COVID-19 pandemic in Libya

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic was confirmed to have spread to Libya on 24 March 2020, when the first case was officially confirmed in Tripoli.

COVID-19 pandemic in Libya
DiseaseCOVID-19
Virus strainSARS-CoV-2
LocationLibya
First outbreakWuhan, China
Index caseTripoli, Libya
Arrival date24 March 2020
(4 months, 3 weeks and 4 days)
Confirmed cases7,050 (as of 13 August)[1]
Active cases6,099 (as of 13 August)[1]
Recovered816 (as of 13 August)[1]
Deaths
135 (as of 13 August)[1]
Government website
covid19.ly
National Centre for Disease Control - Libya Dashboard

Libya is considered especially vulnerable to the epidemic due to the effects from the ongoing Libyan Civil War, which has led to a dire humanitarian situation[2] and a destruction of the nation's health infrastructure.[3]

Background

On 12 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) confirmed that a novel coronavirus was the cause of a respiratory illness in a cluster of people in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China, which was reported to the WHO on 31 December 2019.[4][5]

The case fatality ratio for COVID-19 has been much lower than SARS of 2003,[6][7] but the transmission has been significantly greater, with a significant total death toll.[8][6]

Timeline

COVID-19 cases in Libya  ()
     Deaths        Recoveries        Active cases

Mar Mar Apr Apr May May Jun Jun Jul Jul Aug Aug Last 15 days Last 15 days

Date
# of cases
# of deaths
2020-03-24
1(n.a.)
1(=)
2020-03-28
3(+200%)
2020-03-29
8(+167%)
2020-03-31
10(+25%)
2020-04-02
11(+10%) 1(n.a.)
2020-04-03
17(+55%) 1(=)
2020-04-04
18(+5.9%) 1(=)
2020-04-06
19(+5.6%) 1(=)
2020-04-07
20(+5.3%) 1(=)
2020-04-08
21(+5%) 1(=)
2020-04-09
24(+14%) 1(=)
2020-04-11
25(+4.2%) 1(=)
2020-04-12
25(=) 1(=)
2020-04-13
26(+4%) 1(=)
2020-04-14
35(+35%) 1(=)
2020-04-15
48(+37%) 1(=)
2020-04-16
49(+2.1%) 1(=)
49(=) 1(=)
2020-04-19
51(+4.1%) 1(=)
2020-04-20
51(=) 1(=)
2020-04-21
59(+16%) 1(=)
2020-04-22
60(+1.7%) 1(=)
2020-04-23
60(=) 2(+1)
2020-04-24
61(+1.7%) 2(=)
61(=) 2(=)
2020-04-30
61(=) 3(+1)
2020-05-01
63(+3.3%) 3(=)
2020-05-02
63(=) 3(=)
2020-05-04
63(=) 3(=)
2020-05-06
64(+1.6%) 3(=)
64(=) 3(=)
2020-05-11
64(=) 3(=)
64(=) 3(=)
2020-05-16
65(+1.6%) 3(=)
2020-05-17
65(=) 3(=)
2020-05-19
68(+4.6%) 3(=)
2020-05-20
69(+1.5%) 3(=)
2020-05-21
71(+2.9%) 3(=)
2020-05-22
72(+1.4%) 3(=)
2020-05-23
75(+4.2%) 3(=)
2020-05-25
75(=) 3(=)
2020-05-26
77(+2.7%) 3(=)
2020-05-27
99(+29%) 4(+1)
2020-05-28
105(+6.1%) 5(+1)
2020-05-29
118(+12%) 5(=)
2020-05-30
130(+10%) 5(=)
2020-05-31
156(+20%) 5(=)
2020-06-01
168(+7.7%) 5(=)
2020-06-02
182(+8.3%) 5(=)
2020-06-03
196(+7.7%) 5(=)
2020-06-04
209(+6.6%) 5(=)
2020-06-05
239(+14%) 5(=)
2020-06-06
256(+7.1%) 5(=)
2020-06-08
332(+30%) 5(=)
2020-06-09
359(+8.1%) 5(=)
2020-06-10
378(+5.3%) 5(=)
2020-06-11
393(+4%) 5(=)
2020-06-12
409(+4.1%) 6(+1)
2020-06-13
418(+2.2%) 8(+2)
2020-06-14
454(+8.6%) 10(+2)
2020-06-15
467(+2.9%) 10(=)
2020-06-16
484(+3.6%) 10(=)
2020-06-17
500(+3.3%) 10(=)
2020-06-18
510(+2%) 10(=)
2020-06-19
520(+2%) 10(=)
2020-06-20
544(+4.6%) 10(=)
2020-06-21
571(+5%) 10(=)
2020-06-22
595(+4.2%) 10(=)
2020-06-23
639(+7.4%) 17(+7)
2020-06-24
670(+4.9%) 18(+1)
2020-06-25
698(+4.2%) 18(=)
2020-06-26
713(+2.1%) 18(=)
2020-06-27
727(+2%) 18(=)
2020-06-28
762(+4.8%) 21(+3)
2020-06-29
802(+5.2%) 23(+2)
2020-06-30
824(+2.7%) 24(+1)
2020-07-01
874(+6.1%) 25(+1)
2020-07-02
891(+1.9%) 26(+1)
2020-07-03
918(+3%) 27(+1)
2020-07-04
989(+7.7%) 27(=)
2020-07-05
1,046(+5.8%) 32(+5)
2020-07-06
1,117(+6.8%) 34(+2)
2020-07-07
1,182(+5.8%) 35(+1)
2020-07-08
1,268(+7.3%) 36(+1)
2020-07-09
1,342(+5.8%) 38(+2)
2020-07-11
1,389(+3.5%) 38(=)
2020-07-12
1,433(+3.2%) 39(+1)
2020-07-13
1,512(+5.5%) 40(+1)
2020-07-14
1,563(+3.4%) 42(+2)
2020-07-15
1,589(+1.7%) 43(+1)
2020-07-16
1,652(+4%) 46(+3)
2020-07-17
1,704(+3.1%) 47(+1)
2020-07-18
1,791(+5.1%) 48(+1)
2020-07-19
1,866(+4.2%) 48(=)
2020-07-20
1,980(+6.1%) 49(+1)
2020-07-21
2,088(+5.5%) 50(+1)
2020-07-22
2,176(+4.2%) 53(+3)
2020-07-23
2,314(+6.3%) 56(+3)
2020-07-24
2,424(+4.8%) 57(+1)
2020-07-25
2,547(+5.1%) 58(+1)
2020-07-26
2,669(+4.8%) 60(+2)
2020-07-27
2,827(+5.9%) 64(+4)
2020-07-28
3,017(+6.7%) 67(+3)
2020-07-29
3,222(+6.8%) 71(+4)
2020-07-30
3,438(+6.7%) 73(+2)
2020-07-31
3,621(+5.3%) 74(+1)
2020-08-02
3,691(+1.9%) 80(+6)
2020-08-03
3,837(+4%) 83(+3)
2020-08-04
4,063(+5.9%) 93(+10)
2020-08-05
4,224(+4%) 96(+3)
2020-08-06
4,475(+5.9%) 99(+3)
2020-08-07
4,879(+9%) 107(+8)
2020-08-08
5,079(+4.1%) 108(+1)
2020-08-09
5,232(+3%) 113(+5)
2020-08-10
5,451(+4.2%) 119(+6)
2020-08-11
5,929(+8.8%) 125(+6)
2020-08-12
6,302(+6.3%) 132(+7)
2020-08-13
6,611(+4.9%) 132(=)
2020-08-14
7,050(+6.6%) 135(+3)
2020-8-15
7,327(+3.9%) 139(+4)
2020-8-16
7,738(+5.6%) 145(+6)
2020-8-17
8,172(+5.6%) 153(+8)

