Next Aragonese regional election

The next Aragonese regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes will be up for election.

Next Aragonese regional election

No later than 25 June 2023
All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Javier Lambán Luis María Beamonte Daniel Pérez Calvo Party PSOE PP Cs Leader since 31 March 2012 25 March 2017 2 March 2019 Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Zaragoza Last election 24 seats, 30.8% 16 seats, 20.9% 12 seats, 16.7% Current seats 24 16 12 Seats needed 10 18 22   Leader Maru Díaz José Luis Soro Santiago Morón Party Podemos–Equo CHA Vox Leader since 27 November 2018 10 February 2012 22 April 2019 Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Zaragoza Last election 5 seats, 8.1% 3 seats, 6.3% 3 seats, 6.1% Current seats 5 3 3 Seats needed 29 31 31   Leader Arturo Aliaga Álvaro Sanz Party PAR IU Leader since 29 November 2014 27 May 2017 Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Last election 3 seats, 5.1% 1 seat, 3.3% Current seats 3 1 Seats needed 31 33
Incumbent President Javier Lambán PSOE

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Aragon are the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Cortes is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Aragonese people abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1][3]

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 26 May 2023. The election decree shall be published in the BOA no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][3][5]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 34 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout												Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1]	12 Jul–13 Aug 2020	?	?	30.7 24	25.5 20	8.1 4	8.1 4	5.1 2	8.9 5	3.6 2	2.9 1	–	–	3.1 5	5.2
			?	31.9 25	26.0 21	8.3 5	8.3 5	5.4 2	9.0 5	4.3 3	2.9 1	–	–	–	5.9
SyM Consulting[p 2][p 3]	28–30 May 2020	1,952	68.2	28.8 22/24	25.4 19/20	7.2 4	8.2 4	5.7 3/4	14.4 9/11	4.8 3	2.0 0	–	–	–	3.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 4][p 5]	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	33.2 26	26.5 21	8.7 5	8.4 5	5.4 2	7.8 5	4.2 2	2.9 1	–	–	–	6.7
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	N/A	69.3	30.7 23	23.9 18	8.6 4	[lower-alpha 1]	0.3 0	17.0 11	–	[lower-alpha 1]	10.8 6	3.3 1	2.8 4	6.8
2019 regional election	26 May 2019	N/A	66.2	30.8 24	20.9 16	16.7 12	8.1 5	6.3 3	6.1 3	5.1 3	3.3 1	–	–	–	9.9

Notes

1. Within Unidas Podemos.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "EP Autonómico (15Ag): Teruel Existe sería clave en Aragón, con los dos bloques muy igualados. Múltiple empate en Andalucía". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 August 2020.
2. "Estimación Mayo 2020. Aragón. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 June 2020.
3. "ARAGÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/06/2020: IU 2,0%, PODEMOS-EQUO 8,2% (4), CHA 5,7% (3/4), PSOE 28,8% (22/24), PAR 4,8% (3), Cs 7,2% (4), PP 25,4% (19/20), VOX 14,4% (9/11)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 June 2020.
4. "EP (17My): Aragón – Lambán sube, y el PP también". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
5. "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.

Other

1. "Ley Orgánica 5/2007, de 20 de abril, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón". Organic Law No. 5 of 20 April 2007. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
3. "Ley 2/1987, de 16 de febrero, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
4. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
5. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.