Brandon East
Brandon East is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It encompasses half of the City of Brandon, the other half being represented in Brandon West.
Provincial electoral district | |||
---|---|---|---|
Legislature | Legislative Assembly of Manitoba | ||
MLA |
Progressive Conservative | ||
District created | 1968 | ||
First contested | 1969 | ||
Last contested | 2019 | ||
Demographics | |||
Census subdivisions | Brandon |
Historical riding
The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.
Current riding
The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.
The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Minnedosa in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is located in the southwestern region of the province.
Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.
Brandon East had been held by the New Democratic Party since its creation. This changed at the 2016 election, at which time Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.
At the 2015 federal elections, according to Elections Canada data, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a Conservative/Liberal marginal with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]
List of provincial representatives
Assembly | Years | Member | Party | |
---|---|---|---|---|
6th | 1886-1888 | James A. Smart | Liberal | |
Riding abolished until from 1888-1969 | ||||
29th | 1969-1973 | Len Evans | New Democratic | |
30th | 1973-1977 | |||
31st | 1977-1981 | |||
32nd | 1981-1986 | |||
33rd | 1986-1988 | |||
34th | 1988-1990 | |||
35th | 1990-1995 | |||
36th | 1995-1999 | |||
37th | 1999-2003 | Drew Caldwell | ||
38th | 2003-2007 | |||
39th | 2007-2011 | |||
40th | 2011-2016 | |||
41st | 2016–2019 | Len Isleifson | Progressive Conservative | |
42nd | 2019-present |
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probe Research Inc | December 19, 2015 | 18 | 41 | 38 | 3 | ||
Probe Research Inc | January, 2015 | 28 | 40 | 26 | 6 | ||
Election Results
2019 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 3,272 | 51.3% | -0.86 | $36,318.38 | |||
New Democratic | Lonnie Patterson | 2,311 | 36.2% | +0.17 | $18,637.37 | |||
Liberal | Kim Longstreet | 788 | 12.5% | +0.70 | $3,151.46 | |||
Total valid votes/Expense Limit | 6,529 | 100.0 | – | $47,973 | ||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[3][4][5] |
2016 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 3,669 | 52.16 | +13.61 | $36,772.89 | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 2,534 | 36.03 | -18.92 | $12,132.70 | |||
Liberal | Vanessa Hamilton | 830 | 11.80 | +7.82 | $2,810.27 | |||
Total valid votes/Expense limit | 7,033 | 100.0 | $ | |||||
Eligible voters | – | |||||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[6][7][8] |
2011 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,864 | 54.95 | $14,503.88 | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Mike Waddell | 2,711 | 38.55 | $26,300.48 | ||||
Liberal | Shaun Cameron | 280 | 3.98 | $1,479.21 | ||||
Green | Vanda Fleury | 177 | 2.52 | $0.00 | ||||
Total valid votes | 7,032 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined votes | 35 | 0.50 | ||||||
Turnout | 7,067 | 53.12 | ||||||
Electors on the lists | 13,305 | |||||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[9] |
2007 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,760 | 53.95 | −8.09 | $19,216.70 | |||
Progressive Conservative | Mike Waddell | 2,655 | 38.10 | +5.46 | $26,503.06 | |||
Liberal | Cheryl Burke | 554 | 7.95 | +3.56 | $5,462.24 | |||
Total valid votes | 6,969 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined votes | 31 | |||||||
Turnout | 7,000 | 58.72 | +6.06 | |||||
Electors on the lists | 11,921 | |||||||
Source: Elections Manitoba[11] |
2003 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 3,870 | 62.04 | +0.76 | $14,549.00 | |||
Progressive Conservative | Greg Dinsdale | 2,036 | 32.64 | +6.30 | $13,316.52 | |||
Liberal | Scott Brigden | 274 | 4.39 | −1.35 | $1,771.36 | |||
Communist | Lisa Gallagher | 58 | 0.93 | $436.91 | ||||
Total valid votes | 6,238 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined ballots | 26 | |||||||
Turnout | 6,264 | 52.66 | −11.69 | |||||
Electors on the lists | 11,895 |
1999 Manitoba general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
New Democratic | Drew Caldwell | 4,840 | 61.28 | $18,137.00 | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Marty Snelling | 2,080 | 26.34 | $25,283.41 | ||||
Independent | Don Jessiman | 525 | 6.65 | $1,040.69 | ||||
Liberal | Peter Logan | 453 | 5.74 | – | $4,017.07 | |||
Total valid votes | 7,898 | 100.00 | ||||||
Rejected and declined ballots | 57 | |||||||
Turnout | 7,955 | 64.35 | ||||||
Electors on the lists | 12,362 |
References
- CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
- Probe Research, December 2015
- "Election Candidate And Registered Party Election Expense Limits - Final Expense Limit" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
- "Summary of Votes Received: 42nd General Election" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
- "Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
- "Candidates: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 29 March 2016. Retrieved 31 March 2016.
- "41ST GENERAL ELECTION, APRIL 19, 2016 - OFFICIAL RESULTS". Elections Manitoba. 12 April 2016. Retrieved 10 November 2016.
- "Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
- "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
- "Results of 40th General Election, 2011". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2013-12-03.
- "Election Returns: 39th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2007. Retrieved 11 September 2018.
- "Results of 39th General Election, 2007". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2013-12-03.
- "Brandon East — Official Results — 2003 Provincial General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2003-06-03. Archived from the original on 2012-03-01. Retrieved 2013-12-03.
- "Results of 37th General Election, 1999". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved 2013-12-03.