Sources:

March 2020

Prior to the coronavirus pandemic, Libya's healthcare system was already on the verge of collapse, given the chaos that has prevailed in the country since 2011.[10] Warring factions in the Libyan Civil War disregarded repeated entreaties from the United Nations for a ceasefire during the pandemic.[3][11]

The internationally recognized Government of National Accord (GNA), based in Tripoli, and the rival government under Khalifa Haftar, based in eastern Libya, both took steps to control the spread of COVID-19, through the closure of schools, markets, and some businesses.[10] Haftar's forces have attempted to take Tripoli, the Libyan capital, in an offensive that began in April 2019.[10] Hundreds have been killed, and thousands have been displaced, in the fighting.[10]

On 24 March, Libya confirmed its first COVID-19 case,[2] a 73-year-old man who had returned to the country on 5 March from a trip to Saudi Arabia.[10]

On 30 March, the GNA announced the release of 466 detainees in Tripoli, as part of an effort to stop the spread of the virus in prisons.[10]

By the end of March ten persons had tested positive for COVID-19. One patient had recovered and nine remained active cases at the end of the month.[12]

April 2020

On 5 April, Mahmoud Jibril, age 68, who headed the interim National Transitional Council in 2011, died from COVID-19 in Cairo, Egypt, after having been admitted to the hospital on March 21.[13]

On 6 April, forces under the command of Khalifa Haftar launched a Grad rocket attack[14] against Al Khadra General Hospital, one of Tripoli's largest hospitals, injured six health workers and substantially damaged the hospital,[3] where 300 patients, including two COVID-19 patients, were being treated.[14] This was the third time that Haftar's forces attacked medical facilities during their intensified siege of Tripoli.[14] The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs condemned the attack as an "appalling" and "clear violation of international humanitarian law ... It is unacceptable at a time when healthcare and health workers are vital in our fight against a global pandemic."[3] The office stated that "This senseless escalation must stop so that health authorities and aid agencies can respond to COVID-19 and continue reaching people in need of urgent humanitarian assistance."[11] Renewed rocket attacks against the hospital continued the following day.[14]

