stephens13,64571%5,51429%
Texas5,44984%1,01616%
Tillman2,27366%1,17534%
Tulsa163,43464%90,20436%
Wagoner19,08168%9,15732%
Washington16,55171%6,86229%
Washita3,70573%1,34027%
Woods3,16577%93023%
Woodward6,18881%1,45719%

By congressional district

Bush won all five congressional districts.[9]

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 65% 35% John Sullivan
2nd 59% 41% Brad Carson
Dan Boren
3rd 72% 28% Frank Lucas
4th 67% 33% Tom Cole
5th 64% 36% Ernest Istook

Electors
Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Oklahoma cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Oklahoma is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged for Bush/Cheney:

  1. George Wiland
  2. Paul Hollrah
  3. Colby Schwartz
  4. Diana Gunther
  5. Ken Bartlett
  6. Donald Burdick
  7. Bob Hudspeth

The slate for the Democrats, which was not elected, consisted of George Krumme, Edwynne Krumme, Maxine Horner, Jim Hamilton, Bernice Mitchell, Betty McElderry, Bob Lemon[10]

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gollark: I think it's a server thing.
gollark: My slightly newer SomethingOrOther 5000 does too.
gollark: ```Architecture: x86_64CPU op-mode(s): 32-bit, 64-bitByte Order: Little EndianCPU(s): 4On-line CPU(s) list: 0-3Thread(s) per core: 1Core(s) per socket: 4Socket(s): 1NUMA node(s): 1Vendor ID: AuthenticAMDCPU family: 23Model: 1Model name: AMD Ryzen 3 1200 Quad-Core ProcessorStepping: 1CPU MHz: 3338.023CPU max MHz: 3500.0000CPU min MHz: 1550.0000BogoMIPS: 6989.03Virtualization: AMD-VL1d cache: 32KL1i cache: 64KL2 cache: 512KL3 cache: 4096KNUMA node0 CPU(s): 0-3Flags: fpu vme de pse tsc msr pae mce cx8 apic sep mtrr pge mca cmov pat pse36 clflush mmx fxsr sse sse2 ht syscall nx mmxext fxsr_opt pdpe1gb rdtscp lm constant_tsc rep_good nopl nonstop_tsc cpuid extd_apicid aperfmperf pni pclmulqdq monitor ssse3 fma cx16 sse4_1 sse4_2 movbe popcnt aes xsave avx f16c rdrand lahf_lm cmp_legacy svm extapic cr8_legacy abm sse4a misalignsse 3dnowprefetch osvw skinit wdt tce topoext perfctr_core perfctr_nb bpext perfctr_llc mwaitx cpb hw_pstate sme ssbd sev vmmcall fsgsbase bmi1 avx2 smep bmi2 rdseed adx smap clflushopt sha_ni xsaveopt xsavec xgetbv1 xsaves clzero irperf xsaveerptr arat npt lbrv svm_lock nrip_save tsc_scale vmcb_clean flushbyasid decodeassists pausefilter pfthreshold avic v_vmsave_vmload vgif overflow_recov succor smca```What clear, useful output.
gollark: `lscpu` on Li'nux.

References
  1. "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  2. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW%5B%5D
  3. http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=40
  4. http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  5. http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  6. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.11.html
  7. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/
  8. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  9. http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
  10. https://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/08electr.pdf
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