2016 California Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 California Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of California as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

2016 California Democratic presidential primary

June 7, 2016 (2016-06-07)

Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Home state New York Vermont Delegate count 254 221 Popular vote 2,745,302[1] 2,381,722 Percentage 53.07% 46.04%

Election results by county.   Hillary Clinton   Bernie Sanders

The Democratic Party's primaries in Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
California Secretary of State Primary results	June 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton 53.1%	Bernie Sanders 46.0%	Others 0.9%
CBS News/YouGov[2] Margin of error: ±5.0% Sample size: 674	May 31-June 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 47%	Others / Undecided 4%
American Research Group[3] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400	May 31 – June 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 47%	Others / Undecided 5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[4] Margin of error: ±4.2% Sample size: 557	May 29-31, 2016	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 47%	Others / Undecided 4%
Field[5] Margin of error: ±4.1% Sample size: 571	May 26-31, 2016	Hillary Clinton 45%	Bernie Sanders 43%	Others / Undecided 12%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[6] Margin of error: ± 2.9% Sample size: 1,500	May 19-31, 2016	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 39%	Others / Undecided 13%
SurveyUSA[7] Margin of error: ±% Sample size: 803	May 19-22, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 39%	Undecided 4%
PPIC[8] Margin of error: ±5.7% Sample size: 552	May 13-22, 2016	Hillary Clinton 46%	Bernie Sanders 44%	Undecided 10%
Hoover Institution State Poll[9] Margin of error: ±3.47% Sample size: 1,700	May 4-16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 51%	Bernie Sanders 38%	Others / Undecided 11%
Sextant (D)/Capitol Weekly[10] Margin of error: ±2.3% Sample size: 1,617	April 28-May 1, 2016	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 39%	Others / Undecided 12%
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[11] Margin of error: ± % Sample size: 826	April 27-30, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 38%	Others / Undecided 6%
FOX News[12] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 623	April 18-21, 2016	Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 46%	Others / Undecided 6%
CBS News/YouGov[13] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 1,124	April 13-15, 2016	Hillary Clinton 52%	Bernie Sanders 40%	Others / Undecided 8%
Gravis Marketing[14] Margin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 846	April 7-10, 2016	Hillary Clinton 47%	Bernie Sanders 41%	Others / Undecided 12%
Field[15] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 584	March 24 - April 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 47%	Bernie Sanders 41%	Others / Undecided 12%
SurveyUSA[16] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 767	March 30 - April 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 53%	Bernie Sanders 39%	Others / Undecided 8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[17] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 832	March 16-23, 2016	Hillary Clinton 47%	Bernie Sanders 36%	Others / Undecided 17%
PPIC[18] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 529	March 6-15, 2016	Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 41%	Others / Undecided 11%
Field Poll[19] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample Size: 329	January 6, 2016	Hillary Clinton 46%	Bernie Sanders 35%	Martin O'Malley 1% Undecided 18%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Field Poll[20] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 391	September 17 – October 4, 2015	Hillary Clinton 47%	Bernie Sanders 35%	Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Other 2% Undecided 14%
		Hillary Clinton 40%	Bernie Sanders 31%	Joe Biden 15% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 1% Other 2% Undecided 12%
USC/LA Times[21] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: ?	August 29 – September 8, 2015	Hillary Clinton 42%	Bernie Sanders 26%	Other/NA 16% Undecided 16%
		Hillary Clinton 39%	Bernie Sanders 23%	Joe Biden 11% Other/NA 11% Undecided 16%
Field Poll[22] Margin of error: ± 7.0% Sample size: 356	April 23 – May 16, 2015	Hillary Clinton 53%	Elizabeth Warren 13%	Joe Biden 6% Bernie Sanders 5% Jim Webb 1% Martin O'Malley 0% Lincoln Chafee 0% Undecided/other 22%
Emerson College[23] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 487	April 2–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Joe Biden 8% Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Andrew Cuomo 0% Other 2% Undecided 17%
Field Poll [24] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 425	January 26 – February 16, 2015	Hillary Clinton 59%	Elizabeth Warren 17%	Joe Biden 9% Bernie Sanders 6% Jim Webb 2% Others <0.5% Undecided 7%

Results

 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in California
– Summary of results –

Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	2,745,302	53.07%	254	66	320
Bernie Sanders	2,381,722	46.04%	221	0	221
Willie Wilson	12,014	0.23%
Michael Steinberg	10,880	0.21%
Rocky De La Fuente	8,453	0.16%
Henry Hewes	7,743	0.15%
Keith Judd	7,201	0.14%
Write-in	23	0.00%
Uncommitted	N/A			10	10
Total	5,173,338	100%	475	76	551
Source: California Secretary of State - Presidential Primary Election Statement of Votes The Green Papers

Results by county

County[25]	Clinton	%	Sanders	%	Others	%	Totals	Turnout (%)	Margin	%
Alameda	164,889	51.5%	153,955	48.0%	1,577	0.5%	320,421		10,934	3.4%
Alpine	113	44.8%	137	54.4%	2	0.8%	252		24	9.5%
Amador	2,516	50.4%	2,386	47.8%	88	1.8%	4,990		130	2.6%
Butte	11,766	37.0%	19,739	62.0%	315	1.0%	31,820		7,973	25.1%
Calaveras	2,971	49.5%	2,914	48.5%	123	2.0%	6,008		57	0.9%
Colusa	835	49.3%	809	47.8%	48	2.8%	1,692		26	1.5%
Contra Costa	103,333	56.7%	77,862	42.7%	1,082	0.6%	182,277		25,471	14.0%
Del Norte	1,119	40.4%	1,598	57.6%	55	2.0%	2,772		479	17.3%
El Dorado	12,492	49.1%	12,620	49.6%	313	1.2%	25,425		128	0.5%
Fresno	45,436	56.0%	34,663	42.7%	998	1.2%	81,097		10,773	13.3%
Glenn	911	46.8%	1,003	51.5%	34	1.7%	1,948		92	4.7%
Humboldt	8,135	28.7%	19,928	70.4%	240	0.8%	28,303		11,793	41.7%
Imperial	9,843	65.0%	5,111	33.7%	190	1.3%	15,144		4,732	31.2%
Inyo	1,001	42.5%	1,313	55.7%	44	1.9%	2,358		312	13.2%
Kern	28,806	54.1%	23,374	43.9%	1,054	2.0%	53,234		5,432	10.2%
Kings	4,150	57.8%	2,869	39.9%	165	2.3%	7,184		1,281	17.8%
Lake	3,988	42.7%	5,195	55.7%	148	1.6%	9,331		1,207	12.9%
Lassen	812	42.6%	1,023	53.7%	70	3.7%	1,905		211	11.1%
Los Angeles	780,013	54.4%	639,886	44.6%	14,768	1.0%	1,434,667		140,127	9.8%
Madera	5,808	53.1%	4,852	44.4%	279	2.6%	10,939		956	8.7%
Marin	43,283	56.4%	33,214	43.3%	260	0.3%	76,757		10,069	13.1%
Mariposa	1,102	44.1%	1,355	54.2%	44	1.8%	2,501		253	10.1%
Mendocino	6,048	32.8%	12,259	66.5%	119	0.6%	18,426		6,211	33.7%
Merced	10,839	53.0%	9,273	45.3%	339	1.7%	20,451		1,566	7.7%
Modoc	281	42.3%	349	52.5%	35	5.3%	665		68	10.2%
Mono	799	43.3%	1,038	56.2%	10	0.5%	1,847		239	12.9%
Monterey	29,730	52.8%	26,073	46.3%	513	0.9%	56,316		3,657	6.5%
Napa	13,583	53.4%	11,682	45.9%	190	0.7%	25,455		1,901	7.5%
Nevada	8,175	36.9%	13,827	62.4%	148	0.7%	22,150		5,652	25.5%
Orange	171,593	51.9%	156,235	47.3%	2,767	0.8%	330,595		15,358	4.6%
Placer	25,249	54.1%	20,916	44.8%	490	1.1%	46,655		4,333	9.3%
Plumas	1,211	44.1%	1,475	53.7%	62	2.3%	2,748		264	9.6%
Riverside	112,526	56.1%	85,918	42.8%	2,197	1.1%	200,641		26,608	13.3%
Sacramento	109,898	54.6%	89,428	44.4%	1,933	1.0%	201,259		20,470	10.2%
San Benito	4,112	54.3%	3,380	44.6%	83	1.1%	7,575		732	9.7%
San Bernardino	96,076	54.6%	77,706	44.2%	2,194	1.2%	175,976		18,370	10.4%
San Diego	215,655	51.6%	199,716	47.7%	2,909	0.7%	418,280		15,939	3.8%
San Francisco	116,359	53.6%	99,594	45.9%	961	0.4%	216,914		16,765	7.7%
San Joaquin	38,212	56.5%	28,523	42.2%	879	1.3%	67,614		9,689	14.3%
San Luis Obispo	21,637	46.7%	24,379	52.6%	346	0.7%	46,362		2,742	5.9%
San Mateo	79,756	58.7%	55,367	40.8%	705	0.5%	135,828		24,389	18.0%
Santa Barbara	31,927	46.9%	35,717	52.4%	474	0.7%	68,118		3,790	5.6%
Santa Clara	159,480	57.5%	116,193	41.9%	1,840	0.7%	277,513		43,287	15.6%
Santa Cruz	29,520	40.5%	42,940	59.0%	377	0.5%	72,837		13,420	18.4%
Shasta	7,809	45.4%	9,026	52.4%	377	2.2%	17,212		1,217	7.1%
Sierra	224	42.5%	297	56.4%	6	1.1%	527		73	13.9%
Siskiyou	2,466	38.0%	3,894	60.0%	126	1.9%	6,486		1,428	22.0%
Solano	34,231	55.3%	27,122	43.8%	527	0.9%	61,880		7,109	11.5%
Sonoma	55,595	47.3%	61,167	52.0%	803	0.7%	117,565		5,572	4.7%
Stanislaus	24,359	51.2%	22,384	47.1%	798	1.7%	47,541		1,975	4.2%
Sutter	4,023	52.7%	3,463	45.4%	146	1.9%	7,632		560	7.3%
Tehama	2,372	45.9%	2,655	51.4%	136	2.6%	5,163		283	5.5%
Trinity	672	35.1%	1,211	63.3%	31	1.6%	1,914		539	28.2%
Tulare	13,472	54.4%	10,834	43.7%	468	1.9%	24,774		2,638	10.6%
Tuolumne	3,433	48.2%	3,592	50.5%	91	1.3%	7,116		159	2.2%
Ventura	60,615	51.2%	56,751	47.9%	1,015	0.9%	118,381		3,864	3.3%
Yolo	17,655	48.2%	18,761	51.3%	190	0.5%	36,606		1,106	3.0%
Yuba	2,388	45.1%	2,771	52.4%	132	2.5%	5,291		383	7.2%
Total	2,745,302	53.1%	2,381,722	46.0%	46,314	0.9%	5,173,338		363,580	7.0%

