2019 Manitoba general election

The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1]

2019 Manitoba general election

September 10, 2019
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
First party Second party   Leader Brian Pallister Wab Kinew Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since July 30, 2012 September 16, 2017 Leader's seat Fort Whyte Fort Rouge Last election 40 seats, 53.01% 14 seats, 25.73% Seats before 38 12 Seats won 36 18 Seat change 2 6 Popular vote 221,007 149,868 Percentage 47.07% 31.38% Swing 6.03% 5.65%   Third party Fourth party   Leader Dougald Lamont James Beddome Party Liberal Green Leader since October 21, 2017 November 15, 2014 Leader's seat St. Boniface ran in Fort Rouge (lost) Last election 3 seats, 14.46% 0 seats, 5.07% Seats before 4 0 Seats won 3 0 Seat change 1 Popular vote 67,978 22,188 Percentage 14.48% 6.43% Swing 0.08% 1.36%
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed to the right.
Premier before election Brian Pallister Progressive Conservative Premier after election Brian Pallister Progressive Conservative

The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of only two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

Background

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.[4]

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.[5]

Electoral boundaries

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.[6][7]

Timeline

2016

• May 7: Greg Selinger resigns as leader and Flor Marcelino becomes interim Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
• September 24: Rana Bokhari resigns as Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
• October 21: Judy Klassen becomes interim Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.

2017

• January 9: Kevin Chief resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas, causing a by-election.
• January 31: NDP MLA Mohinder Saran suspended from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
• June 13: Bernadette Smith elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas holding the seat for the NDP with a reduced majority.
• June 13: Judy Klassen resigns as interim leader to run for Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. Paul Brault becomes acting Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
• June 30: Progressive Conservative MLA Steven Fletcher expelled from the caucus after breaking with the party on multiple issues.
• September 16: Wab Kinew elected Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
• October 21: Dougald Lamont elected Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.

2018

• March 7: Greg Selinger resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, causing a by-election.
• March 21: NDP MLA for Wolseley, Rob Altemeyer, announces that he will not seek re-election.[8]
• July 17: Liberal leader Dougald Lamont elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, gaining the seat from the NDP and winning official party status for the Liberals.
• September 11: Steven Fletcher joins and becomes Leader of the Manitoba Party.
• October 22: Progressive Conservative MLA Cliff Graydon expelled from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
• December 14: Final Report of the Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission released.[9]
• December 14: NDP MLA for Fort Garry-Riverview, James Allum, announces that he will not seek re-election.[10]

2019

• April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election.[11]
• May 22: MLA Steven Fletcher resigns as leader of the Manitoba First party.[12]
• August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10.[13]
• September 10: The election is held.

Legislature summary

Manitoba Legislature

Party		Leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
				2016	Dissolution	2019	+/-	Votes	%	+/-
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Pallister	57	40	38	36	-2	221,007	47.07%
	New Democratic	Wab Kinew	57	14	12	18	+6	149,868	31.38%
	Liberal	Dougald Lamont	57	3	4	3	-1	67,978	14.48%
	Green	James Beddome	43	–	–	–	–	30,175	6.43%
	Manitoba Forward	Wayne Sturby	7	–	–	–	–	1,321	0.28%
	Manitoba First	Douglas Petrick	6	–	1	–	-1	638	0.14%
	Communist	Darrell Rankin	5	–	–	–	–	191	0.04%
	Independents		3	–	2	–	-2	930	0.2%
	Vacant				0		–
Blank and invalid votes								3,495
Total				57	57	57		482,421
Registered voters/turnout								870,137

Popular vote PC   47.07% New Democratic   31.38% Liberal   14.48% Green   6.43% Others   0.64%

Seat summary PC   63.16% New Democratic   31.58% Liberal   5.26%

Incumbents not running for reelection

Riding	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee			New MLA
Assiniboia		Steven Fletcher[14] (elected as PC)	none		Scott Johnston
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry)		James Allum[15]	Mark Wasyliw[16]		Mark Wasyliw
Kildonan (redistributed to Kildonan-River East)		Nic Curry[17]	Cathy Cox		Cathy Cox
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station)		Flor Marcelino[18]	Uzoma Asagwara		Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley		Rob Altemeyer[19]	Lisa Naylor[20]		Lisa Naylor
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame)		Andrew Swan[21]	Malaya Marcelino		Malaya Marcelino
Keewatinook		Judy Klassen[22]	Jason Harper		Ian Bushie

