2019 European Parliament election in Bulgaria

The 2019 European Parliament election for the election of the 5th delegation from Bulgaria to the European Parliament will be held on 26 May 2019.[1][2] All seats are up for election. The country forms a single constituency, with members elected by proportional representation using open lists.

Main article: 2019 European Parliament election
2019 European Parliament election in Bulgaria
26 May 2019
All 17 Bulgarian seats in the European Parliament
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Boyko Borisov Korneliya Ninova Mustafa Karadaya
Party GERB BSP DPS
Alliance EPP PES ALDE
Leader since 3 December 2006 8 May 2016 24 April 2016
Last election 30.40% 18.93% 17.27%
Seats before 6 seats 4 seats 4 seats
Seats won 6 5 3
Seat change 0 1 1
Popular vote 607,194 474,160 323,510
Percentage 31.07% 24.26% 16.55%
Swing 0.67% 5.33% 0.72%

Outgoing delegation
Members of the
European Parliament
for Bulgaria
Observers (2005)
Delegation (2007)
6th term (2007)
7th term (2009)
8th term (2014)
9th term (2019)
Bulgarian parties in the European Parliament in the eighth legislature (2014–2019)
Group17National party17
EPP7 GERB6
Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria (DSB)1
PES4 Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP)4
ALDE4 Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS)4
ECR2 Bulgaria Without Censorship1
IMRO – BNM (VMRO)1

Opinion polls

Vote share

Among decided voters (figures adjusted where needed)

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size		 GERB
SDS		 BSP DPS VMRO NFSB Attack ABV DB[lower-alpha 1] Volya Others / None Lead
25 May 2014 Election results 30.4[lower-alpha 2] 18.9[lower-alpha 3] 17.3 10.7[lower-alpha 4] 3.1 3.0 4.0 N/A N/A 12.6 11.5
20–5 Jul 2018 Bulgaria-Barometer 35.3 28.9 15.2 17.8[lower-alpha 5] – – – 2,8 6.4
2-7 Nov 2018 AFIS 1,010 30.2 32.2 12.0 4.6[lower-alpha 5] – – 2.3 18.7 2.0
10-17 Dec 2018 Exacta 1,000 35.8 31.7 7.8 5.8[lower-alpha 5] 1.5 3.8 1.5 12.1 4.1
14-19 Dec 2018 Alpha Research 1,027 33.2 30.9 10.6 6.0[lower-alpha 5] – 5.6 3.9 9.8 2.3
10-17 Jan 2019 Trend 1,008 33.3 31.1 12.6 6.4[lower-alpha 5] – 3.6 2.9 10.1 2.2
12-21 Jan 2019 MarketLinks 1,007 37.9 27.1 10.0 8.5[lower-alpha 5] – 6.5 1.3 8.7 10.8
14-19 Jan 2019 AFIS 1,010 32.9 34.6 11.0 4.7[lower-alpha 5] – 1.4 1.4 14.0 1.7
19-21 Jan 2019 Sova Harris 985 37.6 32.6 9.4 1.2 1.4 3.0 1.4 3.2 2.9 7.3 5.0
26 Jan-1 Feb 2019 Mediana 810 31.7 32.0 12.3 9.2[lower-alpha 5] 2.3 2.3 2.3 7.9 0.3
5-13 Feb 2019 Trend 1,007 33.6 31.2 11.7 6.8[lower-alpha 5] – 4.1 2.7 9.9 2.4
15-25 Feb 2019 MarketLinks 1,018 36.2 29.7 8.3 7.5[lower-alpha 5] – 6.6 2.5 9.2 6.5
19-28 Feb 2019 Exacta 1,000 35.1 29.0 10.3 9.6[lower-alpha 5] 1.5 3.7 1.5 9.3 6.1
22-28 Feb 2019 AFIS 1,010 31.6 37.5 13.0 7.3[lower-alpha 5] – 1.6 – 9.0 5.9
6-11 Mar 2019 Sova Harris 1,000 38.2 30.6 11.5 3.0 1.3 3.0 1.3 3.2 3.3 4.6 7.6
6-13 Mar 2019 Trend 1,005 33.6 30.4 12.1 4.4 1.8 2.3 – 4.4 3.2 7.8 3.2
22-26 Mar 2019 Alpha Research 1,011 33.9 33.4 10.6 4.1 2.2 2.1 1.2 5.1 1.9 5.5 0.5
4-9 Apr 2019 Mediana 1,001 31.5 32.1 9.5 5.0 2.1 3.8 3.1 2.9 4.9 5.1 0.6
5-11 Apr 2019 Gallup International 1,015 31.0 32.1 11.1 5.0 1.4 1.9 1.5 4.5 3.5 8.0 1.1
5-12 Apr 2019 Trend 1,008 30.5 31.3 12.7 5.5 1.3 2.0 1.3 4.3 3.6 7.5 0.8
12-22 Apr 2019 MarketLinks 1,049 35.4 35.9 7.0 5.7 – – – 5.3 1.9 8.8 0.5
16-22 Apr 2019 Sova Harris 995 36.1 35.0 11.4 4.0 – 3.1 1.3 2.1 4.0 3.0 1.1
26 Apr 2019 Start of official election campaign
20-30 Apr 2019 Alpha Research 1,015 32.2 32.7 9.3 6.0 1.7 1.2 1.2 4.5 1.7 9.5 0.5
29 Apr-4 May 2019 Specter 834 32.5 33.2 8.5 4.2 4.0 1.2 2.7 4.2 1.9 7.6 0.7
2-7 May 2019 Mediana 1,008 29.9 31.9 10.7 4.7 3.9 2.6 3.8 3.4 4.9 4.2 2.0
7-14 May 2019 Specter 993 33.0 33.4 8.7 4.1 4.1 1.3 3.5 4.1 1.7 6.1 0.4
8–13 May 2019 Sova Harris 1,000 34.4 33.5 13.7 4.4 – 3.8 1.5 2.1 4.7 1.9 0.9
10-15 May 2019 AFIS 1,604 24.5 25.7 13.2 4.4 1.6 2.6 3.2 2.5 5.5 16.8 1.2
11–17 May 2019 Trend 1,007 31.5 30.4 12.8 5.8 1.3 2.0 2.4 4.2 4.8 4.8 1.1
11–19 May 2019 Marketlinks 1,024 33.8 31.4 7.9 6.5 2.4 – 1.4 5.4 3.3 7.9 2.4
17–21 May 2019 Mediana 1,008 31.1 29.8 11.4 5.6 2.6 3.5 – 2.6 5.1 4.7 1.3
18–22 May 2019 Exacta 1,000 32.4 27.3 13.3 6.5 2.0 2.0 1.8 4.3 4.5 5.9 5.1
19–22 May 2019 Alpha Research 1,016 31.1 26.6 13.9 6.0 2.0 2.0 3.2 4.2 4.9 6.1 4.5
26 May 2019 Election day
Election results 31.1 24.3 16.6 7.4 1.2 1.1 0.9 6.1 3.7 7.6 6.8
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size		 Attack Others / None Lead
  1. Democratic Bulgaria, a coalition between Yes, Bulgaria!, The Greens and Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria.
  2. Results for GERB only; SDS appeared separately in 2014 as part of the Reformist Bloc.
  3. As part of Coalition for Bulgaria.
  4. As part of a coalition between Bulgaria Without Censorship, VMRO and several smaller parties.
  5. This poll was conducted before the three parties failed to reach an agreement to retain the United Patriots coalition.