Analysis

Clinton won the California primary, after Bernie Sanders had made a very serious play for the state and barnstormed it before election day. Sanders was significantly behind in the overall race by the time California voted (June 7, 2016), and it would have been hard for him to win the nomination by that point unless he persuaded Superdelegates to switch their support to him at the convention. He hoped a California win would assist in that effort. He rallied large numbers of supporters across the state, but in the end his barnstorming did not prevail, with Clinton winning by seven points (more than most polls predicted). She won in all the major cities: Sacramento, San Francisco, San Jose, Fresno, Los Angeles, and San Diego; Sanders did well in the northernmost counties bordering Oregon where he had won the month before.[26] After Sanders' disappointing loss, Rose Kapolczynski, an advisor to Barbara Boxer, described the primary results: "You can have a lot of excitement and a compelling message and inspire people, but if they don’t show up to vote, it doesn’t matter. Sanders did have very impressive rallies all over the state, but were those people turning around and calling their neighbors and taking action to get other people to vote for Sanders?"[27]

For her part, Clinton had campaigned aggressively for the state's diverse electorate, with Spanish, Korean, Vietnamese, Tagalog, and Chinese-language ads being aired by her campaign on the airwaves and on TV to make a play for both Latino and Asian American voters.[28]

Clinton was declared the presumptive winner of the democratic nomination by multiple news outlets on June 6, the night before the California primary.[29][30][31][32] She had previously not had enough delegates, and the declaration that she had clinched the nomination was based on a survey of superdelegates, not on votes. This announcement being made the night before a primary as large as California's was considered controversial, and may or may not have affected voter turnout the next day.[33]

