2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

The Oklahoma gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits established by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic Governor Brad Henry could not seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. This was the first time a woman challenged another woman for Governor of Oklahoma. The non-partisan Cook Political Report and CQ Politics rate the gubernatorial election as "likely Republican" and "leaning Republican", respectively.[1][2] On November 2, 2010, Republican candidate Mary Fallin was elected, defeating Democratic candidate Jari Askins.

2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Mary Fallin Jari Askins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 625,506 409,261
Percentage 60.4% 39.6%
County Results
Fallin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Askins:      50–60%
Governor before election

Brad Henry
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Mary Fallin
Republican

Elections in Oklahoma
Government

Overview

Democratic governor Brad Henry was easily re-elected in 2006 and maintains the highest approval rating of any state official in Oklahoma.[3] In 2008, Republicans made gains in the state legislature and took control of both the House and the Senate for the first time in Oklahoma history.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans; both of whom have also previously held the office of lieutenant governor), and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first ever female governor.

Democratic primary

Declared

Polling
Poll source Dates administered Drew
Edmondson		 Jari
Askins
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 49% 33%
Sooner Survey July 18–20, 2010 38% 27%
SoonerPoll.com May 25 – June 9, 2010 37% 36%
SoonerPoll.com January 2–5, 2010 46% 36%

Results
Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jari Askins 132,591 50.28
Democratic Drew Edmondson 131,097 49.72
Total votes 263,688 100.00

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Polling
Poll source Dates administered Mary
Fallin		 Randy
Brogdon
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 56% 18%
Sooner Survey July 18–20, 2010 50% 22%
SoonerPoll.com May 25 – June 9, 2010 59% 10%
SoonerPoll.com January 2–5, 2010 68% 16%

Results
Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mary Fallin 136,477 54.79
Republican Randy Brogdon 98,170 39.41
Republican Robert Hubbard 8,132 3.26
Republican Roger L. Jackson 6,290 2.53
Total votes 249,069 100.00

General election

Predictions
Source Rating As of
Cook Political Report Likely R[12] October 30, 2010
Rothenberg Report Likely R[13] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe R[14] October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R[15] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R[16] October 30, 2010
New York Times Solid R[17] October 30, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Safe R[18] October 30, 2010

Polling
Poll source Dates administered Mary
Fallin (R)		 Jari
Askins (D)
SoonerPoll.com October 23, 2010 56% 39%
SoonerPoll.com October 7, 2010 54% 36%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 60% 34%
Rasmussen Reports August 26, 2010 52% 37%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 57% 36%
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 46% 40%
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 55% 32%
SoonerPoll.com May 25 – June 9, 2010 49% 36%
Rasmussen Reports February 24, 2010 51% 37%
SoonerPoll.com January 2–5, 2010 52% 36%
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 50% 34%

Results
2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Mary Fallin 625,506 60.45% +26.95%
Democratic Jari Askins 409,261 39.55% -26.95%
Total votes 1,034,767 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic
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References
  1. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  2. "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved October 25, 2010.
  3. SoonerPoll (January 10, 2010). "Henry Leads in Approval". SoonerPoll. Retrieved 2010-06-03.
  4. McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
  5. Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010
  6. http://www.ok.gov/elections/support/10pri.html
  8. "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. Archived from the original on 2010-07-12. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  9. "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. 2009-04-18. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  10. Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season", The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
  11. http://newsok.com/j.c.-watts-rules-out-run-for-governor/article/3371761?custom_click=lead_story_title
  12. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  13. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  14. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  15. "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  16. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  17. "Oklahoma Governor Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  18. "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
  19. "Election Results" (pdf). Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved 2010-11-11.
Debates
Official campaign sites
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