On 7 April, Eastern Libya confirmed its first case.[15] By 7 April, Libya had confirmed 20 cases of COVID-19, mostly in western Libya.[14]

On 15 April, the Government of National Accord imposed a 24-hour curfew for a period of 10 days beginning on 17 April.[16]

During April there were 51 new cases, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 61. The number of recovered patients increased to 18, while three patients died. There were 40 active cases at the end of the month.[17]

May 2020

In May there were 95 new cases, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 156. The death toll rose to 5. The number of recovered patients increased by 34 to 52, leaving 99 active cases at the end of the month.[18]

June 2020

Cases doubled over a period of two weeks in June, while increased conflict, including targeting of health facilities, has left it difficult for medical teams to respond.[19]

On 26 June, the UN-backed government extended the 8pm to 6am curfew for two further weeks, as confirmed cases increased to 713.[20]

There were 668 new cases in June, raising the total number of confirmed cases to 824. The death toll rose by 19 to 24. The number of recovered patients grew by 157 to 209, leaving 591 active cases at the end of the month.[21] Model-based simulations indicate that since early June, the 95% confidence interval for the time-varying reproduction number R t has been fluctuating around 1.5.[22]

July 2020

There were 2797 new cases in July, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 3621. The death toll rose by 50 to 74. The number of recovered patients increased by 409 to 618, leaving 2929 active cases at the end of the month.[23]

See also

References

  1. "متابعة فايروس كورونا في ليبيا". covid19.ly (in Arabic). Retrieved 13 August 2020.
  2. "Libya confirms first coronavirus case amid fear over readiness". Reuters. 24 March 2020. Retrieved 24 March 2020.
  3. UN condemns rocket attack on Tripoli hospital, Al Jazeera (April 7, 2020).
  4. Elsevier. "Novel Coronavirus Information Center". Elsevier Connect. Archived from the original on 30 January 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2020.
  5. Reynolds, Matt (4 March 2020). "What is coronavirus and how close is it to becoming a pandemic?". Wired UK. ISSN 1357-0978. Archived from the original on 5 March 2020. Retrieved 5 March 2020.
  6. "Crunching the numbers for coronavirus". Imperial News. Archived from the original on 19 March 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2020.
  7. "High consequence infectious diseases (HCID); Guidance and information about high consequence infectious diseases and their management in England". GOV.UK. Archived from the original on 3 March 2020. Retrieved 17 March 2020.
  8. "World Federation Of Societies of Anaesthesiologists – Coronavirus". www.wfsahq.org. Archived from the original on 12 March 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2020.
  9. "Total Coronavirus Cases in Libya". worldometers. Retrieved 29 April 2020.
  10. Libya frees more than 450 prisoners to stem spread of coronavirus, Al Jazeera (March 30, 2020).
  11. Statement by the Humanitarian Coordinator for Libya, Yacoub El Hillo, following today's attack on Al Khadra General Hospital in Tripoli, United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (April 6, 2020).
  12. "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report 72" (PDF). World Health Organization. 1 April 2020. p. 6. Retrieved 19 July 2020.
  13. Former Libya Prime Minister Mahmoud Jibril dies from coronavirus, Al Jazeera (April 5, 2020).
  14. Eastern Libyan Forces Attack Tripoli Hospital for Second Day, Associated Press (April 7, 2020).
  15. "Eastern Libya confirms first coronavirus case". Reuters. 7 April 2020. Retrieved 13 April 2020.
  16. "Libya's internationally recognized government imposes 24-hour curfew for 10 days from April 17". Reuters. 15 April 2020.
  17. "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report 102" (PDF). World Health Organization. 1 May 2020. p. 10. Retrieved 19 July 2020.
  18. "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report 133" (PDF). World Health Organization. 1 June 2020. p. 11. Retrieved 19 July 2020.
  19. "Coronavirus: Libya COVID-19 cases double in 14 days as violence increases, exacerbating existing threats facing vulnerable populations". Ventures Africa. Retrieved 27 June 2020.
  20. MENAFN. "Libya's COVID-19 infections jump by 15 to 713". menafn.com. Retrieved 27 June 2020.
  21. "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report 163" (PDF). World Health Organization. 1 July 2020. p. 11. Retrieved 19 July 2020.
  22. Future scenarios of the healthcare burden of COVID-19 in low- or middle-income countries, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London.
  23. "Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report 194" (PDF). World Health Organization. 1 August 2020. p. 9. Retrieved 3 August 2020.
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