Candidates by riding

• Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Flin Flon		Theresa Wride 1,294		Tom Lindsey 2,435		James Lindsay 270		Saara Murnick 203				Tom Lindsey
Keewatinook		Arnold Flett 355		Ian Bushie 1,723		Jason Harper 530						Judy Klassen
Swan River		Rick Wowchuk 5,529		Shelley Wiggins 2,064		David Teffaine 417						Rick Wowchuk
The Pas-Kameesak		Ron Evans 1,324		Amanda Lathlin 3,054		Ken Brandt 178		Ralph McLean 780				Amanda Lathlin The Pas
Thompson		Kelly Bindle 1,750		Danielle Adams 2,651		Darla Contois 294		Meagan Jemmett 177				Kelly Bindle

Westman/Parkland

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Agassiz		Eileen Clarke 5,688		Kelly Legaspi 954		Hector Swanson 462		Liz Clayton 417				Eileen Clarke
Turtle Mountain		Doyle Piwniuk 6,162		Angie Herrera-Hildebrand 990		Richard Davies 607		David M. Neufeld 1,350				Doyle Piwniuk Arthur-Virden
Brandon East		Len Isleifson 3,272		Lonnie Patterson 2,311		Kim Longstreet 799						Len Isleifson
Brandon West		Reg Helwer 4,307		Nick Brown 1,747		Sunday Frangi 564		Robert Brown 744				Reg Helwer
Dauphin		Brad Michaleski 4,799		Darcy Scheller 4,022		Cathy Scofield-Singh 674						Brad Michaleski
Riding Mountain		Greg Nesbitt 6,117		Wayne Chacun 1,961		Jordan Fleury 454		Mary Lowe 723				Greg Nesbitt
Spruce Woods		Cliff Cullen 5,657		Justin Shannon 1,316		Jennifer Harcus 515		Gordon Beddome 816				Cliff Cullen

Central Manitoba

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Borderland		Josh Guenter 4,885		Liz Cronk 287		Loren Braul 1,226		Ken Henry 250		Cliff Graydon 739 [23]		Cliff Graydon Emerson
Interlake-Gimli		Derek Johnson 6,199		Sarah Pinsent 3,472		Mary Lou Bourgeois 400		Dwight Harfield 473				Jeff Wharton‡ Gimli
											Merged District
												Derek Johnson Interlake
Lakeside		Ralph Eichler 6,394		Dan Rugg 2,054		Ilsa Regelsky 854						Ralph Eichler
Midland		Blaine Pedersen 6,700		Cindy Friesen 1,370		Julia Sisler 860						Blaine Pedersen
Morden-Winkler		Cameron Friesen 6,096		Robin Dalloo 365		David Mintz 277		Mike Urichuk 769				Cameron Friesen
Springfield-Ritchot		Ron Schuler 5,661		Sam Okoi 1,976		Sara Mirwaldt 813		Garrett Hawgood 1,065				Shannon Martin Morris
Portage la Prairie		Ian Wishart 4,489		Andrew Podolecki 1,521		Charles Huband 843						Ian Wishart

Eastman

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Dawson Trail		Bob Lagassé 4,548		Echo Asher 1,783		Robert Rivard 1,874						Bob Lagassé
Lac du Bonnet		Wayne Ewasko 6,170		Sidney Klassen 1,793		Terry Hayward 1,373						Wayne Ewasko
La Verendrye		Dennis Smook 5,305		Erin McGee 1,052		Lorena Mitchell 929						Dennis Smook
Steinbach		Kelvin Goertzen 6,237		Rob Jessup 614		LeAmber Kensley 369		Janine Gibson 417				Kelvin Goertzen
Red River North		Jeff Wharton 5,566		Chris Pullen 2,387		Noel Ngo 732		Graham Hnatiuk 739		Jocelyn Burzuik (MF) 173		Ron Schuler St. Paul
Selkirk		Alan Lagimodiere 4,736		Mitch Obach 3,319		Philip Olcen 480		Tony Hill 713				Alan Lagimodiere