Results

The official national results as of 29 May 2019 with 100% of the ballots counted are as follows:

 Summary of the results of Bulgaria's 26 May 2019 election to the European Parliament
← 2014 • 2019 • 2024 →
National party European party Leader(s) Votes % +/– Seats +/–
GERB EPP Boyko Borisov 607,194 31.07 +0.67 6 0
Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) PES Korneliya Ninova 474,160 24.26 +5.33 5 1
Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) ALDE Mustafa Karadaya 323,510 16.55 −0.72 3 1
VMRO ECR Krasimir Karakachanov 143,830 7.36 N/A 2 1
Democratic Bulgaria (DB) EPP N/A / Several 118,484 6.06 N/A 1 N/A
Volya Veselin Mareshki 70,830 3.62 N/A 0 N/A
Desislava Ivancheva Independent candidate 30,310 1.55 N/A 0 N/A
Mincho Kuminev Independent candidate 22,992 1.18 N/A 0 N/A
National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria (NFSB) Valeri Simeonov 22,421 1.15 −1.90 0 N/A
NDSV / New Time N/A / Several 21,315 1.09 N/A 0 N/A
Attack Volen Siderov 20,906 1.07 −1.89 0 N/A
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 20,319 1.04 N/A 0 N/A
Coalition for Bulgaria 16.759 0.87 N/A 0 N/A
Others (parties and candidates that won less than 0.50% of the vote and no seats) 61,261 3.04 N/A 0 N/A
None of the above 61,029 — — 0 N/A
Valid votes, calculated 2,015,320 96.2%
Valid votes, acc. to the CEC:
"Общият брой на действителните гласове
(сумата от числата по т. 7 от протоколите на СИК)"		 2.015.341 96.2%
Blank and invalid votes, acc. to the CEC:
"Брой на недействителни гласове
(сумата от числата по т. 6 от протоколите на СИК)"		 80,238 3.8%
Totals, calculated 2,095,558 100.00 — 17 0
Totals, acc. to the CEC:
"Брой на намерените в избирателната/ите кутия/и бюлетини
(сумата от числата по т. 5, от протоколите на СИК)"		 2.095.561
Electorate (eligible voters) and voter turnout:
"Брой на избирателите според избирателните списъци при предаването им на СИК
(сумата от числата по т. 1 от протоколите на СИК)"		 6,288,656 32.64% -3.51
Source:Central Electoral Commission

Warning - election fraud:

  • Because the numbers do not add up (see the mismatch between "calculated" and "acc. to CEC" numbers above)
  • and because balkaninsight.com reports "highly questionable voting patterns across the country";

...election fraud has probably taken place.

gollark: It might work I guess. I don't think there are many use cases.
gollark: But what if a program just isn't signed? Block it?
gollark: If users are stupid, and they are, they'll just not verify the signature.
gollark: Yes, so link the actual files.
gollark: Just a list or webpage or something.

See also

References
  1. "Нов уебсайт обяснява как да се гласува на евроизборите" (in Bulgarian). dnevnik.bg. 25 January 2019. Retrieved 14 March 2019.
  2. "Президентът насрочи европейските избори на 26 май" (in Bulgarian). dnevnik.bg. 19 March 2019. Retrieved 20 March 2019.
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