References

1. "California Secretary of State - Semi-Official Primary Results". ca.gov. Archived from the original on 2016-06-08. Retrieved 2016-06-17.
2. "Poll: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders down to the wire in California". www.cbsnews.com. Retrieved 2016-06-07.
3. "California 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.
4. "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll June 2016 California Questionnaire". scribd.com. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
5. "California's Democratic Presidential Primary Tightening. Clinton's Lead Over Sanders Declines to Two Points. State Republicans Appear to Be Warming to Trump's Candidacy". Archived from the original on June 2, 2016. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
6. "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll June 2016 California Questionnaire". scribd.com. Retrieved June 3, 2016.
7. "Hillary Clinton poised to defeat Bernie Sanders in California's presidential primary, SurveyUSA poll shows". ABC News. Retrieved 23 May 2016.
8. "Californians and Their Government May 2016 Full Crosstabs – Likely Voters Only" (PDF). PPIC Statewide Survey. Retrieved 26 May 2016.
9. "Poll: Clinton up 13 over Sanders in Calif". Retrieved May 31, 2016.
10. "Capitol Weekly California Statewide Dem Primary April 28-May 1, 2016" (PDF). Retrieved May 4, 2016.
11. "California voters resigned to vote for Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton, SurveyUSA poll shows". Retrieved May 2, 2016.
12. "Fox News Poll: California Presidential Primaries". Fox News. April 22, 2016. Archived from the original on April 23, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.
13. "Poll: Clinton keeps New York edge, leads Sanders in California". Retrieved 2016-04-17.
14. "California Democratic Primary Polling". Retrieved 2016-04-20.
15. "Sanders gaining on Clinton in California poll". Retrieved 2016-04-08.
16. In CA, 47% of Registered Voters and 15% of Likely GOP Primary Voters Have 'Extremely Negative' View of Trump; Still He Leads Cruz Narrowly; Clinton Atop Sanders in Democrat Primary; Harris & Sanchez Likely To Advance for Boxer's Seat; CA's Vital 55 Electoral Votes Stay Blue in 2016: (Report). SurveyUSA. 2016-04-05. Retrieved 2016-04-05.
17. "As California primary nears, even Sanders supporters are uniting behind Clinton and against a common enemy: Trump". Retrieved 2016-03-29.
18. "Californians and Their Government - March 2016 Full Crosstabs - Likely Voters Only" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-03-24.
19. DiCamillo, Mark (6 January 2016). "Clinton Maintains 11-Point Lead Over Sanders Among Likely Voters in California's Democratic Presidential Primary. Both Candidates Are Highly Regarded" (PDF). Field Research Corporation. Archived from the original (PDF) on 16 January 2016. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
20. "Sanders gains on Clinton". sacbee.com. Archived from the original on 2015-10-10. Retrieved 2015-10-07.
21. "Trump and Clinton lead presidential contenders in California". news.usc.edu/. Retrieved 2015-09-13.
22. "Field Poll Online" (PDF). field.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-05-28. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
23. "2016 California Presidential Republican Primary – Bush 17%, Walker 17%". Emerson College. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
24. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-02-20. Retrieved 2015-02-19.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
25. http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2016-primary/26-presidential-formatted.pdf
26. "California Primary Election Results". Retrieved 2016-08-07.
27. Times, Los Angeles. "How Hillary Clinton won California". latimes.com. Retrieved 2016-08-07.
28. "Hillary Clinton Campaign Launches New Asian American Ads". AAPI for Hillary. 2016-05-27. Archived from the original on 2016-10-11. Retrieved 2016-08-31.
29. "AP count: Clinton has delegates to win Democratic nomination". ap.org.
30. "Clinton clinches Democratic nomination". politico.com.
31. Bump, Philip (6 June 2016). "Analysis - Hillary Clinton just clinched the Democratic nomination. Here's the math behind it" – via www.washingtonpost.com.
32. "Hillary Clinton Has Clinched Democratic Nomination, Survey Reports". 6 June 2016 – via NYTimes.com.
33. "No one wanted Hillary Clinton to win this way". msnbc.com.