Northwest Winnipeg

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Burrows		Jasmine Brar 1,680		Diljeet Brar 2,536		Sarbjit Singh Gill 1,170				Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.) 1,020		Cindy Lamoureux‡
Kildonan-River East		Cathy Cox 5,514		Elliot Macdonald 3,673		Kathryn Braun 1,602						Nic Curry Kildonan
											Merged District
												Cathy Cox River East
McPhillips		Shannon Martin 3,307		Greg McFarlane 3,202		John Cacayuran 1,476		Jason Smith 406		Dave Wheeler (MF) 237		New Riding
Point Douglas		Michelle Redmond 757		Bernadette Smith 3,002		Richard Sanderson 565		Jenn Kess 398		Fagie Fainman (CPC-M) 44 Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.) 66		Bernadette Smith
St. Johns		Ray Larkin 1,665		Nahanni Fontaine 3,526		Eddie Calisto-Tavares 1,092		Joshua McNeil 601				Nahanni Fontaine
The Maples		Aman Sandhu 1,824		Mintu Sandhu 2,744		Amandeep Brar 2,070		Kiran Gill 405				Mohinder Saran
Tyndall Park		Daljit Kainth 991		Ted Marcelino 2,447		Cindy Lamoureux 4,293		Fleur Mann 154		Frank Komarniski (CPC-M) 22		Ted Marcelino

Northeast Winnipeg

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Concordia		Andrew Frank 2,290		Matt Wiebe 4,284		Maria Albo 605						Matt Wiebe
Elmwood		Mayra Dubon 2,533		Jim Maloway 3,862		Regan Wolfrom 739		Nicolas Geddert 763		German Lombana (CPC-M) 45		Jim Maloway
Radisson		James Teitsma 4,523		Raj Sandhu 3,534		Tanya Hansen Pratt 997		Carlianne Runions 576				James Teitsma
Rossmere		Andrew Micklefield 4,362		Andy Regier 3,608		Isaiah Oyeleru 707		Amanda Bazan 613				Andrew Micklefield
St. Boniface		Megan Hoskins 1,889		Laurissa Sims 2,939		Dougald Lamont 4,077		Jaclyn Jeanson 840		Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.) 76		Dougald Lamont
Transcona		Blair Yakimoski 3,914		Nello Altomare 4,029		Dylan Bekkering 716						Blair Yakimoski

West Winnipeg

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Assiniboia		Scott Johnston 4,102		Joe McKellep 3,303		Jeff Anderson 1,224		John Delaat 631				Steven Fletcher
Roblin		Myrna Driedger 6,075		Sophie Brandt-Murenzi 1,886		Michael Bazak 1,728		Kevin Nichols 1,209				Myrna Driedger Charleswood
Kirkfield Park		Scott Fielding 5,435		Kurt Morton 2,767		Ernie Nathaniel 1,695		Dennis Bayomi 901				Scott Fielding
St. James		Michelle Richard 2,767		Adrien Sala 4,009		Bernd Hohne 965		Jeff Buhse 805				Scott Johnston‡
Tuxedo		Heather Stefanson 4,587		Carla Compton 1,919		Marc Brandson 2,225		Kristin Lauhn-Jensen 822		Abby Al-Sahi (MF) 60		Heather Stefanson

Central Winnipeg

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Fort Garry		Nancy Cooke 2,998		Mark Wasyliw 3,994		Craig Larkins 1,716		Casey Fennessy 722				James Allum Fort Garry-Riverview
Fort Rouge		Edna Nabess 1,854		Wab Kinew 5,031		Cyndy Friesen 1,285		James Beddome 1,579		Michael McCracken (MF) 54 Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.) 29		Wab Kinew
Notre Dame		Marsha Street 789		Malaya Marcelino 3,361		Donovan Martin 702		Martha Jo Willard 263		Andrew Taylor (CPC-M) 32 Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.) 28		Andrew Swan Minto
River Heights		Susan Boulter 2,276		Jonathan Niemczak 1,346		Jon Gerrard 5,038		Nathan Zahn 661				Jon Gerrard
Union Station		Tara Fawcett 908		Uzoma Asagwara 2,635		Harold Davis 949		Andrea Shalay 473		Elsa Cubas (CPC-M) 48 James Yau (MB Fwd.) 32		Flor Marcelino Logan
Wolseley		Elizabeth Hildebrand 831		Lisa Naylor 4,253		Shandi Strong 770		David Nickarz 3,336		Eddie Hendrickson 129		Rob Altemeyer

South Winnipeg

Electoral District	Candidates											Incumbent
		PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Fort Richmond		Sarah Guillemard 3,241		George Wong 1,701		Tanjit Nagra 2,361		Cameron Proulx 379				Sarah Guillemard
Fort Whyte		Brian Pallister 5,609		Beatrice Bruske 1,755		Darrel Morin 1,729		Sara Campbell 665		Jason Holenski (MF) 54		Brian Pallister
Lagimodière		Andrew Smith 5,182		Billie Cross 2,789		Jake Sacher 1,481		Bob Krul 557				New Riding
Riel		Rochelle Squires 4,472		Mike Moyes 3,554		Neil Johnston 1,352		Roger Schellenberg 591				Rochelle Squires
Seine River		Janice Morley-Lecomte 4,363		Durdana Islam 2,513		James Bloomfield 2,147		Bryanne Lamoureux 658				Janice Morley-Lecomte
Southdale		Audrey Gordon 4,486		Karen Myshkowsky 3,955		Spencer Duncanson 1,422		Katherine Quinton 584		Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.) 70		Andrew Smith‡
St. Vital		Colleen Mayer 3,211		Jamie Moses 4,081		Jeffrey Anderson 1,271		Elizabeth Dickson 499		David Sutherland (MF) 60 Baljeet Sharma 62		Colleen Mayer
Waverley		Jon Reyes 3,265		Dashi Zargani 1,865		Fiona Haftani 1,070		James Ducas 325				Jon Reyes St. Norbert

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Last Date of Polling	Link	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	Other
Forum Research	September 9, 2019	URL	43	29	17	10	1
Research Co.	September 9, 2019	URL	44	31	16	7	1
Mainstreet Research	September 4, 2019	URL	43.3	34.2	15.1	6.2	1.2
Research Co.	August 29, 2019	URL	46	30	14	8	1
Probe Research Inc	August 24, 2019	URL	40	29	18	10	3
Mainstreet Research	August 19, 2019	URL	42.5	34.7	11.9	9.6	1.4
Converso	August 7, 2019	URL	35.0	21.0	12.0	8.0	1.0
Probe Research Inc	June 17, 2019	URL	42	26	16	14	3
Probe Research Inc	March 24, 2019	PDF	42	30	18	7
Mainstreet Research	March 24, 2019	URL	44.8	32.1	13.1	6.7	3.3
Mainstreet Research	January 16, 2019	URL	44.6	28.0	16.8	4.6	6.0
Probe Research Inc	December 6, 2018	PDF	44	27	21	5	3
Mainstreet Research	November 5, 2018	URL	42.3	28.7	18.1	6.0	4.9
Probe Research Inc	September 28, 2018	PDF	44	25	20	8
Mainstreet Research	July 17, 2018	URL	44.9	29.3	13.6	8.7	3.4
Probe Research Inc	June 19, 2018	PDF	42	30	16	11
Mainstreet Research	April 18, 2018	URL	45.6	30.2	13.0	7.8
Probe Research Inc	April 13, 2018	PDF	44	28	19	8
Mainstreet Research	January 6, 2018	URL	39.6	36.7	13.3	10.4
Probe Research Inc	December 14, 2017	PDF	40	26	25	8
Probe Research Inc	October 10, 2017	URL	36	30	24	8
Probe Research Inc	June 18, 2017	URL	42	30	20	7
Mainstreet Research	April 7, 2017	URL	47	23	19	11
Probe Research Inc	March 28, 2017	URL	43	27	20	8
Probe Research Inc	December 12, 2016	PDF	49	24	19	8
Probe Research Inc	September 26, 2016	PDF	48	20	26	5
Probe Research Inc	June 16, 2016	PDF	46	27	18	8
2016 election	April 19, 2016		53.0	25.7	14.5	5.1	1.7

Progressive Conservative   NDP   Liberal   Green

References

1. Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
2. Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
3. Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
4. Hatherly, Dana (August 12, 2019). "Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10". CBC News. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
5. Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
6. "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
7. "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
8. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/rob-altemeyer-quitting-1.4587149
9. "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
10. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
11. "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
14. "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News. May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
15. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
16. "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
17. "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
18. Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
19. "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
20. "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
21. "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
22. Schroeder, Lara (April 11, 2019). "MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives". CBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2019.
23. Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.

External links

• Elections Manitoba